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  #1  
Old 07-28-2017, 06:55 PM
Mr. NASCAR Mr. NASCAR is offline
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Hall of Fame Game play

Ok, excuse me for chomping at the bit, but we're now down to 6 days and counting until the NFL begins.
More of a college guy myself, but I'll take anything after trying to watch a couple games of that Canadian stuff.

I know I'll want some action even though it's preseason.

I took an early look at both sides (Dal -2' vs Az) came up with nothing.

Looked at the total. Sitting at 40.
Not that it means anything, but only 3 of last 10 HoF have seen > 40.

Looked at each team last year preseason:
Both teams season opener saw >40.
All 4 Dal games > 40, and 3 of 4 Az games >40.
Again, doesn't really mean much but what the hell, as good a reason as any to toss some $ out and yell at my TV.
Question is - which way does the # move?
I lean towards it rising, so I bought the 40 today and posting it early in case anyone else is like-minded.

Good luck to all the other 'Mallers buying in on this game.

Last edited by Mr. NASCAR; 07-28-2017 at 07:01 PM.
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Old 07-29-2017, 06:44 PM
bobby2 bobby2 is offline
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Pre Season Plays

8/3/17
HOF Game
Dallas -2 -115
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Old 07-29-2017, 07:10 PM
bobby2 bobby2 is offline
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sorry wrong thread..
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Old 07-30-2017, 07:05 PM
Mr. NASCAR Mr. NASCAR is offline
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No problem, Bobby, thanks for dropping in with a pick.
Good luck with your play.

Well, blew the call on the early buy, total is dropping.
Hope my call on the Over turns out better than my "when to buy" decision.
Four nights to go.
Let's hope it doesn't rain and they don't pussy out like last year.

Last edited by Mr. NASCAR; 07-30-2017 at 07:08 PM.
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Old 08-03-2017, 01:28 PM
Mr. NASCAR Mr. NASCAR is offline
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I am getting absolutely hosed on the early buy. Bought 40 at 5D before the number came out everywhere, screwed the pooch on guessing where the # would go, at 34' now.

Lot of love coming in for Cowboys, from pic to -2.
Not much to go on in preseason other than coaching tendencies,
some coaches like to establish a pattern of winning,
some hate preseason and protect players and playbook, and couldn't care less if they lose.

Last three years Garret is 2-10 SU,
Arians not much better at 4-8.

Arians has said his stars won't play. That, plus Gabbert playing first half, plus possible thunderstorms are probably the leading factors in the the total dropping and $ on Dallas side.

For me, even with Az stars out, it's tough to lay points with a Dal team that doesn't win much in preseason.

Only thing I see in favor of the Over at this point is that most of the sub-geniuses in the scamdicapping world are using the Under as their play today (they're giving it out at the unavailable # of 37 though; tout gotta tout.)

Hate my #, but like being opposite touts and public.
No matter, small $, just Jones'n for some NFL action.

If you don't like the side or total and you're looking for alternatives,
team total for Az is at 17, Dal at 18'.

Whatever your play, good luck to the Mall tonight.

Last edited by Mr. NASCAR; 08-03-2017 at 01:30 PM.
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Old 08-03-2017, 03:55 PM
Dale City Dale City is offline
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Good luck. On Dallas also
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Old 08-03-2017, 06:20 PM
ThundergroundSamurai ThundergroundSamurai is offline
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Arians doesn't give a crap about preseason. If the Cards score more than 10 pts it would be a lot.
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Old 08-03-2017, 08:25 PM
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They scores 15 in the first half
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  #9  
Old 08-04-2017, 10:38 AM
Mr. NASCAR Mr. NASCAR is offline
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Unique situation - unless it was a teaser most people who bet the Under last night lost.
I bet the Over and . . . lost.
Ugh.

Opened 37 dropped to 36, 35 and 34, so all Under bettors lost.
I bought the early # at 40, thinking as explained in post #1 that Dal would score 20 and give up 20.
Got 20 from them, but only 18 from Az.

