A "better" handicapping tool?

[kurugby]

alright first post here so here goes nothing. I just started betting pretty hard this year, because I can see the potential to make money. Anyways I was reading up on the yppt, and I liked what I saw, but not totally happy. I came up with a little system myself.
First for defense I looked at the yd/pt^2. why? because I saw Baltimore was near the bottom of the list, and they clearly don't belong there. Squaring the points put a little more emphasis on the points against, because in the end this is what really counts. The bigger the number the better
For offense I did the same thing yd/pt ^2 for the same reason, and the smaller the number the better in this case.
Lastly I took the ratio of these 2 numbers (def/off). since the bigger the defense, and small the offense, the bigger this ratio the better. It yielded quite interesting results:
-----------------------------------ATS SU
TENNESSEE 4.231521739 (4-0) (4-0)
BUFFALO 2.635745005 (3-1) (4-0)
NY GIANTS 2.351193634 (2-1) (3-0)
PITTSBURGH 1.660265252 (1-4) (3-1)
SAN DIEGO 1.602981969 (3-1) (2-2)
PHILADELPHIA 1.486486486
BALTIMORE 1.472184532
TAMPA BAY 1.454975793
CHICAGO 1.453053435
DALLAS 1.370795256
GREEN BAY 1.319223986
CAROLINA 1.241248817
DENVER 1.223779149
ATLANTA 1.152173913
NEW ORLEANS 1.108
NY JETS 1.08214631
WASHINGTON 1.044274239
SAN FRANCISC 0.943720172
JACKSONVILLE 0.935318782
MIAMI 0.922310936
NEW ENGLAND 0.880173544
SEATTLE 0.867026903
ARIZONA 0.858071889
INDIANAPOLIS 0.658766941
MINNESOTA 0.645188957
OAKLAND 0.627807727
KANSAS CITY 0.593350864
CLEVELAND 0.518845453 (2-2) (1-3)
CINCINNATI 0.511572516 (1-3) (0-4)
DETROIT 0.408015697 (0-3) (0-3)
HOUSTON 0.349500998 (1-3) (0-3)
ST LOUIS 0.141973700 (0-4) (0-4)

This seems like a damn good betting tool to me, any comments would be great. Also since I'm new at this betting thing, some picks would be great too!

[wal66]

Good work. Anything that helps can't be a bad thing. Hope to see you post regularly with the results to see this fares.

[Patriots Game]

Question. Why do you need to square both offense and defense? If you don't square them, the ratios would be the same, NO?

[kurugby]

i just squared the pt for, and the pts against, not the whole term. I said I did this because Squaring the points put a little more emphasis on the points, because in the end this is what really counts.

[Patriots Game]

Ok

[thaikarate]

great info.

so what are the best plays this wekend?

[mikkii10]

i thought i had seen a baseball system somewhat like that or similar ? in this cappersmall

[kurugby]

thai:
I'm only betting on 4 games this week because of money. With my system im going.

chargers -6.5 vs dolphins
bears -3.5 vs lions
giants -7 vs seahawks -might buy .5 points just to save my ass
bills pk vs cardinals

Houston +3 vs colts might be a good pick, but being at the bottom of my stat list its too risky. Also Bengals +17 vs Cowboys. Bengals are at the bottom of my stat list as well, but 17 points is insane.

[pats3peat]

good luck, maybe more can help you finetune this