Go Back   Sports Handicapping Forum > Sports Picks > NFL Football

NFL Football NFL Handicapping - Post your NFL picks, talk NFL betting, anything NFL.

Reply
 
LinkBack Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 10-27-2008, 11:21 AM
Registered User
 
Join Date: Dec 2006
Posts: 2,125
Rewards: 147
MNF information - for what its worth

I've got a friend who works with the Titans. He's at every single one of their practices and usually has a very good feel for the team (He's in the media). He has a friendly relationship with coach Fisher. He's incredibly unbiased so I do give quite a bit of credit to what he says. He likes the Colts +4 and the Over with a small bit on the Colts money line.

I don't know how much of this is public information as I do not keep up with it, but the Titans have ran the ball a ton in practice. Bob Sanders is out for Indy so they really feel like they can run it down their throat. Their game plan will obviously be to control the ball and rely on their defense, which will likely keep the game UNDER if their successful. The Titans are anticipating a lot of throwing from the Colts and he feels they will have success. If the Colts have success throwing the ball this game will likely go OVER.

Fisher said he's holding Vanden Bosch OUT which means Haynesworth will be double teamed on every single play (guaranteed). WR Justin Gage is a game time decision.

He'll be around the team throughout the day and if anybody looks like they are not going to play I'll make sure to post it.

Take this information for what it's worth. I'm personally playing the Colts +4, the Colts ML, the OVER, and also parlaying both the colts +4 and OVER and colts ML and OVER.

My friend doesn't call and give me information on the Titans often because there usually isn't anything important for him to tell me. Coincidentally he did have some information and suggestions for this huge Monday night game and he usually is on the money.
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 10-27-2008, 11:28 AM
Registered User
 
Join Date: Dec 2006
Posts: 2,125
Rewards: 147
Official plays for tonight. (1 unit each)

Colts +4
Over 40.5
Colts +165
Colts +4 wrapped around with Over 40.5
Colts +165 wrapped around with Over 40.5
6.5 point teaser - Colts +10.5 and over 34
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 10-27-2008, 11:32 AM
Hall of Fame
 
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: texan in nashville
Posts: 29,558
Rewards: 1,158
good stuff, thanks for the info, agree on all the plays
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 10-27-2008, 11:35 AM
Banned
 
Join Date: May 2004
Posts: 40,638
Rewards: 0
if the colts cant stop the run and they run a lot, that is a major advantage for the titans...he said it himself, have no clue why he leans towards the colts then. makes no sense
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 10-27-2008, 11:37 AM
Registered User
 
Join Date: Dec 2006
Posts: 2,125
Rewards: 147
KVD is now a game time decision....not guaranteed out. He'll be pretty ineffective if he's in though. mccareins and gage both game time as well
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 10-27-2008, 12:14 PM
Banned
 
Join Date: May 2004
Location: Hamilton, Canada
Posts: 25,040
Rewards: 3
everything you said in the first post made me like Tennessee even more, not sure why it'd make you want to play the Colts, or the Over, for that matter?

BOL
PV
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 10-27-2008, 12:17 PM
Bring on baseball!
 
Join Date: Apr 2008
Location: Barrie, ON
Posts: 6,030
Rewards: 1,043
Quote:
Originally Posted by pittviper
everything you said in the first post made me like Tennessee even more, not sure why it'd make you want to play the Colts, or the Over, for that matter?

BOL
PV
Ok so it wasn't just me. Phew!
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 10-27-2008, 12:32 PM
Registered User
 
Join Date: Dec 2006
Posts: 2,125
Rewards: 147
Quote:
Originally Posted by rjb1816
if the colts cant stop the run and they run a lot, that is a major advantage for the titans...he said it himself, have no clue why he leans towards the colts then. makes no sense
The operative word is if. I think the Colts stop the run despite Sanders being out and force Collins to beat them. Advantage Colts & Over
Reply With Quote
  #9  
Old 10-27-2008, 12:34 PM
Mega-Degenerate
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Charm City
Posts: 347
Rewards: 165
That made absolutely no sense at all. Why are the colts the play?
Reply With Quote
  #10  
Old 10-27-2008, 12:34 PM
RiskReward
 
Join Date: Dec 2002
Location: Babylon
Posts: 19,980
Rewards: 2,465
titans goy
Reply With Quote
  #11  
Old 10-27-2008, 12:35 PM
Hall of Fame
 
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: texan in nashville
Posts: 29,558
Rewards: 1,158
colts win straight up fellas
Reply With Quote
  #12  
Old 10-27-2008, 12:36 PM
Registered User
 
Join Date: Dec 2006
Posts: 2,125
Rewards: 147
u guys can use the information however u want. my guy likes the colts and over and hes usually on the money when it comes to titans games. he's made quite a bit of $ doing this. I'd love to tell you who he is but he would get fired. ill continue to post injury updates as he lets me know.
Reply With Quote
  #13  
Old 10-27-2008, 12:40 PM
Registered User
 
Join Date: Dec 2006
Posts: 2,125
Rewards: 147
Quote:
Originally Posted by SammyJ
That made absolutely no sense at all. Why are the colts the play?
Because the Titans will be forced to throw the ball to win and they won't be able to do it. Two receivers are a game time decision and the Colts secondary is formidable. The only concern I would have is Chris Johnson in open space. They're going to use him a lot in this game.

KVB is a game time decision and even if he plays he's not going to be 100%. The Titans DL has been their nuts on D and should still be good but you can't replace a healthy KVB. The Colts know what it takes to beat Tennessee (I can't remember the last time the Titans beat them). The 4 points is a blessing.
Reply With Quote
  #14  
Old 10-27-2008, 12:41 PM
Banned
 
Join Date: May 2004
Posts: 40,638
Rewards: 0
i find it interesting the colts will stop the run without sanders. history seems to say otherwise
Reply With Quote
  #15  
Old 10-27-2008, 12:48 PM
Registered User
 
Join Date: Dec 2006
Posts: 2,125
Rewards: 147
Pull up the box scores from the previous Titans and Colts games. This is not your typical NFL game. This is a division game between two teams who hate each other and play each other twice a year. Trying to apply statistics from other games isn't very intelligent IMO.

I'm surprised more people are not trying to debate the Over. I'm much more confident in the Colts +4 than I am in the Over but I'm trusting my friend.
3 of the last 4 games between these 2 teams have been decided by 3 points or less. the 4th was a 6 point game.
Reply With Quote
Reply

Bookmarks

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Trackbacks are On
Pingbacks are On
Refbacks are On



All times are GMT -5. The time now is 05:39 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.7
Copyright ©2000 - 2012, vBulletin Solutions, Inc.