FYI the DUNKLE index for NFL week 17

[LadyDawn]

Figure if your on the fence this might help a lot !

Dallas at NY Giants
The Cowboys look to build on their 7-1 ATS record in their last 8 games as an underdog. Dallas is the pick (+3) according to Dunkel, which has the Cowboys favored by 2 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Dallas (+3)

Game 301-302: Washington at Philadelphia (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 131.431; Philadelphia 135.425
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 4; 49
Vegas Line: Philadelphia by 9 1/2; 46
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+9 1/2); Over
Game 303-304: Tampa Bay at Atlanta (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 114.881; Atlanta 137.964
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 23; 42 Vegas Line: Atlanta by 11; 46
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-11); Under

Game 305-306: San Francisco at St. Louis (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco 138.980; St. Louis 120.305
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 18 1/2; 33
Vegas Line: San Francisco by 10 1/2; 35 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-10 1/2); Under

Game 307-308: Chicago at Minnesota (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 130.166; Minnesota 126.866
Dunkel Line: Chicago by 3 1/2; 43
Vegas Line: Minnesota by 1 1/2; 41
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (+1 1/2); Over

Game 309-310: Detroit at Green Bay (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 138.183; Green Bay 133.734
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 4 1/2; 43
Vegas Line: Detroit by 3 1/2; 46 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-3 1/2); Under

Game 311-312: Dallas at NY Giants (8:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 130.912; NY Giants 128.643
Dunkel Line: Dallas by 2 1/2; 51
Vegas Line: NY Giants by 3; 46
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (+3); Over

Game 313-314: Carolina at New Orleans (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 136.770; New Orleans 142.647
Dunkel Line: New Orleans by 6; 57
Vegas Line: New Orleans by 9; 54 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Carolina (+9); Over

Game 315-316: Tennessee at Houston (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee 131.875; Houston 127.502
Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 4 1/2; 36
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 3; 40 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (-3); Under

Game 317-318: Baltimore at Cincinnati (4:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore 137.469; Cincinnati 132.311
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 5; 35
Vegas Line: Baltimore by 1; 39
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-1); Under

Game 319-320: Pittsburgh at Cleveland (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 134.191; Cleveland 129.868
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 4 1/2; 47
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 7 1/2; No Line
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+7 1/2); N/A

Game 321-322: Indianapolis at Jacksonville (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indianapolis 120.907; Jacksonville 129.002
Dunkel Line: Jacksonville by 8; 42
Vegas Line: Jacksonville by 3 1/2; 37 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Jacksonville (-3 1/2); Over

Game 323-324: NY Jets at Miami (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Jets 135.794; Miami 133.935
Dunkel Line: NY Jets by 2; 38
Vegas Line: Miami by 2 1/2; 41
Dunkel Pick: NY Jets (+2 1/2); Under

Game 325-326: Buffalo at New England (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 126.508; New England 142.456
Dunkel Line: New England by 16; 46
Vegas Line: New England by 10; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New England (-10); Under

after hearing interview of BILL B on NFL network and how he played dodge ball with reporters about TOMMY Boy's seperated shoulder sprain ! Have to take the points here especally with Pats O line missing starters



Game 327-328: San Diego at Oakland (4:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego 136.420; Oakland 131.823
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 4 1/2; 50
Vegas Line: Oakland by 3; 47
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+3); Over

Game 329-330: Kansas City at Denver (4:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City 126.748; Denver 133.969
Dunkel Line: Denver by 7; 35
Vegas Line: Denver by 3; 37 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Denver (-3); Under

Game 331-332: Seattle at Arizona (4:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 131.988; Arizona 132.093
Dunkel Line: Even; 42
Vegas Line: Arizona by 3; 40 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+3); Over forget seahwks team they got golf bags packed in arizona tee time right after the game !

Cardinals are 100% money ats in final home games 11-0 ATS 9-2 s/u

unless benching before playoffs like they did vs Packers

super solid 100% if vs div rival with revenge

both teams are out of playoffs Sehawks might play competively for 1st half but they aint going to try and hurt themselves any further after 49ers kniced em up !

final score will be Cardinals 24 seahawks 14

now i go back to drinking giggles
HAPPY NEW YEAR everyone party hardy tonite and DO NOT let me catch you driving drunk or i will personally drive to where you live and cuff you arrest get your license revoked for 3 years and have my Heel up your ass while on THE Ground !

YES i plan to drink tonite i will get smashed (not sloppy drunk) but already have plans to get home safely !

IF you want to stay sober and drink tonite Eat food and drink water with your beer or booze !

trust me it works ! Prevention of hangovers is the cure for them !

