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Old 09-24-2017, 01:58 AM
CNOTES53 CNOTES53 is offline
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NFL Week 3 Essentials
September 22, 2017


Not counting the Jags being at "home" in London, there will be at 10 NFL road favorites if the Browns close as the chalk in Indianapolis. Who will follow the Rams' lead in leaving an opposing stadium with a win? Let's get into thought process mode in handicapping Week 3's offerings::

Sunday, Sept. 10

Baltimore (-4/40) vs. Jacksonville:
The Ravens have started off exceptionally well, leading the AFC in fewest points allowed (10) and ranking second behind the Raiders in the entire league with a margin of victory of 17 points per game. The catch is that they've played a Bengals team that has scored nine points through two games and a Browns teams led by rookie DeShone Kizer, who was fighting off a migraine in addition to inexperience. The Jaguars aren't exactly the "Greatest Show on Turf," but by comparison, they'll at least be a step up in class due to the presence of rookie RB Leonard Fournette. He's helped create opportunities for Blake Bortles due to consistently facing eight men in the box, and there's little doubt he'll face more of that from Baltimore. Bortles has been dreadful against the blitz and is facing a defense that has already forced 10 turnovers (8 INTs), but he's had success in London before and will hope to improve enough to remain Jacksonville's starter.

The Ravens are set to ride Buck Allen at running back with starter Terrance West dealing with a leg tissue issue, but will have to succeed without their best offensive player going forward since guard Marshal Yanda (ankle) is out for the year. Baltimore's defensive line could also be without run-stopping DT Brandon Williams, who left last week's game with a foot injury that's kept him from practicing this week, which could be a big boost for Fournette. The Jags have won at Wembley Stadium each of the past two seasons and have seen WR Allen Hurns make big plays both times, earning him the moniker "Mr. London." If Bortles can throw it accurately, we might see the Ravens stuck in their first competitive game.

Cleveland (-1/41) at Indianapolis: The Colts are a home underdog entering Friday, so if the line closes that way, we'll see Baltimore favored for the first time since Week 14 of 2015, when they were favored against the 49ers and won by two touchdowns. This will be the first time Cleveland will be favored on someone else's field since a 2014 loss in Jacksonville, and accoridng to Bookmaker.eu oddsmaker Scott Cooley, Indianapolis currently ranks only ahead of the Jets in their power ratings.

"Obviously the big story is the Browns being road favorites. This is only possible because of Andrew Luck being out. If he were playing, the Colts would be 6-to-7-point chalk. And the sharps like Indy as we’ve moved the line down 1.5 points."

There's not a lot to like on either side as far as I'm concerned. Top corner Vontae Davis is still limited, as are arguably the team's second and third-best defensive backs, safety Darius Butler and CB Quincy Wilson. Center Ryan Kelly is also unlikely to return here, so the offensive line should continue being a trouble spot. The Browns will look to take advantage via an improved-looking defense that could finally include No. 1 pick Myles Garrett, who is finally out of his walking boot and could debut. Kiser should be back from his migraine issue, but won't have WR Corey Coleman available for at least six weeks after breaking his hand. Rashard Higgins was targeted 11 times last week and already has more receptions than he had his entire rookie season, making him a breakout candidate here. If the Browns are going to pull off this win, he and versatile back Duke Johnson will have to help Kiser get comfortable on the road.

Pittsburgh (-7.5/44) at Chicago: The Steelers handled business against the Vikings last week, taking advantage of Case Keenum stepping in on short notice for an injured Sam Bradford. They failed to cover in Week 1 in Cleveland, so the challenge here will be to avoid allowing an inferior team to hang around regardless of the venue. It's likely that relentless DE Stephon Tuitt will return from a bicep injury, joining the disruptive Cam Heyward up front in potentially wreaking havoc.

Chicago's offensive line is filled with question marks with Josh Sitton nursing a rib injury and not practicing all week entering Friday. Backup Tom Compton is questionable with a hip injury, but guard Kyle Long should get in there for the first time. They may not be blocking for top RB Jordan Howard, who left last week's loss with his shoulder in a sling. Rookie Tarik Cohen could play a major role here as a result. The Bears will have Markus Wheaton (finger) on board against his former team, while CB Prince Amukamara is also set to make his season debut, overcoming an ankle sprain. After nearly knocking off the Falcons at home in Week 1, the Bears hope Mike Glennon will have a chance to engineer another upset bid to keep the fan base from continuing to clamor for No. 2 pick Mitch Trubisky, who they rightfully don't want to expose behind an o-line that isn't nearly as cohesive as they'll be a month from now.

Miami (-6/43) at N.Y. Jets:
Only the Colts have dropped to 0-2 more soundly than the Jets, which is partially by design since they're shooting for potential franchise QB Sam Darnold and have assembled a roster capable of losing them all in order to secure the services of USC's passer. An offense filled mostly with no-names that is being run by veteran Josh McCown has moved it some, but now adds the pressure of playing in front of a fan base sure to turn on this group since booing is therapeutic. The Dolphins have won four of five at Met Life Stadium, winning three of the games by 20 or more points.

Jay Cutler was saved from suffering a loss in his debut with the 'Phins by a missed field goal from San Diego's Younghoe Koo, and looked himself, making some unbelievable throws while mixing in some brutal ones. Both RB Jay Ajayi and WR Jarvis Landry will be in the mix alongside him, so we'll see how he fares against a Jets defense that gave up six touchdowns in Oakland last weekend. Standout defensive linemen Muhammad Wilkerson and Leonard Williams enter this one at less than 100 percent.

Denver (-3/40) at Buffalo: Earlier this week, Bookmaker.eu's Toomey stated that his outfit had the most liability on the Broncos due to smart and square money aligning with more than 85 percent of the handle on the road favorite. Although they're off to a perfect start after wins against the Chargers and Cowboys, this will be the first trip to the East coast that they're forced to take. They've fared well on the road over the past few seasons and have executed well under first-year head coach Vance Joseph, looking quite effective in all three phases.

The Bills won their home opener in New York and had a chance to defeat the Panthers in a 9-3 loss in Charlotte, so we'll be able to see how competitive they can truly be over the next few weeks since this contest is followed by a visit to Atlanta. Tackle Cordy Glenn appeared in practice on Thursday after leaving the Carolina loss with an ankle injury, but if he's unable to play, rookie Dion Dawkins would have to start with Seantrel Henderson suspended another month. Buffalo's defensive line is also ailing, with Marcell Dareus' status chief among those up in the air.

Houston at New England (-14/44):
Bill Belichick has had no mercy in trouncing former assistant Bill O'Brien in their three meetings as head coaches. In fairness, he's had Tom Brady while the Texans have had Brock Osweiler and Brian Hoyer, but the combined margin in the wins is 88-22. We'll see if Desean Watson has any more luck than his predecessors, but Belichick is 16-5 against rookies since taking over the Pats. Still, he's lost to Mark Sanchez, Geno Smith and Colt McCoy, so nothing is impossible, especially with Watson's mobility an asset.

Rob Gronkowski (groin) and Danny Amendola (limited) should be available to help Tom Brady move it against a stout Texans defense, but left tackle Marcus Cannon and RB Rex Burkhead are question marks. Linebacker Dont'a Hightower is likely to return to bolster a defense that has left much to be desired through two weeks and needs to show out here to inspire any confidence that they'll be able to get it together. Houston has injuries on the offensive line, at receiver and tight end, in the defensive backfield and through suspended linebacker Brian Cushing, so the timing of playing the defending champs in their house isn't ideal. They do have J.J. Watt in place despite a finger injury, and missed him in the AFC Divisional playoff loss back in mid-January.

New Orleans at Carolina (-6/47):
Cam Newton has been limited in practice this week after getting beat up by the Buffalo defense, which doesn't bode well for him improving on the accuracy that has eluded him. He'll play, but has to find a way to move the ball through the air without his security blanket since TE Greg Olson (foot) has been lost for the season.

Top WR Kelvin Benjamin is expected to play despite an ugly-looking knee injury, but only practiced late in the week, so don't expect an offense that produced a 9-point outing at home to be significantly more productive, even though they're facing a Saints team that has surrendered an average of 32.5 points in getting lit up by Bradford and Brady. Drew Brees is working behind a depleted offensive line missing tackles Zach Strief (knee) and Terron Armstead (shoulder). The Panthers' defense could have a field day and make life much easier for Cam and Co.

Tampa Bay (-2.5/39.5) at Minnesota:
Sam Bradford (knee) felt he couldn't do what he needed to do last Sunday and was ruled out on Friday. Between injections and treatment, he was thought to have a shot at playing, but books took the game off the board until a clear decision was made. Given how they treated Keenum's insertion last week, moving the line another three points, it's no surprise that the Bucs are now favored in Minneapolis. Keenum does get the benefit of more snaps in practice and a better frame of mind since he'll be the man under center, so he should be better prepared than he was in Pittsburgh. That may only go so far.

Tampa's defense took control in last week's win over Chicago, forcing turnovers and blanking the Bears into the fourth quarter. Offensively, Jameis Winston will have to be cautious against a defense that makes a living of taking advantage of miscues and comes in healthy. Key Tampa Bay defenders Gerald McCoy, Kwon Alexander, Chris Baker and Jacquies Smith all suffered through issues that kept them out of practice. A flu bug went through the team's facilities.

Atlanta (-3/50) at Detroit: This is the sole matchup featuring undefeated teams, and since Carolina is the only other NFC team with them in that boat, the winner here will get a nice leg up in the conference race. The Falcons barely survived in Chicago and dominated a Green Bay team missing a lot of key personnel, so this will be a good test on the road. Atlanta's loaded offense will need to push tempo since defensive leader Vic Beasley has been sidelined for a few weeks by a hamstring injury.

The Lions lost impressive rookie LB Jarrod Davis to a concussion and may also be without center Travis Swanson, which would hurt an already vulnerable offensive line. Matthew Stafford has done a great job using his legs and spreading the ball around to produce this 2-0 start, so watching him try to keep Matt Ryan from leaving his house with another win makes this one a must-watch. Both QBs are top-3 picks who have met three times but haven't squared off since 2014, when Detroit snapped a three-game losing streak in the series by edging the Falcons 22-21. Ryan won the first two meetings by a combined margin of 54-34. The under has hit in each of their clashes.

N.Y. Giants at Philadelphia (-6/43): Although both of these NFC rivals play in unforgiving locales, one city was far happier with their football team than the other following Week 2 losses. The sky was falling, perhaps rightfully, following the Giants' brutal loss to the Lions due to a horrible showing from the offensive line, a defense that doesn't look as imposing as was expected and brutal play-calling. It might be best that Ben McAdoo's team gets to play this one on the road, where Eagles Doug Pederson is looking forward to seeing his team play with a homefield edge for the first time this season. The Chiefs held off Philly last weekend in a game that was up for grabs in the fourth quarter, so the Eagles are encouraged that this can be a big year since the rest of the division is off to a shaky start. While there are major issues in the secondary that have been compounded by injuries and they've yet to establish a running game, veteran receivers Alshon Jeffery and Torrey Smith can help Carson Wentz take another step forward.

New York has to hope Odell Beckham, Jr. getting healthier will do the same for Eli Manning, since the Giants have allowed eight sacks this season, tied for third-most in the NFL. New York has scored fewer than 20 points in each of the last eight games and rank last in the NFC in averaging 6.5 this season, an oft-recited stat that had McAdoo not ruling out surrendering play-calling duties to OC Mike Sullivan. Orleans Darkwa could get more carries in place of the ineffective Paul Perkins. Defensively, they'll be without MLB B.J. Goodson, so undrafted rookie Calvin Munson, should start. The Giants have lost six of eight in Philadelphia but are treating this one as if their season is on the line.

Seattle at Tennessee (-2.5/42): The Seahawks hope to avoid an 0-2 start on the road as an underdog against the Titans. There were a few eyebrows raised when this spread was released, but the offensive line issues that have derailed a few other teams have held Seattle back substantially.

The Titans are capable on both sides of the ball and have the personnel to continue making things difficult for Russell Wilson, who has led one touchdown drive while running for his life and buying his receivers time in the face of immediate pressure. Jimmy Graham missed practice time and is operating at less than 100 percent, so count on a defense that Richard Sherman already says knows it has to carry the brunt of the burden if the Seahawks are going to be successful to fly around in looking to muzzle Marcus Mariota.

The fact both teams, favored to win their respective divisions, come in 1-1, makes this perhaps Week 3's most compelling game. DeMarco Murray has been nursing a hamstring injury, but former Heisman Trophy winner Derrick Henry has really stepped his game up for Tennessee, who will be without safety Jonathan Cyprien and rookie WR Corey Davis due to hamstring injuries.

Kansas City (-3/47) at L.A. Chargers:
New head coach Anthony Lynn might be 2-0 in the alternate universe where he picked a different kicker, but Koo's inability to come through in the clutch has cost the Chargers a chance to get off to a good start in their new digs. Their L.A. debut at the StubHub Center didn't offer encouraging signs that they'll be able to have any homefield advantage in place, which bodes well for a Chiefs team that has won six straight in the series.

L.A. is expected to have Melvin Gordon (knee) in the lineup despite him being limited in practice on Thursday and should have it's offensive line intact, which is good news for Philip Rivers as he looks to take advantage of an Eric Berry-less Kansas City secondary that had some communication issues against the Eagles last Sunday. Alex Smith will benefit from not having to deal with Jason Verrett, an excellent corner who has been ruled out with a knee injury. Smith is completing nearly 80 percent of his passes and has thrown five TD passes without being picked. Since joining the Chiefs, he's got a 16-to-1 TD-to-INT ration in AFC West road games, a huge reason why his team is 7-1 SU and ATS on the road against the division since '14.

Cincinnati at Green Bay (-9/46):
The Bengals have been the biggest culprit in delivering unwatchable offense, averaging a league-worst 4.5 points. Worst of all, Cincinnati has actually been favored in both losses, so it hits the road as nearly a double-digit underdog as veteran Bill Lazor takes over the play-calling for the fired Ken Zampese. Expect him to call for short throws to backs to try and get Andy Dalton into the rhythm that's eluded him thus far.

The Packers will be without key LB Nick Perry and continue to be banged up along the offensive line, which really hindered Rodgers and the offense in Atlanta. Jordy Nelson will play, but there's a chance Randall Cobb won't be able to participate, so there's definitely an argument that the Packers are laying too many points here since they could be missing quite a few key pieces. Cincinnati LB Vontaze Burfict will be serving the third and final game of his suspension, while tight end Tyler Eifert (back) will miss another game. Green Bay hasn't beaten the Bengals since 1998, losing three straight.

Oakland (-3/55) at Washington:
The Raiders lead the NFL in points per game and get a Sunday night stage to strut their stuff on, but they'll be facing a talented 'Skins defense that will count on Josh Norman continuing his strong start in an effort to try and slow down a prolific offense. Derek Carr is spreading the wealth and getting rid of the football faster than anyone in the league, per Pro Football Focus, so he's picked up where he left off pre-injury by completing 75 percent of his passes with 5 TDs and no picks.

Counterpart Kirk Cousins has struggled against secondaries other teams have lit up, so he's already under pressure to perform and may have to face a defensive backfield that would include projected starting corners Sean Smith (neck) and rookie first-round pick Gareon Conley for the first time. Tight end and key red zone target Jordan Reed (shoulder) is also expected to play, so this one has a good chance of being entertaining.

The Raiders won their last trip to FedEx Field back in 2005 and went 2-0 on the road against NFC foes last year after going 0-2 in Jack Del Rio's first season.

