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#1
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home field advantage a myth?
ive been keeping my own records this season and so far it doesnt seem like home field gives a team an advantage against the spread. i have it dead even at 43-43-4 ats.
i do know some teams play better at home, and crowd noise is sometimes a factor, but the numbers dont lie........ home favorites are 20-27-4 ats. just something to think about......
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current nfl: 20-18-2 -0.25 units 2010-2011 nfl: 62-39-3 61% + 36.5 units "Before I ever ran a casino or got myself blown up, Ace Rothstein was a helluva handicapper, I can tell you that. I was so good that when I bet, I can change the odds for every bookmaker in the country. I'm serious." |
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#2
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think it's a factor in a game, but not betting... home field is factored in the line... so kind of a moot point IMHO
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Where'd who go!?! (Hollywood - Top Gun) F Tom Hicks |
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#3
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Quote:
Of course in pro sports, the homefield advantage isnt as big as in college sports |
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#4
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umm no, homefield is an advantage
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The only bridge I've ever burned along this legacy I dance is the one that linked the cities of prosperity and chance Check out Technicapping for quantitative sport analysis |
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#5
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thats the point i was trying to make, straight up it is definatly an advantage, but ats, it doesnt make a diffrence. i dont bet money lines.
it seems like every week though i see people post things like, " ill take XXXX at home". or, "i gotta go with the home team here". i understand that some teams perform better than normal at home, home dogs are 23-15 ats. i just think sometimes people overvalue the home field advantage as a whole.
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current nfl: 20-18-2 -0.25 units 2010-2011 nfl: 62-39-3 61% + 36.5 units "Before I ever ran a casino or got myself blown up, Ace Rothstein was a helluva handicapper, I can tell you that. I was so good that when I bet, I can change the odds for every bookmaker in the country. I'm serious." |
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#6
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Are you the sam ACE on the other fourm trying to sell your plays? If so I tracked you yesterday in NCAAFB and it was a bad day for you, best of luck.
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#7
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nope, not me. havent touched a college game all year.
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current nfl: 20-18-2 -0.25 units 2010-2011 nfl: 62-39-3 61% + 36.5 units "Before I ever ran a casino or got myself blown up, Ace Rothstein was a helluva handicapper, I can tell you that. I was so good that when I bet, I can change the odds for every bookmaker in the country. I'm serious." |
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