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Old 01-20-2010, 03:22 PM
Straight Gun Slinger
 
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Conf Championship Angles....

Here are some things to consider when betting this weekend.

*HF of 3-9.5pts are 13-8 SU,ATS. The SU WINNER is 21-0 ATS.

*The OVER is 21-13 since '92 conf champ gms. Only TWICE in 17 yrs has both games went Under.

*The last 5 gms w/ the #1 seed hosting, its 5-0 Over, avg 52ppg

*Totals above 46 are 8-2 OVER, Totals of 37-41 are 7-1-1 OVER

*The bettin public is just 12-20 since '93 when moving the line on totals, so fade the line move

*Home teams that score 30>pts are 11-0 SU,ATS. If score 20-29 they are just 5-8 ATS.

*Road teams that score 16> are 14-6 ATS, if they dont they are 3-10 ATS

*Home teams that have 14 or more reg season Wins are 4-4SU, 2-6 ATS, none of those 8 teams have scored 30>pts

*No road team that has won 11 or fewer gms (post-season included), has won this game. They are 0-5 SU, 1-4 ATS

*Road Teams with 3 or fewer Losses in reg season are 5-0 SU,ATS

*Teams who have the better YPR are just 5-15 ATS *** yrs

*Teams w/ the better turn-over differential have a advantage. 21-11 ATS

*Team w/ the better Pass Yds/Att allowed are 13-5 ATS L9 yrs

*If a team has a better turn-over differentional and allowed fewer YPR they are 15-6 ATS (if this team is the visitor its 6-0 ATS)
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Old 01-20-2010, 04:50 PM
Shhhh!!
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ryhenry09 View Post

*The OVER is 21-13 since '92 conf champ gms. Only TWICE in 17 yrs has both games went Under.
Not really a historic trend guy, but this one is nice .........
NO/Arz over
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