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| NFL Football NFL Handicapping - Post your NFL picks, talk NFL betting, anything NFL. |
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#1
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NFL Betting Trends
ST LOUIS at GREEN BAY, 1:00 PM ET
ST LOUIS: 2-13 ATS after gaining 3.5 or less yards/play last game GREEN BAY: 9-1 ATS off 3 straight wins JACKSONVILLE at PITTSBURGH, 1:00 PM ET JACKSONVILLE: 5-14 ATS off ATS loss PITTSBURGH: 19-8 ATS if 50+ pts scored last game PHILADELPHIA at WASHINGTON, 1:00 PM ET PHILADELPHIA: 7-0 Over in conference road games WASHINGTON: 6-12 ATS at home vs. Philadelphia SAN FRANCISCO at DETROIT, 1:00 PM ET SAN FRANCISCO: 11-28 ATS Away off win by 14+ DETROIT: n/a CAROLINA at ATLANTA, 1:00 PM ET CAROLINA: 6-0 ATS if 50+ pts scored last game ATLANTA: 14-29 ATS in 2nd of BB home games INDIANAPOLIS at CINCINNATI, 1:00 PM ET INDIANAPOLIS: 7-0 Over if total is 35.5 to 42 CINCINNATI: 0-9 ATS as home favorite BUFFALO at NY GIANTS, 1:00 PM ET BUFFALO: 1-4 ATS vs. NY Giants NY GIANTS: 0-7 ATS if allowing 400+ yds last game HOUSTON at BALTIMORE, 4:05 PM ET HOUSTON: 15-31 ATS Away off home game BALTIMORE: 18-7 ATS at home after scoring 30+ CLEVELAND at OAKLAND, 4:05 PM ET CLEVELAND: 19-8 Over Away off BB Home games OAKLAND: 13-27 ATS off SU dog win DALLAS at NEW ENGLAND, 4:15 PM ET DALLAS: 12-1 Over after 1st month of season NEW ENGLAND: 18-4 Over in all games NEW ORLEANS at TAMPA BAY, 4:15 PM ET NEW ORLEANS: 8-0 Under off 2 straight road wins TAMPA BAY: 0-8 ATS as home dog of 7 pts or less MINNESOTA at CHICAGO, 8:20 PM ET NBC MINNESOTA: 8-2 Over in wks 5 through 9 CHICAGO: n/a Monday, 10/17/2011 MIAMI at NY JETS, 8:30 PM ET ESPN MIAMI: 11-24 ATS vs. Jets NY JETS: 14-5 Over vs. conference |
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#2
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OCTOBER 16, 1:00 PM
ST. LOUIS vs. GREEN BAY St. Louis is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games St. Louis is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games when playing Green Bay The total has gone OVER in 7 of Green Bay's last 8 games at home Green Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home OCTOBER 16, 1:00 PM CAROLINA vs. ATLANTA Carolina is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road The total has gone OVER in 5 of Carolina's last 7 games on the road The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 7 games when playing at home against Carolina Atlanta is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games OCTOBER 16, 1:00 PM INDIANAPOLIS vs. CINCINNATI Indianapolis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cincinnati Indianapolis is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road Cincinnati is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Indianapolis Cincinnati is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Indianapolis OCTOBER 16, 1:00 PM SAN FRANCISCO vs. DETROIT San Francisco is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Detroit The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 6 games when playing on the road against Detroit Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home Detroit is 9-0-1 ATS in its last 10 games OCTOBER 16, 1:00 PM BUFFALO vs. NY GIANTS Buffalo is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 6 games on the road The total has gone OVER in 4 of the NY Giants last 5 games NY Giants are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games OCTOBER 16, 1:00 PM JACKSONVILLE vs. PITTSBURGH Jacksonville is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road Jacksonville is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh Pittsburgh is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Jacksonville Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home OCTOBER 16, 1:00 PM PHILADELPHIA vs. WASHINGTON Philadelphia is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road Philadelphia is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games Washington is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Philadelphia OCTOBER 16, 4:05 PM CLEVELAND vs. OAKLAND Cleveland is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oakland's last 6 games at home Oakland is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland OCTOBER 16, 4:05 PM HOUSTON vs. BALTIMORE Houston is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games Houston is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road Baltimore is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games Baltimore is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games at home OCTOBER 16, 4:15 PM NEW ORLEANS vs. TAMPA BAY New Orleans is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games on the road The total has gone OVER in 6 of New Orleans's last 8 games on the road Tampa Bay is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing New Orleans The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games at home OCTOBER 16, 4:15 PM DALLAS vs. NEW ENGLAND Dallas is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road The total has gone OVER in 15 of Dallas's last 17 games The total has gone OVER in 5 of New England's last 5 games at home The total has gone OVER in 14 of New England's last 16 games OCTOBER 16, 8:20 PM MINNESOTA vs. CHICAGO Minnesota is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing Minnesota Chicago is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota OCTOBER 17, 8:30 PM MIAMI vs. NY JETS Miami is 6-16-3 ATS in their last 25 games when playing NY Jets Miami is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing NY Jets The total has gone OVER in 6 of the NY Jets last 7 games NY Jets are 9-4 SU in their last 13 games when playing at home against Miami |
