New system for 2008

[mark12]

Tried this toward the end of 07' and it worked pretty well so here goes.

Theory: As teams cover or lose to the spread week after week Vegas adjust the line so that there are very few long streaks. Same for totals. What I am doing is betting teams that have long streaks (W-L) (Over or Under) end those streaks because of line adjustments.

Money Management: Start with $100 units and continue unless you lose $1000 in which case you double to $200 units until you have recovered the $1000 and then return to $100. Do this to a max of $400 if you were to lose at level two.

I will play the best 10 games in these categories each week.
Good Luck if you follow.

Washington
New England
Jax/Tenn under
NO/TB under
Dallas
Dall/Clev over
Carolina
Det/Atl. under 2 units (both are plays on under so counts as 2 plays)
GB/Minn under

[mark12]

0-1 -$110

[mark12]

Detroit +5
Minn. -3
Cinn. +13
St. Louis +10
Clev over 37.5
Det under 46.5
N.O. under 51
N.Y. Jets over 44
Seattle under 44
Tenn. over 39

YTD 3-6 -$470

[mark12]

Missed one so adding
GB/Dallas under 51

[mark12]

Detroit +5 lose
Minn. -3 win
Cinn. +13 win
St. Louis +10 lose
Clev over 37.5 win
Det under 46.5 win
N.O. under 51 lose
N.Y. Jets over 44
Seattle under 44 lose
Tenn. over 39 win

[mark12]

Originally Posted by mark12

Missed one so adding
GB/Dallas under 51 WIN

6-4 so far for the week with the Jets/SD over left Monday. GL all.

[mark12]

Originally Posted by mark12

6-4 so far for the week with the Jets/SD over WIN left Monday. GL all.

7-4 for the week

YTD 10-10 -$210

[killerwales]

just a question or more of a thought, but seeing as san diego was 2-0 o/u shouldnt you have faded that. that would have made it a no play because the jets were 0-2 o/u. i was on the over as well for my own reasons so congrats but just some food for thought.

[mark12]

Originally Posted by killerwales

just a question or more of a thought, but seeing as san diego was 2-0 o/u shouldnt you have faded that. that would have made it a no play because the jets were 0-2 o/u. i was on the over as well for my own reasons so congrats but just some food for thought.

In these cases I go back to last year and the Jets had 4 unders to close last year so I went with the over.

[mark12]

N.O. under 48.5
Atlanta under 39.5
Cleveland over 41.5
Houston under 43
San Diego under 45.5
Denver under 47.5
St. Louis +9
Chicago +3
Pittsburgh -5.5
Minnesota +3

[mark12]

YTD 13-17 (-680)

N.O. under 46.5
Balt. +1
Denver under 46.5
Detroit +3.5
Houston under 48.5
San Diego under 44.5
Seattle under 43.5
Philly -6.5

[mark12]

Clev. over
Detroit
St. Louis
Seattle under
Houston
Houston under
Carolina
Denver
Green Bay

[mark12]

10/5
N.O. under 46.5 lose
Balt. +1 lose
Denver under 46.5 win
Detroit +3.5 lose
Houston under 48.5 lose
San Diego under 44.5 win
Seattle under 43.5 lose
Philly -6.5 lose

10/12
Clev. over pending
Detroit Win
St. Louis Win
Seattle under Win
Houston lose
Houston under lose
Carolina lose
Denver lose
Green Bay Win

YTD 19-27 (-1180)

Tonight Clev. over goes to 220 to win 200.

[mark12]

G.B.
Houston
Houston under
Denver
Seattle
K.C.
Buffalo
Minn.
N.Y. Jets

[mark12]

YTD 20-27 (-980)
Bets today are still for 220 to win 200