[LadyDawn]

adding these TOUTS picks to above FADE AWAY


Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday, January 1

James Patrick Sports

Bills vs. Patriots

A win clinches the top seed for the Patriots after surging back from a (17-0) deficit last week. Buffalo won (34-31) with a great comeback when these teams met in week 3. Payback time for New England, which had won (15) straight vs. Buffalo until the defeat at Orchard Park. The Bills are (3-7) ATS in their last (10) meetings, (1-5) ATS in their last (6) games in January and (2-6) ATS in their last (8) games overall. The Patriots are (9-2-1) ATS in their last (12) games in Week 17, (7-3) ATS in their last (10) versus the AFC East and (8-3) ATS in their last (11) games following a ATS loss. Big Game James Patrick's complimentary New Year's Day NFL selection is New England Patriots.

Seahawks vs. Cardinals

It will be a fight to finish the season at (.500) and in second place in the NFC West when the Arizona Cardinals host the Seattle Seahawks on Sunday. The Seahawks won the first meeting (13-10) at home on the back of an (11) yard touchdown run in the third quarter by quarterback Tarvaris Jackson. Jackson has won five of his last seven starts and is (2-0) against Arizona. Seattle's Green Birds are (4-0-1) ATS in their last (5) games as a road underdog, (9-3-1) ATS in their last (13) games overall and (5-1) ATS in their last (6) games following a S.U. loss. Big Game James Patrick's Sunday complimentary selection is Seattle Seahawks.


Joe D'Amico

San Francisco 49ers at St. Louis Rams
Pick: San Francisco 49ers

San Francisco has been a machine this season, boasting a 12.3 SU record (12-2-1 ATS). The 49ers locked up the West for a few weeks now but can claim the #2 seed and a 1st round bye with a win here. All they have to do is repeat their December 4th, 26-0 win over the Rams. St. Louis averages a mere 11.1 PPG and has been blanked twice in the L4 weeks. This is a team that is being outscored by an average of 13.8 PPG. Kellen Clemens will once again get the nod. The QB has 1TD, 320 YP, and a 56% completion rate. Last week against Pittsburgh, Clemens was 9 for 24 with just 91 yards passing. He must face another ferocious, non-stop defense here. San Fran's stop unit has allowed a mere 13.5 PPG. St. Louis already has problems putting points on the board. The 49ers are 10-4 ATS their L14 games played against the Rams, 4-0-1 ATS their L5 games played as a favorite of 10 1/2 points or more, and 15-5-1 ATS their L21 games played overall.

The Rams are 16-35 ATS their L51 games played vs. the NFC West, 3-12-1 ATS their L16 games played as a 'dog, and 1-7-1 ATS their L9 games played vs. teams with a winning record. Take San Francisco.


SPORTS WAGERS

Kansas City +3 +105 over DENVER

It can be gratifying to flaunt your new beau at a gathering when you know the ex (who dumped you) is going to be there. Kyle Orton was treated poorly from day one in Denver and when the relationship didn’t work out, he was courted and signed by the rival Chiefs. Orton’s replacement was none other than the enigmatic Tim Tebow. Anyone that’s ever watched a football game knows that Tebow is not of NFL caliber at the QB position. His ineptitude finally caught up to him and the Broncos, as Denver has dropped consecutive games by a combined 81-37. The Broncos 2-5 start was no fluke. They subsequently caught lightning in a bottle that lasted for an incredible two months. That fairy tale is over. Look for the Chiefs and Orton to rub it in their opponent’s face here, especially with the opportunity to knock Denver out of the playoffs. Play: Kansas +3 +105 (Risking 2 units).

Detroit –3½ over GREEN BAY

Aaron Rodgers said it best, “This was a good win for us to get back on the right track and get the No. 1 seed. Now that we have the top seed locked up, I think the priorities may shift a little.” While it’s never that easy, the Lions have plenty at stake to motivate them for this one. A Detroit win has them heading to the winner of Cowboys/Giants. A loss has them visiting the Saints. Do the math. They were whacked by New Orleans once in prime time and that was in Detroit. In other words, Detroit has plenty at stake here while the Packers have nothing to gain and everything to lose should they play to win. This one is yummy. Play: Detroit –3½ +100 (Risking 2 units).