Monday, Sept. 25

Dallas (-3/47) at Arizona
: If nothing else, we'll get to publicly flog the loser of this game since they'll be under .500 and will therefore be underachieving. Dak Prescott comes off a game where he threw 20 incompletions and two interceptions, while Carson Palmer has looked washed, leading the league with four picks. With David Johnson and John Brown out and J.J. Nelson landing on the injury report with a hamstring issue, the Cardinals could have an uphill climb getting right considering they'll also be missing guard Mike Iupati up front. The Cowboys are a road favorite in spite of what transpired in last week's debacle in Denver and will face another solid front in Arizona. Ezekiel Elliott will be in the lineup again with his suspension still on hold, but he comes off being held under 10 yards in a game for the first time in his life.

Both teams are under pressure to show some heart and play with more passion than they did in Week 2. Dallas head coach Jason Garrett has been under fire for his team's performance and hasn't been a part of a Cowboy win over the Carinals since he was still playing back in the late 90's. Arizona has won each of the four meetings over the last decade, winning the last one at home back in '14. The Cardinals are making their home debut and will be an underdog in Glendale for the first time since Dec. 2014.
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  #152  
Old 09-24-2017, 01:58 AM
CNOTES53 CNOTES53 is offline
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NFL Week 3 Essentials
September 22, 2017


Not counting the Jags being at "home" in London, there will be at 10 NFL road favorites if the Browns close as the chalk in Indianapolis. Who will follow the Rams' lead in leaving an opposing stadium with a win? Let's get into thought process mode in handicapping Week 3's offerings::

Sunday, Sept. 10

Baltimore (-4/40) vs. Jacksonville:
The Ravens have started off exceptionally well, leading the AFC in fewest points allowed (10) and ranking second behind the Raiders in the entire league with a margin of victory of 17 points per game. The catch is that they've played a Bengals team that has scored nine points through two games and a Browns teams led by rookie DeShone Kizer, who was fighting off a migraine in addition to inexperience. The Jaguars aren't exactly the "Greatest Show on Turf," but by comparison, they'll at least be a step up in class due to the presence of rookie RB Leonard Fournette. He's helped create opportunities for Blake Bortles due to consistently facing eight men in the box, and there's little doubt he'll face more of that from Baltimore. Bortles has been dreadful against the blitz and is facing a defense that has already forced 10 turnovers (8 INTs), but he's had success in London before and will hope to improve enough to remain Jacksonville's starter.

The Ravens are set to ride Buck Allen at running back with starter Terrance West dealing with a leg tissue issue, but will have to succeed without their best offensive player going forward since guard Marshal Yanda (ankle) is out for the year. Baltimore's defensive line could also be without run-stopping DT Brandon Williams, who left last week's game with a foot injury that's kept him from practicing this week, which could be a big boost for Fournette. The Jags have won at Wembley Stadium each of the past two seasons and have seen WR Allen Hurns make big plays both times, earning him the moniker "Mr. London." If Bortles can throw it accurately, we might see the Ravens stuck in their first competitive game.

Cleveland (-1/41) at Indianapolis: The Colts are a home underdog entering Friday, so if the line closes that way, we'll see Baltimore favored for the first time since Week 14 of 2015, when they were favored against the 49ers and won by two touchdowns. This will be the first time Cleveland will be favored on someone else's field since a 2014 loss in Jacksonville, and accoridng to Bookmaker.eu oddsmaker Scott Cooley, Indianapolis currently ranks only ahead of the Jets in their power ratings.

"Obviously the big story is the Browns being road favorites. This is only possible because of Andrew Luck being out. If he were playing, the Colts would be 6-to-7-point chalk. And the sharps like Indy as we’ve moved the line down 1.5 points."

There's not a lot to like on either side as far as I'm concerned. Top corner Vontae Davis is still limited, as are arguably the team's second and third-best defensive backs, safety Darius Butler and CB Quincy Wilson. Center Ryan Kelly is also unlikely to return here, so the offensive line should continue being a trouble spot. The Browns will look to take advantage via an improved-looking defense that could finally include No. 1 pick Myles Garrett, who is finally out of his walking boot and could debut. Kiser should be back from his migraine issue, but won't have WR Corey Coleman available for at least six weeks after breaking his hand. Rashard Higgins was targeted 11 times last week and already has more receptions than he had his entire rookie season, making him a breakout candidate here. If the Browns are going to pull off this win, he and versatile back Duke Johnson will have to help Kiser get comfortable on the road.

Pittsburgh (-7.5/44) at Chicago: The Steelers handled business against the Vikings last week, taking advantage of Case Keenum stepping in on short notice for an injured Sam Bradford. They failed to cover in Week 1 in Cleveland, so the challenge here will be to avoid allowing an inferior team to hang around regardless of the venue. It's likely that relentless DE Stephon Tuitt will return from a bicep injury, joining the disruptive Cam Heyward up front in potentially wreaking havoc.

Chicago's offensive line is filled with question marks with Josh Sitton nursing a rib injury and not practicing all week entering Friday. Backup Tom Compton is questionable with a hip injury, but guard Kyle Long should get in there for the first time. They may not be blocking for top RB Jordan Howard, who left last week's loss with his shoulder in a sling. Rookie Tarik Cohen could play a major role here as a result. The Bears will have Markus Wheaton (finger) on board against his former team, while CB Prince Amukamara is also set to make his season debut, overcoming an ankle sprain. After nearly knocking off the Falcons at home in Week 1, the Bears hope Mike Glennon will have a chance to engineer another upset bid to keep the fan base from continuing to clamor for No. 2 pick Mitch Trubisky, who they rightfully don't want to expose behind an o-line that isn't nearly as cohesive as they'll be a month from now.

Miami (-6/43) at N.Y. Jets:
Only the Colts have dropped to 0-2 more soundly than the Jets, which is partially by design since they're shooting for potential franchise QB Sam Darnold and have assembled a roster capable of losing them all in order to secure the services of USC's passer. An offense filled mostly with no-names that is being run by veteran Josh McCown has moved it some, but now adds the pressure of playing in front of a fan base sure to turn on this group since booing is therapeutic. The Dolphins have won four of five at Met Life Stadium, winning three of the games by 20 or more points.

Jay Cutler was saved from suffering a loss in his debut with the 'Phins by a missed field goal from San Diego's Younghoe Koo, and looked himself, making some unbelievable throws while mixing in some brutal ones. Both RB Jay Ajayi and WR Jarvis Landry will be in the mix alongside him, so we'll see how he fares against a Jets defense that gave up six touchdowns in Oakland last weekend. Standout defensive linemen Muhammad Wilkerson and Leonard Williams enter this one at less than 100 percent.

Denver (-3/40) at Buffalo: Earlier this week, Bookmaker.eu's Toomey stated that his outfit had the most liability on the Broncos due to smart and square money aligning with more than 85 percent of the handle on the road favorite. Although they're off to a perfect start after wins against the Chargers and Cowboys, this will be the first trip to the East coast that they're forced to take. They've fared well on the road over the past few seasons and have executed well under first-year head coach Vance Joseph, looking quite effective in all three phases.

The Bills won their home opener in New York and had a chance to defeat the Panthers in a 9-3 loss in Charlotte, so we'll be able to see how competitive they can truly be over the next few weeks since this contest is followed by a visit to Atlanta. Tackle Cordy Glenn appeared in practice on Thursday after leaving the Carolina loss with an ankle injury, but if he's unable to play, rookie Dion Dawkins would have to start with Seantrel Henderson suspended another month. Buffalo's defensive line is also ailing, with Marcell Dareus' status chief among those up in the air.

Houston at New England (-14/44):
Bill Belichick has had no mercy in trouncing former assistant Bill O'Brien in their three meetings as head coaches. In fairness, he's had Tom Brady while the Texans have had Brock Osweiler and Brian Hoyer, but the combined margin in the wins is 88-22. We'll see if Desean Watson has any more luck than his predecessors, but Belichick is 16-5 against rookies since taking over the Pats. Still, he's lost to Mark Sanchez, Geno Smith and Colt McCoy, so nothing is impossible, especially with Watson's mobility an asset.

Rob Gronkowski (groin) and Danny Amendola (limited) should be available to help Tom Brady move it against a stout Texans defense, but left tackle Marcus Cannon and RB Rex Burkhead are question marks. Linebacker Dont'a Hightower is likely to return to bolster a defense that has left much to be desired through two weeks and needs to show out here to inspire any confidence that they'll be able to get it together. Houston has injuries on the offensive line, at receiver and tight end, in the defensive backfield and through suspended linebacker Brian Cushing, so the timing of playing the defending champs in their house isn't ideal. They do have J.J. Watt in place despite a finger injury, and missed him in the AFC Divisional playoff loss back in mid-January.

New Orleans at Carolina (-6/47):
Cam Newton has been limited in practice this week after getting beat up by the Buffalo defense, which doesn't bode well for him improving on the accuracy that has eluded him. He'll play, but has to find a way to move the ball through the air without his security blanket since TE Greg Olson (foot) has been lost for the season.

Top WR Kelvin Benjamin is expected to play despite an ugly-looking knee injury, but only practiced late in the week, so don't expect an offense that produced a 9-point outing at home to be significantly more productive, even though they're facing a Saints team that has surrendered an average of 32.5 points in getting lit up by Bradford and Brady. Drew Brees is working behind a depleted offensive line missing tackles Zach Strief (knee) and Terron Armstead (shoulder). The Panthers' defense could have a field day and make life much easier for Cam and Co.

Tampa Bay (-2.5/39.5) at Minnesota:
Sam Bradford (knee) felt he couldn't do what he needed to do last Sunday and was ruled out on Friday. Between injections and treatment, he was thought to have a shot at playing, but books took the game off the board until a clear decision was made. Given how they treated Keenum's insertion last week, moving the line another three points, it's no surprise that the Bucs are now favored in Minneapolis. Keenum does get the benefit of more snaps in practice and a better frame of mind since he'll be the man under center, so he should be better prepared than he was in Pittsburgh. That may only go so far.

Tampa's defense took control in last week's win over Chicago, forcing turnovers and blanking the Bears into the fourth quarter. Offensively, Jameis Winston will have to be cautious against a defense that makes a living of taking advantage of miscues and comes in healthy. Key Tampa Bay defenders Gerald McCoy, Kwon Alexander, Chris Baker and Jacquies Smith all suffered through issues that kept them out of practice. A flu bug went through the team's facilities.

Atlanta (-3/50) at Detroit: This is the sole matchup featuring undefeated teams, and since Carolina is the only other NFC team with them in that boat, the winner here will get a nice leg up in the conference race. The Falcons barely survived in Chicago and dominated a Green Bay team missing a lot of key personnel, so this will be a good test on the road. Atlanta's loaded offense will need to push tempo since defensive leader Vic Beasley has been sidelined for a few weeks by a hamstring injury.

The Lions lost impressive rookie LB Jarrod Davis to a concussion and may also be without center Travis Swanson, which would hurt an already vulnerable offensive line. Matthew Stafford has done a great job using his legs and spreading the ball around to produce this 2-0 start, so watching him try to keep Matt Ryan from leaving his house with another win makes this one a must-watch. Both QBs are top-3 picks who have met three times but haven't squared off since 2014, when Detroit snapped a three-game losing streak in the series by edging the Falcons 22-21. Ryan won the first two meetings by a combined margin of 54-34. The under has hit in each of their clashes.

N.Y. Giants at Philadelphia (-6/43): Although both of these NFC rivals play in unforgiving locales, one city was far happier with their football team than the other following Week 2 losses. The sky was falling, perhaps rightfully, following the Giants' brutal loss to the Lions due to a horrible showing from the offensive line, a defense that doesn't look as imposing as was expected and brutal play-calling. It might be best that Ben McAdoo's team gets to play this one on the road, where Eagles Doug Pederson is looking forward to seeing his team play with a homefield edge for the first time this season. The Chiefs held off Philly last weekend in a game that was up for grabs in the fourth quarter, so the Eagles are encouraged that this can be a big year since the rest of the division is off to a shaky start. While there are major issues in the secondary that have been compounded by injuries and they've yet to establish a running game, veteran receivers Alshon Jeffery and Torrey Smith can help Carson Wentz take another step forward.

New York has to hope Odell Beckham, Jr. getting healthier will do the same for Eli Manning, since the Giants have allowed eight sacks this season, tied for third-most in the NFL. New York has scored fewer than 20 points in each of the last eight games and rank last in the NFC in averaging 6.5 this season, an oft-recited stat that had McAdoo not ruling out surrendering play-calling duties to OC Mike Sullivan. Orleans Darkwa could get more carries in place of the ineffective Paul Perkins. Defensively, they'll be without MLB B.J. Goodson, so undrafted rookie Calvin Munson, should start. The Giants have lost six of eight in Philadelphia but are treating this one as if their season is on the line.

Seattle at Tennessee (-2.5/42): The Seahawks hope to avoid an 0-2 start on the road as an underdog against the Titans. There were a few eyebrows raised when this spread was released, but the offensive line issues that have derailed a few other teams have held Seattle back substantially.

The Titans are capable on both sides of the ball and have the personnel to continue making things difficult for Russell Wilson, who has led one touchdown drive while running for his life and buying his receivers time in the face of immediate pressure. Jimmy Graham missed practice time and is operating at less than 100 percent, so count on a defense that Richard Sherman already says knows it has to carry the brunt of the burden if the Seahawks are going to be successful to fly around in looking to muzzle Marcus Mariota.

The fact both teams, favored to win their respective divisions, come in 1-1, makes this perhaps Week 3's most compelling game. DeMarco Murray has been nursing a hamstring injury, but former Heisman Trophy winner Derrick Henry has really stepped his game up for Tennessee, who will be without safety Jonathan Cyprien and rookie WR Corey Davis due to hamstring injuries.

Kansas City (-3/47) at L.A. Chargers:
New head coach Anthony Lynn might be 2-0 in the alternate universe where he picked a different kicker, but Koo's inability to come through in the clutch has cost the Chargers a chance to get off to a good start in their new digs. Their L.A. debut at the StubHub Center didn't offer encouraging signs that they'll be able to have any homefield advantage in place, which bodes well for a Chiefs team that has won six straight in the series.

L.A. is expected to have Melvin Gordon (knee) in the lineup despite him being limited in practice on Thursday and should have it's offensive line intact, which is good news for Philip Rivers as he looks to take advantage of an Eric Berry-less Kansas City secondary that had some communication issues against the Eagles last Sunday. Alex Smith will benefit from not having to deal with Jason Verrett, an excellent corner who has been ruled out with a knee injury. Smith is completing nearly 80 percent of his passes and has thrown five TD passes without being picked. Since joining the Chiefs, he's got a 16-to-1 TD-to-INT ration in AFC West road games, a huge reason why his team is 7-1 SU and ATS on the road against the division since '14.

Cincinnati at Green Bay (-9/46):
The Bengals have been the biggest culprit in delivering unwatchable offense, averaging a league-worst 4.5 points. Worst of all, Cincinnati has actually been favored in both losses, so it hits the road as nearly a double-digit underdog as veteran Bill Lazor takes over the play-calling for the fired Ken Zampese. Expect him to call for short throws to backs to try and get Andy Dalton into the rhythm that's eluded him thus far.

The Packers will be without key LB Nick Perry and continue to be banged up along the offensive line, which really hindered Rodgers and the offense in Atlanta. Jordy Nelson will play, but there's a chance Randall Cobb won't be able to participate, so there's definitely an argument that the Packers are laying too many points here since they could be missing quite a few key pieces. Cincinnati LB Vontaze Burfict will be serving the third and final game of his suspension, while tight end Tyler Eifert (back) will miss another game. Green Bay hasn't beaten the Bengals since 1998, losing three straight.

Oakland (-3/55) at Washington:
The Raiders lead the NFL in points per game and get a Sunday night stage to strut their stuff on, but they'll be facing a talented 'Skins defense that will count on Josh Norman continuing his strong start in an effort to try and slow down a prolific offense. Derek Carr is spreading the wealth and getting rid of the football faster than anyone in the league, per Pro Football Focus, so he's picked up where he left off pre-injury by completing 75 percent of his passes with 5 TDs and no picks.

