BIGFELLA 1/8 NFL Wildcard Weekend Plays

[BIGFELLA]

BIGFELLA of the junglehotel

3 Matchups this week that are a rematch from last week!

Pats -2½ $5,000

Pats -2½ $2,000


New England is 5-0 all-time versus Baltimore 4-1 ATS.Small home favorites in the Wildcard Round have been more effective than their higher priced counterparts, perhaps benefitting from a lack of respect. Home chalk of 3-points or less are 15-5 SU & 11-6-3 ATS (65%) since ’93

Pats were dealt a big blow with the Welker injury but unlike other teams they will find another way to get it done! They have been here done that before and I'm sure Brady will look to shine once again even with him hurting! Take a look at the Ravens losses down the stretch , nothing to brag about and Oak played them good with it all on the line! Pats Win and Cover only to lose next week! I hate this team with all I got but money is money.




Cincy -125 ML $500

Histoy of the Jets makes it hard to back them here IMO. After all Cincy was playing for nothing last week.



Philly +4 $2,000

Philly +3 $1,000

Ok with this game and the Pats game I feel we have the best of the lines that we are going to get! Now The Boys are 1 of 3 matchups that won last week and have a rematch this week HHMMMMM. This is the Playoffs now do or die, Boys whom beat the Giants 2x in the regular season only to lose in the Playoffs at home 2 years ago are back in the same boat here.

Back to Back Dunkin Donuts and looking great while Philly got rocked! Birds get the last laugh though as all the heat is on the Boys to do it again!!!! How do they react when they are down in this game or things are not like last week. I will be the first to admit I thought they were done after the Giants game and had them done for. I was wrong then but lets see . Eagles are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. loss.



Arizona +1 3,000

This opened up at Zona-2½

Interestingly, in the last 17 seasons of Wildcard Round betting, only nine games have seen the opening line move by 1.5-points or more throughout the week. In those games, home teams have gone 7-1-1 ATS (88%), regardless of the direction of the line move.

I'm amazed at just how much this line has gone down and would not be shocked to see it comeback the other way by game time.

Warner will bomb away and put points on the board and the Defensive line will turn the heat up on the Packer Offense this is this week not last week! To many will get fooled by last weeks results don't put to much stock in them.



Good Luck!

[Fat Pockets]

Originally Posted by BIGFELLA

BIGFELLA of the junglehotel

3 Matchups this week that are a rematch from last week!

Pats -2½ $5,000

Pats -2½ $2,000


New England is 5-0 all-time versus Baltimore 4-1 ATS.Small home favorites in the Wildcard Round have been more effective than their higher priced counterparts, perhaps benefitting from a lack of respect. Home chalk of 3-points or less are 15-5 SU & 11-6-3 ATS (65%) since ’93

Pats were dealt a big blow with the Welker injury but unlike other teams they will find another way to get it done! They have been here done that before and I'm sure Brady will look to shine once again even with him hurting! Take a look at the Ravens losses down the stretch , nothing to brag about and Oak played them good with it all on the line! Pats Win and Cover only to lose next week! I hate this team with all I got but money is money.




Cincy -125 ML $500

Histoy of the Jets makes it hard to back them here IMO. After all Cincy was playing for nothing last week.



Philly +4 $2,000

Philly +3 $1,000

Ok with this game and the Pats game I feel we have the best of the lines that we are going to get! Now The Boys are 1 of 3 matchups that won last week and have a rematch this week HHMMMMM. This is the Playoffs now do or die, Boys whom beat the Giants 2x in the regular season only to lose in the Playoffs at home 2 years ago are back in the same boat here.

Back to Back Dunkin Donuts and looking great while Philly got rocked! Birds get the last laugh though as all the heat is on the Boys to do it again!!!! How do they react when they are down in this game or things are not like last week. I will be the first to admit I thought they were done after the Giants game and had them done for. I was wrong then but lets see . Eagles are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. loss.



Arizona +1 3,000

This opened up at Zona-2½

Interestingly, in the last 17 seasons of Wildcard Round betting, only nine games have seen the opening line move by 1.5-points or more throughout the week. In those games, home teams have gone 7-1-1 ATS (88%), regardless of the direction of the line move.

I'm amazed at just how much this line has gone down and would not be shocked to see it comeback the other way by game time.

Warner will bomb away and put points on the board and the Defensive line will turn the heat up on the Packer Offense this is this week not last week! To many will get fooled by last weeks results don't put to much stock in them.


Good Luck!

Thx for the stats on the line moves on GB game. I get why people like yourself are leaning on Zona....but stats dont lie and GB is all over Zona in the stat department. Zona cant rush and Warner throws....thats a given. But with the Packers pick stats....Warner will be in trouble at a least once. That there could decide the game.

GB has got the rush going and as Im sure you know...Zona is brutal vs the rush. With the rush and Rodgers at the helm....GB rolls IMO. I hope

GL with your picks....Im on NE also.....

[BIGFELLA]

Originally Posted by Fat Pockets

Thx for the stats on the line moves on GB game. I get why people like yourself are leaning on Zona....but stats dont lie and GB is all over Zona in the stat department. Zona cant rush and Warner throws....thats a given. But with the Packers pick stats....Warner will be in trouble at a least once. That there could decide the game.

GB has got the rush going and as Im sure you know...Zona is brutal vs the rush. With the rush and Rodgers at the helm....GB rolls IMO. I hope

GL with your picks....Im on NE also.....

I hear you Fat Pockets and real good points! Zona has a team that went to the playoffs and a few ticks or better yet a tackle away from being champs. Last week was just a game this week is do or die. I'm not big on stats myself as I feel if we could go by that alone than Vegas would be a lot smaller.

I think it will come down to a big mistake and yes Warner is a worry as he can trip over his own feet at anytime. Dockett and Co. will get to to Rogers Sunday and force him into a few things.

Good Luck Bro and like your points!

[Lukester]

Seems like the Home Turf is a Winner for Wild Card Games...Things pretty much even out in the other Rounds.

GL thru the playoffs, BF.

[webs21]

BF - nice to see ya here - Question - your Pat's bets - is one a half time bet?

[BIGFELLA]

No WEBS one play is a 1st half play! Good Luck


Thanks Fellas and Good Luck!


They keep on playing GB like they know the final score I luv it . Let them keep playing it!

[white_tiger]

gl BF with you on Phi and Ari here