***New Orleans Vs Seattle

[mrwho]

who's covering?

[TTB]

Who dat 34-20

[JunkyardDog47]

The line is now up to 10.5. The Saints are not used to playing outdoors in January in Seattle. The interesting thing about this game is that it is the only playoff game next week that does not have an opening line in all of the Vegas books. I like Seattle and the current 10.5 points you can get.

[olgplayer]

dont fool yourself. saints win this game by 20 at least. nothing showed me that seattle belonged last night. its not like the rams on the road are world beaters. seattle was never down in that game and could rely on being conservative. they will be down against NO and you will how good whitehurst or hasselback is with those recievers. this is like 31-10.

[Jdick98]

Easy win for saints

[Lukester]

Originally Posted by Jdick98

Easy win for saints

A road favorite in the wild card round is almost overvalued by definition–if they were *really* strong enough to justify the road favorite role they wouldn’t be playing in the opening round anyway as they would have earned a bye.

[JohnnyMapleLeaf]

Originally Posted by Lukester

A road favorite in the wild card round is almost overvalued by definition–if they were *really* strong enough to justify the road favorite role they wouldn’t be playing in the opening round anyway as they would have earned a bye.

lol... They had the second most wins in the whole NFC. And this home team they are playing faves against, has the least amount of wins in league history. Kinda special circumstances this year...

[Lukester]

Originally Posted by JohnnyMapleLeaf

lol... They had the second most wins in the whole NFC. And this home team they are playing faves against, has the least amount of wins in league history. Kinda special circumstances this year...

Permit me to now include ATS--and DD that is. That's a helluva lot.

[JohnnyMapleLeaf]

I think everyone expected 10 points here. Not a shocker. They are a bad team, and 12th men, and loud home field doesn't change that. Seattle played 3 teams at home this year that were double digit winning teams like the Saints. Losing all 3 in blowouts by the scores of 41-7 (NYG), 42-24 (KC), 34-18 (ATL). Their only home win this year against a .500 team they were outplayed badly against SD. Their last 4 wins to get them into the playoffs? Stl/Car/Ari/Ari.

They just couldn't put a TD line out there.

All I was saying is that you really can't compare playoff trends in this one, cause there has never been this bad of a team in this situation.

[Lukester]

Originally Posted by JohnnyMapleLeaf

I think everyone expected 10 points here. Not a shocker. They are a bad team, and 12th men, and loud home field doesn't change that. Seattle played 3 teams at home this year that were double digit winning teams like the Saints. Losing all 3 in blowouts by the scores of 41-7 (NYG), 42-24 (KC), 34-18 (ATL). Their only home win this year against a .500 team they were outplayed badly against SD. Their last 4 wins to get them into the playoffs? Stl/Car/Ari/Ari.

They just couldn't put a TD line out there.

All I was saying is that you really can't compare playoff trends in this one, cause there has never been this bad of a team in this situation.

Fair enough.

This game could end 46-3 for the Saints and I won't be shocked.

And by the way, there's no remarkable or noteworthy trends for this matchup. It's the only one of the four games. These two teams don't play each other that much.

+10 or more I will more than likely bite on. It's a much better Play than a tighter line such as GB-PHI where either team could win the game. I hate tight lines--they're too 50-50 to my liking. Often play the +Dog DD without even looking into it. The Outdoors + Climate is what I'm looking at here. Edge Seattle. Hopefully the Weather will forecast wet snow and I'll be even more comfortable to play it today.

[Lukester]

Double Digit Lines during this regular season:
-------------------------------------------

as DD Favs: 8-12 ATS

as DD Home Favs: 7-12 ATS

as DD Road Favs: 1-0 ATS

Outright Road Upsets: 4-0

[skins-win-supbwl]

I like the points here...7 points or less will decide the game, either saints or hawks.

[Seanie Mac]

grabbed a +11 and under 45. Seahawks boast the biggest HFA that's not in a dome. Saints while highly explosive, are depleted at RB, and other numerous positions. I don't necessarily think Seattle wins the game, but right now I cant pass up DD @ home in the playoffs. With Hassleback starting he can control the game better but I think Whitehurst has the more talent at this point. fairly correlated for an NFL game so that's where I'm at.

[Wabash Wonders]

Originally Posted by Seanie Mac

grabbed a +11 and under 45. Seahawks boast the biggest HFA that's not in a dome. Saints while highly explosive, are depleted at RB, and other numerous positions. I don't necessarily think Seattle wins the game, but right now I cant pass up DD @ home in the playoffs. With Hassleback starting he can control the game better but I think Whitehurst has the more talent at this point. fairly correlated for an NFL game so that's where I'm at.

I keep seeing people talking about this, but where is the proof? Seattle was 5-3 at home this year, only Philly(4-4) had a worse home record of all playoff teams. Their 5 wins were by an average of 14 points but was against the likes of Carolina,Arizona,St.Louis, SF and SD, all non playoff teams. Their 3 losses were by an average of 22 points against 2 playoff teams and the Giants( a 10 win team) Seems to me they are only good at home against bad teams.

[Boosch1949]

We all know that talent-wise it's no contest. But motivation can be a "driving force" for an underdog. Getting DD @ home is very scary. What will the mind set for the Saints be. 'Go for the win' or play "not to lose." All the pressure is on the Saints. Taking the pts. is the way to go.

GLTA

Bob