Counterpart Kirk Cousins has struggled against secondaries other teams have lit up, so he's already under pressure to perform and may have to face a defensive backfield that would include projected starting corners Sean Smith (neck) and rookie first-round pick Gareon Conley for the first time. Tight end and key red zone target Jordan Reed (shoulder) is also expected to play, so this one has a good chance of being entertaining.

The Raiders won their last trip to FedEx Field back in 2005 and went 2-0 on the road against NFC foes last year after going 0-2 in Jack Del Rio's first season.

Monday, Sept. 25

Dallas (-3/47) at Arizona
: If nothing else, we'll get to publicly flog the loser of this game since they'll be under .500 and will therefore be underachieving. Dak Prescott comes off a game where he threw 20 incompletions and two interceptions, while Carson Palmer has looked washed, leading the league with four picks. With David Johnson and John Brown out and J.J. Nelson landing on the injury report with a hamstring issue, the Cardinals could have an uphill climb getting right considering they'll also be missing guard Mike Iupati up front. The Cowboys are a road favorite in spite of what transpired in last week's debacle in Denver and will face another solid front in Arizona. Ezekiel Elliott will be in the lineup again with his suspension still on hold, but he comes off being held under 10 yards in a game for the first time in his life.

Both teams are under pressure to show some heart and play with more passion than they did in Week 2. Dallas head coach Jason Garrett has been under fire for his team's performance and hasn't been a part of a Cowboy win over the Carinals since he was still playing back in the late 90's. Arizona has won each of the four meetings over the last decade, winning the last one at home back in '14. The Cardinals are making their home debut and will be an underdog in Glendale for the first time since Dec. 2014.
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Best Bets - Week 3 Totals
September 21, 2017



NFL Week 3 Best Bets – Totals


'Unders' continue to rule the day in the NFL this year as bettors saw totals go 6-9-1 O/U on closing lines a week ago, after Week 1 sported a 5-10 O/U record. That's quite the nice little profit you've got in your bankroll had you bet every single game 'under' the first two weeks, but runs like that tend to revert back to the mean eventually.

Whether that starts to happen in Week 3 or not remains to be seen, as there are plenty of teams out there dealing with suspect play offensively – for a variety of reasons – and some tremendous looking defenses out there to combat them. I'm looking for a few teams to start going 'over' the number as Week 3 will be the start of things starting to correct themselves.

So with that out of the way, let's get right to Week 3's Best Bets on Totals and try to cash a ticket or two:

Odds per - Bookmaker.eu

Best Bet #1: Pittsburgh/Chicago Over 44


Both Pittsburgh and Chicago have been perfect to the 'under' so far this season (each 0-2 O/U) and the majority of bettors are expecting that to stay in tact this week. VegasInsider.com shows about 90% of the action on this total coming in on the 'under' as bettors don't want to trust a shaky Bears offense to score on a great Steelers defense, don't fully trust the Steelers offense to be close to hitting their stride, or a combination of both. When Chicago scored a single TD during garbage time of a 29-7 defeat last week, and Pittsburgh allowed just a single TD a week ago, you can understand the line of thought many are taking with that 'under' action.

However, this is one of those AFC/NFC games that I've spoken about before that have a tendency to sail 'over' the number, and last week's 'under' result vs Minnesota was the first time in seven tries against NFC North foes that the Steelers have cashed an 'under' ticket. Pittsburgh's offense is too good not to get it going against a Bears defense that has struggled to keep opponents out of the endzone so far in 2017, allowing 2.5 TD's per game so far. The Steelers defense should also be able to give themselves a short field at least once with Chicago's propensity to turn the ball over, and that's always a plus for an 'over' ticket.

We will need Chicago to score some points themselves though, and thankfully they are at home. This offensive attack looked much better at home in Week 1 then it did in Week 2 on the road, and I do expect Chicago to reach paydirt multiple times. After all, QB Mike Glennon appears to be already fighting for his starting position on the Bears, and like we saw with Alex Smith (Kansas City) in Week 1, when your job may be in question, going ultra-aggressive as an underdog with nothing to lose is a way to actually find success.

Remember, Pittsburgh's defense may have looked great so far, but we've got to remember who they've faced. A Cleveland team with a rookie QB making his first NFL start in Week 1, and journeyman QB Case Keenum in Week 2. Admittedly, Chicago isn't much better on paper, but the Bears will come into this game with the mindset that they'll have to take chances down the field to have a shot at winning.

With everyone expecting a low-scoring game here, it may be wise to wait on this total to go down even further, but the Pittsburgh Steelers aren't going to be a great 'under' team for long in 2017 with the weapons they've got on offense, and the way the masses have already flocked to this 'under,' this game sets up well to actually threaten 50+ points.

Best Bet #1: NY Giants/Philadelphia Over 42.5


Aside from the Bengals, and possibly the 49ers, there is no offense in the league that's looked as bad as the New York Giants have through two weeks and both games were in front of a primetime, national audience. Many bettors tend to heavily weigh what they've seen last, and what they last saw from the Giants was a lot of dropped passes, zero running game, and an inability to move the chains if they were spotted four yards on each 1st down. Because of all that, this game is seeing 90%+ action on the 'under' like the game discussed earlier.

Yet, for how bad the Giants have looked, there are some positives one can take away from their performances. For one, things can't really get any worse for this offense, and the receivers will start to haul in the passes thrown their way. Getting Odell Beckham back in some capacity a week ago was a step forward for this team, and they are up against an Eagles team that has given up 23 points/game already this year.

Four of their last five games with the Eagles have gone 'over' the respective total, and New York can ill-afford to go to 0-3 SU, and more importantly 0-2 SU within division games. To snap that funk, the offense is going to have to start pulling their weight.

Philly has put up 25 points/game so far through two weeks and they've got an 8-2 O/U run going against division rivals entering this contest. The Eagles are also a great 'over' bet after failing to cover a spread (28-11 O/U last 39 games after losing ATS), and a 21-6 O/U run against teams with a losing record suggests points will be scored here.

With everyone and there friends pounding this 'under' the way they have (and will) after seeing what the Giants have done offensively through two weeks, I've got no problem being all by my lonesome on this 'over.' Familiarity with an opponent may just be what New York needs to get their 2017 season kick-started, and at this 42.5 number, even something that's perceived as a lower-scoring game like a tight 23-20 score cashes this ticket.
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Best Bets - Week 3 Sides
September 21, 2017


NFL Week 3 Best Bets – Sides

NFL Week 3 Best Bets – Sides Week 2's Best Bets brought a big goose egg as the Eagles let their game against KC get away late to miss out on the cover at +5.5, and the Chargers struggled with finding the endzone all day against Miami and ended up losing SU on a missed FG as time expired. Winless weeks are never good in this business, and with the BetOnline.ag Best Bets now sporting a 1-3 ATS record after two weeks, it's time to get this back to the .500 mark this week.

Odds per - BetOnline.ag

Best Bet #1: Pittsburgh Steelers -7

After Pittsburgh had a rocky outing Week 1 in Cleveland, and Chicago nearly upset the defending NFC Champ Atlanta Falcons that same week, the Steelers and Bears started to show more of their true colors in Week 2.

Pittsburgh dominated Minnesota from start to finish (albeit without Sam Bradford), as the Steelers offense looks like a Pittsburgh D of old and holds down the fort while their explosive offense gets things in order. Meanwhile, Chicago was blown out from start to finish by Tampa Bay, as it was an ugly performance all around for the Bears who are already considering putting in rookie QB Mitch Trubisky if things continue along this path.

Sadly for Bears fans, it's likely that the rest of the 2017 season continues to bring plenty of losses and although they are at home again – where they scared on an Atlanta team that took them lightly in Week 1 – Pittsburgh should come into town and steamroll this overmatched Chicago squad.

The Steelers are 2-0 SU (1-1 ATS) with their offense yet to find their stride. RB Le'Veon Bell has had two weeks now to shake off the rust from missing all of preseason, and QB Ben Roethlisberger has yet to have a game where all of his receiving weapons are making significant contributions. That's not likely to last much longer, and that's got to be a scary feeling for the rest of the teams in the AFC.

Pittsburgh is also on a 6-1-1 ATS run after winning a game by 14+ points, and 4-0 ATS after allowing 14 points or less. No matter who starts at QB for Chicago, chances are they have a rough time even trying to get to 14 points against this Pittsburgh defense.

Finally, the Steelers aren't going to get lulled to sleep with a potential trap game here and take the Bears lightly. Pittsburgh made that mistake themselves in Week 1 against Cleveland, and there is no doubt that they've been watching game film all week of Atlanta doing that Week 1 against Chicago.

Chicago is on a 5-10 ATS run as home dogs against teams that are better than .500 on the year, and with a TNF game on tap against the Packers, this week's situation becomes even more dire. No team has yet to cover a spread this year prior to playing on TNF (0-4 ATS) and the Bears keep that trend alive this week with a double digit loss.

Best Bet #1: Buffalo Bills +3

Buffalo is another team yet to fully find their stride in 2017 as they struggled to beat a very bad Jets team in Week 1, and lost 9-3 in Carolina a week ago. Yet, the Bills are still 2-0 ATS this year and for all the offensive concerns they've had, their defense has held both opponents they've faced to 12 points or less.

That unit will be up against another great defense in Denver, but this is the Broncos first road game of the year and bettors shouldn't expect the Trevor Siemian-led offense to bring the same type of tenacity on the road as they've shown in their first two home games. In a year full of 'unders' in terms of totals results, the Broncos are 2-0 O/U thanks to their offense, and I believe that unit gets hit with a cold dose of reality this Sunday in Buffalo.

Buffalo's offense has spent all week in the meeting room scheming up ways to get some big plays this week (they didn't have a play bigger than 15 yards last week), and that aggressive mindset should serve them well. Denver's defense may be good, but we saw Philip Rivers have a solid day against them in Week 1, and if QB Tyrod Taylor can use his mobility to his advantage and keep the Broncos off balance in terms of the run and the pass, the Bills could actually light up the scoreboard a little bit this weekend.

Buffalo is 8-2 ATS after gaining less than 250 total yards in their last outing, and 7-2 ATS after going for less than 90 yards on the ground.

But this play is more about fading a Broncos team who send Siemian out on the road for the first time in 2017, were they were just 4-4 ATS a season ago. They've never had good success in Buffalo as an organization (0-4 ATS last four trips here), and with a big division game on deck against Oakland, this trip to Buffalo does qualify as a bit of a sandwich spot for Denver.

The low-spread of -3 after an impressive blowout win on national television over Dallas last week is baiting many bettors to lay the chalk, and according to VegasInsider.com's betting percentage numbers, 90%+ of the bets have already come on on the Broncos. That's a overwhelming majority I've got no problem going against in this situation, and even a little play on the Bills on the ML (+141) is worth considering.
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Pick Six - Week 3
September 22, 2017


Week 2 Record: 2-4 SU, 2-4 ATS
Overall Record: 4-8 SU, 4-8 ATS

Steelers (-7 ˝, 44) at Bears – 1:00 PM EST


Pittsburgh
Record: 2-0 SU, 1-1 ATS, 2-0 UNDER
Super Bowl Odds: 8/1

The Steelers crushed the Sam Bradford-less Vikings last Sunday, 26-9 to easily cash as 8 ˝-point home favorites. Ben Roethlisberger threw multiple touchdown passes for the second straight game, while Antonio Brown has racked up the most receiving yards in the league through two games (244). After starting last season at 1-3 SU/ATS as a road favorite, the Steelers have pulled off five straight victories in this role, while compiling a 4-1 ATS mark with the lone non-cover coming in the Week 1 win at Cleveland.

Chicago
Record: 0-2 SU, 1-1 ATS, 2-0 UNDER
Super Bowl Odds: 250/1

The Bears hung with the Falcons until the final seconds in a Week 1 setback, but Chicago was blown out in Mike Glennon’s return to Tampa Bay in a 29-7 drubbing last Sunday. Glennon threw for 301 yards against his former squad, but it didn’t mean much after the Bears fell behind, 26-0 at halftime to suffer their ninth straight road loss since the start of 2016. However, Chicago has fared well at Soldier Field in the underdog role since the beginning of last season by covering in four of its last five opportunities.

Best Bet: Steelers -7 ˝

Broncos (-3, 40 ˝) at Bills – 1:00 PM EST


Denver
Record: 2-0 SU, 1-0-1 ATS, 2-0 OVER
Super Bowl Odds: 16/1

The AFC West has gotten off to a solid start with the Broncos, Raiders, and Chiefs all jumping out to undefeated records through two weeks. Denver followed up a three-point victory over Los Angeles by blowing out Denver, 42-17 as 2 ˝-point home underdogs to improve to 2-0 for the fifth straight season. Quarterback Trevor Siemian threw four touchdown passes, while the Denver defense limited Dallas to 40 yards rushing on 14 carries. Denver makes its first trip to Buffalo since 2011 when the Broncos were routed by the Bills, 40-14.

Buffalo
Record: 1-1 SU, 2-0 ATS, 2-0 UNDER
Super Bowl Odds: 125/1

The Bills’ offense produced only a field goal in last week’s 9-3 defeat at Carolina, but Buffalo held the Panthers out of the end zone while covering as 6 ˝-point underdogs. Buffalo has yielded only 21 points in two games, but the Bills need to get their vaunted running game going after LeSean McCoy posted nine yards on 12 carries at Carolina. The Bills have been a profitable home underdog over the years by putting together a 7-4 ATS mark in this situation since 2013.

Best Bet: Bills +3

Falcons (-3, 50 ˝) at Lions – 1:00 PM EST


Atlanta
Record: 2-0 SU, 1-1 ATS, 1-1 OVER
Super Bowl Odds: 12/1

The Falcons beat up the Packers to win the NFC championship in January as Atlanta orchestrated an encore effort last Sunday night at Mercedes Benz Stadium, 34-23 to cash as three-point favorites. Green Bay made it interesting late as it couldn’t overcome a 31-7 third quarter deficit as running back Devonta Freeman found the end zone twice for the Falcons. Atlanta has covered in seven of its past 10 opportunities on the road, while winning each of its past four as an away favorite since 2016.

Detroit
Record: 2-0 SU, 2-0 ATS, 1-1 OVER
Super Bowl Odds: 33/1

The Lions are all alone atop the NFC North, albeit only two weeks in at 2-0. Detroit has picked up a pair of wins in the underdog role against the Cardinals and Giants after closing out 2016 with an 0-4 SU/ATS mark when receiving points. All eight home contests for the Lions in 2016 were decided by seven points or less, but their opening victory at Ford Field came by 12 points over Arizona. The road team has won each of the last three meetings between these teams since 2011, as the Lions squeezed past the Falcons in the previous matchup at the Georgia Dome, 22-21 in 2014.

Best Bet: Falcons -3

Seahawks at Titans (-2 ˝, 42 ˝) – 4:05 PM EST


Seattle
Record: 1-1 SU, 0-2 ATS, 2-0 UNDER
Super Bowl Odds: 10/1

The Seahawks have lost two of their first three games only once since 2012 as Seattle hopes to avoid a 1-2 start. Last week’s victory over the 49ers wasn’t very convincing, but Seattle managed a 12-9 triumph with a late touchdown as San Francisco easily cashed as 13 ˝-point underdogs. Seattle’s ferocious defense has yielded only 26 points through two weeks, marking the fourth time in the last six seasons that Pete Carroll’s squad has allowed fewer than 28 points in the first two games. The Seahawks have had their struggles on the highway since 2016 by going 3-7 ATS, while losing four of the past five straight-up.