Two missed Az FG's didn't help, especially that easy one late in 4th quarter, but this loss is all on me for not doing a better job at anticipating line movement.

As with any loss, the question is, anything we can pull from it to use to our advantage in the future? I made two notes.

#1: Az QB Trevor Knight looked terrible.
Missed at least three open receivers on what should have been deep gains (might have been more, I didn't watch final drive on TV, was on cell using ESPN game update.) Also, I see that with under a minute left, no timeouts, needing a FG, he ran the ball for a short gain. Rookie mistake, eating clock instead of throwing it away. So, may be a play against Az, or their team total Under in the second half next week, based on situation (score, line, opponent.) Yesterday their 2nd half total was 7' and they only scored 3.

#2: Dal D, especially secondary, played to form as expected. While Knight looked bad, unable to hit men open down field, the reason they were open is the Dallas secondary (and Gabbert looked great against them in the first half.) Again, based on the situation next week, there may be an opportunity to play against Dal in the second half, and I will sure as hell be looking for a play on their opponent's team total over if the # is right.

Last edited by Mr. NASCAR; 08-04-2017 at 10:40 AM.
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Old 08-08-2017, 12:11 PM
Mr. NASCAR Mr. NASCAR is offline
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Recap: 0-1, see posts above.

Based on notes from last week I'm going to make a few bets this week.

Dal/LA Over - opened 37', dropping, 37 out there now, will definitely buy the Over, but waiting to get a better number.

Also going to take Rams plus the points. Again going to wait, 2' -115 out there, should reach -3.
Dallas is just 3-10 last three preseasons combined, and could have been 2-11 if Az doesn't miss that late FG. Can't give points with a team with preseason #'s like that, especially if you can get a FG or more. Yes, slight edge because they already played a game, but I'm grabbing the points.

Also at 37 and -3, LA tm total should come out 17. If I can get that # when team totals come out I am buying that Over, too.

Waiting for QB rotations, have a note to look at plays against Az second half, and possible second half team total Under, too, based on situation and number at halftime.

I'll update with buys and numbers bought, as well as one or two more plays.

Good luck with your play this week.
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  #11  
Old 08-09-2017, 04:45 PM
Mr. NASCAR Mr. NASCAR is offline
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Still waiting on buying Rams, Rams game Over and team total Over if I get my #.
But, since the NFL is making an effort to entertain me with Wednesday night games, I feel obligated to react in kind by watching, which means I have to have a little something on it.

I heard O'Brien talking about how he wants to see his offense put up some points tonight.
Typical, meaningless pre-game stuff (what coach doesn't want to see his O score some points?) but I got the feeling O'Brien not only wants to see it, but expects to see it.

A quick check on LY:
he went 4-0,
won 3 of 4 by double digits,
and scored 23, 16, 34, and 28, three of which should be enough to get a W tonight, only the 16 coming up short.

I'll give O'Brien the benefit of the doubt (that he knows what he's talking about) and take the 2 at Bookmaker with Houston.

Also, I laid the 3 with Tennessee.
Is there any reason to wait to see just how God-awful the Jets are this year?

All preseason stuff is small action $ size, yell at my TV type of fun.
Good luck with your play today (unless you took Carolina, in which case . . .)

Last edited by Mr. NASCAR; 08-09-2017 at 04:53 PM.
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  #12  
Old 08-10-2017, 05:41 PM
Mr. NASCAR Mr. NASCAR is offline
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Recap: tying TD taken off board by refs in the fourth quarter certainly didn't help Hou bet, but the O just didn't score as expected so no one to blame but them (and me for recommending them); preseason 0-2 now.

Taking a shot with Den Ov 18 tonight.
Yes, the difference between 17 and 18 is huge on a team total (Denver landed on 17 twice last preseason) but I'm thinking 18 is not too much to ask for with the competition for QB between Lynch and Siemian, and the players they'll face on Bear's D tonight. Expecting a lot of easy, short passes for low yardage but high completion rate.

