Line movement help...

[vegaspete]

I usually make my own picks and do okay but I spend a lot of time looking up info and making my decisions and cant really do it on days I am working late. Right now I am not gambling for a while b/c I need to save some money. So I want to keep track of different things I have never used like playing line movements to see how they work and maybe I will incorporate them when I start again.

Lets assume you are using reverse line movement. This is where if one team has a disproportionate amount of bets but the line stays the same or goes in the opposite direction you bet against them. You would do this because you assume the smaller percentage of bettors on the other team are betting more money and are probably better cappers (sharps). Here are my questions (some of these may be hard since we cant post web site addresses)...

1)Considering different sites have different lines, where do you get your line movement from?

2)Where do you get accurate info on percentage of bets on either side?

3)What percentage of bets on one side is enough to consider a bet?

4)How is it different for basketball and football? Can you use this in baseball?

5)What kind of win percentage have people that use this experienced?

6)Does anyone use the lines differently? What if you just look at the percentage of money (instead of bets) on either team and when more money is on one team but the line hasnt moved or goes in the opposite direction you go with the other team. You would assume if the line hasnt moved with more money on one side the sportsbook may know something and actually wants to keep it disproportionate. Also, I remember someone saying that the first lines to come out were pretty much on target so if the line moves a certain amount you would get value in taking the side that you were now getting more points on, etc. Thanks.

[Kramer]

Early money came in on Green Bay at +3.
I'm now seeing Minnesota by 2.5 in most places.
Usually, when a number sits at 2.5, the sharps are on the dog, and the public is on the favorite

Green Bay at +2.5 qualifies for basic strategy teasers
The Jets and Dolphins will be popular at lines of -8 or -8.5
because you can bring it down to -2 or -2.5 in six-point teasers.
(under field goal )
Green Bay is in the mix at this line.
you could tease the lions to
+13(Jags have oly won by 7 all year)
Raiders to +16 , etc