MNF TEXANS -3 vs Jags broken down stat by stat this is DIV turnovers KEY stat

[Vegaswiseguy]

OK First remember this MNF you must pick the winner of the game s/u 88% of the time reagardless of the spread ! This is record past 10 years on MNF games !

so far we had more dog covers this year than most in other words DOG lost the game and YOU won the bet

3 games Favorties WON didnt cover thats the most i seen in past 10 years on all MNF games usally it's two times out of 16 MNF games when a fav wins and doesn't cover a spread !

this 3 point spread stinks like a dead fish on a skunk farm

JAGUARS lost two st games blowouts last week at home 2 pt fav to VIKES lost 12- 30

week 11 home as a 1 point DOG at home bet down from +3 lost to titans 14- 24

TEXANS won as a DOG +3 at browns wk 12 because QB quinn got knocked out early they won 16- 6

WEEK 11 at COLTS cashed as 9 point dog 27 - 33


SO YOU have a phony line - 3 at HOME they won by 10 pts at Browns and strgguled to do it for 4 quaters JAGURS got torpedoed at HOME vs Vikings 12 - 30 as a 2 point fav this dropped them to negative - 20 points ATS

SEE what i mean HOUSTON is at PLUS 13 they won by 10 points as a 3 point dog JAGURS are at - 20 thats a 0 line differnce between teams of 33

negative number vs a plus number you add them together

to get differnce from 0 line

looks like this on graph


HOUSTON +13-------------0---------------------(-20 JAGS)


subtract 13 from 20 you get - 7 thats what the spread should be now i have to see injury reports to figure out why this spread is only tiny 3 points !

loooks too easy right ? EITHER HOUSTON Wins by 4 or more points which i doubt they can do they alwys get outscored at home in 4th quater

NO LEAD is Safe with TEXANS they only covered at home once as a BIG fav that was 3rd win vs CINCY !

heres the ats spread capping

Texans
PF 252 PA 293
- 41 pts
divide by 11 games played
minus 3.72 points per game

add the spread in they now are
-6.72 points

Jags
PF 225 PA 240
- 16 div by 11

= - 1.45 pts
add 3 points

they are +1.55 points


with no spread as pckem TEXANS are

-2.27 points

3.72 - 1.45

so NOW we got mismatch adding spread in

Texans - 5.27 Jags + 1.55

neg Number vs a + number add together

= 6.82 points dff between two teams

-6.27 - 1.55 = - 4.72 spread is off by 1 point

and we got money movment by 5 cents Texans are now
-120 JAGS are +100 with the spread at 3

they were -115 - 105 at the greek and Bet jam both books moved same way they are same orginazation bet jam is sister book of the greek

i just view the vegas odds both - 110 every game but this shows lots of money moving in on one side

checking the money line if i see less than +135 on jags

then i know +150 about right for a road dog Money Lines are -130 every 3 points rule of thumb

this spraed stinks like used tampon on a chit wagon

should be - 7 or more

offense rankings of texans

4th 14th rushing 4th passing

defense rankings 18th 25th vs run 14th vs pass

Jags O rankings

21st 18th running 17th pasing

Defense better

ranked 14th 19th vs run 14th vs Pass

Sage has 4 td's but 8 ints his last 3 games

2 ints per every TD pass

both teams ahd low scoring games last week

Texans 16 points Jags only 12
and Texans only WON because Quinn was knocked out with Broken finger

Browns couldnt move ball at all after that only two fg's scored really a mirage of a game we know houston is not that good

Only pro here this is TEXANS 1st MNF game in thier history

is this dog dead ? NO they are alive they have fight left in them HC Del Rio said it he's still saying they are playing hard he knows we have issues and looking to rebuild next year but still wants this team to contend and beat some teams still !

Neither team is happy with thier current season projected from last year Jags were in Playoffs

Texanns had 1st winning year finsihed at 8-8

BUT injury early to key players and Jags losing D corridintaor Smith to Falcons totally changed teams Chemistry

looked at Texans after s/u dog wins then favored next week at home 100% losers s/u and ATS no matter who they played at home DIV game or non div game thats 6 years of results DOM capers HC 4 yrs gary Kubiak two years

OK thats it JAGUARS ML +150 5 units !!

500 to win $750

placing wager now !

[be47320]

read the last 3 sentences only but i agree with those, gl

[Vegaswiseguy]

Dec 1 7:35pm Football - Pending 500.00 to win 750.00
1. Football - Jacksonville Jaguars - moneyline (+150)
for the entire game held on Dec 1 at 8:35pm [pending] 7:35 PM EST

[kurugby]

im am now questioning all this too, i dont like it at all

[Vegaswiseguy]

TY Be i know it's lot of info posted but really thats how i handicap every game on board

this game is just to be NOT the last one in div neither team is playoff bound unless colts lose out and they manage to win out finish at 9 -7 which is like asking to get in bed with THE HOTTEST star on the planet for YOU !

like the one in my avatar one of my favs ARIA Giavonni

delicious from head to toe

[Vegaswiseguy]

adding the wagerline survior picks 3 pages from leadear board those who have 6 st wins or more

9 people have Jags 8 people have Texans

BUT 8 took overs two at 48.5 only 3 took unders all at 48

252 + 293 + 225 + 240 = 1010 divded by 22 games played = 45.9 points round off to 46 yup right where it should be at 48 based on 3 point spread

JAGS +3 and OVERS lets tease this baby 6 points

JAGS +9 OVER 42 10 units !

