Go Back   Sports Handicapping Forum > Sports Picks > NFL Football

NFL Football NFL Handicapping - Post your NFL picks, talk NFL betting, anything NFL.

Reply
 
LinkBack Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 10-14-2009, 01:20 AM
anti-public picks
 
Join Date: Jun 2004
Location: california
Posts: 1,964
Rewards: 723
Favored by what?

Last week we saw the cowboys giving up 8.5 to the chiefs on the road when they had no business being favored by that much.

this week i look at the jags laying 10 to the pathetic rams. I know the rams are bad but the 2-3 Jaguars laying double digits?

another one is the j-e-t-s laying 10 to a divisional rival bills that seems to be spiraling down. But the jets are coming back to earth as was evident on monday night with the hype of sanchize who remember is just a rookie with unimpressive stats and inability to put up points consistently. And the hyped up defense that I bought into with the best cb and comparisons to the old ravens d couldnt even stop the wildcat.

was laying 6.5 to kc.

Anybody else care to share an overpriced favorite?
__________________

MLB (0-0)
NFL(3-1) +52.6 units

Ncaab(2-0) +37 units
5unit(small)10unit(regular)15unit(big)
gow(3-0) gom(1-0) goy(0-0)
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 10-14-2009, 02:19 AM
Retired
 
Join Date: Jan 2003
Posts: 10,638
Rewards: 859
Laying pts on the road is a different animal than laying pts at home and Im sure you know that.

I might agree you with you on this weeks angle with Buffalo catching 10 since they just lost 6-3 at home to Cleveland so they should probably be getting more but that Jax line should raise a red flag since they just got clocked 41-0.....Rams are really sad. There will be a better spot down the road to play the Rams and this isnt one of them IMO. GL Jag

__________________
2012
NBA 67-94 -56.45*
NCAAB 96-71 +41.53*
NHL 16-29 -8.42*
MLB 0-1 -1.00*
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 10-14-2009, 08:53 AM
<---- Juice Drinker
 
Join Date: Sep 2006
Posts: 460
Rewards: 50
Jags are 3-2 ATS
Rams are 1-4 ATS

Some teams cover spread, some don't. The Rams fall into the latter category.
__________________
2009 NFL
19-16 -0.7 units

2009 NCAA Football
8-8 -3.3 units

2009 - 2010 NBA
1-1 -.1 units

Non Posted Plays
256-0 +25,600 units
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 10-14-2009, 09:24 AM
anti-public picks
 
Join Date: Jun 2004
Location: california
Posts: 1,964
Rewards: 723
good input guys
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 10-14-2009, 09:39 AM
Registered User
 
Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: California
Posts: 14,389
Rewards: 3,355
Rams cover this week. They have been getting better and better each week. This is the week they get a win. Jacksonville got blown out by an average to worse then average team in Seattle. I like the Rams in this spot and they have to win sooner or later.
__________________
It is what it is.
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 10-14-2009, 12:20 PM
tommyGunn
 
Join Date: Sep 2009
Location: So Cal
Posts: 527
Rewards: 52
that jags line is a joke. i had the game a pick. the rams fumbled 2x inside the 5 vs an excellent D. take the points. but put buffalo on your no play list - u'll be pissed losing $ on a lousy team. plus look for the jets d and 9ers d to bounce back big!!!
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 10-14-2009, 12:22 PM
Mod-A-Famer
 
Join Date: Aug 2003
Location: rochester ny
Posts: 15,800
Rewards: 1,725
Quote:
buffalo
They are horrid !! lol
__________________
DEFIANCE

"The Great One"

W-I-N
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 10-14-2009, 12:23 PM
Mod-A-Famer
 
Join Date: Aug 2003
Location: rochester ny
Posts: 15,800
Rewards: 1,725
You guys should have seen cats face when he took the over 2nd half cle/buf game... LMAO those fukers were running backwards....
__________________
DEFIANCE

"The Great One"

W-I-N
Reply With Quote
  #9  
Old 10-14-2009, 12:29 PM
tommyGunn
 
Join Date: Sep 2009
Location: So Cal
Posts: 527
Rewards: 52
Steel - a hard earned tip from a 20 year sicko. only make half time bets that gain value. ie. Game total was 40 half time score 17 10 half time total is 20. now the game total is 47 (17+10+20) u gain 7 points on the book. it's best to do with favs trailing at half. this year i've only bet ht plays that gain value and i'm 27-9. u'll miss some plays but your % will improve big
Reply With Quote
  #10  
Old 10-14-2009, 07:59 PM
Phuck it!
 
