Go Back   Sports Handicapping Forum > Sports Picks > NFL Football

NFL Football NFL Handicapping - Post your NFL picks, talk NFL betting, anything NFL.

Reply
 
LinkBack Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 09-26-2008, 11:47 AM
Gambler, Patriot
 
Join Date: Dec 2002
Location: Northern Virginia
Posts: 4,663
Rewards: 2,265
Leaning to Kansas City as my pick of the week.

This is an interesting situation....one that lines right up for a good play.

1. Huge public interest on Denver.
2. Spread dropped from 10 to 9 since the open.
3. Game in KC - where no matter how bad they are, they always have a good homefield advantage.
4. Huard back under center.
5. KC CAN run the ball and try and control the clock.
6. Denver's defense terrible - always dangerous to take a road favorite that relies on OFFENSE to win.
7. How many average casual bettors in Vegas will bet on KC? Nobody in their right minds. I LIKE IT!

I know for sure I'm playing it - but may hit it really hard. Any thoughts?
__________________
NBA System Plays 13-10-1
NBA Sides 30-24
------------------------------
You can't have a gambling problem if you always win.......
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 09-26-2008, 11:56 AM
anti-public picks
 
Join Date: Jun 2004
Location: california
Posts: 1,966
Rewards: 730
gl
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 09-26-2008, 12:19 PM
$$$
 
Join Date: Nov 2004
Location: Clutch City, TX
Posts: 1,077
Rewards: 265
I wouldnt bet on KC in the right state of mind but I am this weekend! GL to us
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 09-26-2008, 01:29 PM
Gambler, Patriot
 
Join Date: Dec 2002
Location: Northern Virginia
Posts: 4,663
Rewards: 2,265
I mean, we all know they are really, really atrocious.
__________________
NBA System Plays 13-10-1
NBA Sides 30-24
------------------------------
You can't have a gambling problem if you always win.......
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 09-26-2008, 01:38 PM
Banned
 
Join Date: May 2004
Posts: 40,638
Rewards: 0
ml winner...LJ runs for 150 easy
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 09-26-2008, 03:02 PM
show me the mon$y
 
Join Date: Apr 2008
Posts: 1,629
Rewards: 40
i mean, we all have this feeling here about KC. its either we are right on, or we missed it by a mile. ill prob do it too. GL to us
__________________
USC ALL THE WAY
Warriors fan for life
GO 49ERS!!

Lets make this $_$
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 09-26-2008, 03:25 PM
Pap Pap is offline
Banned
 
Join Date: Oct 2005
Posts: 5,701
Rewards: 84
imo out of the two big divisional dogs this week i think oakland gets destroyed and KC stays well within 10 pts
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 09-26-2008, 04:58 PM
Registered User
 
Join Date: Oct 2004
Posts: 1,974
Rewards: 289
Action.............yesterday I posted the double digit spread stats. Since 2006 Denver is 0-4 with an outright loss as a double digit favorite. Kansas City on the other hand is 4-0 as a double digit dog.

Nothing stays the same obviously and granted atleast the 06 Chiefs were a better team but these two are the best and the worst in the NFL on this stat.
Reply With Quote
  #9  
Old 09-26-2008, 05:42 PM
Registered User
 
Join Date: May 2007
Posts: 5,584
Rewards: 172
i absolutely love the chiefs and I will be on them big time, might even win straight up
Reply With Quote
  #10  
Old 09-26-2008, 09:35 PM
Boo Yah
 
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: North Strabane, PA
Posts: 9,219
Rewards: 45
Hopefully i'm not jinxing it here but I'm going KC too.
GL
Reply With Quote
  #11  
Old 09-26-2008, 10:06 PM
Registered User
 
Join Date: Aug 2002
Location: Cheyenne, WY
Posts: 57
Rewards: 40
The Broncos logo on the left might give it away, but I am a Broncos fan. Look at the numbers before you make a huge mistake on KC. KC has the 31st ranked rushing defense, while Denver has not run the ball much, they are 10th in rushing. KC pass defense looks great at 4th, but they played NE with Brady out in the first half, the Raiders(hahahaha), and the Falcons behind Matt Ryan. They have not faced the onslaught of passing that Denver will unleash upon a secondary without their best corner Surtain. Not to mention that Denver's run defense is much improved sitting at 15th after great running teams(yes the raiders are good at running), San Diego(and Sproles is the real deal even if LT was hurt a bit), and the Saints with Reggie Bush. I am not confident that Huard can dismantle even my crappy pass D in Denver. KC has 2 sacks and Denver's O-line has no physical sacks given up, and while Denver doesn't have a great pass rush KC has given up a 4th worst 11 sacks already. Denver stomps KC on the road, easy money.
Reply With Quote
  #12  
Old 09-26-2008, 10:58 PM
Gambler, Patriot
 
Join Date: Dec 2002
Location: Northern Virginia
Posts: 4,663
Rewards: 2,265
It does seem impossible for KC to stay close doesn't it. Can't even THINK of a way KC wins this game. Seems really really obvious that Cutler tears up the secondary of KC.

I like it EVEN MORE.
__________________
NBA System Plays 13-10-1
NBA Sides 30-24
------------------------------
You can't have a gambling problem if you always win.......
Reply With Quote
  #13  
Old 09-26-2008, 11:37 PM
Registered User
 
Join Date: Jan 2006
Posts: 1,799
Rewards: 370
On KC too. GL
Reply With Quote
  #14  
Old 09-27-2008, 01:53 AM
<--- THE NEXT BIG THING
 
Join Date: Sep 2008
Posts: 156
Rewards: 40
Sorry guys I think KC is really that bad I took Denver -10.5 either way gl.

Last edited by ROOK; 09-27-2008 at 01:56 AM.
Reply With Quote
  #15  
Old 09-27-2008, 09:22 PM
Registered User
 
Join Date: Oct 2005
Location: pittsburgh
Posts: 2,165
Rewards: 2,627
be carefull of one of the worst coaches--herm edwards
Reply With Quote
Reply

Bookmarks

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Trackbacks are On
Pingbacks are On
Refbacks are On



All times are GMT -5. The time now is 04:12 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.7
Copyright ©2000 - 2012, vBulletin Solutions, Inc.