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Old 10-30-2011, 05:03 AM
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Blaze'z nfl thread

Week 8:

Carolina ML -150
Houston -9
Seattle +2
NE ML -135
2* Baltimore -7 (1st half)
Baltimore / Arizona U43,5
Miami / NYG U42


Teasers:
Baltimore U49.5 / Denver O35.5
Houston -3 / 49ers -3


Thoughts:

I don't trust Minny on the road here. Yeah Ponder did ok, but his completion % sucked mightily. I also think the first big play for TD was a fluke. Its a different ball game on the road and i wouldn't expect a miracle. I got to roll with Cam and the boys here.

Jacksonville on short rest / flat spot coming after beating Baltimore. The defense played nice but they are not as good against the run on the road and Tate / Foster doesnt help. Besides does anyone see em making a comeback or putting up a ton of points if they get behind?

Seattle.....12th man. Different team at home. Benson out for Cincy and i think Dalton will struggle in this stadium. Neither of these teams have a huge edge so taking the home team and points is easy for me.

NE off a bye. I would BET ole BB has figured out a way to exploit the Steelers old defense. They're missing Harrison and i got to think A. Hernandez and Gronk cause alot of damage here. Also the steelers look to easy in teasers.

Balitmore first half and under? I actually like them to hold these guys to a minimum of 10 points. However, im not sure how many they can score. I do know the Jags are tough on defense at home and that was pretty apparent. The cards on the road are not. I think some home cooking is what they need on offense. I think Baltimore comes out early and scores and doesnt look back. Yeah they have Pittsburgh next week, but thats a bigger game for Pittsburgh after getting embarrassed week one. Besides.....they have NE this week so i don't expect Baltimore to drag through here.....not after that game on Monday night. They'll make a statement on defense and don't forget Beanie Wells isnt much this week if anything. I also don't like Kolb in Baltimore against these guys.

Miami / NYG has FG game written all over it. I can't see the dolphins scoring alot and i can see NYG having a couple turnovers.

I definitely see something i like in the late night game but will wait and see what numbers come along. May or may not come back with something before early kickoffs. GL
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MLB: 84-61 (57.90%) 25.01 units
MLB Playoffs: 0-1 -1.2 units
NFL:
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WNBA: 19-22 (46.3%) +3.4 units
NBA: 11-7 (61.1%) + 2.8 units
UFC: 1-0 (100.0%) +1 unit

Updated: OCT 1st
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