Tennessee
Record: 1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS, 2-0 OVER
Super Bowl Odds: 28/1

The Titans broke through the win column in Week 2 with a second half surge in a 37-16 rout of the Jaguars. Tennessee outscored Jacksonville after halftime, 31-13, while the Titans’ ground attack compiled 179 yards, highlighted by Derrick Henry’s 92 yards and touchdown run. In spite of dropping the season opener to Oakland, the Titans own a 5-2 SU and 4-3 ATS record in their past seven contests at Nissan Stadium. However, Tennessee has struggled at home against NFC opponents since 2013 by winning only once in the last eight opportunities with that lone victory coming against Green Bay last season.

Best Bet: Titans -2 ˝

Chiefs (-3, 47 ˝) at Chargers – 4:25 PM EST


Kansas City
Record: 2-0 SU, 2-0 ATS, 2-0 OVER
Super Bowl Odds: 16/1

The Chiefs have owned the Chargers over the years by winning each of the last six meetings since 2014. Kansas City rallied in overtime to shock the Lightning Bolts in last season’s opener, while outlasting the Chargers in San Diego, 37-27 in the season finale. The Chiefs own a 7-2 ATS record in its past nine road games, including a shocking Week 1 performance against the Patriots. Andy Reid’s team held off the Eagles last Sunday at Arrowhead Stadium, 27-20, led by rookie Kareem Hunt’s two rushing touchdowns, as the former Toledo standout has racked up 355 yards from scrimmage in two games.

Los Angeles
Record: 0-2 SU, 0-1-1 ATS, 1-1 OVER
Super Bowl Odds: 100/1

Another game, another close loss for the Chargers. It doesn’t matter where it is, the move from San Diego to Los Angeles hasn’t changed the late-game results for the Lightning Bolts. After the Chargers lost the opener by three points to the Broncos, L.A. missed the go-ahead field goal in the final seconds in last Sunday’s 19-17 setback to the Dolphins to fall to 0-2 for the first time since 2008. The Chargers haven’t been a good underdog to back at home in the last few seasons by posting a 3-8 ATS mark in this role since 2013, while dropping three straight home meetings with the Chiefs.

Best Bet: Chiefs -3

Bengals at Packers (-9, 44 ˝) – 4:25 PM EST


Cincinnati
Record: 0-2 SU, 0-2 ATS, 2-0 UNDER
Super Bowl Odds: 100/1

From an offensive standpoint, the Bengals have been the most offensive when they have the ball. Translation, Cincinnati can’t find the end zone, as the Bengals have scored a grand total of nine points in two home losses to Baltimore and Houston. The Bengals haven’t been terrible defensively, getting burned by a long touchdown in each of their defeats, while yielding three touchdowns in two weeks. Two seasons ago, the Bengals put together an incredible 8-0 ATS record away from Paul Brown Stadium, but Cincinnati went backwards in 2016 by going 2-6-1 ATS in nine highway contests.

Green Bay
Record: 1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS, 1-1 OVER
Super Bowl Odds: 10/1

The Packers have endured the most difficult schedule in the league by facing the Seahawks and Falcons in the first two weeks. Green Bay came away with a split as the Packers look to extend their home winning streak to six with a victory on Sunday. The Packers have won five of their last six games at Lambeau Field against AFC foes, but the only loss came last season to the Colts. Green Bay hasn’t had much luck with Cincinnati over the years by losing three straight meetings, including a 34-30 setback at Paul Brown Stadium in 2013.

Best Bet: Bengals +9
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Essential Week 3 betting tidbits and odds for NFL Sunday

Baltimore Ravens at Jacksonville Jaguars (+3.5, 39.5)

This is the fifth consecutive year the Jags will be playing a “home” game in London. Jacksonville has played more games in London than any other NFL franchise and it is considering building a training facility near Wembley Stadium in London.

The Jags are 2-2 straight up and against the spread in their four previous games in London but are 2-0 SU and ATS in the last two years. This will be the Ravens' first game in London.

LINE HISTORY: The Ravens opened up as large as 4.5-point chalk but are now giving 3.5 points at just about all sportsbooks. The total has been bet down from 40 to 39.

TRENDS:

*The Under is 5-0-1 in the last six meetings between these two clubs.
*The Jags are 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall.

Denver Broncos at Buffalo Bills (+3, 40)

Buffalo finished with the best running attack in the league in 2016 and were off to a good start after Week 1. But last week the Bills rushed for 69 yards on 23 carries against the Carolina Panthers. All 69 of those yards came after first contact too, according to ESPN Stats and Info. Not a great showing for the Bills O-line.

The Broncos own the third best running defense and are fresh off holding Dallas Cowboys running back Ezekiel Elliott to eight yards on nine carries.

LINE HISTORY: This line opened as low as Broncos -1.5 but most shops now have the Bills getting a full field goal. The total is holding steady at 40 points.

TRENDS:

*The Broncos are 7-0-1 ATS in their last eight games in September.
*The Bills are 1-5 ATS in their last six games against teams with winning records.

New Orleans Saints at Carolina Panthers (-5.5, 46.5)

Sam Bradford won the NFC offensive player of the week award in Week 1 and Tom Brady won the AFC version in Week 2. Both players’ award-winning performances came against New Orleans.

The Saints own the worst defense in the NFL and could be without two of their top three cornerbacks (Marshon Lattimore and Sterling Moore) against the Panthers.

LINE HISTORY: The total opened as high as 49 offshore but is now down to 46.5 pretty much across the board. The Panthers opened as 6.5-point faves but the number has dropped to 6 and 5.5.

TRENDS:

*The Saints are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 road games and 4-0 ATS in their last four games against Carolina.
* The Under is 5-0-1 in the Panthers’ last six games overall.

Pittsburgh Steelers at Chicago Bears (+7, 44)

The Chicago Bears could have some key players back in their lineup in Week 3. Guard Kyle Long is the team’s best offensive lineman but he’s been out of action since late last season with an ankle injury. He’s been cleared to play by the club’s medical team and could start against the Steelers.

Cornerback Prince Amukamara is expected to make his Bears debut this weekend as is former Steelers wideout Markus Wheaton.

LINE HISTORY: The books opened with the Steelers as 7.5 to 8-point chalk. A few offshore shops have moved it down to the key number (Pitt -7). The total opened as high as 46 and can be found as low as 44 entering the weekend.

TRENDS:

*The Steelers are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games overall.
*The Bears are 1-8 ATS in their last nine games in September.

Atlanta Falcons at Detroit Lions (+3, 50.5)

If you like the Lions to win this game outright, you might want to consider placing a bet on Matthew Stafford to win NFL MVP right now. Multiple offshore books, including Sportsbook.com, lowered Stafford’s MVP odds to 5/1 behind only Aaron Rodgers and Tom Brady.

Bet365.com and a few other shops still have Stafford in the 40/1 range but that price won’t remain if the Lions improve to 3-0.

LINE HISTORY: Some shops opened with the Falcons laying 3.5 points but every sportsbook is now at the field goal spread. The total has been bet up from 49 to 50.5.

TRENDS:

*The Lions are 0-4 ATS in their last four games against teams with winning records.
*The Under is 10-3 in Detroit’s last 13 games overall.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Minnesota Vikings (-1.5, 41)

Sam Bradford is practicing but bettors won’t know if the former Heisman winner will start for the Vikings until the hours before kickoff on Sunday. Case Keenum will get the start under center for a second straight week if Bradford’s knee doesn’t cooperate.

Keenum won and covered the spread against the Bucs in 2016 and 2015 as the starting quarterback for the Los Angeles Rams.

LINE HISTORY: Most books are still waiting to hear definitively on Bradford before releasing their odds. SportsInteraction.com opened with the visiting Bucs getting 1.5 points and the line moved up to Bucs +2 only a few hours later.

TRENDS:

*The Under is 6-1-1 in Tampa’s last eight games overall.
*The Bucs are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games against the Vikings.

Cleveland Browns at Indianapolis Colts (+1.5, 41)

The Browns are in the unusual position of being the betting favorite in an NFL game. It ends a 21-game underdog streak for the franchise. Cleveland hasn’t been chalk since Week 14 of the 2015 campaign when it won and covered as a 2.5-point fave against the 49ers.

Dating back to Week 12 of the 2013 season, the Browns are 2-7-1 ATS in games they were favored.

LINE HISTORY: Just about all shops opened at Colts +1 and that’s when the line still stands heading into the weekend. The total remains around the opening number of 40.5.

TRENDS:

*The Browns are 6-21-1 ATS in their last 28 games.
*The Under is 6-0 in the Colts’ last six home games.

Miami Dolphins at New York Jets (+6, 43)

Miami is in the middle of its season from hell in terms of travel itinerary.

The Dolphins’ Week 1 home game against the Bucs was postponed to their bye week because of Hurricane Irma. They practiced in California before playing the Rams in Los Angeles then returned to Miami and will fly out to New York this weekend. After the game, they’ll prep for their trip to London to “host” the Saints at Wembley.

That’s a lot of air miles racked up over a few weeks.

LINE HISTORY: This game opened at Jets +6 and that’s where the line still sits. The total has been bet up from 41 to 43.

TRENDS:

*The road team is 14-6-1 ATS in the last 21 games between this two sides.
*The Dolphins are 5-2 ATS in their last seven road games.

Houston Texans at New England Patriots (-14, 44)

Texans QB Deshaun Watson is trying to become the first rookie to beat the Patriots at home since Bill Belichick came in 2000. First-year signal callers are 0-8 SU and 2-6 ATS playing at Foxoborough with a collective five TD passes against 16 interceptions and a 50.7 passer rating.

Houston has been outscored 88-22 in its three games against the Patriots under head coach Bill O’Brien. New England won and covered in all of those games.

LINE HISTORY: Bookmakers might have underestimated the public’s support behind the Patriots. New England opened as a 12.5-point fave and is now giving 14 points at most shops. The total has been bet up from 43.5 to 44.5.

TRENDS:

*The Texans are 1-6-1 ATS in their last eight games against the Pats and 0-5 in their last five trips to New England.

Seattle Seahawks at Tennessee Titans (-2.5, 42.5)

The Seahawks are one of the biggest early season disappointments for bettors – which explains the why they’re getting 2.5 points on the road against Tennessee. The Seahawks scored just one touchdown, they’re 26th in 1st downs per game (16.5) and they’re 29th in yards per play at 4.2.

LINE HISTORY: Most books opened with the Titans giving two points and the line is up to Titans -2.5. The total can be found around 42.5.

TRENDS:

*Seattle is 0-5 ATS in its last five away games.
*The Titans are 7-22-2 ATS in their last 31 home games.

New York Giants at Philadelphia Eagles (-6, 42.5)

Things are deteriorating quickly for the Giants. The two people at the top of the team’s totem pole – QB Eli Manning and head coach Ben McAdoo – don’t seem to be on the same page, and both are the two people chiefly responsible for an ineffective offense.

McAdoo really dressed down Manning after Monday night’s home loss to the Detroit Lions.

The G-Men haven’t scored more than one offensive touchdown since Week 15 of last season.

LINE HISTORY: The Wynn and Westgate opened Eagles -4.5 and -3.5 respectively. Both books adjusted quickly to early action on the Eagles and bumped the line up to 5.5. The total is staying steady between 42.5 and 43.

TRENDS:

*The Giants are 1-5 ATS in their last six games against the Eagles.
*The Under is 6-1 in the last seven meetings between these two sides at Philly.

Kansas City Chiefs at Los Angeles Chargers (+3, 47.5)

The books are letting you take the Chargers are +3 but you might as well as not bet them unless you think they can best the Chiefs by nine points or more. You see, the Bolts stink in close games.

The Chargers are 4-18 SU in one-score games since the start of the 2015 campaign. Their new kicker isn’t helping matters. Youngshoe Koo has missed three of his four field goal attempts this season including the potential game-winning kick against the Dolphins last week.

LINE HISTORY: Some shops opened at 2.5 but just about all locations list the Chiefs as 3-point chalk. The total is sitting at 47.5.

TRENDS:

*The Chiefs are 7-0 in their last seven road games.
*The Chargers are 0-6-1 ATS in their last seven games overall.

Cincinnati Bengals at Green Bay Packers (-9, 46.5)

The Bengals did the only thing you can do when your team hasn’t found paydirt after two full games. They fired their offensive coordinator.

Will new OC Bill Lazor make a difference? Well, in his only two years as an offensive coordinator in the NFL, he led a middle of the pack offense in 2014 with the Dolphins and then got dumped after the offense dipped drastically the following year.

LINE HISTORY: The Packers opened as 9-point favorites and have been bet up to -9.5. The total is holding at 45 points.

Oakland Raiders at Washington Redskins (+3, 54.5)

There are a lot of positive changes going on for the Oakland Raiders and fewer whistles from the zebras is a big one. The Raiders are averaging seven penalties per game this season. Last season they had a league-high 9.1 penalties per game and they were the third worst in 2015 at 8.7 penalties against per game.

Might not sound like a huge difference but two fewer whistles can mean the difference between a scoring drive and a punt.

LINE HISTORY: There are already some shops offering 3.5 points a half point higher than the opening field goal spread. Bettors should expect the line to grow as more action comes in on the Raiders leading up to kick off.

TRENDS:

*The Raiders are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 road games.
*The Redskins are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games against winning teams.
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NFL

Sunday, September 24


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Sunday Night Football Betting Preview and Odds: Oakland at Washington
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Oakland Raiders at Washington Redskins (+3, 55)

An injury to Derek Carr toward the end of last season KO'd Oakland's title aspirations but the quarterback's return has the Raiders looking like a serious Super Bowl contender. Carr and Oakland will try to remain unbeaten under the glare of a national spotlight when they travel cross country to visit the Washington Redskins on Sunday.

Carr will make his 50th NFL start and has a chance to reach the .500 mark with a victory -- no small feat for a player who began his career with 10 consecutive defeats. "Whenever you start 0-10, it usually doesn't end well, but I'm glad that we're trending in the right direction," said Carr, who is 14-3 in his last 17 starts. "That first year, as we all know, was rough for everybody. To be able to win some more games since that day, it's a good thing." Washington laid an egg in its season opener, a 30-17 loss at home to Philadelphia, but averted an 0-2 start by scoring late in a 27-20 win at the Los Angeles Rams a week ago. “Oh, we’re excited," Redskins coach Jay Gruden said of facing Oakland. "I think losing our opener -- home opener against Philadelphia -- hurt a little bit and we’re excited to get our next home game. We know it’s going to be a great test.

TV:
8:30 p.m. ET, NBC.

POWER RANKINGS:
Raiders (-3.5) - Redskins (0) + home field (-3) = Raiders +0.5

LINE HISTORY:
The Raiders opened the week as 3.5-point road favorites but quickly dropped to 3 Monday morning and remained there all week. The total hit the betting boards at 53 and has been all the way up to 55.

WHAT SHARPS SAY:
This is a rare Sunday night home game for the Redskins on primetime national TV, so the crowd will be excited. However, the Raiders actually caught a scheduling break here. An early 1 pm ET (10 am PT) start time would have been tougher for Oakland, especially since they traveled to Tennessee in Week 1, back to Oakland last week, and now completely across the country for Week 3. - ‘Steve Merril’.

INJURY REPORT:


Raiders - CB Sean Smith (Probable, Neck), CB Gareon Conley (Probable, Shin), TE Jared Cook (Probable, Shoulder), WR Amari Cooper (Probable, Knee), RB DeAndre Washington (Questionable, Hamstring), DB Keith McGill II (Questionable, Foot).

Redskins - S Deshazor Everett (Probable, Eye), RB Rob Kelley (Probable, Ribs), T Morgan Moses (Questionable, Ankle), TE Jordan Reed (Questionable, Shoulder), CB Josh Norman (Questionable, Shoulder), S Montae Nicholson (Questionable, Shoulder), LB Mason Foster (Doubtful, Shoulder), S Su’a Cravens (I-R, Knee).

