Bet Your "piggy Bank" Play

[mickey]

Been going over this play plenty of times in my mind & my 1st instincts were
on the Saints..But with further research I just can't come up with a final play
that I really "feel safer than none" with than the one I have come up with..
Most trends & stats along with Joe Public are pounding the "OVER" total on
this one & mostly on the Saints on the "ML".

Minnesota at New Orleans

Drew Brees is playing at an incredible level, as he’s averaged 8.8 yards per pass play against a schedule of teams that would combine to allow just 5.7 yppp to an average quarterback. It may be tough for Brees to maintain that high level of play, but he should post good numbers against a Vikings’ defense that is once again very good defending the run (3.1 ypr allowed) but every mediocre against the pass (6.2 yppp allowed to teams that would combine to average 6.2 yppp against an average defense). Minnesota’s offense has been better since Gus Frerotte was inserted at quarterback in week 3, as the Vikings have averaged 5.0 yards per play the last two games against good defensive teams Carolina and Tennessee, who would combine to allow just 4.6 yppl to an average team. I expect Adrian Peterson to have a big game running against a soft Saints’ defensive front that’s allowed 5.4 ypr this season (to teams that would average 4.5 ypr against an average defensive team). New Orleans has been average in pass defense, but Frerotte has been better than average in his two games, throwing for 5.8 yppp against teams that would allow just 5.2 yppp to an average quarterback. My math model favors New Orleans by 6 points and the Saints apply to a very good 61-21-2 ATS Monday night situation. Minnesota, however, applies to a 55-16-2 ATS statistical match-up indicator and a 56-16-5 ATS game 5 angle.

Tough call here!!!!!!!! But I believe I've come up with a solution that has good value because of my gut felling,& here it is:There could possibly be a high scoring game here but The Vikings are not been good as of late,& the Saints are hurting (a little) on offense,esp in the running game,D McAllister not 100%,etc etc.I do believe (feel) that this game will be more of a running game for Minnesota than the Saints,whom will be throwing more than running & it will be a slower start for both teams in the 1st half & more fireworks more in 3rd to 4th qrts in which they will be battling tooth & nail to the finish line due to a close knit game..So my call is:


Bet the Piggy Bank on UNDER the Total 23.5 (1st half)

[jonny delta]

good luck Wiz!

[bigsportsguy2006]

gl wiz!!

[Shez]

good luck tonight, I liked the under myself tonight but just couldnt pull the trigger,

[plane-o-1]

Good Luck mickey!!!

[RanPicks]

GL Mick

[whodi]

GL Mick