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#3
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All games in this series since 1992
GREEN BAY is 6-6 against the spread versus ST LOUIS since 1992 GREEN BAY is 8-4 straight up against ST LOUIS since 1992 7 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992 Games over the last 3 seasons GREEN BAY is 1-0 against the spread versus ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons GREEN BAY is 1-0 straight up against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons 1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons All games played at GREEN BAY since 1992 ST LOUIS is 4-3 against the spread versus GREEN BAY since 1992 GREEN BAY is 5-2 straight up against ST LOUIS since 1992 4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992 Games played at GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons. There were no past matchups in this series during this time period. All games in this series since 1992 JACKSONVILLE is 13-8 against the spread versus PITTSBURGH since 1992 JACKSONVILLE is 12-9 straight up against PITTSBURGH since 1992 12 of 21 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992 Games over the last 3 seasons There were no past matchups in this series during this time period. All games played at PITTSBURGH since 1992 PITTSBURGH is 6-4 against the spread versus JACKSONVILLE since 1992 PITTSBURGH is 5-5 straight up against JACKSONVILLE since 1992 5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992 Games played at PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons. There were no past matchups in this series during this time period. All games in this series since 1992 PHILADELPHIA is 19-16 against the spread versus WASHINGTON since 1992 PHILADELPHIA is 25-13 straight up against WASHINGTON since 1992 23 of 37 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992 Games over the last 3 seasons WASHINGTON is 2-2 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons PHILADELPHIA is 3-1 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons 3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons All games played at WASHINGTON since 1992 PHILADELPHIA is 12-6 against the spread versus WASHINGTON since 1992 PHILADELPHIA is 13-6 straight up against WASHINGTON since 1992 12 of 18 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992 Games played at WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons. PHILADELPHIA is 2-0 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons PHILADELPHIA is 2-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons 2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons All games in this series since 1992 SAN FRANCISCO is 7-2 against the spread versus DETROIT since 1992 SAN FRANCISCO is 10-1 straight up against DETROIT since 1992 8 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992 Games over the last 3 seasons DETROIT is 0-0 against the spread versus SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons SAN FRANCISCO is 1-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons 1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons All games played at DETROIT since 1992 SAN FRANCISCO is 2-1 against the spread versus DETROIT since 1992 SAN FRANCISCO is 3-1 straight up against DETROIT since 1992 3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992 Games played at DETROIT over the last 3 seasons. There were no past matchups in this series during this time period. All games in this series since 1992 ATLANTA is 17-13 against the spread versus CAROLINA since 1992 ATLANTA is 20-12 straight up against CAROLINA since 1992 19 of 30 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992 Games over the last 3 seasons ATLANTA is 3-1 against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons ATLANTA is 3-1 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons 2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons All games played at ATLANTA since 1992 ATLANTA is 10-5 against the spread versus CAROLINA since 1992 ATLANTA is 12-4 straight up against CAROLINA since 1992 8 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992 Games played at ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons. ATLANTA is 2-0 against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons ATLANTA is 2-0 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons 1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons All games in this series since 1992 INDIANAPOLIS is 8-5 against the spread versus CINCINNATI since 1992 INDIANAPOLIS is 10-3 straight up against CINCINNATI since 1992 6 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992 Games over the last 3 seasons CINCINNATI is 1-0 against the spread versus INDIANAPOLIS over the last 3 seasons INDIANAPOLIS is 1-0 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons 1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons All games played at CINCINNATI since 1992 INDIANAPOLIS is 4-1 against the spread versus CINCINNATI since 1992 INDIANAPOLIS is 4-1 straight up against CINCINNATI since 1992 3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992 Games played at CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons. There were no past matchups in this series during this time period. All games in this series since 1992 NY GIANTS is 4-1 against the spread versus BUFFALO since 1992 BUFFALO is 3-2 straight up against NY GIANTS since 1992 3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992 Games over the last 3 seasons There were no past matchups