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  #1  
Old 10-20-2009, 10:17 AM
tommyGunn
 
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A Lesson I Wish to Share

A GREAT angle I've developed and defined over the years. The second half value play. Only lines that gained value at half can be played. The one that gained greatest value must get greatest consideration.

For example last night the game went off SD-3/45
Half time score 17 20
Half Time Line SD-.5/23
So Den was getting +3 now getting +3.5
SD went from -3 to -3.5
Denver gained value SD lost value
SD becomes no play Den becomes possible play
The half time total of 37 added to the 2nd Half total 23 = 60
Bam - Big Value on the total.
As a matter of fact when there is that much value we call it "The Rule" - as in load up on The Rule!!!

The Rule is fantastic on NFL games and has strong merit in NCAA

The hardest thing to do is to pull the trigger on an under when you just watched the "board" get lit up.

The Rule also works in reverse.
I watched Balt/Vikes score 17 and I had strong belief in the game OVER so I killed the 2nd half over, and it went way over the 2nd half and game total.

I'm happy to share what I've learned - Hopefully it helps my Capper Brothers CRUSH the books!!!
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  #2  
Old 10-20-2009, 10:45 AM
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everyone pretty much had +- 3 1/2 or 4 anyway. this is also like the 3rd or 4th time you posted this and still noone cares

Last edited by The Blueprint; 10-20-2009 at 10:47 AM.
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  #3  
Old 10-20-2009, 11:05 AM
tommyGunn
 
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Thx for the love blueprint. Roll yourself a blunt and put on the black album you ****in' twit. I'm trying to give people winners and your just being a bitch! Funny though!!
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  #4  
Old 10-20-2009, 11:10 AM
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Speak for yourself blueprint I enjoy reading any angles on making me a better capper.
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  #5  
Old 10-20-2009, 11:22 AM
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Thanks for the info TommyG. I have been getting smoked on 2nd half bets this year. I will try your angle. Thanks again.
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  #6  
Old 10-20-2009, 11:25 AM
tommyGunn
 
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Thanks Brothers! It's all about gettin' the cash!!!
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  #7  
Old 10-20-2009, 11:25 AM
Your 2012 NBA champs
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by The Blueprint View Post
everyone pretty much had +- 3 1/2 or 4 anyway. this is also like the 3rd or 4th time you posted this and still noone cares
Why respond with this?

Don't read it (certainly don't reply) if it don't interest you
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  #8  
Old 10-20-2009, 11:31 AM
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He must have woke up on the wrong side of the bed.
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  #9  
Old 10-20-2009, 11:32 AM
The G.O.A.T
 
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last nights game was a very poor example imo\
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  #10  
Old 10-20-2009, 11:40 AM
tommyGunn
 
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Yes and no Cuse. I used it because it was fresh in my head. And I used last nites game for example because I used "The Rule" in last nites game. To me, the game did not look like it was slowing down points wise - but The Rule states play the 2nd Half under. I played it, and it stayed under. My 2nd Half win % has gone up considerably for the last 5+ years.

Hopefully you all find it as successful!!
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  #11  
Old 10-20-2009, 12:46 PM
show me the mon$y
 
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i tried it on seattle, and got extremely owned. i guess systems cant be 100%, just got unlucky with the game i chose. seattle just sucked in all possible ways
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Lets make this $_$
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  #12  
Old 10-20-2009, 02:03 PM
tommyGunn
 
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Of course, there will be losers or I'd live in the Ceasers Palace Sportsbook, But I'm hitting 2 Hs both college and pro over 65%. Last week 85%. You have to know which plays just to cross off. But I got owned on Sea myself. Hassleback at home as a big dog sounded good. But we're all gonna miss a few - let's just hope it's a few!!!
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  #13  
Old 10-20-2009, 03:41 PM
Catchy phrase
 
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Im not an expert in game theory, but if someone is please chime in.

IMO there can be no team getting "added value" on a game spread with a second half bet. The score @ halftime is 0-0 for all second half bets, and your value is non-existant.

Besides, you're posting a record that is not based upon posted plays. That is against forum rules.

Post the rules or parameters for your system, post all the plays, keep an accurate record and you will get more believers. I saw you post a week or so ago on another forum, and I have to say I was not impressed with the quality or maturity level of your posts. There are many respected cappers on this forum, and they all post their plays. That is how it should be done.

That being said, I am open and willing to learn from anyone I can, so please post your system and prove it works and I'll be the first to praise it!
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  #14  
Old 10-20-2009, 06:13 PM
tommyGunn
 
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Dog, I just found this site and I'm not "selling" anything, nor trying to prove anything. I'm merely sharing what has been working for me on halftime plays. If it leads to others success, that is my goal.

If the system I work has no value for you - please disregard it.

As for quality and maturity in my writing - that is for work.
I have a BS from SDSU and a Graduate Degree from USC and I do my very best NOT to show my education while I am on this forum. This is where I go, to leave that world behind.

In addition, my picks and leans are available - check my threads and posts. I don't have time to input halftime plays very often.

What makes me want to is guys like you that can't just say no thank you.

If someone has a system thas has been working for them, please post it! I'm anxious to hear them all!!!
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  #15  
Old 10-20-2009, 06:19 PM
tommyGunn
 
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Alpha - I have also never been on another forum and I am not searching for "more believers". I'm not looking for any believers. I am merely trying to share winners and receive winners.

You and blueprint must be tight!
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