Join Date: Dec 2005
Location: OKC
Posts: 10,297
Rewards: 1,996
Quote:
Originally Posted by MtrCtyPimp View Post
Laying pts on the road is a different animal than laying pts at home and Im sure you know that.

I might agree you with you on this weeks angle with Buffalo catching 10 since they just lost 6-3 at home to Cleveland so they should probably be getting more but that Jax line should raise a red flag since they just got clocked 41-0.....Rams are really sad. There will be a better spot down the road to play the Rams and this isnt one of them IMO. GL Jag

Agreed! Rams are damn bad! Jags are bad too. IMO, at first glance this game is a no bet......
__________________
2012 MLB: 153-146-8 -18.5u Last Updated: 5/27/12
2011 NBA: 53-58-4 Last Updated: 5/6/12
2011 NHL: 203-194-5 -6.87u Last Updated: 4/18/12

Disclaimer: Fade me or trail me, but you do so at your own risk! This is gambling and trust me you could lose, just ask my bookie! No "megastar galaxy lock of the years or game of the week/year, unless otherwise posted I play everything to win 1 unit! If you lose trailing me, I don't want to hear any crying!
Reply With Quote
  #11  
Old 10-14-2009, 08:03 PM
Registered User
 
Join Date: Nov 2004
Location: Sacramento, CA
Posts: 16,838
Rewards: 3,093
Quote:
Originally Posted by Trossi3389 View Post
You guys should have seen cats face when he took the over 2nd half cle/buf game... LMAO those fukers were running backwards....


The -25yd punt return was awesome!!
Reply With Quote
  #12  
Old 10-14-2009, 08:11 PM
Mod-A-Famer
 
Join Date: Aug 2003
Location: rochester ny
Posts: 15,800
Rewards: 1,725
Quote:
Originally Posted by Ron Mexico View Post


The -25yd punt return was awesome!!
lol ... it was classic !!
__________________
DEFIANCE

"The Great One"

W-I-N
Reply With Quote
  #13  
Old 10-15-2009, 09:59 AM
<---- Juice Drinker
 
Join Date: Sep 2006
Posts: 460
Rewards: 50
Quote:
Originally Posted by Steel View Post
I like the Rams in this spot and they have to win sooner or later.
No they don't - see 2008 Detroit Lions.
__________________
2009 NFL
19-16 -0.7 units

2009 NCAA Football
8-8 -3.3 units

2009 - 2010 NBA
1-1 -.1 units

Non Posted Plays
256-0 +25,600 units
Reply With Quote
  #14  
Old 10-19-2009, 12:56 AM
anti-public picks
 
Join Date: Jun 2004
Location: california
Posts: 1,964
Rewards: 723
bump
Reply With Quote
  #15  
Old 10-20-2009, 11:54 PM
anti-public picks
 
Join Date: Jun 2004
Location: california
Posts: 1,964
Rewards: 723
last week i thought Nyj , was, and Jax were favored by too much. all three lost ats and 2 out of 3 lost SU.

Week 7 overpriced favorites

Nyj -7/-6 on the road. Jets are spiraling down and sanchize is playing like a rookie. Lost kris jenkins for the year. Raiders have played decent at home other than the denver game and are coming in confident with the defense playing well. I was expecting nyj -3. Public on the jets yet line is going down.

Greenbay -7 on the road. Coming off a shutout ag hapless lions with no stafford. Defense is still getting to rodgers and getting sacked. Anderson looked decent at pit last week. Non conference game with the vikings on deck spells trouble for grb imo.
Reply With Quote
Reply

Bookmarks

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Trackbacks are On
Pingbacks are On
Refbacks are On



All times are GMT -5. The time now is 12:58 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.7
Copyright ©2000 - 2012, vBulletin Solutions, Inc.