in this series during this time period. All games played at NY GIANTS since 1992 NY GIANTS is 1-1 against the spread versus BUFFALO since 1992 BUFFALO is 2-0 straight up against NY GIANTS since 1992 1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992 Games played at NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons. There were no past matchups in this series during this time period. All games in this series since 1992 BALTIMORE is 3-1 against the spread versus HOUSTON since 1992 BALTIMORE is 4-0 straight up against HOUSTON since 1992 3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992 Games over the last 3 seasons BALTIMORE is 1-0 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons BALTIMORE is 1-0 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons 1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons All games played at BALTIMORE since 1992 HOUSTON is 1-0 against the spread versus BALTIMORE since 1992 BALTIMORE is 1-0 straight up against HOUSTON since 1992 1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992 Games played at BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons. There were no past matchups in this series during this time period. All games in this series since 1992 CLEVELAND is 7-1 against the spread versus OAKLAND since 1992 CLEVELAND is 6-2 straight up against OAKLAND since 1992 4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992 Games over the last 3 seasons CLEVELAND is 1-0 against the spread versus OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons CLEVELAND is 1-0 straight up against OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons 1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons All games played at OAKLAND since 1992 CLEVELAND is 5-1 against the spread versus OAKLAND since 1992 CLEVELAND is 4-2 straight up against OAKLAND since 1992 4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992 Games played at OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons. There were no past matchups in this series during this time period. All games in this series since 1992 NEW ENGLAND is 3-1 against the spread versus DALLAS since 1992 NEW ENGLAND is 3-1 straight up against DALLAS since 1992 3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992 Games over the last 3 seasons There were no past matchups in this series during this time period. All games played at NEW ENGLAND since 1992 NEW ENGLAND is 2-0 against the spread versus DALLAS since 1992 NEW ENGLAND is 2-0 straight up against DALLAS since 1992 2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992 Games played at NEW ENGLAND over the last 3 seasons. There were no past matchups in this series during this time period. All games in this series since 1992 TAMPA BAY is 12-11 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS since 1992 TAMPA BAY is 12-12 straight up against NEW ORLEANS since 1992 13 of 24 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992 Games over the last 3 seasons TAMPA BAY is 2-2 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons TAMPA BAY is 2-2 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons 4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons All games played at TAMPA BAY since 1992 NEW ORLEANS is 8-3 against the spread versus TAMPA BAY since 1992 NEW ORLEANS is 7-5 straight up against TAMPA BAY since 1992 7 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992 Games played at TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons. NEW ORLEANS is 2-0 against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons NEW ORLEANS is 2-0 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons 2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons All games in this series since 1992 CHICAGO is 23-16 against the spread versus MINNESOTA since 1992 MINNESOTA is 22-17 straight up against CHICAGO since 1992 21 of 38 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992 Games over the last 3 seasons CHICAGO is 3-1 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons CHICAGO is 3-1 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons 2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons All games played at CHICAGO since 1992 CHICAGO is 11-8 against the spread versus MINNESOTA since 1992 CHICAGO is 10-9 straight up against MINNESOTA since 1992 11 of 19 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992 Games played at CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons. CHICAGO is 2-0 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons CHICAGO is 2-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons 1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons All games in this series since 1992 NY JETS is 24-11 against the spread versus MIAMI since 1992 NY JETS is 22-16 straight up against MIAMI since 1992 20 of 38 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992 Games over the last 3 seasons MIAMI is 3-1 against the spread versus NY JETS over the last 3 seasons MIAMI is 3-1 straight up against NY JETS over the last 3 seasons 3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons All games played at NY JETS since 1992 NY JETS is 10-6 against the spread versus MIAMI since 1992 NY JETS is 12-7 straight up against MIAMI since 1992 10 of 19 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992 Games played at NY JETS over the last 3 seasons. MIAMI is 2-0 against the spread versus NY JETS over the last 3 seasons MIAMI is 2-0 straight up against NY JETS over the last 3 seasons 1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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#4
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Thanx...
