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  #1  
Old 08-24-2008, 02:41 PM
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Question Buff Vs Ind trap game?

Line Open @ Ind -3 then rocking it up to 6 and 6.5 right now.
I see all the reasons to bet on Buff but no reason to beet on INDY which really scary me.

Reasons to bet on Buff for me:
#1/ Indy Coach never care about preseason Buff +6 is great.
#2/ Buff Playing well last week Vs Pitt.
#3/ In 3 preseason games Indy win 1 lost 2. The lone lost yet by 7 @ ATL win 16-9 Anyone see that ATL total choke that game and INDY field late in 4th qt to make it 7 pts win.
#4/ Preseason only spreads with 1 - 3pts and most game end with FG win. 6 pts is almost AUTO play here.

Reason to bet on Indy this game:
None I can see.

Personally I would love to bet on Buff if the line was with Indy -4 but this lines yet 2 pts extra for me but I really not enjoy it and might watch the game for free.

your Opinion please.

WT.
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  #2  
Old 08-24-2008, 02:51 PM
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I don't like game today, can go either way.
GL today.

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Pre: 5-1-2.
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  #3  
Old 08-24-2008, 03:27 PM
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i agree 100 percent. ONLY things colts got goin for them is the opening of their new stadium ... but thats about it. bills look like a really strong play here ...
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  #4  
Old 08-24-2008, 04:07 PM
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One way to handicap games is using combined trends. Trends of the Vegas pointspread, trends of the information available. Combine them, and win.

The pointspread here give Buffalo > 3 points. There is a trend during this preseason involving dogs getting > 3 points. Is there an informational trend to complement this?

Back-up QBs with experience are 4-0 ATS this preseason. The list:
week 2) Volek for San Diego = ATS WIN
week 2) Griese for Tampa Bay = SU & ATS WIN
week 2) Frye for Seattle = SU & ATS WIN
week 3) Frerotte for Minnesota = ATS WIN

Tonight, an experienced back-up named JP Losman gets the start.

Take the points.

Last edited by NFLMAN; 08-24-2008 at 04:17 PM.
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  #5  
Old 08-24-2008, 04:21 PM
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After the first preseason game where Losman looked better than Edwards there was whispers of QB controversy so to avoid that at all costs they didn't let JP throw against Pitt(run,run,run)..... I dont expect them to allow him to do much with the offense then bring in the scrubs in the 3rd...i dont bet preseason nor do i bet against the bills but i think indy has the advantage here
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  #6  
Old 08-24-2008, 04:30 PM
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i think u r right WT. im on ur side.

NFLx: 6-3

MM
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  #7  
Old 08-24-2008, 06:35 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Money_machine
i think u r right WT. im on ur side.

NFLx: 6-3

MM
gl tonight MM!
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  #8  
Old 08-24-2008, 06:37 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ajohnson69
After the first preseason game where Losman looked better than Edwards there was whispers of QB controversy so to avoid that at all costs they didn't let JP throw against Pitt(run,run,run)..... I dont expect them to allow him to do much with the offense then bring in the scrubs in the 3rd...i dont bet preseason nor do i bet against the bills but i think indy has the advantage here
Thanks for feed back AJ69. I'll not lay any money on this game but will watch them closely. I hope after tonight game will give me more confidence on my betting trategy.

WT.
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  #9  
Old 08-24-2008, 06:42 PM
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right wt. when you're not sure just don't play a game for the action. best move you could have made bro. very savvy bettor lays off when not totally confident in his plays
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  #10  
Old 08-24-2008, 06:52 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by KALIND
right wt. when you're not sure just don't play a game for the action. best move you could have made bro. very savvy bettor lays off when not totally confident in his plays
Thanks Kalind, my #1 goal to bet is win money not just for fun. So whenever I don't see an edge I'll not lay any money on it. It's still fun to watch and learn but not fun to bet and lose when you not sure which to bet on.

WT.
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  #11  
Old 08-24-2008, 08:05 PM
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I guess the moral of this story is don't look a gift horse in the mouth.

But don't worry about it - best not to play unless you at least have a good feeling about the game.
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  #12  
Old 08-24-2008, 10:37 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by NFLMAN
One way to handicap games is using combined trends. Trends of the Vegas pointspread, trends of the information available. Combine them, and win.

The pointspread here give Buffalo > 3 points. There is a trend during this preseason involving dogs getting > 3 points. Is there an informational trend to complement this?

Back-up QBs with experience are 4-0 ATS this preseason. The list:
week 2) Volek for San Diego = ATS WIN
week 2) Griese for Tampa Bay = SU & ATS WIN
week 2) Frye for Seattle = SU & ATS WIN
week 3) Frerotte for Minnesota = ATS WIN

Tonight, an experienced back-up named JP Losman gets the start.

Take the points.
Makes sense, great udog pk!! Impressive!!
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