Rams +3 everywhere now, so waiting to buy was the right call there,
seeing a price start to show up on the -3 (-3 -115; -3 -120) so waiting still before pulling the trigger on the +3 and the Over in that game (37 now the common #, may drop, will monitor and post after buying.)

Back with a recap and update tomorrow,
good luck with your plays tonight . . .

Last edited by Mr. NASCAR; 08-10-2017 at 05:50 PM.
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Old 08-11-2017, 12:02 AM
Mr. NASCAR Mr. NASCAR is offline
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Dallas/Rams line coming back up, grabbed the Over at 37.
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Old 08-11-2017, 08:45 PM
Mr. NASCAR Mr. NASCAR is offline
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Recap: Denver goes Over 18 for a W, 1-2 now.

After Denver game ended I did a check on lines and saw the 37 on Dal/LA had climbed up a hook in some houses, bought and posted it. By morning 37' everywhere, so good move there. Tonight the game line is moving, no more + $ on the +3, and some houses at 2' so I'm buying Rams at +3 now.

Open plays:
Tenn -3
Dal/LA Ov 37
LA +3

Good luck to us all this weekend.

Last edited by Mr. NASCAR; 08-11-2017 at 08:49 PM.
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Old 08-12-2017, 09:18 AM
Mr. NASCAR Mr. NASCAR is offline
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Team totals are out and I got the # I wanted with the Rams so I bought Ov 17 @ 5dimes.

With both Cardinals and Cowboys playing their second games today you may hear about teams that played in the Hall of Fame game having an edge. I checked the last five games played, the team's are just 5-5 SU the next game. Slight edge to Over at 6-4.

Going to watch today's action with an eye towards second half plays. Based on notes from last week's game, and halftime scores and QB rotation, I may buy a second half play in the Az game and/or Dal game.

Good luck with your plays today . . .

Last edited by Mr. NASCAR; 08-12-2017 at 09:20 AM.
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  #16  
Old 08-12-2017, 11:00 AM
Mr. NASCAR Mr. NASCAR is offline
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I usually avoid too many plays within one game, if your line of thought is off you could lose all bets, but I think we see some points in this Dal/LA game tonight so I'm going to hit it one more time with a little TV teaser fun.

Using 7' pts in a teaz I get Ov 30, and using two open spots to fill later I get 1.35 back for 1 unit bet.

This gives me four plays in this game, very rare for me. In fact, I believe this is more plays posted in one game than I posted all of last year when I gave out just one NFL play (like I said in post #1 in this thread, I prefer college.)

Open plays:
Dal/LA Ov 37
LA +3
LA team total Ov 17
Dal/LA teaz Ov 30
Tenn -3

Last edited by Mr. NASCAR; 08-12-2017 at 11:07 AM.
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  #17  
Old 08-12-2017, 09:38 PM
Mr. NASCAR Mr. NASCAR is offline
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FIVE fumbles by Rams in first half, including one deep in Red Zone, ugh. I know it's preseason, but wutdafuk.
No second half adjustment buys, stuck with what I have, gotta hope LA covers and keeps it from becoming a total washout. Hope Dal secondary looks as bad this week as they did last.
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Old 08-13-2017, 11:14 AM
Mr. NASCAR Mr. NASCAR is offline
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Recap: I went in with 4 plays in Ram's game and got spanked. LA held on for the win to keep the day from being a total washout. At 2-6, -4.5 units preseason at the Mall, but worse in pocket: checked account where I placed Rams +3 And it's not there. Posted, forgot to buy. Lovely.

Knew I was in for a bad day when I noticed my engine light came on while doing errands yesterday. That's never a good sign.

And with Ram plays looking fuked at halftime I didn't press and make any plays on second half in the Az game as mentioned above, and both suggested plays would have been winners as they lost 3-7 AND team total stayed under.

An ugly first week, lots of work to do to get back in black over the next three weeks, but nothing today.
Good luck with your plays.

Last edited by Mr. NASCAR; 08-13-2017 at 11:18 AM.
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