HOW to win money using teasers !

[Vegaswiseguy]

VERY SIMPLE

TEASE THE WINNING TEAM !

as far as totals depends on factors like TWO strong defensive CLUBS playing in adverse conditions that rely on run game

YOU will see low scoring games way under the totals

as IN GIANTS vs Steelers

two of the best DEFENSES going head tobhead way under 42 1/2 points

21 - 14

also if one team has NO offense like ranked 20th or below in yds per play and avergae less than 14 points per game but posses a strong defense ranked 12 or higher i would bet unders !

YOU want teams with passing OFFENSES like always hitting 3 td's or more per game with low ranked defnses on both sides !

THATS WHEN you get overs !

SO KEEP IT SIMPLE TEASE TWO TEAMS that you feel are THE WINNERS of THE game unless the spread is so high that a 7 .5 point teaser isnt enough


TWO SEPERATE GAMES tease the WINNERS

YOU want tease past the 3 point spread

IF YOU have a 2 point fav that you feel will win the game by a point or be too close at end of game

tease them 6 points make them the 4 point dog !

sometimes YOU dont need to tease either

because THE DOG is winning game anyway !

[Dfresh]

Good write up man, where in pa do you live?

[tomek30]

teasers arent profitable in the long run, most of the time if you hit the teaser you would actually hit a parley

[smitch124]

The only teasers that are profitable are ones where you can cross the 3 and 7 with 6 points....

dogs from +1.5 to +2.5
favs from -7.5 to -8.5

many books avoid them, but there are a few...

[capainter]

Originally Posted by smitch124

The only teasers that are profitable are ones where you can cross the 3 and 7 with 6 points....

dogs from +1.5 to +2.5
favs from -7.5 to -8.5

many books avoid them, but there are a few...

So... if you took every 1.5 to 2.5 point dog and 7.5 to 8.5 point favorite, and teased them with every other one (so if there were 3 of these, you'd have 3 bets, 4 of them would make 6 bets, etc), you think this would be profitable over a season?

There's plenty of these lines out there (this week in NFL alone I count 5), some books won't let you tease them?

Sorry if these are dumb questions I'm new to all of this.

[capainter]

To answer my own question:

http://www.nfl-expert-picks.com/football-teasers.htm

[smitch124]

Originally Posted by capainter

There's plenty of these lines out there (this week in NFL alone I count 5), some books won't let you tease them?

Most books will let you tease the above spreads if you can find the spreads offered. Many books will avoid them like the plauge, and offer lines like +3 (-124) in instead of moving down to +2.5 (-110).

In which case you end up with +9 (-124) which is much worse than +8.5 (-110). If you can find the spreads given above then teasing them for 6pts @-110 (or better) is the best chance you have to be successful in the long run.

[walk066]

Teasers are sucker bets.

[Midnight Rider]

Originally Posted by walk066

Teasers are sucker bets.

I agree. Single against the spread or ML wagers offer the best odds.
50-50 chance

[Bisket]

Originally Posted by walk066

Teasers are sucker bets.

2 exceptions

1. NFL where you can tease the home favorites to lower than a field goal. Proven to be moneymakers.

2. Games where you cap the side and totals to be right on point. Last night's game was a prime example. Manning prevented the teaser sweep.

[GFootsXtreme]

Teaser bets make the incorrect and invalid assumption that lines are set to the number where the linesmakers expect the game result to be.

The correct assumption is that lines are set for equal action on both sides. That means that although they may have set a line of -4, they may actually believe the true line should be -7, or -1, but have set -4 because their knowledge of betting psychology tells them -4 is where they will get equal action.

The line moves not because people "figured out" where it should be but simply again to balance the action as one side becomes lopsided.

So think about all this. I didn't figure this out myself, it was taught to me by this forum over time. Teasers are sucker bets because they make the assumption the line was set correctly, when in reality it is set only to get equal action.

Knowing that then, you can see why getting 6 points either way is not all that valuable. More profitable angles are to understand the fundamentals behind what motivates a team and to take advantage of that knowledge imo.

Buying points is a simliar situation -- less than 20% of games fall within the spread and only in the NFL is the #3 important, where 14% of games fall on that number. All other numbers offer less value than it costs to buy the points. Some will argue this, but from a statistical perspective it cannot be disputed.

[Vegaswiseguy]

QUOTE G FOOTS
less than 20% of games fall within the spread and only in the NFL is the #3 important, where 14% of games fall on that number. All other numbers offer less value than it costs to buy the points. Some will argue this, but from a statistical perspective it cannot be disputed.

YOU are so correct it is actually 18% of all games were a favored team dosent cover the spread or causing a TIE

I forgot to mention that fact as per my records of tracking that stat for 6 years !

82% of all games counting MNF Gmes the spread is only a factor

18.7% of the time I 'm seeing low averge of DOGS as opposed to last yaer at same time at this time

wait till after the break week 10 no more bye weeks i betcha DOGS will go wild covering and winning out right !

so far 8 weeks average is 8 favs per week 6 dogs cash !

slight edge to chalks not a great money maker at all though one or two bad weeks will destroy your profit margin !

[LordCC]

Hey,

I am new to the online world of betting, but can you work teasers for basketball too? OR is that the 1 sport where its really a no win situation?

[Bisket]

havent heard of anybody making money on teasers in basketball

If I had to do it I would tease big underdogs in games that were expected to be low scoring.

[xxxFTWxxx]

just dont even think about betting teasers in basketball lol.

i laugh just thinking about it, and how i used to think i could find an edge doing it years ago