Washington +8½ over PHILADELPHIA

Unless the Eagles are eligible for playoffs and no one told us, we can’t see why this game is priced in this range. This is a divisional matchup between two teams that will be watching the playoffs from home and where the road team has covered five straight. If not for four interceptions in previous meeting, the Redskins’ 20-13 loss to the Eagles may have had a different result. High expectations for the Eagles were finally put to rest last week after they were officially eliminated. What they did was go out and make life miserable for the Cowboys and the Jets over the past two weeks to get some satisfaction. There is no satisfaction in beating the ‘Skins. Once again, Philly’s stock is soaring and you may want to recall what happened when its stock was this high early in the year. Philadelphia is 2-5 at home this year and this one provides less motivation than any previous contests. Redskins could win this one outright. Play: Washington +8½ (Risking 2.2 units to win 2).

San Diego +131 over OAKLAND

The Oakland Raiders lead the Titans and Jets for the #7 seed due to strength of victory. They would clinch the West and #4 seed with a win and a Broncos loss. Raiders would clinch the #6 seed with a win and a Bengals loss and either/both a Titans loss and/or Jets win. In other words, if the Raiders win here they have a good chance of getting to the dance. Meanwhile, the Chargers are out. However, they know that Norv Turner is getting fired. They know they can make life miserable for a hated rival. They know (and so do we) they have more talent than the Raiders. The Chargers have a lot to be embarrassed about. The team has turned into a garbage scow fouling the waters of the San Diego bay but they can at least go out with some dignity for themselves and for their coach. Call this the final hurrah for Turner and expect these huge underachievers to come up big when all the pressure is off. Play: San Diego +131 (Risking 2 units).
THE REST:

San Francisco –10½ over ST. LOUIS

The Rams are just 60 minutes away from ending this nightmarish season but they’ll have to pay a price before doing so. The Niners need this game and with their rugged style and St. Louis’ fragile state a decisive win is to be expected. Rams have scored just 26 points over past four weeks. [SIZE="3"]Play: San Francisco –10½ (No bets).[/SIZE]

HOUSTON +3 over Tennessee

The Titans need a win and an awful lot of help from others to qualify for the post-season. The Texans are secured in their playoff spot but after dropping a pair and having 10 days to get ready for this one, we expect an ambitious effort from the host before limping in to first-ever playoffs. Host needs to get right for playoffs and go into them in a good state of mind. Titans favored on the road here is wrong. Weren’t they the first team to lose to Indy this year? That was on the road too. Play: Houston +3 (No bets).

Indianapolis +3½ over JACKSONVILLE

Had the Colts truly cared about getting first pick in the upcoming draft, they would have allowed Curtis Painter to continue at quarterback. They didn’t and they’ve won consecutive games. The Jaguars are at par with Indianapolis and cannot be trusted to win, let alone by a margin. Play: Indianapolis +3½ (No bets).

MIAMI –1½ over N.Y. Jets

The Jets chances of making the playoffs are about the same as Rex Ryan having a mount in next year’s Kentucky Derby. While Gang Green will be going all out, the Dolphins will relish the spoilers’ role and with jobs on the line and having won four of six, have to lean home team at short price. Play: Miami –1½ (No bets).

MINNESOTA –1½ over Chicago

Bears were in the thick of things until injuries decimated star players and things went downhill from there. The Vikings never got up the hill but that allowed them to look at some young players, including QB Joe Webb who is exciting to watch and could be the difference maker in this one. For a Bears team that looked like a lock to make the playoffs five weeks ago and that were officially eliminated last week, this one figures to be tough to get up for. Play: Minnesota –1½ (No bets).
NEW ENGLAND –10 over Buffalo

Plenty of motivation remains for the Patriots here as a win secures home field for playoffs and New England hasn’t forgotten an early season 34-31 loss to these Bills. Buffalo can’t be trusted on the road, having given up at least 28 points to its past five opponents while being outscored 171-73. Play: New England –10 (No bets).

Carolina +8 over NEW ORLEANS

Tough situation for the Saints coaching staff as this one goes same time as Rams/Niners. If San Fran wins, which is likely, then New Orleans is locked in as a #3 seed. Coach Sean Payton should call off the dogs at some point and that will suit Cam Newton’s explosive offense just fine. Play: Carolina +8 (No bets).
ATLANTA –11 over Tampa Bay

Another funny spot. If Detroit defeats Green Bay, Atlanta is flying to New Orleans next week. If Packers win, the Falcons would head to either Dallas or the Giants with a victory. Thus, the Falcoms will begin this game thinking they can move up in the seeding and that makes them playable. The Bucs are hopeless as they’ve dropped nine straight, they’re completely uninspired and most of their recent losses have were of blowout proportions. Play: Atlanta –11 (No bets).
Baltimore –2 over CINCINNATI

Bengals have yet to defeat a winner this season and while the Ravens have been less than impressive lately, they are at their best when playing in division with a 5-0 mark. Considering Baltimore’s pedigree and that the Ravens can lock up a #2 seed in AFC with a win, it seems the better way to go. Not convincingly, just the better way. Play: Baltimore –2 (No bets).