ABOUT THE RAIDERS (2-0 SU, 2-0 ATS, 1-1 O/U):
Marshawn Lynch, who came out of retirement to join his hometown team, rushed for 45 yards and a touchdown in last week's 45-20 drubbing of the New York Jets in helping Oakland pile up 180 yards on the ground. Carr, who broke his leg in Week 16 last season, tossed three scoring passes to Michael Crabtree against the Jets and has five TD passes against zero interceptions after throwing only six picks in 2016. Former No. 4 overall pick Amari Cooper is coming off consecutive 1,000-yard seasons to provide a deep threat for Carr, who has a 126.5 passing rating through two games. Defensive end Khalil Mack leads the defense -- he notched a sack last week to give him a league-best 27 since the start of 2015.

ABOUT THE REDSKINS (1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS, 1-1 O/U):
Quarterback Kirk Cousins threw for nearly 5,000 yards last season but is off to a slow start after losing his starting wideouts in free agency and trying to establish a rapport with Terrelle Pryor. Tight end Jordan Reed and starting running back Rob Kelley are both questionable due to injuries, but third-down back Chris Thompson and rookie Samaje Perine filled in nicely for a ground game that produced 229 yards against the Rams. Washington is permitting only 77.5 yards rushing but was gashed for 307 yards through the air by second-year quarterback Carson Wentz in the season opener. Top cornerback Josh Norman injured his shoulder in the victory over the Rams and was limited in Wednesday's practice session.

TRENDS:


* Raiders are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games in September.

* Redskins are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win.

* Over is 5-1 in Raiders last 6 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points.

* Over is 5-1 in Redskins last 6 games in September.

* Road team is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

CONSENSUS:
The public is siding with the road chalk Raiders at a rate of 72 percent and the Over is picking up 59 percent of the totals action
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SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 24

GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

NO at CAR 01:00 PM

NO +5.0

ATL at DET 01:00 PM

ATL -3.0 *****

O 50.0 *****


TB at MIN 01:00 PM

TB -1.0

U 41.0

CLE at IND 01:00 PM

U 42.5 *****

PIT at CHI 01:00 PM

CHI +7.0

U 43.0 *****

NYG at PHI 01:00 PM

PHI -5.0 *****

MIA at NYJ 01:00 PM

NYJ +5.5

U 43.0

DEN at BUF 01:00 PM

BUF +3.5***** UNDERDOG OF THE MONTH

HOU at NE 01:00 PM

HOU +13.5

O 44.0 ***** TOTAL OF THE DAY

SEA at TEN 04:05 PM

TEN -2.0

O 42.0

CIN at GB 04:25 PM

CIN +7.0 *****

O 48.0

KC at LAC 04:25 PM

KC -3.0 *****


O 48.0
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Old 09-24-2017, 06:44 PM
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Today Best Bets Goes 7 - 2

Tonights Picks is :

OAK at WAS 08:30 PM

WAS +3.0 *****

O 53.5
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Monday’s Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday…….

Lot of great finishes in the early NFL games Sunday; from 4:00-4:20, there were four games that came right down to the end………good drama.

14) Falcons 30, Lions 26— Detroit appeared to score go-ahead TD with 0:08 left, but he was ruled down a foot short and because of a (bad) rule, there is an automatic 10-second run-off when a replay reversal happens on a play where the clock would’ve kept running, which cost Detroit a chance to win the game on the last play. Very poor rule.

Matt Ryan threw three picks; Falcons are first team this season (1-17) to win when going -2 or worse in turnovers.

13) Eagles 27, Giants 24—
Rookie kicker Elliott kicked a 61-yard FG to end a wild 4th quarter; Eagles led 14-0 after three quarters- Giants had gained 206 yards on 44 plays in the first three quarters, but then scored TD’s on first three drives of 4th quarter, gaining 166 yards on only 11 plays.

New York had 14-yard edge in field position; they’re only 2nd team this year to have a 10+-yard advantage in field position but lose (2-13). Giants ran ball 17 times for 49 yards.

12) Bears 23, Steelers 17 OT—
Chicago drove 74 yards on four plays to win the game in OT, even though they blew a 17-7 halftime and lead threw for only 84 yards.

This was an odd game; Bears blocked a FG on last play of the first half, they were going to score a TD on the runback, but the selfish jerk with the ball stopped and posed on the 1-yard line and two Steelers stripped him of the ball, which wound up costing the Bears four points.

11) Patriots 36, Texans 33- -New England drove ball 75 yards on 8 plays, scoring GW TD with 0:23 left, saving a lot of people’s survivor pools from extinction.

Houston has to be really happy with rookie QB Watson; they averaged 8.3 yards/pass attempt, outgained Patriots 417-396, so the Texans have found themselves a quarterback.

10) Jaguars 44, Ravens 7—
Wow. Jacksonville actually ran a fake punt when they led 37-0; would like to know the backstory there. Total no-show for Baltimore, which was +7 in turnover ratio in its two wins, but they were -3 in this game. Ravens averaged 1.8 yards/pass attempt.

9) Colts 31, Browns 28— Two rookie QB’s started on the road this week; their teams scored 33-28 points, even if both did lose. Kizer threw three picks; Browns were -2 in turnovers; Colts averaged 9.0 yards/pass attempt. Brissett had 200+ passing yards at halftime.

8) Jets 20, Dolphins 6—
Jets beat Miami for the 6th straight time; Dolphins didn’t score until the very last play of the game, then missed the PAT, which didn’t matter. Miami was 1-12 on third down, ran ball only 15 times for 30 yards. Jets gained 9.3 yards/pass attempt.

7) Bills 26, Broncos 16— Buffalo had a 16-yard edge in field position; three of their 11 drives started in Denver territory, but they scored only 6 points on those drives. Denver had only one TD on three red zone drives. Impressive win for the Bills. Underdogs were 9-1 vs spread in the early games Sunday, and the Falcons (-3) were damn fortunate to cover their game.

6) Saints 34, Panthers 13—
Carolina didn’t allow a TD in its first two games, gave up 34 points here. Panthers have scored only three TD’s on 28 drives this season; Newton threw three picks in this game, averaged only 4.2 yards/pass attempt. New Orleans started three drives in Carolina territory, won field position by 13 yards.

5) Vikings 34, Buccaneers 17—
Backup QB Case Keenum was 25-33/369 yards, as Vikings beat a flu-ravaged Bucs’ squad. Tampa Bay ran ball only nine times for 26 yards- they had only six 3rd down plays the whole game (1-6), as Winston threw three INTs (-3). 16 of 22 NFL teams went over their individual over/unders this week; offenses are starting to catch up with defenses.

4) Titans 33, Seahawks 27— Tennessee ran 10 plays in the third quarter for 204 yards and three TD’s, breaking open a 9-7 halftime lead. Seattle is 2-5-1 in its last eight regular season road games; Titans ran ball for 195 yards. This was 7th NFL game this year with no turnovers in it; the underdog won four of those seven games.

3) Chiefs 24, Chargers 10— KC’s first two TD drives were 43-34 yards; Rivers threw three picks. Chiefs led 17-10 at the half, then second half was scoreless until Hunt’s 69-yard TD run ended things with 1:49 left. Bolts could just as easily be 3-0, but they scored 10 points in three red zone drives. Last two weeks it was the kicker’s fault; their QB failed them here.

2) Packers 27, Bengals 24 OT—
Hard to believe, but Aaron Rodgers is now 1-7 in his career in OT games; that is your Stat of the Day. Bengals led this game 21-7 after a pick-6, second week in row Packers gave up a defensive TD. Green Bay tied game with 0:17 left in regulation. Bengals left it all on the field here, but now they’re 0-3.
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Old 09-24-2017, 11:33 PM
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NFL Today, Week 3
September 24, 2017


SCOREBOARD

Monday, Sept. 25

Dallas at Arizona, 8:30 p.m. EDT. The Cardinals (1-1) have won four straight against the Cowboys. Dallas' most recent win against Arizona came Nov. 12, 2006. The Cardinals are at home after four straight on the road, two in the preseason, two in the regular season. The Cowboys (1-1) last played in Arizona on Dec. 4, 2011. The Cardinals won the game in OT, 19-13. Last week vs. Denver, the Cowboys allowed a 100-yard rusher for the first time in 17 games. 2016 NFL rushing leader Ezekiel Elliott carried nine times for 8 yards against Denver, easily his worst showing in two seasons as pro.

---

STARS

Passing


- Tom Brady, Patriots, was 25 for 35 for 378 yards and five touchdown passes in New England's 36-33 win over Houston. Brady has six games with at least five touchdown passes and no interceptions, the second-most in NFL history. Only Drew Brees (seven) has more.

- Case Keenum, Vikings, was 25 for 33 for 369 yards and three touchdown passes in Minnesota's 34-17 win over Tampa Bay.

- Blake Bortles, Jaguars, was 20 for 31 for 244 yards and four touchdown passes in Jacksonville's 44-7 win over Baltimore in London.

- Russell Wilson, Seahawks, was 29 for 49 for 373 yards and four touchdown passes in Seattle's 33-27 loss to Tennessee.

- Eli Manning, Giants, was 35 for 47 for 366 yards with three touchdown passes and two interceptions in New York's 27-24 loss to Philadelphia.

- Kirk Cousins, Redskins, was 25 for 30 for 365 yards and three touchdown passes in Washington's 27-10 win over Oakland.

---

Rushing

- Kareem Hunt, Chiefs, had 17 carries for 172 yards, including a 69-yard touchdown, in Kansas City's 24-10 win over the Los Angeles Chargers.

- Jordan Howard, Bears, had 23 carries for 138 yards and two touchdowns in Chicago's 23-17 overtime win over Pittsburgh.

- DeMarco Murray, Titans, had 14 carries for 115 yards, including a 75-yard touchdown, in Tennessee's 33-27 loss to Seattle.

- Devonta Freeman, Falcons, had 21 carries for 106 yards and a touchdown in Atlanta's 30-26 win over Detroit.

- Dalvin Cook, Vikings, had 27 carries for 97 yards and a touchdown in Minnesota's 34-17 win over Tampa Bay.

---

Receiving

- Stefon Diggs and Adam Thielen, Vikings. Diggs had eight receptions for 173 yards and two touchdowns, and Thielen had five catches for 98 yards in Minnesota's 34-17 win over Tampa Bay.

- Marcedes Lewis, Jaguars, had four catches for 62 yards and three touchdowns in Jacksonville's 44-7 win over Baltimore in London.

- Brandin Cooks, Patriots, had five catches for 131 yards and two touchdowns in New England's 36-33 win over Houston.

- T.Y. Hilton, Colts, had seven receptions for 153 yards and a touchdown in Indianapolis' 31-28 win over Cleveland.

- Sterling Shepard, Giants, had seven receptions for 133 yards, including a 77-yard touchdown, in New York's 27-24 loss to Philadelphia.

- Geronimo Allison, Packers, had six catches for 122 yards, including a 72-yarder in overtime, in Green Bay's 27-24 overtime win over Cincinnati.

- Antonio Brown, Steelers, had 10 catches for 110 yards and a touchdown in Pittsburgh's 23-17 loss to Chicago.

- Chris Thompson, Redskins, had six catches for 150 yards and a touchdown in Washington's 27-10 win over Oakland.

---

Special Teams

- Jake Elliott, Eagles, who was two of three on field goals, made a 61-yarder as time expired to give Philadelphia a 27-24 victory over the New York Giants. Elliott's 61-yard field goal is the longest by a rookie in NFL history and tied for the third-longest game-ending field goal, trailing only Tom Dempsey (63 yards, Nov. 8, 1970) and Matt Bryant (62 yards, Oct. 22, 2006).

- Ka'imi Fairbairn, Texans, was 4 for 4 on field goals and 3 for 3 on extra points in Houston's 36-33 loss to New England.

- Jason Myers, Jaguars, was 3 for 3 on field goals and 5 for 5 on extra points in Jacksonville's 44-7 win over Baltimore in London.

- Matt Prater, Lions, was 4 for 4 on field goals and 2 for 2 on extra points in Detroit's 30-26 loss to Atlanta.

- Stephen Hauschka, Bills, was 3 for 3 on field goals and 2 for 2 on extra points in Buffalo's 26-16 win over Denver.

---

Defense

- Jadeveon Clowney, Texans, two sacks and returned a fumble 22 yards for a touchdown in Houston's 36-33 loss to Atlanta. He became the third player in Texans history with two sacks and a fumble return for a touchdown in a game, joining Mario Williams and J.J. Watt. The two sacks also matched a career high for Clowney.

- William Jackson III and Carl Lawson, Bengals. Jackson returned an interception 75 yards for a touchdown and Lawson added 2+ sacks in Cincinnati's 27-24 overtime loss to Green Bay.

- Glover Quin, Lions, returned an interception 37 yards for a touchdown in Detroit's 30-26 loss to Atlanta.

- Melvin Ingram, Chargers, had three sacks in San Diego's 24-10 loss to Kansas City.

---

STREAKS & STATS

The Chiefs (3-0) beat the Chargers for the seventh straight time and have won 12 straight AFC West games. ... Cincinnati wide receiver A.J. Green had 10 catches for 111 yards and a touchdown in the Bengals' overtime loss at Green Bay. Green, who recorded his 500th reception and his 50th touchdown catch in his 89th game, joins Hall of Famer Marvin Harrison and Larry Fitzgerald as the only players in NFL history with at least 500 catches and 50 touchdown receptions in his first 90 games. ... The Jaguars finished with 410 yards, easily outpacing their output in their first three games, and handed the Ravens their worst defeat since Nov. 9, 1997, when they lost 37-0 at Pittsburgh. ... The Browns have lost 28 of their past 30 overall and 15 consecutive on the road. ... The Chargers have lost 26 of their past 35 games dating to the start of the 2015 season, and have lost 14 of their past 15 in the division.

---

MILESTONES

Kansas City rookie running back Kareem Hunt had 183 scrimmage yards (172 rushing, 11 receiving), including a 69-yard touchdown run in the Chiefs' 24-10 win at the Los Angeles Chargers. Hunt has six touchdowns (four rushing, two receiving) in his first three games, tied with Billy Sims (1980 Detroit Lions) and Dutch Sternaman (1920 Decatur Staleys) for the most touchdowns by a player in his first three games. Hunt, who has 538 scrimmage yards through three games, surpassed Sid Blanks of the 1964 Houston Oilers (452) for the second-most scrimmage yards by a player in his first three games. Only Sims (562) has more in his first three games. ... Jaguars wide receiver Allen Hurns has scored in each of the Jaguars' past three overseas games, matched Brandon Lloyd as the only players to score three touchdowns at Wembley Stadium. ... Giants wide receiver Odell Beckham Jr. had nine catches, including two touchdown receptions, in the team's loss at Philadelphia. Beckham, who has 301 receptions in 45 games, reached 300 receptions in the fewest games in NFL history, surpassing Anquan Boldin, who recorded his 300th reception in his 47th game.

---

CLOSE CALL

Matthew Stafford's pass to Golden Tate was ruled to be just short of the end zone in the final seconds after a review, allowing Atlanta to beat the Lions 30-26. The call on the field was touchdown when Stafford connected with Tate on a slant from the 1 with 8 seconds left, but it was overturned because the receiver was down before the football reached the goal line. By rule, 10 seconds had to run off the clock and that ended the game because Detroit didn't have any timeouts.

