Mr. NASCAR's NFL second half adjustment spots

[Mr. NASCAR]

I don't wager much on NFL as I don't have the formulas developed that I use in other sports.
But I have a week 17 spot using team totals that I look for, 6-0 in '08, 7-2 in '09 (and one of the two losses came on the final play of the game.)

It's a second half adjustment thing (anyone get the NCAA ones I posted? I gave the record at the beginning of the year, 3-0 in '06, 3-0 in '07, 3-0 in '08, 4-0 in '09 (to which many probably said "13-0? BS", not knowing me yet.)

I posted that "it looks like, based on past data in my logbooks, that we get about three each year" and that's what we got so far this bowl season, three plays, all shared here, and all three won.

This is a different set of parameters, and only charted for two years, but so far, so good. Of course that is no guarantee - this is still sports gambling. But I think I have an edge isolated; we'll find out.
If any games fit the parameters I'll post the plays here.
Other than that, I'm a Seahawk fan, and sorry, but just can't seem them getting it done on either side of the ball, and a backup QB and amateur HC doesn't make things any easier.
No system, just a gut play, bought St. Louis -3.

Good luck with your play today . . .

[Dr. Jack]

Seattle fans not happy with Pete? He's so overrated as a coach.

GL today nascar - le't see those 2nd half winners later too

[Mr. NASCAR]

Doc,
I can't speak for Seattle fans, I don't know any!
I grew up in the "Land of the Giants" (reference to God-awful show from the 70's; anyone remember that one?)
everyone I know is a G-men fan, and the odd J-E-T-S JETS JETS JETS fan.
I thought Carrol was overrated when he was with USC.
Saw him in Vegas once, can't remember why/what he did, but I remember coming away thinking "what a douchebag."
I was tired of the Walrus and ready for a change, but didn't think Mr. Allen would go amateur on me.

Hope we get a few spots to play today, curious myself to see if they are profitable.
Saw your reply, early in my NCAA Bowl post, hope ya got in one something there, haven't updated my charts yet but I think the five plays I use (the 6 for 6, T/O differential, etc; not TV or added play) are a combined 11-2, or something like that. Will update it before tomorrow's game.

Good luck with your play today . .

[Dr. Jack]

Ha. Thanks for info. It's s tough game. I leaned Seattle early in week but now I don't know. Gl man

[Mr. NASCAR]

Second half plays (I will buy every one listed):

Buff Un 10
Min Un 10
Mia Un 12'
Cin Un 7
KC Un 10'
Cle Un 9
Car Un 7

(Books have really tightened lines this year? I have record from last two years with me, but not chart showing lines I bought. If some is looking to just play 1 or 2, I believe teams that have clinched and are getting > 7 are strongest.)

[chickensalad]

gl, nascar

[Mr. NASCAR]

I dig my chicken salad on a sesame seed hard roll, with a little Worcestershire on top.

Luck to you, too . . .

LY, 4 of 9 teams were playoff bound, including one of the two plays that lost (the one in the final play of the game.) Seems this year more slanted to non-playoff teams, so far.

Just went back and checked 2 years ago, only 1 of 6 was playoff bound, so, it didn't matter then as all six won.

[Mr. NASCAR]

Friggin' Brunell - I thought I was done getting screwed by this clown; just tossed a pick 6 to Buff, cutting into our advantage.
Foot Fetish Boy has a 17-0 lead and he's telling his bench warmer to toss passes?
Just run the ball and use up the clock, toe-jam lover . . .

Pit's doin it right - a 7 minute drive to start the Q.

And Joe Webb just pulled a Brunell, hurtin us in Minn play (could have been worse, Faavre would have tossed 2 pick 6's by now.)

[Mr. NASCAR]

OK, 4-2 morning, I'll take it.

Could have been better, the fired Fox cost us a win, a-hole calls a timeout with 27 seconds left in the game, down by 28 points.
I was just about to put a green W in the log book next to that play, but they got the TD after the TO and it gets the dreaded red L.

Could have been worse, too, I think the Cincy game ended at the 2 yard line, Cincy thisclose to making that push a loss.

Like I said, it's OK, I'll take 4-2 any day.
Three year record is now 17-4, with two losses coming with just seconds left in the games, so, play looks solid; for now.

Back if there are any plays this afternoon ...

[Mr. NASCAR]

I'll call it a day and bank the profit, but there are two plays this afternoon:
GB Un 14
Chi Un 7

I'd expect a split, which means lost juice, so no buys for me.

[Mr. NASCAR]

Didn't like that the two plays were in the same game so I laid off, but it didn't matter - play moves to 6-2.

May be one more chance in tonight's game (will post if there is.)
If not final number is 6-2 this year, 19-4 last three.

Still have opportunity for a few NCAA second half adjustment spots.
Combined NFL/NCAA bowl second half plays 9-2 this year, all shared here at CM; not bad coin.

Good luck with your Sunday night play . . .