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N/A |
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#5
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ST LOUIS (0 - 4) at GREEN BAY (5 - 0) - 10/16/2011, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game. ST LOUIS is 115-149 ATS (-48.9 Units) in all games since 1992. ST LOUIS is 115-149 ATS (-48.9 Units) in all lined games since 1992. ST LOUIS is 56-81 ATS (-33.1 Units) as an underdog since 1992. ST LOUIS is 59-85 ATS (-34.5 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992. ST LOUIS is 83-116 ATS (-44.6 Units) against conference opponents since 1992. ST LOUIS is 40-64 ATS (-30.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992. GREEN BAY is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons. GREEN BAY is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons. GREEN BAY is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons. GREEN BAY is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. GREEN BAY is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons. JACKSONVILLE (1 - 4) at PITTSBURGH (3 - 2) - 10/16/2011, 1:00 PM Top Trends for this game. PITTSBURGH is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 2 seasons. PITTSBURGH is 44-27 ATS (+14.3 Units) in October games since 1992. PITTSBURGH is 51-29 ATS (+19.1 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992. PHILADELPHIA (1 - 4) at WASHINGTON (3 - 1) - 10/16/2011, 1:00 PM Top Trends for this game. PHILADELPHIA is 143-104 ATS (+28.6 Units) against conference opponents since 1992. WASHINGTON is 47-77 ATS (-37.7 Units) as a favorite since 1992. WASHINGTON is 16-34 ATS (-21.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992. SAN FRANCISCO (4 - 1) at DETROIT (5 - 0) - 10/16/2011, 1:00 PM Top Trends for this game. DETROIT is 16-3 ATS (+12.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons. DETROIT is 16-3 ATS (+12.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons. DETROIT is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons. DETROIT is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons. DETROIT is 14-2 ATS (+11.8 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons. DETROIT is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons. DETROIT is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons. DETROIT is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) off a division game over the last 2 seasons. DETROIT is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in dome games over the last 2 seasons. DETROIT is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons. DETROIT is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in October games over the last 2 seasons. DETROIT is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. CAROLINA (1 - 4) at ATLANTA (2 - 3) - 10/16/2011, 1:00 PM Top Trends for this game. CAROLINA is 59-34 ATS (+21.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992. INDIANAPOLIS (0 - 5) at CINCINNATI (3 - 2) - 10/16/2011, 1:00 PM Top Trends for this game. CINCINNATI is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons. CINCINNATI is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons. CINCINNATI is 48-70 ATS (-29.0 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992. BUFFALO (4 - 1) at NY GIANTS (3 - 2) - 10/16/2011, 1:00 PM There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game. HOUSTON (3 - 2) at BALTIMORE (3 - 1) - 10/16/2011, 4:05 PM There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game. CLEVELAND (2 - 2) at OAKLAND (3 - 2) - 10/16/2011, 4:05 PM There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game. DALLAS (2 - 2) at NEW ENGLAND (4 - 1) - 10/16/2011, 4:15 PM Top Trends for this game. NEW ENGLAND is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in October games over the last 3 seasons. NEW ORLEANS (4 - 1) at TAMPA BAY (3 - 2) - 10/16/2011, 4:15 PM Top Trends for this game. TAMPA BAY is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons. TAMPA BAY is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons. TAMPA BAY is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons. MINNESOTA (1 - 4) at CHICAGO (2 - 3) - 10/16/2011, 8:20 PM There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game. MIAMI (0 - 4) at NY JETS (2 - 3) - 10/17/2011, 8:30 PM There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game. |
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#6
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Every Tuesday during the NFL regular season, Dave Tuley of ViewfromVegas.com will provide an update on the Hilton SuperContest.