---

SIDELINED

Panthers wide receiver Kelvin Benjamin left with a knee injury after the first quarter of the Panthers' 34-13 loss to the New Orleans Saints. The receiver's leg got bent back awkwardly after he was dragged down from behind. Benjamin tore his ACL in the same knee two years ago. ... Seattle's Doug Baldwin left in the fourth quarter with an injured groin. The Seahawks also lost linebacker Dewey McDonald to a knee injury on the opening kickoff. ... The Eagles lost Pro Bowl defensive tackle Fletcher Cox (calf), running back Darren Sproles (wrist) and linebacker Jordan Hicks (ankle) in the first half against the Giants. New York also lost defensive end Olivier Vernon to an ankle injury and running back Orleans Darkwa to an injured back in the fourth quarter. A Buccaneers defense that was already without three starters took a few more hits, with linebacker Lavonte David lost in potentially the biggest blow. He had the back of his ankle rolled on inadvertently by a Vikings player during a scrum around the ball in the fourth quarter and left the field on a cart. ''X-rays were negative,'' coach Dirk Koetter said. ''That's the good news.'' ... Raiders wide receiver Michael Crabtree left with a chest injury in Oakland's 27-10 loss to Washington.

---

SPEAKING

''I definitely know that I scored a touchdown. I definitely shot that dagger 3 like Ray Allen, and I feel like I finished that game.'' - Bears rookie running back Tarik Cohen broke off an electric run for what appeared to be a 73-yard, game-winning touchdown in overtime. But he was ruled out at the Pittsburgh 37. The Bears won the game on Jordan Howard's 19-yard touchdown run.

---

''Never saw one like that.'' - Detroit safety Glover Quin said after the Lions' loss when Golden Tate's touchdown in the final seconds was overturned following a review. He was ruled short of the goal line, and since he was inbounds and the Lions had no timeouts left, a 10-second runoff ended the game and the Falcons earned a 30-26 win.
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NFL Record For Sept......Based on 5 units ( Best Bets and Opinons )

09/24/2017...........16-6-0..............72.73%..........+47.00

09/21/2017.............0-2-0................0.00%...........-11.00

09/17/2017.............5-7-0..............41.67%............-13.50

09/14/2017.............0-2-0...............0.00%............-11.00

09/11/2017.............2-1-1..............66.67%...........+4.50

09/10/2017.............14-10-0...........58.33%..........+15.00

09/07/2017.............2-0-0..............100.00%.........+10.00


Totals...................39 - 28 - 1...........58.20%...........+ 41.00


Best Bets:

Date...........................ATS......TOTAL..... ..... ......O/U.......TOTAL..........TOTALS


09/24/2017.................5 - 1.....+19.50............3 - 1.........+9.50............+29.00

09/21/2017.................0 - 1.....-5.50...............0 - 1.........-5.50............. -.11.00

09/17/2017.................1 - 2......-6.00..............3 - 3........-1.50...............- 7.50

09/14/2017.................0 - 1......-5.50..............0 - 1........-5.50..............- 11.00

Best Bets Total.............6 - 5......+2.50............6 - 6.........-2.50................-0.50


Dog Of The Month........1 - 0

Total Of the Day...........1 - 0
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Old 09-24-2017, 11:52 PM
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Monday’s six-pack

6 most popular picks for Week 3 in the Westgate Super Contest:

6) Dallas Cowboys, -3, 577

5) Seattle Seahawks, +3, 586- L

4) New Orleans Saints, +5.5, 653- W

3) Kansas City Chiefs, -3, 665- W

2) Denver Broncos, -3, 795- L

1) Oakland Raiders, -3, 924- L

Season record of top 6 picks: 5-12

**************************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday…….

Lot of great finishes in the early NFL games Sunday; from 4:00-4:20, there were four games that came right down to the end………good drama.

14) Falcons 30, Lions 26— Detroit appeared to score go-ahead TD with 0:08 left, but he was ruled down a foot short and because of a (bad) rule, there is an automatic 10-second run-off when a replay reversal happens on a play where the clock would’ve kept running, which cost Detroit a chance to win the game on the last play. Very poor rule.

Matt Ryan threw three picks; Falcons are first team this season (1-17) to win when going -2 or worse in turnovers.

13) Eagles 27, Giants 24— Rookie kicker Elliott kicked a 61-yard FG to end a wild 4th quarter; Eagles led 14-0 after three quarters- Giants had gained 206 yards on 44 plays in the first three quarters, but then scored TD’s on first three drives of 4th quarter, gaining 166 yards on only 11 plays.

New York had 14-yard edge in field position; they’re only 2nd team this year to have a 10+-yard advantage in field position but lose (2-13). Giants ran ball 17 times for 49 yards.

12) Bears 23, Steelers 17 OT— Chicago drove 74 yards on four plays to win the game in OT, even though they blew a 17-7 halftime and lead threw for only 84 yards.

This was an odd game; Bears blocked a FG on last play of the first half, they were going to score a TD on the runback, but the selfish jerk with the ball stopped and posed on the 1-yard line and two Steelers stripped him of the ball, which wound up costing the Bears four points.

11) Patriots 36, Texans 33- -New England drove ball 75 yards on 8 plays, scoring GW TD with 0:23 left, saving a lot of people’s survivor pools from extinction.

Houston has to be really happy with rookie QB Watson; they averaged 8.3 yards/pass attempt, outgained Patriots 417-396, so the Texans have found themselves a quarterback.

10) Jaguars 44, Ravens 7— Wow. Jacksonville actually ran a fake punt when they led 37-0; would like to know the backstory there. Total no-show for Baltimore, which was +7 in turnover ratio in its two wins, but they were -3 in this game. Ravens averaged 1.8 yards/pass attempt.

9) Colts 31, Browns 28— Two rookie QB’s started on the road this week; their teams scored 33-28 points, even if both did lose. Kizer threw three picks; Browns were -2 in turnovers; Colts averaged 9.0 yards/pass attempt. Brissett had 200+ passing yards at halftime.

8) Jets 20, Dolphins 6— Jets beat Miami for the 6th straight time; Dolphins didn’t score until the very last play of the game, then missed the PAT, which didn’t matter. Miami was 1-12 on third down, ran ball only 15 times for 30 yards. Jets gained 9.3 yards/pass attempt.

7) Bills 26, Broncos 16— Buffalo had a 16-yard edge in field position; three of their 11 drives started in Denver territory, but they scored only 6 points on those drives. Denver had only one TD on three red zone drives. Impressive win for the Bills. Underdogs were 9-1 vs spread in the early games Sunday, and the Falcons (-3) were damn fortunate to cover their game.

6) Saints 34, Panthers 13— Carolina didn’t allow a TD in its first two games, gave up 34 points here. Panthers have scored only three TD’s on 28 drives this season; Newton threw three picks in this game, averaged only 4.2 yards/pass attempt. New Orleans started three drives in Carolina territory, won field position by 13 yards.

5) Vikings 34, Buccaneers 17— Backup QB Case Keenum was 25-33/369 yards, as Vikings beat a flu-ravaged Bucs’ squad. Tampa Bay ran ball only nine times for 26 yards- they had only six 3rd down plays the whole game (1-6), as Winston threw three INTs (-3). 16 of 22 NFL teams went over their individual over/unders this week; offenses are starting to catch up with defenses.

4) Titans 33, Seahawks 27— Tennessee ran 10 plays in the third quarter for 204 yards and three TD’s, breaking open a 9-7 halftime lead. Seattle is 2-5-1 in its last eight regular season road games; Titans ran ball for 195 yards. This was 7th NFL game this year with no turnovers in it; the underdog won four of those seven games.

3) Chiefs 24, Chargers 10— KC’s first two TD drives were 43-34 yards; Rivers threw three picks. Chiefs led 17-10 at the half, then second half was scoreless until Hunt’s 69-yard TD run ended things with 1:49 left. Bolts could just as easily be 3-0, but they scored 10 points in three red zone drives. Last two weeks it was the kicker’s fault; their QB failed them here.

2) Packers 27, Bengals 24 OT— Hard to believe, but Aaron Rodgers is now 1-7 in his career in OT games; that is your Stat of the Day. Bengals led this game 21-7 after a pick-6, second week in row Packers gave up a defensive TD. Green Bay tied game with 0:17 left in regulation. Bengals left it all on the field here, but now they’re 0-3.
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MNF - Cowboys at Cardinals
September 24, 2017



LAST WEEK


The Cowboys (1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS) did not look like the team that finished with the best record in the NFC in 2016 as Dallas was routed at Denver, 42-17 as 2 ˝-point favorites. Following a Dak Prescott touchdown pass to Dez Bryant to even the score at 7-7, the Broncos outscored the Cowboys, 28-3 to put the game out of reach. Prescott finished with 238 yards passing, two touchdowns, and two interceptions, but running back Ezekiel Elliott was limited to a career-low eight yards on nine carries. To put that number in perspective, Elliott’s previous career-low was 51 yards, which came in his NFL debut against the Giants last season.

The Cardinals (1-1 SU, 0-2 ATS) were on the verge of an 0-2 start after falling behind at Indianapolis, 10-0. However, Arizona rallied back to even the game at 13-13 on 40-yard field goal from Phil Dawson late in the fourth quarter. Dawson would connect on the game-winning kick in overtime to give the Cardinals a 16-13 road triumph, although Arizona failed to cash as 6 ˝-point favorites. Carson Palmer overcame a three-interception performance in the season-opening loss at Detroit to rack up 332 yards through the air against the Colts to avoid Arizona’s first 0-2 start since 2005.

HIGHWAY HICCUPS

Dallas began the Prescott era last season by winning its first six games away from AT&T Stadium. The Cowboys lost their final two road games last season (which included a Week 17 defeat at Philadelphia with their starters not playing), while dropping their third straight away contest at Denver last week. Rewinding to the start of 2016, the Cowboys own a 3-2 SU and 2-3 ATS mark in the role of a road favorite, even though two of those victories last season came at San Francisco and Cleveland.

DESERT DOGS


Arizona is receiving points at University of Phoenix Stadium for the first time since Week 16 in 2014 in a 35-6 setback to Seattle as nine-point ‘dogs. That season, the Cardinals compiled a solid 4-1 SU/ATS record in the home ‘dog role, although two of those victories came as a short one-point underdog. Since 2015, the Cardinals have been listed as a home favorite 17 times, but have covered the number only six times. Last season, Arizona put together a 3-5 ATS record, but the Cardinals have won each of their past seven home openers since 2010.

SERIES HISTORY

The Cardinals have owned the Cowboys over the years by winning each of the last four meetings since 2008. Two of those victories came in overtime (2008 and 2011) in Glendale, while Arizona beat Dallas at AT&T Stadium in the most recent matchup in 2014 by a 28-17 count. The Cardinals erased an early 10-0 deficit as Palmer tossed three touchdown passes, as Arizona outscored Dallas in the final three quarters, 28-7. The last time Dallas beat Arizona came in 2006 as 6 ˝-point road favorites, 27-10 as Matt Leinart was the Cardinals’ quarterback that day.

TOTAL NOTES

The Cowboys closed out 2016 by cashing the UNDER in six of their final seven road games prior to eclipsing the OVER in their away opener at Denver. The Cardinals hit plenty of UNDERS at University of Phoenix Stadium last season, going 6-2, while 10 of the past 12 home contests since November 2015 have finished UNDER the total.

UNDER THE LIGHTS

During Jason Garrett’s tenure, the Cowboys own a 3-2 SU and 2-3 ATS in Monday night action, including a 42-21 blowout of the Lions in Week 16 last season. The Cardinals have won all three Monday games since Bruce Arians took over as head coach in 2014, but all came in the favorite role at home.

HANDICAPPER’S CORNER

VegasInsider.com expert Joe Nelson feels if though it’s early in the season, a loss can be devastating moving forward, “The Cowboys and Cardinals entered the season considered two of the top NFC contenders, but one team will leave Week 3 at just 1-2. Both teams have favorable Week 4 matchups at home, but in what figures to be a tightly contested NFC playoff picture, a .500 first quarter will leave a lot of work to do and both teams have difficult Week 5 games ahead.”

From the defensive side, the Cardinals will have their work cut out for them, “Arizona’s defense was statistically one of the better units in the league last season, but so far this season, the Cardinals have allowed 24 points per game, featuring decent numbers against the run but struggling to contain the pass, mostly thanks to Matthew Stafford’s big second half in Week 1. Arizona has committed five turnovers this season while only producing two defensively, though last week’s overtime interception was effectively a game-winner.”

On the Cowboys’ end, Prescott could be feeling the heat of his second season according to Nelson, “Prescott threw two interceptions last week after having only four in his entire rookie season as so far the concerns about a sophomore regression are proving valid with a huge decline in his production through two weeks. The Cowboys expected to be without Elliott for the first several weeks of the season but his presence hasn’t provided great returns so far with modest rushing totals on just 3.4 yards per carry and no touchdowns as the offense may have a difficult time matching last season’s success.”

From a trend standpoint, Vince Akins notes a fade spot for Dallas, “The Cowboys are 0-10 ATS (-7.05 ppg) since 2010 as a favorite after playing as a road favorite last game.” To be fair, Dallas won six of those games straight-up, but went 0-2 ATS in this situation last season, including a 10-7 loss to the Giants.

Bookmaker’S TAKE

Scott Cooley of Bookmaker.eu says to keep an eye on the Cardinals in their home opener, “The public is fully supporting Dallas, per usual, but we've taken some smart money on the home dog, which is why we've adjusted down a half point. It's tough to say where the big money will come when limits are elevated though. Unless the sharps really get involved with Arizona, we will need the Cards in a big way because the squares think this line is a gift from God.”
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Monday's Best Bet
September 24, 2017


NFL Week 3 MNF Betting Preview

Dallas Cowboys vs Arizona Cardinals


Coming into the 2017 campaign there were a lot of handicappers extremely high on both of these teams and figured this Week 3 matchup could be a playoff preview. We are still a long ways away from talking about playoffs, but Dallas and Arizona have failed to live up to those expectations so far.

Yes, both teams are 1-1 straight up entering Week 3, but getting blown out in Denver last week was not a good look for the Cowboys, and Arizona narrowly escaped an Andrew Luck-less Indianapolis Colts team a week ago.

Both sides would love to bounce back with a strong game from start to finish here, and for the Cowboys, they are looking to beat the Cardinals for the first time in five tries.

BetOnline.ag Odds: Dallas (-3); Total set at 47

Arizona doesn't need a “bounce back” in the general sense as they did win a week ago, but putting up 16 points on a Colts team that was torched by the Rams in Week 1 was not a good look. To be fair, it was the first time Arizona's offense had to truly adapt to a missing piece as life without RB David Johnson officially began, and for the most part the Cardinals relied on their aerial attack downfield to get the job done.

QB Carson Palmer threw for 332 yards on just 19 completions (19-for-36), and the running game was used more as something to keep the defense honest. That style of play might bode well for them here as they just saw Denver's Trevor Siemian throw for 4 TD's against the Cowboys a week ago, and if that rushing attack from the Cardinals can break a big run or two to keep the Cowboys off-balance, Arizona has a chance to showcase that explosive offense everyone expected from them this season.

Dallas catches a bit of a break offensively too as they aren't going to see the same style of suffocating defense this week as they did from Denver a week ago. The Cowboys love to use the running game to set up the pass, and when Denver completely took away RB Ezekiel Elliott last week, the Cowboys were like a ship without a sail. Arizona's rush defense numbers look a whole lot better then they actually are because they've yet to face a running team (Detroit, Indianapolis) and this MNF game could be a rude awakening for that rush defense.

Dallas should find significant success with Elliott this week, and as we saw last year, when he gets rolling and moving the chains, the entire Cowboys offense is tough to stop.

So rather than try to pick a side here in a game I truly believe could end up going either way, I'm looking at this total and believe it's probably a point or two too low. The current number of 47 is juiced (-115) to the 'under' thanks to 70%+ action on the low side according to VegasInsider.com, and a lot of that has to do with what we've seen from these two teams through two weeks.

Dallas has yet to score 20 points in a game, and everyone remembers Arizona needing a 4th quarter comeback to knock off the Colts in OT a week ago. However, this is one of those primetime spots where I believe both offenses show up and try to establish their dominance, not only for this game, but for the rest of the year for both organizations.

Dallas is built to win with their phenomenal offensive line either blocking for Elliott and the running game, or protecting QB Dak Prescott as he stretches the field through the air.

