extended write-up Titans/Colts

mickey · #1 10-11-2009, 06:20 PM

Hope since I'm over-doing this game(since i already posted this play earlier) that it don't come back to bite my ass.

VERY CRUTHIAL TO THIS POST: http://2rfamily.com/images/Colts.jpg

The Titans made David Garrard look like Peyton Manning last week. This week, they make Manning look like Manning. He has to be licking his chops against that secondary. The one concern here is this game is the Titans season. Lose, and they are done. But they're not good enough to stop the Colts.Colts QB Peyton Manning should have success against a Titans defense that has given up 300-plus yards passing in three out of four games. The Titans could try to establish the run early with Chris Johnson and test the Colts' defense, which held the Seahawks to 49 yards rushing yards on 19 carries.

The Colts on the other hand are smoking hot with 13 straight regular season wins and Peyton Manning is on fire. His cast of recievers has changed, but as always, he makes any average WR better. His QB rating of 114 is one of the best in the NFL while his Titan counterpart Kerry Collins is back to his old form with paltry 68 rating with more interceptions than touchdowns. Bob Sanders is licking his chops about right now.

To add more misery for the Titans, they have injury issues at cornerback for this game asd well as linebacker issues, not a good sign of things to come when playing the high octane, highly productive Colts offense pounding out 29 points a game against a defense allowing 34 points a game.. The Colts defense in the last 3 games has given up only 16 ppg, and in a twist of fate for the Titans, they have allowed an average of 31.

Last year Indy came into Nashville and won 23-0 and while I think the offense of Tennessee will score some points here as they have shown some production on offense, they simply have shown no ability to stop anyone on the other side of the ball and will lose their 5th straight this Sunday.

Not so good trends for the Colts against Tennessee (hope that changes tonight):

#1)-The Colts, visiting Tennessee, are just 5-12 ATS in their last 17 AFC South contests. They’ve also failed to cover in their last three trips to Nashville.
#2)-The Titans have cashed just once in their last six games, dating to last season, but they remain on positive ATS runs of 7-1 as a home pup and 8-0 as a ‘dog of 3.5 to 10 points.
#3)-ALSO (BUT HELP IS ON THE WAY FOR MY COLTS ) :The Titans are stuck in ATS ruts of 1-5 overall, 0-4 in division play, 0-4 after a SU loss and 1-5 against AFC foes, but they still hold positive ATS streaks of 7-1 as a home pup and 8-0 when catching 3½ to 10 points. The Colts are on pointspread surges of 5-1-1 on the highway, 5-1-1 against losing teams and 8-2 in October, but they’ve gone just 5-12 ATS in their last 17 division tilts (0-1 ATS in the division this year).

"Over/Under" trends:

Indianapolis is on “over” runs of 4-0 against losing teams, 4-1 in October and 5-2 inside the division, and the over for Tennessee is on tears of 4-1 at home, 9-3-1 as a home ‘dog, 23-10-1 in October, 37-17-1 after a SU loss and 42-20-1 following an ATS setback.

COLTS-3.5
OVER 44 (SMALL LEAN ON BOTH PLAYS)