LAS VEGAS -- You've likely heard by now how the sports books here took a beating over the weekend. The public loves to bet the favorite and the over, and they had a banner weekend as college football favorites went 32-20 against the spread -- including all the popular top-ranked teams covering. Then NFL chalk went 8-5 ATS, with the over going 9-4, including all the major decisions going against the books and made worse when the public parlayed those winning favorites together. SuperContest At A Glance What: The most prestigious football handicapping contest in Las Vegas. Where: Las Vegas Hilton. Who: 517 entrants who put up $1,500 apiece. When: Contest lasts the entire 17-week NFL schedule with players putting in five plays against the spread each week. Why: $310,200 first-place prize, plus the fame and respect that comes with it. Now, the Hilton SuperContest is a different animal. Players come with more of a tendency to look at underdogs and they're usually following the sharp money, which is often fading the public. So, while the squares were cashing tons of tickets this weekend, the SuperContest field was muddling around .500. In fact, the consensus plays went 6-6-1 overall and were remarkably close to .500 with all selections at 1,185-1,186, with 209 pushing on the Jets-Patriots game. Sharp contest players (and bettors in the real world) took the Jets plus-9 while those that followed the steam and took the Jets plus-8.5 or lower took a loss when the Patriots prevailed 30-21. There was some plus-9.5 available earlier in the week, so those bettors got a win, but for the 158 who took the Jets in the SuperContest, they picked up a half-point when they otherwise would have been stuck with a loss. The Jets were the third-most selected team by SuperContestants in Week 5, but that only helped the top five consensus plays go 1-3-1 ATS. The Bengals' plus-2.5 came through for 162 players, but big losers included the Eagles minus-2.5 (taken by 174 SuperContestants), Falcons plus-6 (157) and Titans plus-3.5 (148). For the season, the weekly top five consensus plays are just 11-11-3. But the leaders have been able to avoid those landmines. Sans Souci entered the week at 16-3-1 and holding a 1.5-point lead. After Sunday's day games, he was 1-1-1 with a win on the Vikings minus-2.5 versus the Cardinals (which was actually the highest-percentage play as 145 SuperContestants were on the Vikes and a mere 16 on the Cards), a loss on the Buccaneers plus-3 versus the 49ers and the push with the Jets. It was looking like he might lose the lead, but our leader prevailed in both the Sunday and Monday night games to improve to 19-4-2 (20 contest points) and maintain a 1.5-point lead on Samswins.com2, who has a record of 18-6-1 for 18.5 SuperContest points. Azzurri.99 is also at 18.5 points after going 5-0 with the Raiders, Panthers, Steelers, 49ers and Lions. Four are tied for fourth place with 18 points: Samswins.com (yes, he has two entries on the leaderboard), Pagermager, Iced Tea and Gameanalysts.com. Where the money is going in Week 6? Even though the official contest lines don't come out until Wednesday, the Hilton posts its openers around 4:30 p.m. Sunday, so we can usually see what the wiseguys have been betting early and project what the popular trends will be for the coming weekend. SuperContestants might have a harder time finding five plays they like this week, with six teams on byes and only 13 games on the schedule after the 16 we've enjoyed each week so far. • One of the marquee games this week will be the 4-1 San Francisco 49ers at the 5-0 Detroit Lions, but the thing you won't hear much in the mainstream media is that both teams are 4-0-1 against the spread (tied with the Panthers for the league's best ATS record). The Lions have become one of the most popular bets. Sharps rode them last year to a league-best 