Chris Shultz on Week #5

[Lukester]

1:00 PM Sunday, October 10, 2010:
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Jacksonville @ Buffalo (-1.0) Schultz Picks: Jacksonville

The Bills are allowing an average of 31 points per game and having allowed 473 yards rushing in the last two games. This is probably a field goal game. Jacksonville.



1:00 PM Sunday, October 10, 2010:
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Tampa Bay @ Cincinnati (-7.0) Schultz Picks: Tampa Bay

What is a very odd statistic; when Carson Palmer throws for over 300 yards in his career, the Bengals are 5-0. You would think it would be 9-5. Josh Freeman continues to improve and Tampa Bay is coming off the bye week. Tampa Bay covers.



1:00 PM Sunday, October 10, 2010:
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Atlanta (-3.0) @ Cleveland Schultz Picks: Atlanta

The Falcons are fortunate to be 3-1. A close win over New Orleans and San Francisco dominated early last week. The Browns have been competitive in every game this year. If it was 3 ½, I would take the Browns, but it's not. Atlanta to cover.



1:00 PM Sunday, October 10, 2010:
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St. Louis @ Detroit (-3.0) Schultz Picks: St. Louis

Both teams are better than anticipated but of the two, St. Louis has improved more in a year than Detroit. Even in the two opening losses, they were competitive. Rams.



1:00 PM Sunday, October 10, 2010:
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Kansas City @ Indianapolis (-7.5) Schultz Picks: Indianapolis

The Chiefs have beaten San Diego, at Cleveland and San Francisco and are coming off the bye. The Colts are 2-2 with the two wins over Denver and the New York Giants. In a non-divisional game, at Lucas Oil Stadium, and after a loss? Colts cover 7 ½.



1:00 PM Sunday, October 10, 2010:
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Green Bay (-3.0) @ Washington Schultz Picks: Green Bay

I have to admit; I underestimated the Redskins. They knocked Michael Vick out of the game and played well in Philadelphia. But they have only scored 13 points in the second half of games this season. Letdown after the Eagles game? Green Bay covers the 3.



1:00 PM Sunday, October 10, 2010:
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Chicago (-3.5) @ Carolina Schultz Picks: Carolina

Jay Cutler is still unknown as to starting status after 9 sacks and a concussion in the first half of the Giants game. The Panthers played New Orleans tough, allowing only 16 points to a good passing attacking, but had only 10 first downs. Carolina.



1:00 PM Sunday, October 10, 2010:
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Denver @ Baltimore (-7.0) Schultz Picks: Denver

A bit of a trap game for the Ravens - a tough win over Pittsburgh and New England on the road next week. Kyle Orton is playing extremely well, statistically better than Joe Flacco. Denver.



1:00 PM Sunday, October 10, 2010:
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NY Giants @ Houston (-3.5) Schultz Picks: Houston

I am not sure if the Giants beat Chicago, or Chicago's Jay Cutler beat himself. Brian Cushing will be back at lineback for Houston and he is a difference-maker. Houston covers 3 ½.



4:05 PM Sunday, October 10, 2010:
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New Orleans (-7.5) @ Arizona Schultz Picks: New Orleans

The Cardinals have major problems at quarterback. They are frustrated with Derek Anderson and he may not start. He was sacked six times against San Diego. There are no problems at quarterback for the Saints. Saints covers 7 ½.



4:15 PM Sunday, October 10, 2010:
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San Diego (-5.0) @ Oakland Schultz Picks: San Diego

The Chargers need a good road win and Oakland could be it. Even in the Seattle and Kansas City losses, San Diego dominated statistically. San Diego has won the past 13 against Oakland by an average of 13 points; good enough for me. San Diego covers.



4:15 PM Sunday, October 10, 2010:
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Tennessee @ Dallas (-6.5) Schultz Picks: Dallas

This is when Dallas can make a move. Three of the next four games are at home and coming off the bye week and everyone else in the division is 2-2. Keith Brooking is an excellent leader for the Cowboys. Dallas covers 7.



8:20 PM Sunday, October 10, 2010:
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Philadelphia @ San Francisco (-2.0) Schultz Picks: San Francisco

At 0-4, the 49ers will probably go back to the basics of football and any team that does not have a win after four games is desperate and hungry. Just the fact that Philadelphia is considering Jeff Garcia makes Kevin Cobb look vulnerable. Niners covers.



8:30 PM Monday, October 11, 2010:
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Minnesota @ NY Jets (-4.0) Schultz Picks: NY Jets

I don't think the Jets will be able to run on Minnesota, and I don't think the Vikings will have success on the ground against the Jets. New York will have both Darrelle Revis and Santonio Holmes back; a nice upgrade. Mark Sanchez has 8 touchdowns and 0 receptions. Jets by 7.

[letsdoit]

Lots of good points by Chris Shultz and always interesting. Thanks for sharing Lukester.