CLEVELAND +7 over Pittsburgh

This is another awkward one as the Steelers can only win division if Ravens lose to Bengals but both games go at same time. That said, more inclined to lean Browns here as Pittsburgh figures to remain cautious with some of its key guys on the limp. Play: Cleveland +7 (No bets).
Seattle +3 over ARIZONA

Cardinals might be fun to watch but not if you need them to win by a margin. After Arizona’s 28-21 opening game win over the Panthers, the Cards have won just two games by more than four points and both of those were by same 19-13 counts that occurred in overtime. Play: Seattle +3 (No bets).
Dallas +3 over N.Y. GIANTS

Early playoff game as the winner advances and the loser goes golfing. Most think the Cowboys will fail but we’re not so sure considering that Dallas is best when taking points and Giants are wretched when giving any away. The Giants battled back to win three weeks ago and this one should be tight as well. Play: Dallas +3 (No bets).

Bryan Power

San Francisco at St. Louis
Pick: Under 35.5

Last week on this page, I predicted the Rams would go Under in their game w/ the Steelers and not only did that happen, but they failed to score even a single point. How awful is this team? Let me tell you! In six of 15 games this season, St. Louis has scored 7 or fewer points, including two shutout losses the last four weeks. One of those was (obviously) last week vs. Pittsburgh, the other was against this week's opponent, division leading San Francisco, by a nearly identical score. For the year, the Rams average just 11.1 PPG and have only 15 touchdowns, or one per game! San Francisco has hardly been an offensive juggernaut itself, scoring 20 pts or less each of the last three games. Their red zone efficiency numbers are terrible, which is why K Akers just set a record for most FG's made. If you have the Red Zone channel, this is not a game I expect you will see much of come Sunday.

Marc Lawrence

Detroit Lions at Green Bay Packers
Prediction: Green Bay Packers

A sarcastic congratulations to the Detroit Lions who clinched their first playoff spot since 1999 ? and kicked us in the gut in the process ? with a surprisingly easy win over the Chargers last week at home. And with the Packers likely to rest most of their regulars in the second half, the Lions may even garner their first 11-win season since 1991 and the No. 5 seed in the NFC playoffs. However, with the Pack having everything sewn up and nothing to play for, Detroit may actually arrive as road chalk, to which we say no thanks ? not after a week of sipping free bubbly in every Motown establishment and entering today game with a pathetic 18 GAME LOSING STREAK on the division road against winning opponents. Yes, Green Bay has everything clinched but we?re sure they?re aware that since 1980, of the 109 teams that have entered the playoffs off a loss, only SIX of them have gone on to win the Super Bowl! And thankfully, we?re aware that teams who have already clinched a spot in post-season play are a surprising 20-7 ATS as home dogs in season-enders. That ties in nicely to the Pack?s sweet 16-1 SU and 11-4-2 ATS mark in Game Sixteen of the season and basically assures that the Lions will fall to 1-9 SU and ATS on the road after a non-conference affair. Remember, the Lions play a Wild Card game next week and will likely be resting starters of their own. Mister Rodgers and company will be marching into the playoffs with yet another win as the Packers make it 21 wins in a row at Lambeau over the Lions today. We recommend a 1-unit play on Green Bay.

HUH???? why would vegas make detroit favotred you dunce if packers are going to win the game !

I can haer all the squares oooooooo yes Packers the defending champs at home a 3 point DOG shit i'm hammering them right now before my bookie moves the spread !

Wunderdog

Tennessee at Houston
Pick: Houston +1.5

There isn't anything Houston can do to change their playoffs seeding in this game, as they will be the No. 3 seed win or lose. Despite that I think Houston has some work to do on offense with Taylor Yates. It looks like Andre Johnson will be playing this week, so this game could be a good tune-up to get them in-sync. What might be more important is having Wade Phillips back on the sidelines after surgery to help get the Texans’ rush defense back in order. Tennessee is in a must-win situation, but that only means they are a marginal playoff team and teams in this role often struggle, and the line is usually inflated on top of it. The Texans come in with a 16-5 ATS mark at home vs. a team with a winning road record in their last 21, and are also 9-4 ATS in their last 13 as a home dog. The Titans are not getting it done as road chalk at 1-5 ATS in their last six, and the dog has ruled this series at 11-5 ATS in the last 16 meetings. Houston is the pick.


Scott Rickenbach

Colts @ Jaguars
PICK: Over 37

skipped the write up