+EV Teasers

[akillies]

wheel the following teams in 3team [6 pt] teasers at +180 odds
hou -2.5
tenn 7.5
pit 7.5
sd -2.5
make sure to get these numbers or better

[akillies]

Analysis of the data shows, simple basic strategy no longer is profitable. Simply eliminating rf [road fav] and hd [home dogs] results in a profitable situation, however it will yield very few plays. This is a very good week for teasers, with many qualifying plays. Last year the results of this were verry profitable.

[Dr. Jack]

I like these types of threads. Good luck this weekend and season.

[akillies]

just trying to help some people out

[BrewMan]

Love it akillies! Thanks!

[resteasy]

az -1 I'd add.
Also NE tease the over/under down and take the over. Or take NE at -.5

[civilian000]

what about Tampa +4.5 ??

[akillies]

Originally Posted by resteasy

az -1 I'd add.
Also NE tease the over/under down and take the over. Or take NE at -.5

while ne is a bs teaser qualifier under the old rules, the new data shows rf to be unprofitable and should not be played. stay away from totals.

[akillies]

Originally Posted by civilian000

what about Tampa +4.5 ??

teasing a -1/-1.5 fav is a bad idea. a case could be made for taking det +1.5.

[PICKSBYPETE]

Thanks and best of luck today and for the entire season.

[Minet12x]

Great info Cash'em BIG today

[akillies]

bad week for teasers overall. pitt gets blown out to ruin the wheel, for a total loss of 1.2.
three losers 3 x 1.0
one winner 1 x 1.8
net -1.2

[August West]

Akillies...respect your opinion. Is it better to just bet these blind (those that cross the 3 & 7) and hope for the best?

[akillies]

Originally Posted by August West

Akillies...respect your opinion. Is it better to just bet these blind (those that cross the 3 & 7) and hope for the best?

no, just follow the rules in the first two posts and you will win.

[akillies]

bad week for teasers with so many blowouts. 3/4 is a loss of 1.2, but 75% will be profitable in the long run. i actually made money on teasers this week, 5dimes had miami at +14.5 on 6pt +100 teasers. they dont let you play bs teasers, so they overcompensate to discourage patriot $.