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  #1  
Old 09-01-2009, 11:56 PM
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Join Date: Jun 2004
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green bay +200 to win nfc north

Green bay has looked very balanced in the preseason. rodgers looking good with more experience, less dristactions and plenty of weapons. Defense looks like they might improve with that 3-4.

If favre gets banged up especially at his age it could easily happen, they will have to rely mostly on peterson. farve stepping in with a new team will make things difficult vikings at +150

chicago is the slight favorite at +140. I have a feeling cutler will not have quite the same weapons he did in denver. new team will take time to adjust. The bears d is not the same is it has been especially the pass d.

looks like good value here with green bay. I think i will lay a few units on the pack +200
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Old 09-02-2009, 10:14 AM
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-Without Favre MIN had a big ? at QB. The Vikes go from the #11 to #28 schedule and won't need a late season surge to make the playoffs. MIN 11-5 tops.

-The Packers had SIX net close losses so they were a handful of plays from being 12-4 last year. Despite their 6-10 record they outgained foes 351-334 which is more like a 9-7 or 10-6 team. They face the #31 schedule in the NFL (6 games vs teams with 5 or less wins LY) and I really like DC Dom Capers who switches the D to a 3-4. QB Rodgers also now has experience. This is a team that was much better than its 6-10 record and is actually on par with CHI and MIN and will contend for the Div title. GB 9-7 or better.

-Da Bears D should rebound after unusually low finishes of #28 and #21 the last two years. The schedule is softer than last year and they could top last year's 9 win total with Cutler and Forte. CHI 9-7.

-The Lions play only two teams at home that had a losing record last year so their opportunities will be few. While the Lions will be more competitive and break their 17 game losing streak at some point, they have a lot of groung to make up. DET 1-15, or 3 W tops.
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