Go Back   Sports Handicapping Forum > Sports Picks > NFL Football

NFL Football NFL Handicapping - Post your NFL picks, talk NFL betting, anything NFL.

Reply
 
LinkBack Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 09-11-2008, 01:44 AM
the franchise
 
Join Date: Apr 2004
Location: Chicago
Posts: 20,770
Rewards: 821
Are the Chargers free money this weekend...?

Or is this a setup? Or are books or public thinking Denver is that good because they beat up on Oakland and San Diego was upset by Carolina?

I mean it's -1.5 on BJ. I know it's Denver's home opener but seriously... is this free money?

Line just seems so low and I feel like betting Chargers is exactly what they want me to do. Any thoughts??
__________________
"No matter how bad it may get, just keep going, because you only fail when you give up."

2010-11 NBA 4-7-0 (-8.3 units)

2010 NBA Playoffs 8-4-1 (+8.1 units)
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 09-11-2008, 01:49 AM
Banned
 
Join Date: May 2004
Posts: 40,638
Rewards: 0
Its definitely not a setup. The way denver dismantled oakland on monday night I was kind of surprised that they still made the chargers the favorite, but I was thinking before it came out that if they did... it made me like them more. I see it being a close game...could go either way but I like SD to win. Recently the chargers have owned them and match up well...only angle i see for denver is revenge and they are at home. Chargers should be focused for this after getting a wake up call in week 1. It's definitely not an easy game by any means but I will be playing the chargers for a couple units
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 09-11-2008, 01:50 AM
Banned
 
Join Date: May 2004
Posts: 40,638
Rewards: 0
oh and i like to fade mnf teams with blowout wins the following week
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 09-11-2008, 01:55 AM
the franchise
 
Join Date: Apr 2004
Location: Chicago
Posts: 20,770
Rewards: 821
I mean Chargers have the world on their shoulders if they start 0-2 just because of the expectations. I just feel like 1.5 is the books begging me to take SD but how can you not? Do they win 21-20???
__________________
"No matter how bad it may get, just keep going, because you only fail when you give up."

2010-11 NBA 4-7-0 (-8.3 units)

2010 NBA Playoffs 8-4-1 (+8.1 units)
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 09-11-2008, 02:01 AM
Banned
 
Join Date: May 2004
Posts: 40,638
Rewards: 0
it is a big game for both teams...the chargers dont want to start 0-2 but denver needs to win this game if they have any hope of winning the division...you cant lose at home to the expected division winner and then think you're gonna compete. wagerline % slightly favors denver right now. I just think people will look at it like denver destroyed denver and sd lost to a team they were favored over by 10 pts. I could see it being a late fg to win by either team
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 09-11-2008, 02:09 AM
the franchise
 
Join Date: Apr 2004
Location: Chicago
Posts: 20,770
Rewards: 821
Was ready to unload on this game but thinking otherwise now. Was thinking about going SD to win SU too but might just completely back off I really don't know now
__________________
"No matter how bad it may get, just keep going, because you only fail when you give up."

2010-11 NBA 4-7-0 (-8.3 units)

2010 NBA Playoffs 8-4-1 (+8.1 units)
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 09-11-2008, 02:15 AM
Registered User
 
Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: New York
Posts: 29,820
Rewards: 2,990
minny seems like better game out of the pickem ones imo

lean denver here though
__________________
mlb '12: 321-287 +47.06*
nhl playoffs '12: 45-23 +21.62*
nba playoffs '12: 83-53 +29.06*
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 09-11-2008, 02:44 AM
CM Hall Of Fame Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2003
Location: Las Vegas, NV
Posts: 26,661
Rewards: 158
Quote:
Originally Posted by xxxFTWxxx
minny seems like better game out of the pickem ones imo

lean denver here though

agree 100% bill...looking at things right now and that might be a very nice play
__________________
2008 Cappers Mall Hall Of Fame Inductee


Arms....Chest.....Lift Weights....BOWFLEX!
Reply With Quote
  #9  
Old 09-11-2008, 02:45 AM
the franchise
 
Join Date: Apr 2004
Location: Chicago
Posts: 20,770
Rewards: 821
I think over is the play for minnesota and indy
__________________
"No matter how bad it may get, just keep going, because you only fail when you give up."

2010-11 NBA 4-7-0 (-8.3 units)

2010 NBA Playoffs 8-4-1 (+8.1 units)
Reply With Quote
  #10  
Old 09-11-2008, 02:53 AM
Registered User
 
Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: New York
Posts: 29,820
Rewards: 2,990
i already put in minny +3 -130 and min +9 denver +7.5 teasers for 2*

these should be good plays. ill probably be getting a lot of action from my fades on indy -2.5 so ill have a bunch more minny by sunday im sure
__________________
mlb '12: 321-287 +47.06*
nhl playoffs '12: 45-23 +21.62*
nba playoffs '12: 83-53 +29.06*
Reply With Quote
  #11  
Old 09-11-2008, 09:16 PM
anti-public picks
 
Join Date: Jun 2004
Location: california
Posts: 1,966
Rewards: 730
Line should be sd -6, but your right they only have it at -1.5 partly because denve is at home and because of last weeks results. San diego should be more focused this week against a division rival and playing more desperate. San diego is 4-0 ats and su vs denver the last 3 years. San diego is 10 ats as a road favorite of 3 or less since 1992. Denver only 3-10 ats last 3 years versus division oppenents. I would definitely take san diego!
Reply With Quote
  #12  
Old 09-11-2008, 11:03 PM
Boo Yah
 
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: North Strabane, PA
Posts: 9,219
Rewards: 45
The one big thing that makes me want to take SD is that Oakland's offense really wasn't that bad, even in a blowout. No way is SD's D going to play like Oakland's, which was one of the more pathetic efforts I've seen in years. I think Denver's win looked better than it was.
I had this one at SD -3.5 so hopefully I was right.
Good Luck.
Reply With Quote
  #13  
Old 09-11-2008, 11:27 PM
RiskReward
 
Join Date: Dec 2002
Location: Babylon
Posts: 19,980
Rewards: 2,465
broncos have a few things in their favor imo

-Revenge; from last year not even being able to get in the endzone in either game against the chargers while getting embarrased on defense aswell.

-Confidence might favor the broncos off of a road win where they were sharp in all areas, getting brandon marshal back this week also helps boost their confidence also.

-Chargers off of a devistating last second loss, and loss of merriman on d.


The Chargers should win, they are the better team in nearly every area, but nothing is for sure on the road in a division rivalry like this. Books look like they got 50/50 action comming in so I dont see a trap line, the broncos are improved and the line reflects that. Sunday should be closer then last years matchups, you can bet that much.
Reply With Quote
  #14  
Old 09-11-2008, 11:32 PM
Registered User
 
Join Date: Oct 2002
Posts: 12,211
Rewards: 1,897
one thing that oakland exposed....the broncos run def is pretty bad.

LT gonna run wild
Reply With Quote
  #15  
Old 09-11-2008, 11:53 PM
Registered User
 
Join Date: Apr 2004
Location: Redwood City, CA
Posts: 6,519
Rewards: 775
Didn't see the game, why did the Chargers lose to the Panthers?
Reply With Quote
Reply

Bookmarks

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Trackbacks are On
Pingbacks are On
Refbacks are On



All times are GMT -5. The time now is 03:25 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.7
Copyright ©2000 - 2012, vBulletin Solutions, Inc.