Has there ever been a WC team getting more hype?

rjb1816 · #1 12-23-2007, 07:25 PM

Than the Jacksonville Jaguars?...this wreaks of a 1st round exit lol. This team is not as good as advertised...but I understand a lot of this is built up by espn lol. Too funny

Romanowski · #2 12-23-2007, 07:27 PM

they are 3rd team in AFC

whats not to like?

jaypasco · #3 12-23-2007, 07:28 PM

we have them scouted 1.5 better than pats on neutral field in fair weather conditions

rjb1816 · #4 12-23-2007, 07:28 PM

they got beat 2 times by the 2nd seed and neither game was ever in doubt...yet every analyst has them as team to beat NE or Indy...thats hilarious

Romanowski · #5 12-23-2007, 07:30 PM

no but they could give either of them trouble

harley and gabe · #6 12-23-2007, 07:30 PM

think i'd worry more about sd than jax

Romanowski · #7 12-23-2007, 07:32 PM

will sd win their first playoff game in 12 years?

thats a good question

harley and gabe · #8 12-23-2007, 07:34 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Romanowski

will sd win their first playoff game in 12 years?

thats a good question

think tomorrow night will tell the story if they are for real

rjb1816 · #9 12-23-2007, 07:35 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Romanowski

no but they could give either of them trouble

i dont see it...if by trouble mean lose by less than dd's then yes

here is article written about their defense:

The Jacksonville Jaguars' defense has a lot of the hallmarks of an exceptional unit. It ranks fifth in rushing yards per game allowed, sixth in points per game allowed and 10th in opponents' passer rating. The Jags' defense has held opponents to 17 or fewer points in nine games and single-digit points in three games.

As exemplary as all of those numbers are, after looking deeper into its performance, I am fairly convinced the Jaguars' defense is playing at an average level at best. There are three main reasons I say this:

1. The Jaguars' rushing defense totals are skewed because their opponents have to play from behind quite often. Jacksonville's offense has been extremely effective in giving the defense an early lead. In nine of the Jaguars' 13 games this year, the Jacksonville defense was given a lead by the third drive of the game. In seven of these games, the Jaguars took the lead after only one series. Another way to look at this is that Jacksonville's defense has possessed the lead at the beginning of 86 of 137 drives this year, or 62.7 percent. Teams simply aren't in a position to try to run on this defense.

2. Jacksonville's rush yards per carry total is average. The Jaguars allow an average of 3.9 yards per carry. That total ranks them tied for 10th with five other teams. In essence, this means they are only as good as the 15th-best team in the league in this category.

3. The Jaguars' passer-rating totals have been skewed by playing weak passing offenses. Seven of Jacksonville's games have come against quarterbacks with subpar ratings and the Jaguars are 6-1 in those games. Against quarterbacks ranking in the upper half of passer rating, the Jaguars are 3-3.

After seeing that the Jaguars were struggling against teams with strong passing games, I decided to take a deeper look into their pass defense numbers in those games.To put the overall YPA total into perspective, the highest YPA (yards per attempt) allowed by a defense in 2006 was 7.6 yards.

As bad as the overall YPA total is, allowing 24 successful passes in 30 medium pass attempts might be the biggest negative in this chart. The yards per attempt at the short and medium pass levels are also quite high in large part because of missed tackles. This is illustrated by the Jaguars allowing 15 short pass plays to go for 10 or more yards, with seven of these going for 15 or more yards. Seven of the medium routes also went for 20 or more yards.

Bad tackling wasn't the only culprit. Brian Williams was targeted and beaten quite often during these games. Williams was completely unable to handle Reggie Wayne in coverage. Wayne went 14-for-14 for 254 yards and a touchdown against Williams.

The sum total of this analysis is that although the Jaguars can get and protect a lead against teams with bad passing games, they have unable to slow down upper-echelon passing offenses. It also looks to be a bad omen for their potential playoff matchups against the Steelers, Colts or Patriots.