The Cowboys are on a 7-2 O/U run when coming off a game that saw them give up 40+ points, and the last seven times they've been the road team on MNF they've gone 5-1-1 O/U.

The Cowboys will hit 20+ points for the first time this year rather easily in my opinion here, and they'll force an Arizona offense that they know is without their best weapon to try and keep up.

Arizona is glad to have that first game without David Johnson out of the way, and thankfully it came against a Colts team that is missing their best player as well. But with this being the Cardinals home opener, I expect that comfortable surroundings to help calm this offense down from the start and get the correct calls in without having to worry about noise for the first time in 2017.

The passing attack that they showed a week ago should excel even more here against a weak Dallas secondary, and with Arizona posting a 7-0 O/U run in their last seven conference games, don't be surprised to see the 70%+ of bettors who've already bet the 'under' rip up their tickets by the time the 4th quarter starts.

Odds per - BetOnline.ag

Best Bet: Over 47 points
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NFL Record For Sept......Based on 5 units ( Best Bets and Opinons )

09/24/2017...........16-6-0..............72.73%..........+47.00

09/21/2017.............0-2-0................0.00%...........-11.00

09/17/2017.............5-7-0..............41.67%............-13.50

09/14/2017.............0-2-0...............0.00%............-11.00

09/11/2017.............2-1-1..............66.67%...........+4.50

09/10/2017.............14-10-0...........58.33%..........+15.00

09/07/2017.............2-0-0..............100.00%.........+10.00


Totals...................39 - 28 - 1...........58.20%...........+ 41.00


Best Bets:

Date...........................ATS......TOTAL..... ..... ......O/U.......TOTAL..........TOTALS


09/24/2017.................5 - 1.....+19.50............3 - 1.........+9.50............+29.00

09/21/2017.................0 - 1.....-5.50...............0 - 1.........-5.50............. -.11.00

09/17/2017.................1 - 2......-6.00..............3 - 3........-1.50...............- 7.50

09/14/2017.................0 - 1......-5.50..............0 - 1........-5.50..............- 11.00

Best Bets Total.............6 - 5......+2.50............6 - 6.........-2.50................-0.50


Dog Of The Month........1 - 0

Total Of the Day...........1 - 0



MONDAY, SEPTEMBER 25

GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

DAL at ARI 08:30 PM

DAL -2.5 *****

U 46.5 *****
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Betting Recap - Week 3
September 25, 2017


Overall Notes

NATIONAL FOOTBALL LEAGUE WEEK 3 RESULTS


Wager Favorites-Underdogs
Straight Up 7-8
Against the Spread 3-12

Wager Home-Away
Straight Up 11-4
Against the Spread 9-6

Wager Totals (O/U)
Over-Under 11-4

The largest underdogs to win straight up

Bears (+7, ML + ) vs. Steelers, 23-17 (OT)
Jets (+5.5, ML + ) vs. Dolphins, 20-6
Saints (+5.5, ML+ ) at Panthers, 34-13

The largest favorite to cover
Chiefs (-3) at Chargers, 24-10
Falcons (-3) at Lions, 30-26
Titans (-2.5) vs. Seahawks, 33-27

K.C. Sunshine

-- The Kansas City Chiefs started out hot early in Sunday's game with the Los Angeles Chargers, winning and covering for the third time in as many outings this season. The Chiefs have been getting amazing production from RB Kareem Hunt, who is the first rookie to roll for 100 or more yards from scrimmage in his first three NFL games since Matt Forte accomplished the feat in 2008 with the Chicago Bears. The defense has been getting better, too, allowing just 10 points Sunday after 27 in Week 1, and 20 in Week 2. The 'under' result on Sunday was the first of the season after going 0-1-1 through the first two contest.

Buffalo Brothers

-- The Buffalo Bills used another strong defensive effort in Week 3, topping the Denver Broncos by a 26-16 score. The Bills have allowed just two touchdowns and eight field goals through three games, and they're a perfect 3-0 ATS on the season. The 'over' result in Sunday's game was the first after two 'under' results. Next up is a trip to face the unbeaten Atlanta Falcons in their brand new palace. The Falcons have covered two in a row after narrowly missing a cover in Week 1. The Falcons won a controversial game on the road against the Detroit Lions on a stop at the goal line.
Total Recall

-- Sunday Night Football was a low-scoring affair, as the 'over' was never threatened in Oakland-Washington (53.5). In fact, Raiders QB Derek Carr didn't even eclipse 100 passing yards until garbage time in the fourth quarter. It was a stark contrast to the barn burner between L.A. Rams-San Francisco (40) on Thursday night, as the teams combined to double the total.

-- Three games -- Baltimore-Jacksonville (38.5), Denver-Buffalo (39.5) and the L.A.-San Francisco (40) game had totals with a line of 40 or lower, and all three of those games cashed 'over', In fact, the Jaguars hit the over by themselves, as the 'over' is now 10-3 in the past 13 games played in the United Kingdom. Tampa Bay-Minnesota (41), Seattle-Tennessee (41.5) and Cleveland-Indianapolis (42) were the next three lowest totals on the board, and they all hit the 'over', too.

-- The Miami Dolphins and Ravens apparently didn't get the memo, as Week 3 was supposed to be a high-scoring weekend. Baltimore scored just seven overseas, while the Dolphins turned in the lowest total, six points, in a shocking loss to the New York Jets. The Dolphins have started a big sluggish after having their Week 1 game canceled due to Hurricane Irma, averaging just 12.5 PPG on offense while the defense has given up 18.5 PPG.

-- The 'over/under' is 5-5 through the first 10 primetime games of the 2017 season with Monday's total still pending. Officially, the 'over' finished 27-24 (52.9%) through 51 games under the lights in 2016. In 2015, the over finished 20-28-1 (41.7%) in 49 primetime games. In 2014, the over went 33-17 (66%) in primetime games, and the over was 28-22 (56%) in 2013.

Injury Report

-- Buccaneers LB Lavonte David (ankle) was carted off in Minnesota due to a left ankle injury. X-rays were negative, but reports say he was on crutches after the game.

-- Eagles RB Darren Sproles (arm) suffered a broken arm in Sunday's victory againts the Giants and he will have an MRI on Monday to determine the severity of the injury. He might be headed for the Reserve/Injured list as a result.

-- Jets RB Matt Forte (toe) exited Sunday's game against the Dolphins early due to a toe ailment.

-- Panthers WR Kelvin Benjamin (knee) left Sunday's game against the Saints due to a knee injury, but early reports indicate he escaped major injury.

-- Raiders WR Michael Crabtree (chest) was forced out of the Sunday Night battle against the Redskins after taking a hard shot to the sternum.

-- Seahawks WR Doug Baldwin (groin) was forced out of Sunday's game in Tennessee after suffering a strained groin.

Looking Ahead

-- The Bears meet the Packers at Lambeau Field on Thursday night. While Chicago is 5-0 ATS over their past five against teams with a winning record, they're just 2-7 ATS in their past nine road games and 1-5 ATS in their past six appearances on a Thursday. Chicago is also 3-10 ATS in their past 13 meetings with the Packers, while the favorite is 10-3 ATS across the past 13 in this series.

-- The Ravens will host the Steelers, as both teams look to rebound after Week 3 losses. Baltimore is 10-1 ATS in their past 11 against AFC North teams, and 5-1 ATS in their past six at home. Pittsburgh is 0-4-1 ATS in the past five meetings in this series, although the underdog is 4-0-1 ATS during the span. The 'under' is also 3-1-1 in the past five meetings.

-- The Bengals look to stay hot against the number on the road when they meet the Browns. Cincinnati is 12-5 ATS in their past 17 on the road, including a cover at Green Bay in Week 3. The Browns are 2-8 ATS in their past 10 at home, 5-15-1 ATS in their past 21 against AFC foes and 3-12-1 ATS across the past 16 inside the division. Cincinnati has covered five straight in the series, the favorite is 4-0 ATS in the past four and the under has hit in each of the past four meeting at First Energy Stadium.

-- The Titans won and covered for the second straight game in Week 3, and they look to make it four in a row against the Texans in Houston. The Titans are just 4-21-3 ATS in their past 28 against teams with a losing overall record. TheTexans are 8-3-1 ATS in their past 12 inside the division, but just 1-4 ATS across their past five at home. The favorite has hit in six straight in this series, and the over is 5-1 in the past six meetings in Houston.

-- The Lions look to rebound at U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis against the Vikings. The Lions hope to change their luck at a new venue, as they're just 3-7-2 ATS in their past 12 visits to the Twin Cities. The under is 4-0 in the past four meetings in Minneapolis, and 6-1 over the past seven overall in the series.

-- After a horrific performance in D.C., the Raiders look to rebound against the Broncos in Denver in Week 4. The road team is 12-5-1 ATS in the past 18 in this series, but the favorite is 8-1-1 ATS in the past 10 overall between the AFC West rivals. The Raiders are also just 2-8-1 ATS in the past 11 in this series, and 1-3-1 ATS in the past five trips to the Mile High City.
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Books dominate Week 3
September 25, 2017


Sorry bettors, I hate to say it because I'm always rooting for you, but y'all had no chance in Week 3 of NFL action. The burial started early with a 6:30 am PT start time in London when the Jaguars (+3) won 44-7 over the Ravens and it continued on through the morning as underdogs would go 9-1 ATS with seven of them winning outright. It was one of the largest Sunday regular season wins the Las Vegas sports books have ever seen.

"If the Redskins get there for us it will be on of the top-three regular season days I've ever seen," said MGM Resorts race and sports VP Jay Rood. "I had only one red mark on sheet for the day which I rarely ever see."

The game Rood's books lost on in the early games was surprisingly the Saints (+6) at Carolina. That's it. Almost everything the majority of betters keyed on Sunday ended up a loser. And the books also got some larger favorites to lose outright.

"We almost had a 13-point favorite go down," said Westgate SuperBook VP Jay Kornegay of the Patriots come-from-behind, 36-33 win against the Texans. "It was a really solid weekend. We got the 5-6-and-7-point favorite to lose outright, something we desperately needed but didn't get last week. Parity in the NFL is big for us. Last week we had teams hold true to form, week 1 was a mixed bag of results and so was week 3."

The biggest bet game of the day at William Hill's 108 sports books across the state was Denver (-3.5) at Buffalo taking 16 percent of Sunday's action. Denver had 82 percent of the tickets written on them after abusing Dallas the week before, but it was Denver's first road game and the Bills held serve with a 26-16 win.

"The day got started well for us when the Broncos lost at Buffalo," said Stratosphere oddsmaker Hugh Citron. "That was the big game for us, and you could just feel the air let out of the room when Buffalo got the win."

Next up on William Hill's list of risk was the Raiders visiting Washington with 11 percent of the wagers, and of course the popular Raiders had 91 percent of the tickets written on them. Washington jumped out to a 21-0 lead and won 27-10. They yardage favoring Washington, 472-128, shows how one sided the game really was.

"We needed the Redskins for a big decision,' said Station Casinos sports book director Jason McCormick. "The Bears win was big big killing money-line parlays and teasers. The Bills were also a huge win. Falcons was our worst game, but overall it was a big day and if Redskins get the upset it'll be a monster day."

Who knows what a monster day is, but let's just call it at least seven figures for each of the major sports book chains. The books almost got the clean sweep of favorites failing to cover early when the Lions appeared to pull out the last second win, but an official review negated a Lions TD and Atlanta (-3) held on for a 30-26 win.

The Steelers' 23-17 overtime loss at Chicago (+7) was also a shocker just because Pittsburgh was pegged as a team to dethrone the Patriots in the AFC. They looked lost and sluggish throughout the game while the Bears were playing with some serious intensity. William Hill had 79 percent of all tickets written on the game taking the Steelers.

"The Steelers loss was huge and set the tone for us because it knocked out teasers and big money-line parlays," said Rood. "Those guys that beat us up last week with the big money-line parlays took it on the chin this week."

Sunday's big win for the house was continuation from a solid Saturday of college football action.

"We had a nice two days back-to-back which has been a rarity lately," Rood said. "We didn't have a lot of winning Saturday's last season, so to have one followed up by a great Sunday was nice to see."

Just like Sunday's key games for the house that knocked out parlays, Saturday had one as well.

"The game that stood out the most just because of setting the tone on the day was Oklahoma State (-11) losing to TCU," said Rood. "We had some late sharp play on TCU, but overall, it had a huge impact just because of parlay risk extending throughout the day."
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Pats' Tom Brady calls Trump's NFL comments 'just divisive'
September 25, 2017


BOSTON (AP) New England Patriots quarterback Tom Brady is at odds with President Donald Trump on the issue of player protests of the national anthem, calling Trump's comments ''just divisive.''

Brady tells Boston's WEEI-FM that he ''certainly'' disagrees with Trump's comment that NFL owners should fire any player who refuses to stand for the anthem.

Patriots locked arms with some teammates during the ''Star Spangled Banner'' on Sunday against the Texans while other players kneeled.

Brady has called Trump a ''good friend'' in the past and one of Trump's ''Make America Great Again'' hats was spotted in Brady's locker in 2015. Trump has often praised the quarterback on social media.

Brady skipped a White House visit with Trump in April when the team celebrated its fifth Super Bowl title.
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Falcons clip Lions in controversial ending
September 24, 2017


DETROIT (AP) The Atlanta Falcons escaped Detroit, holding on for a win thanks in part to an NFL rule that went in their favor.

Matthew Stafford's pass to Golden Tate was ruled to be just short of the end zone in the final seconds after a review, allowing Atlanta to beat the Lions 30-26 on Sunday.

The call on the field was touchdown when Stafford connected with Tate on a slant from the 1 with 8 seconds left, but it was overturned because the receiver was down before the football reached the goal line. By rule, 10 seconds had to run off the clock and that ended the game because Detroit didn't have any timeouts.

''Had the call on the field been correct initially, the clock would have run out,'' FOX analyst Dean Blandino, an ex-NFL officiating chief, explained in a tweet: ''That's the spirit of the rule.''

Lions coach Jim Caldwell agreed that the call was made correctly and the rule was applied properly. He added, though, that Stafford could have taken another snap if the call on the field was made correctly initially that Tate was down inside the 1.

''Certainly,'' Caldwell said. ''We practice it all the time.''

Cornerback Desmond Trufant, who extended Detroit's last drive with two penalties, was unaware of the rule that proved to be favorable for the Falcons.

''I thought we were going to have to play another down,'' Trufant acknowledged.

The defending NFC champion Falcons (3-0) overcame Matt Ryan's three interceptions and many other mistakes.

Trufant was called for pass interference in the end zone on a third-and-10 from the Atlanta 19, giving the Lions a first down at the 1 with 19 seconds left. Trufant was flagged for holding on a second-and-30 from the Falcons 38 earlier in the drive, allowing Detroit pick up a first down.

Detroit (2-1) never led in the game, and failed to pull off another comeback in the fourth quarter.

''I wish I could've gotten us in,'' Stafford said. ''It's kind of what I do, and didn't get it done.''

END OF A STREAK


Ryan hadn't thrown an interception in nine games, including three games during the last postseason, before getting picked off three times at Ford Field. Safety Glover Quin stepped in front of one pass and returned it 37 yards for a score in the second quarter, cutting Atlanta's lead to 17-13. His other two interceptions were deflected, one through Mohamed Sanu's hands. Ryan finished 24 of 35 for 294 yards with a tiebreaking, 40-yard TD pass to Taylor Gabriel early in the fourth on a screen and a 4-yard strike to Sanu early in the game.

RUNNING FREE

Devonta Freeman scored on a 1-yard run to put Atlanta up 17-3 in the second quarter and finished with 106 yards rushing - 35 more than Detroit's entire team had on the ground.

