Barnstorm's Picks - NFL Week 6. Last Week: 7-2. YTD: 23-19 (55.%)

[Barnstorm]

Last week: 7-2
YTD: 23-19 (55.2%)

Leans and Discussion first. Final picks on Sunday.

Redskins +1.5 and under 47.5. Eagles in shambles even though they need to win. Skins off a bye and it will be like their Super Bowl as they could effectively knock the Eagles out of the race by pinning a 5th loss on them. Also revenge game from the 59-28 drubbing Vick and the Eagles humiliated them with on national TV last year. Skins will be rested. Vick and Co. battered and bruised. Orakpo, Fletcher and Landry will be looking to lay the wood on Vick. Still, Vick may be good for some points and Shanahan is just a grinder and there is the Rex factor. I can certainly see someone taking the Eagles. They just HAVE to win, right? Even if the Skins play inspired, the Skins don't have a great offense with Rex, and the Eagles with their playmakers could score 14 in the last quarter to snatch it. Vick extends plays. You have him - and then you don't. Under played based on Shanahan conservative nature and very good Skins D.

Panthers +4 and Falcons/Panthers over 50.5. Cam will be able to continue to get more yards and points against that sorry Falcons D and Matty Ice and Co. should be able to get points against the banged up Panthers D. But Falcon ball control or that off game from Cam that everyone keeps expecting could keep it under. 51 is an important #. Early indications are that it will drop under 51. That may be good for me, but it also is a warning that bettors are going under. Question is, WHICH bettors? Smart ones or dumb ones?

Ravens/Texans under 46. Harbaugh wanted to open it up more, but he saw how that backfired against the Jets as Flacco was whacko and almost kept the Jets in it. Harbaugh will go back to grinding it out. Texans without Andre again. Now also without their best defensive player in Mario Williams. I suppose that has folks thinking over.

Texans + 9 at Ravens. Game opened at Ravens -7 and went to -9! I kinda like the Texans and the points, based on a grind it out win by the Ravens. But that ball-hawking D of theirs scares me and also gives more credence to the over. Hmmm? May not go with anything from this game.

Bucs Saints under 49. Saints on their THIRD road game as a favorite. Another outdoor grass field. Saints O is great but their D is not very good at all. Tampa a little better than average on both sides. I'm too scared to go against Brees and Sproles so I would lean under.

Bengals -7 vs Colts. I like Cinci at home if I could get under -7. Cinci has the #1 D in the NFL! Can't see Curtis Painter doing that well in Cinci. Home crowd getting excited about their team. Colts OL and DL and LBs are a MASH unit. Decimated.

Raiders -6.5 vs Browns. Another Al Davis ceremony and pump job, this time in Oakland. What's to like about Cleveland? Their O has been struggling. Everyone has a man-crush on Peyton Hillis, but he's not 100% and the Raiders are big and strong and got their Bully-MoJo back. I even like Jason Campbell now. They've got some playmakers. Was -5.5. Now -6.5! Hope it doesn't go to -7 or I'd have to step aside.

Steelers/Jax under 41? A grind it out, conservative game by the Steelers? Not so crazy about this one any more.

Pats/Cowboys under 55.5. Pats found their running game and it helps their D stay off the field. Just hope Romo doesn't aid the over cause with TDs and INTs and fumbles! Miles Austin is back, but is he 100%? Is Dez Bryant healthy? Big ?s for big D.

Lions -4 vs SF and under 46. Alex Smith is no Jay Cutler back there in the pocket, but he will have better protection. Still, I think the Lions may be able to score more against the SF D than the Bears' D. SF will run, run, run so that should keep the clock running and the points down.

Bears -3 vs Minnesota. Cutler was pretty impressive hanging in there against the Lions pass rush. And the Bears' D should be able to stuff AP and McNabb in Chicago. If the Bears had a decent OL, they would be contenders.

GL

[LordCC]

Good luck Barnstorm!

[pacpie]

Loved your picks last week. You were spot on with your analysis. This week you sound a bit afraid to make some picks.

Go with your gut!

[Barnstorm]

pacpie,

You're right - I'm not as confident with as many of this week's picks, but definitely going with my gut on these. GL

Locking these in before line moves against me:

Texans +9
Giants -3
Lions -4
Panthers +4.5
Raiders -6.5
Redskins +3!
Bears -1
Lions/Niners under 46
Ravens/Texans under 45
Saints/Bucs under 49.5
Eagles/Redskins under 47.5
Cowboys/Pats under 55.5

GL

[Bustamove22]

gl barnstorm !!

[WildBilly]

Good call on those unders. The over went a whopping 9-4 last week, AND WAS 9-2 going in to Sunday night, both Sunday night and Monday night went under.

I see alot of teams putting the brakes on and some vanilla games, especially in Pittsburg. They blew their load last week against Tenn and the Jags will have a bear of a time scoring in Heinz field.
LOVE The Skins under. Eagles have been flying over and the Skins have 3 overs and 1 under. Time for a classic NFC low scoring defensive battle. That game might not even hit 33

[BOBBYW]

gl..

[Barnstorm]

Hedging my Texans pick with Ravens -7. Not sure why that line move.

Will also hedge my Giants pick by catching the Bills when it goes to +3.5, or buying it. Currently high juice for the Giants at -3.

Also adding Bengals at -6. Line move.

Final Card

Texans +9
Ravens -7
Giants -3
Bills +3.5
Lions -4
Bengals -6
Panthers +4.5
Raiders -6.5
Redskins +3!
Bears -1
Lions/Niners under 46
Ravens/Texans under 45
Saints/Bucs under 49.5
Eagles/Redskins under 47.5
Cowboys/Pats under 55.5

[Barnstorm]

10-4-1! 5-0 on Unders this week!

Unders were 9-3 this week. I knew that 62% over trend couldn't last.

30-14 (68%) my last 3 weeks.

33-23 (59%) for the season.

GL