[Bobtheicon]

she looks fat in that pic.

Good luck!! - GO JAGS!!

[Pap]

Originally Posted by Vegaswiseguy

OK First remember this MNF you must pick the winner of the game s/u 88% of the time reagardless of the spread ! This is record past 10 years on MNF games !

so far we had more dog covers this year than most in other words DOG lost the game and YOU won the bet

3 games Favorties WON didnt cover thats the most i seen in past 10 years on all MNF games usally it's two times out of 16 MNF games when a fav wins and doesn't cover a spread !

this 3 point spread stinks like a dead fish on a skunk farm

JAGUARS lost two st games blowouts last week at home 2 pt fav to VIKES lost 12- 30

week 11 home as a 1 point DOG at home bet down from +3 lost to titans 14- 24

TEXANS won as a DOG +3 at browns wk 12 because QB quinn got knocked out early they won 16- 6

WEEK 11 at COLTS cashed as 9 point dog 27 - 33


SO YOU have a phony line - 3 at HOME they won by 10 pts at Browns and strgguled to do it for 4 quaters JAGURS got torpedoed at HOME vs Vikings 12 - 30 as a 2 point fav this dropped them to negative - 20 points ATS

SEE what i mean HOUSTON is at PLUS 13 they won by 10 points as a 3 point dog JAGURS are at - 20 thats a 0 line differnce between teams of 33

negative number vs a plus number you add them together

to get differnce from 0 line

looks like this on graph


HOUSTON +13-------------0---------------------(-20 JAGS)


subtract 13 from 20 you get - 7 thats what the spread should be now i have to see injury reports to figure out why this spread is only tiny 3 points !

loooks too easy right ? EITHER HOUSTON Wins by 4 or more points which i doubt they can do they alwys get outscored at home in 4th quater

NO LEAD is Safe with TEXANS they only covered at home once as a BIG fav that was 3rd win vs CINCY !

heres the ats spread capping

Texans
PF 252 PA 293
- 41 pts
divide by 11 games played
minus 3.72 points per game

add the spread in they now are
-6.72 points

Jags
PF 225 PA 240
- 16 div by 11

= - 1.45 pts
add 3 points

they are +1.55 points


with no spread as pckem TEXANS are

-2.27 points

3.72 - 1.45

so NOW we got mismatch adding spread in

Texans - 5.27 Jags + 1.55

neg Number vs a + number add together

= 6.82 points dff between two teams

-6.27 - 1.55 = - 4.72 spread is off by 1 point

and we got money movment by 5 cents Texans are now
-120 JAGS are +100 with the spread at 3

they were -115 - 105 at the greek and Bet jam both books moved same way they are same orginazation bet jam is sister book of the greek

i just view the vegas odds both - 110 every game but this shows lots of money moving in on one side

checking the money line if i see less than +135 on jags

then i know +150 about right for a road dog Money Lines are -130 every 3 points rule of thumb

this spraed stinks like used tampon on a chit wagon

should be - 7 or more

offense rankings of texans

4th 14th rushing 4th passing

defense rankings 18th 25th vs run 14th vs pass

Jags O rankings

21st 18th running 17th pasing

Defense better

ranked 14th 19th vs run 14th vs Pass

Sage has 4 td's but 8 ints his last 3 games

2 ints per every TD pass

both teams ahd low scoring games last week

Texans 16 points Jags only 12
and Texans only WON because Quinn was knocked out with Broken finger

Browns couldnt move ball at all after that only two fg's scored really a mirage of a game we know houston is not that good

Only pro here this is TEXANS 1st MNF game in thier history

is this dog dead ? NO they are alive they have fight left in them HC Del Rio said it he's still saying they are playing hard he knows we have issues and looking to rebuild next year but still wants this team to contend and beat some teams still !

Neither team is happy with thier current season projected from last year Jags were in Playoffs

Texanns had 1st winning year finsihed at 8-8

BUT injury early to key players and Jags losing D corridintaor Smith to Falcons totally changed teams Chemistry

looked at Texans after s/u dog wins then favored next week at home 100% losers s/u and ATS no matter who they played at home DIV game or non div game thats 6 years of results DOM capers HC 4 yrs gary Kubiak two years

OK thats it JAGUARS ML +150 5 units !!

500 to win $750

placing wager now !

wheres my tinfoil hat?