BY THE NUMBERS

Stafford was 25 of 45, missing some targets and having Eric Ebron drop two, for 264 yards and an 11-yard TD pass to Tate in the third quarter that cut Atlanta's lead to 23-20. Ameer Abdullah had 14 carries for 47 yards after running for 86 yards Monday night in a win over the New York Giants. Detroit's Darius Slay picked off two deflected passes, matching his total number of interceptions in each of the previous three seasons.

TAKING A KNEE

Detroiter Rico Lavelle, who sang the anthem, added a new layer to pregame protests around the league. Just before finishing the song and belting out ''brave,'' Lavelle went down on his right knee, bowed his head and raised his right fist wrapped around the microphone. Eight Lions and two Falcons also took a knee on the sideline as owners for both teams locked arms with players and coaches.

INJURIES

Falcons: Atlanta was without three starters: defensive end Vic Beasley (hamstring), defensive end Courtney Upshaw (knee/ankle) and Ryan Schraeder (concussion). The Falcons appeared to miss Schraeder in particular because his replacement, Ty Sambrailo, gave up two sacks in the first half.

Lions: Detroit was also missing a trio of first-string players: linebacker Jarrad Davis (concussion), safety Tavon Wilson (shoulder) and center Travis Swanson (ankle). Lions defensive end Anthony Zettel left the game with an injured right knee, but was able to return.

UP NEXT

Falcons: Host Buffalo next Sunday.

Lions: Play at Minnesota next Sunday.
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Old 09-25-2017, 05:34 PM
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NFL

Monday, September 25


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Monday Night Football Betting Preview and Odds: Cowboys at Cardinals
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Dallas Cowboys at Arizona Cardinals (+3, 46.5)

The optics that resonated from Ezekiel Elliott's lack of effort in chasing down defenders on a pair of interceptions painted a significantly worse picture than that of his career-worst eight-yard rushing performance. The 2016 NFL rushing leader aims to brush off that unattractive look on Monday as the Dallas Cowboys pay a visit to the Arizona Cardinals.

"I would say I was just very frustrated, but that's no excuse for the lack of effort I showed on tape," said Elliott, who was shown with hands on hips and walking in the other direction on one interception while remaining on the ground on another in Dallas' 42-17 loss to Denver last week. Elliott's lack of rushing (from scrimmage) played a significant role in Dak Prescott attempting a career-high 50 passes last week. While the Cowboys struggled on the road last week, the Cardinals are embracing the idea of playing their first home game since a preseason tilt on Aug. 19. "It seemed longer than that, too, but it's just good that we finally get a chance to play in front of our home crowd, on our grass. ... It's been a long four weeks, no doubt," Cardinals quarterback Carson Palmer said.

TV:
8:30 p.m. ET, ESPN.

POWER RANKINGS:
Cowboys (-4) - Cardinals (0.5) + home field (-3) = Cowboys -1.5

LINE HISTORY:
The Cowboys opened as 3.5-point road chalk dropping to an even 3 on Monday and hasn’t moved since. The total hit the betting board at 47.5 and has been bet down a full point to 46.5.

INJURY REPORT:


Cowboys - CB Orlando Scandrick (Probable, Hand), QB Dak Prescott (Probable, Ankle), WR Terrance Williams (Questionable, Ankle), DT Stephen Paea (Questionable, Knee), CB Chidobe Awuzie (Questionable, Hamstring), CB Nolan Carroll (Out, Concussion).

Cardinals - LB Deone Bucannon (Probable, Ankle), TE Jermaine Gresham (Probable, Ribs), WR Jaron Brown (Probable, Knee), LB Karlos Dansby (Probable, Hip), WR J.J. Nelson (Questionable, Hamstring), T D.J. Humphries (Questionable, Knee), G Mike Iupati (Questionable, Tricep), WR John Brown (Out, Quadricep).

WEATHER REPORT:


Dome.

ABOUT THE COWBOYS (1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS, 1-1 O/U):
Tight end Jason Witten has been the primary beneficiary of Prescott's penchant to air it out this season, with the Dallas quarterback's 89 pass attempts trailing only Green Bay's Aaron Rodgers (92). The 35-year-old Witten leads the NFL with 17 receptions through two games and his two receiving scores are tied for second best in the league. Dez Bryant found the end zone last week and scored in each of his last two encounters with Arizona, although the wideout is expected to be shadowed throughout Monday's game by All-Pro cornerback Patrick Peterson. Orlando Scandrick is on pace to return after a one-game absence because of a broken left hand, perhaps just in time as fellow cornerback Nolan Carroll remains in the NFL's concussion protocol.

ABOUT THE CARDINALS (1-1 SU, 0-2 ATS, 1-1 O/U):
Perhaps the comforts of home will alter the fortunes of Palmer, who has thrown just two touchdowns against four interceptions this season and is coming off being sacked four times in Arizona's 16-13 overtime win over Indianapolis. J.J. Nelson stepped up versus the Colts, reeling in five catches for 120 yards with a touchdown en route to being named the NFC Offensive Player of the Week. The need for production from the Cardinals' passing game is underscored by the loss of the versatile David Johnson in the season opener. Veteran Chris Johnson, who showed a burst with 11 carries for 44 yards last week, is expected to receive a bigger workload at the expense of fellow running back Kerwynn Williams.

TRENDS:

* Cowboys are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games.

* Cardinals are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 Monday games.

* Under is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 Monday games.

* Under is 10-2 in Cardinals last 12 home games.

* Home team is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 meetings.

CONSENSUS: The public is siding with the road chalk Cowboys Lions at a rate of 60 percent and the Under is picking up 53 percent of the totals action.
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Old 09-25-2017, 05:36 PM
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NFL opening line report: Steelers take early money as road faves in Week 4
Patrick Everson

"The public will be all over Pittsburgh coming off its loss, and the early smart money has been too."

Week 3 of the NFL season was a huge one for the underdogs, who had gone 11-4 ATS heading into the Monday nighter, including seven outright winners. Will the pups keep it up in Week 4? We check in on the opening lines of four matchups, with insights from Scott Cooley, odds consultant for offshore sportsbook Bookmaker.eu.

Pittsburgh Steelers at Baltimore Ravens (+2)

These two teams are coming off stunning losses in Week 3, heading into this clash of NFC North rivals at 1 p.m. ET Sunday. Pittsburgh, among the favorites to challenge New England for the AFC title, was on the road for the second time in three weeks and had another substandard showing against a subpar outfit. The Steelers (2-1 SU, 1-2 ATS) lost to Chicago 23-17 in overtime as a 7-point favorite.

It was arguably much worse for Baltimore, especially since the flight home was far longer. The Ravens (2-1 SU and ATS) went to Jacksonville’s second home – London – as a 3-point favorite and left on the very short end of a 44-7 trampling.

“The public doesn’t want to bet on Baltimore. The offense is mundane, and the squares don’t like to bet on good defenses,” Cooley said. “At some point, we’ll probably see some value players get behind a Ravens team that was absolutely embarrassed. The public will be all over Pittsburgh coming off its loss, and the early smart money has been too.”

Indeed, the number bumped to Steelers -2.5 Sunday night.

Carolina Panthers at New England Patriots (-8)

New England has played two games at home this season and is fortunate to have split those contests. The Patriots (2-1 SU, 1-2 ATS) got all they could handle from Houston on Sunday, needing a last-minute Tom Brady-to-Brandin Cooks 25-yard touchdown pass to post a 36-33 win as a heavy 13.5-point home chalk.

Carolina lost tight end Greg Olsen to a broken foot in Week 2, and the hits kept coming in Week 3 as Kelvin Benjamin left in the first half with a knee injury. Benjamin’s injury is not thought to be serious, but the Panthers (2-1 SU, 1-2 ATS) got drubbed by New Orleans 34-13 as a 5-point home fave.

“We were certainly going to be north of a touchdown, and this one could shoot up sooner rather than later,” Cooley said of the line for Panthers-Pats. “It will be interesting to see if the Panthers can get out of their offensive funk.”

Oakland Raiders at Denver Broncos (no line)

Both these AFC West rivals were road favorites in Week 3 and ended up on the short side, on the scoreboard and for bettors. Oakland (2-1 SU and ATS) had its roll slowed at Washington in a 27-20 loss as a 3.5-point favorite, while Denver (2-1 SU and ATS) – coming off an impressive home win over Dallas – looked unimpressive in a 26-16 loss at Buffalo laying 3.5 points.

Since Oakland was in the Sunday nighter, Bookmaker.eu held off on setting a line, though Cooley had an opinion.

“Look for the Broncos to be short chalk at home,” he said. “Denver certainly has a distinct advantage at Mile High, but our ratings have the Raiders a few spots higher in the pecking order.”

Washington Redskins at Kansas City Chiefs (-7)

Kansas City is looking a lot like the team that went 12-4 SU in the regular season last year. For the second time in three weeks, the Chiefs (3-0 SU and ATS) won and cashed on the road, this time besting the Los Angeles Chargers 24-10 as a 3-point chalk.

Washington (2-1 SU and ATS) also looked plenty sharp in Week 3, knocking off Oakland 27-10 as a 3.5-point home underdog in the Sunday night contest.

“Again, we’ll make sure nothing significant occurs regarding injuries with Washington, but Kansas City will be a healthy favorite regardless,” Cooley said. “The Chiefs look to be one of the best teams in the league early in this season, and bettors are taking notice. We’ll open K.C. as 6- to 7-point chalk.”

Indeed, when the line opened for this Monday night contest it hit the board with the Chiefs installed as 7-point home favorites.

************************

NFL Week 3 betting data with 1 game left:

O/U: 11-4

Home Teams: 11-4 SU & 9-6 ATS

Faves: 8-7 SU & 4-11 ATS

Home dogs: 6-3 SU & 7-2 ATS
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Old 09-25-2017, 05:38 PM
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NFL Record For Sept......Based on 5 units ( Best Bets and Opinons )

09/24/2017...........16-6-0..............72.73%..........+47.00

09/21/2017.............0-2-0................0.00%...........-11.00

09/17/2017.............5-7-0..............41.67%............-13.50

09/14/2017.............0-2-0...............0.00%............-11.00

09/11/2017.............2-1-1..............66.67%...........+4.50

09/10/2017.............14-10-0...........58.33%..........+15.00

09/07/2017.............2-0-0..............100.00%.........+10.00


Totals...................39 - 28 - 1...........58.20%...........+ 41.00


Best Bets:

Date...........................ATS......TOTAL..... ..... ......O/U.......TOTAL..........TOTALS


09/24/2017.................5 - 1.....+19.50............3 - 1.........+9.50............+29.00

09/21/2017.................0 - 1.....-5.50...............0 - 1.........-5.50............. -.11.00

09/17/2017.................1 - 2......-6.00..............3 - 3........-1.50...............- 7.50

09/14/2017.................0 - 1......-5.50..............0 - 1........-5.50..............- 11.00

Best Bets Total.............6 - 5......+2.50............6 - 6.........-2.50................-0.50


Dog Of The Month........1 - 0

Total Of the Day...........1 - 0



MONDAY, SEPTEMBER 25

GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

DAL at ARI 08:30 PM

DAL -2.5 *****

U 46.5 *****
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Old 09-25-2017, 11:52 PM
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Dak Prescott shines in Cowboys' victory over Cardinals

The Dallas Cowboys' high-flying offense hit its stride in the second half of a 28-17 victory over the Arizona Cardinals on Monday night. Here's what we learned from the game:

1. Dak Prescott had one of his best games throwing on the run of his young career. The second-year passer connected twice with Brice Butler, first for a touchdown and later for a massive gain on a drive that ended in a touchdown run from Ezekiel Elliott that crushed Arizona's comeback hopes. Prescott also rushed for a touchdown, front-flipping over a defender and the goalline in one of his most complete games of the season. While other components of Dallas' offense (and defense) still work on putting things together, Prescott is showing his rookie season was no fluke.

2. Dallas found unusual success with base rushes against Arizona's offensive line, which struggled mightily on the edges and forced Palmer to constantly step up to avoid being sacked. Demarcus Lawrence was a terror off the edge, recording three sacks and getting to Palmer many more times than that. With 6.5 sacks in three games, Lawrence is in the middle of the race for the sack crown as we near the quarter pole. Maliek Collins was right behind Lawrence on Monday night with two sacks of his own.

3. Dallas' frequent pressure, which included six sacks was visibly affecting Palmer, who lofted a pass off his back foot with room to step into a third-down throw, underthrowing an open receiver. He was effective on a drive late in the fourth, despite the pressure, but the next possession went down in flames after a three-man rush got to Palmer on third down, effectively ending Arizona's comeback hopes. Another three-man rush ran right around Cardinals tackles John Wetzel and Jared Veldheer on the Cardinals' next drive, and a five-man attack resulted in another sack shortly thereafter on a night to forget for the two tackles.

4. Has Larry Fitzgerald aged at all? The wideout caught 13 passes for 149 yards and a touchdown, including an outrageous grab in which he took the ball from Orlando Scandrick in mid-air, bobbling it off his forearm before securing it once on the ground. The catch extended a Cardinals drive that resulted in a Phil Dawson field goal. The 34-year-old passed Marvin Harrison for eighth place on the NFL's all-time receiving yards list with his touchdown grab (hat tip, @NFLResearch) and was a frequent target of Palmer's, who is as Around the NFL's Marc Sessler tweeted one of the league's more entertaining quarterbacks to watch, win or lose. We'll miss Fitz once he hangs it up.

5. It might just be me (I don't think it is), but through three games, Ezekiel Elliott has looked a step slow. Save for a 30-yard run in the first half, he again struggled to get going until the fourth-quarter drive that put the game away. Elliott did look more like his rookie-season self on that drive, breaking tackles on his two carries inside the 15, first for seven yards and then for eight, with the latter finishing in the end zone. Elliott's top speeds -- 17.84 mph maximum, which came in Week 1, per Next Gen Stats -- seem to agree with this notion. His max speeds were up and down through most of last season (as expected), but he'd neared 19 mph by Week 3 of last season. In eight of those weeks, he was above 19. He hit a 17.69 maximum on Monday and hasn't cracked 18 so far this season, which has a lot to do with ...

6. The Cowboys' offensive line. This is a unit that just isn't where it was last season at this time, and misses Ron Leary and Doug Free. The hope is they'll get it going -- considering the talent that remains within the group, they will -- but right now, they aren't consistently creating opportunities for Elliott to run. Fortunately, they're protecting one of the better mobile quarterbacks who is improving by the week.
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Old 09-26-2017, 12:12 AM
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NFL Record For Sept......Based on 5 units ( Best Bets and Opinons )

09/25/2017.............2-0-0............100.00%..........+10.00

09/24/2017...........16-6-0..............72.73%..........+47.00

09/21/2017.............0-2-0................0.00%...........-11.00

09/17/2017.............5-7-0..............41.67%............-13.50

09/14/2017.............0-2-0...............0.00%............-11.00

09/11/2017.............2-1-1..............66.67%...........+4.50

09/10/2017.............14-10-0...........58.33%..........+15.00

09/07/2017.............2-0-0..............100.00%.........+10.00


Totals...................41 - 28 - 1...........59.42%...........+ 51.00


Best Bets:

Date...........................ATS......TOTAL..... ..... ......O/U.......TOTAL..........TOTALS

09/25/2017.................1 - 0.....+5.00..............1 - 0........+5.00.............+10.00

09/24/2017.................5 - 1.....+19.50............3 - 1.........+9.50............+29.00

09/21/2017.................0 - 1.....-5.50...............0 - 1.........-5.50............. -.11.00

09/17/2017.................1 - 2......-6.00..............3 - 3........-1.50...............- 7.50

09/14/2017.................0 - 1......-5.50..............0 - 1........-5.50..............- 11.00


Best Bets Total.............7 - 5......+7.50............7 - 6.........+2.50................+9.00


Dog Of The Month........1 - 0

Total Of the Day...........1 - 0
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