12-4 ATS mark and the public jumped on the bandwagon late last year as they covered the final five games (note: they also went 4-0 ATS this preseason, so they're 9-0-1 in their last 10 regular-season games and 13-0-1 overall). As of Tuesday morning, the Lions were minus-5.5 in this matchup. However, it's interesting to note that the 49ers are getting plenty of support, too. In the advance line that the Hilton put up last Tuesday, they had the Lions minus-7, but after the 49ers routed the Buccaneers 48-3 on Sunday, the Hilton adjusted the number to Lions minus-5 that afternoon. Following the Lions' win over the Bears on Monday night, the Hilton has the Lions back up to minus-5.5. • Another adjustment from the advance lines concerns the Cincinnati Bengals, who were minus-3 (with added juice of minus-120 instead of the standard minus-110) versus the Colts last Tuesday, but now we're seeing them as a solid 7-point favorite. The Bengals were the biggest bet-against team in over/under season win totals over the summer (bet down from a high of 7.5 wins at the MGM books to 5.5), but they've already won three games while the Colts are winless. Bettors are all over the Bengals now. Last week, they were plus-2.5 versus the Jaguars in the Hilton contest line and were bet all the way to a 2.5-point favorite by kickoff. • The Baltimore Ravens are coming off their bye week and getting support at the windows. The advance line for the game this Sunday was minus-5.5 versus the Texans. After Houston lost to the Oakland Raiders on Sunday, the line was adjusted to Ravens minus-6.5, but it has been bet up to a full touchdown at minus-7 with indications from offshore books that it's likely to cross the key number to 7.5. • The Panthers-Falcons game has seen adjustments from the advance line and from wagering early this week. The Falcons were minus-6.5 a week ago at the Hilton and saw a minor adjustment to minus-6 after the Panthers' cover against the Saints on Sunday afternoon. After the Falcons lost to the Packers on Sunday night, it was nudged down to minus-5.5. However, as of Tuesday morning it has been bet down to Falcons minus-4 at the Hilton, as bettors continue to back the Cam Newton-led Panthers and fade the Falcons. • The only other lines that have moved more than a half-point are the Saints from minus-5 down to minus-4 versus the Buccaneers (mostly a play against the Saints as they won but failed to cover on the road and now hit the road again for another divisional battle), and the Jets from minus-7 to minus-8 versus the Dolphins on Monday night, mostly a play against a Miami franchise in disarray. |
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#7
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from this site
All against the spread numbers are against closing line Fav - 8-5 over - 9-4 homedog - 2-3 Totals Fav 35-39-2 over 46-28-3 SNF Fav - 2-3 Over - 5-0 HD - 2-0 MNF Fav - 3-3 Overs - 3-2-1 Home Dogs - 0-1 Buffalo 3-0 ATS as a dog. 5-0 over New England 4-1 over. Ny Jets 0-3 ATS away. 4-1 over Miami 0-4 ATS. 1-3 under Baltimore 3-0-1 over. Cincinnati 3-0 ATS away. 3-0 ATS as a dog. 4-1 over. Pittsburgh 0-3 ATS away. Cleveland 3-1 over. Tennessee 0-2 ATS as favorite. Houston 4-1 under. Jacksonville 1-4 ATS as underdog. 4-1 under. Indianapolis 4-1 over. San Diego 0-1 ATS as dog. Oakland 3-0 ATS away. Kansas City 3-1 ATS as dog. Denver 0-3 ATS home. 4-1 over. Washington 2-0 ATS away. 3-1 under. Ny Giants 4-1 over. Dallas 0-2-1 ATS favorite. 3-1 over Philadelphia 1-4 ATS favorite. Green Bay 4-1 ATS favorite. Detroit 4-0-1 ATS overall Chicago 1-4 ATS overall Minnesota 3-2 under. New Orleans 3-1 ATS favorite. Tampa 4-1 over. Atlanta 0-3 ATS away. Carolina 3-0 ATS home. San Francisco 4-0-1 ATS. 4-1 over Seattle 2-0 ATS home. Arizona 3-2 under. St. Louis 0-4 ATS. |
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