Favorite & Underdog Play

[mickey]

NY Giants at Kansas City

Hard not to love the perfect, 3-0, Giants, especially with KC in the midst of a very tough stretch.Despite more than a few injuries, they’re firing on all cylinders. Most recently, they systematically dismantled the Buccaneers.

The Chiefs are 0-3 & are rebuilding mode and it shows as their offense is inconsistent and their defense porous. The Giants have been playing well defensively and have found some receiving weapons.

NY Giants-9

NY Jets at New Orleans

A great defense always beats a great offense. It’s that simple.

Take notice: this Jets’ defense will challenge for the no. 1 ranking this season. It’s no fluke. They completely shut down both the Texans and Patriots in weeks one and two. The Texans ranked third in the league in yards last season with over 380 per game. Ryan’s “organized chaos” defense held them to 183 and no points. Houston’s only score came on a pick-six. Texans’ quarterback Matt Schaub had just 166 yards and an interception in that game, though he’s topped 300 yards in each of the two succeeding contests. He’s also thrown seven touchdown passes and just one interception since his meeting with the green gangsters. Tom Brady was also unsuccessful against the Jets in week two, failing to throw a touchdown pass and finishing with a 53.1 quarterback rating. He’s had quarterback ratings of 97.8 and 87.1 in weeks one and three respectively.

The height of these quarterbacks is also notable. Brady is listed at 6-foot-4 and Schaub at 6-foot-5, while Brees is generously advertised at an even 6 feet. The Jets will undoubtedly look to exploit Brees’ lack of vertical stature by applying direct pressure and getting hands in his face.

On the other side of the ball, expect the Jets to run, run, run, and run some more to keep Brees and company off the field. Jets’ running back Thomas Jones has averaged 4.2 yards per carry against the Saints in his career, while the Saints have never seen his backfield mate Leon Washington.

Even the most casual football fan knows that the Saints offense is impressive. They frequently cover as favorites. A group of trends supports betting against them though:
The Jets have covered the spread the last five times that they were road underdogs against a team with a winning record.

They’ve also covered in the last four games in which they were road underdogs, and in the last five in which they were underdogs.
Don’t underestimate the Jets and their desire to prove that they’re for real.


NY Jets+7

[JoeyAnvils]

Nice writeups, I just cant count on the Jets secondary with Sheppard and Strickland out...their dime back is starting now and Brees should pick them apart.

[mickey]

Originally Posted by JoeyAnvils

Nice writeups, I just cant count on the Jets secondary with Sheppard and Strickland out...their dime back is starting now and Brees should pick them apart.

we'll see what happens.

[Slyce]

GL Mick - appreciate the work

[mickey]

added: Going out on a limb on this one.Raiders years ago used to be my favorite.

Houston isn't that good, especially on defense, so the wide open attack by Oakland has a chance to do some damage here. Houston is actually allowing almost 9 more points per game than Oakland (28.7 vs. 19.0), though the Houston offense is scoring 9 more (21.7 vs. 12.0). A tie maybe?

Darren McFadden fumbled once deep in Denver territory and JaMarcus Russell was picked twice, so maybe the Raiders just have to hold onto the ball a little better. The defense is solid and will keep them in this one.

Oakland+9

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[mickey]

WATCH MOST OF YOUR GAMES TODAY HERE: http://www.atdhe.net/index.html

[RanPicks]

GL Mick