Go Back   Sports Handicapping Forum > Sports Picks > NFL Football

NFL Football NFL Handicapping - Post your NFL picks, talk NFL betting, anything NFL.

Reply
 
LinkBack Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 10-11-2011, 12:37 PM
Registered User
 
Join Date: Sep 2007
Posts: 61
Rewards: 59
NFL Betting Trends

ST LOUIS at GREEN BAY, 1:00 PM ET
ST LOUIS: 2-13 ATS after gaining 3.5 or less yards/play last game
GREEN BAY: 9-1 ATS off 3 straight wins

JACKSONVILLE at PITTSBURGH, 1:00 PM ET
JACKSONVILLE: 5-14 ATS off ATS loss
PITTSBURGH: 19-8 ATS if 50+ pts scored last game

PHILADELPHIA at WASHINGTON, 1:00 PM ET
PHILADELPHIA: 7-0 Over in conference road games
WASHINGTON: 6-12 ATS at home vs. Philadelphia

SAN FRANCISCO at DETROIT, 1:00 PM ET
SAN FRANCISCO: 11-28 ATS Away off win by 14+
DETROIT: n/a

CAROLINA at ATLANTA, 1:00 PM ET
CAROLINA: 6-0 ATS if 50+ pts scored last game
ATLANTA: 14-29 ATS in 2nd of BB home games

INDIANAPOLIS at CINCINNATI, 1:00 PM ET
INDIANAPOLIS: 7-0 Over if total is 35.5 to 42
CINCINNATI: 0-9 ATS as home favorite

BUFFALO at NY GIANTS, 1:00 PM ET
BUFFALO: 1-4 ATS vs. NY Giants
NY GIANTS: 0-7 ATS if allowing 400+ yds last game

HOUSTON at BALTIMORE, 4:05 PM ET
HOUSTON: 15-31 ATS Away off home game
BALTIMORE: 18-7 ATS at home after scoring 30+

CLEVELAND at OAKLAND, 4:05 PM ET
CLEVELAND: 19-8 Over Away off BB Home games
OAKLAND: 13-27 ATS off SU dog win

DALLAS at NEW ENGLAND, 4:15 PM ET
DALLAS: 12-1 Over after 1st month of season
NEW ENGLAND: 18-4 Over in all games

NEW ORLEANS at TAMPA BAY, 4:15 PM ET
NEW ORLEANS: 8-0 Under off 2 straight road wins
TAMPA BAY: 0-8 ATS as home dog of 7 pts or less

MINNESOTA at CHICAGO, 8:20 PM ET NBC
MINNESOTA: 8-2 Over in wks 5 through 9
CHICAGO: n/a

Monday, 10/17/2011
MIAMI at NY JETS, 8:30 PM ET ESPN
MIAMI: 11-24 ATS vs. Jets
NY JETS: 14-5 Over vs. conference
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 10-11-2011, 12:39 PM
Registered User
 
Join Date: Sep 2007
Posts: 61
Rewards: 59
OCTOBER 16, 1:00 PM
ST. LOUIS vs. GREEN BAY
St. Louis is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
St. Louis is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games when playing Green Bay

The total has gone OVER in 7 of Green Bay's last 8 games at home
Green Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home


OCTOBER 16, 1:00 PM
CAROLINA vs. ATLANTA
Carolina is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Carolina's last 7 games on the road

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 7 games when playing at home against Carolina
Atlanta is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games


OCTOBER 16, 1:00 PM
INDIANAPOLIS vs. CINCINNATI
Indianapolis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
Indianapolis is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road

Cincinnati is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Indianapolis
Cincinnati is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Indianapolis


OCTOBER 16, 1:00 PM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. DETROIT
San Francisco is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 6 games when playing on the road against Detroit

Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Detroit is 9-0-1 ATS in its last 10 games


OCTOBER 16, 1:00 PM
BUFFALO vs. NY GIANTS
Buffalo is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 6 games on the road

The total has gone OVER in 4 of the NY Giants last 5 games
NY Giants are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games


OCTOBER 16, 1:00 PM
JACKSONVILLE vs. PITTSBURGH
Jacksonville is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Jacksonville is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh

Pittsburgh is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Jacksonville
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home


OCTOBER 16, 1:00 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. WASHINGTON
Philadelphia is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Philadelphia is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games
Washington is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Philadelphia


OCTOBER 16, 4:05 PM
CLEVELAND vs. OAKLAND
Cleveland is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oakland's last 6 games at home
Oakland is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland


OCTOBER 16, 4:05 PM
HOUSTON vs. BALTIMORE
Houston is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games
Houston is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road

Baltimore is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
Baltimore is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games at home


OCTOBER 16, 4:15 PM
NEW ORLEANS vs. TAMPA BAY
New Orleans is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New Orleans's last 8 games on the road

Tampa Bay is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games at home


OCTOBER 16, 4:15 PM
DALLAS vs. NEW ENGLAND
Dallas is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Dallas's last 17 games

The total has gone OVER in 5 of New England's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 14 of New England's last 16 games


OCTOBER 16, 8:20 PM
MINNESOTA vs. CHICAGO
Minnesota is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing Minnesota
Chicago is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota


OCTOBER 17, 8:30 PM
MIAMI vs. NY JETS
Miami is 6-16-3 ATS in their last 25 games when playing NY Jets
Miami is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing NY Jets

The total has gone OVER in 6 of the NY Jets last 7 games
NY Jets are 9-4 SU in their last 13 games when playing at home against Miami
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 10-11-2011, 12:48 PM
Registered User
 
Join Date: Sep 2007
Posts: 61
Rewards: 59
All games in this series since 1992
GREEN BAY is 6-6 against the spread versus ST LOUIS since 1992
GREEN BAY is 8-4 straight up against ST LOUIS since 1992
7 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games over the last 3 seasons
GREEN BAY is 1-0 against the spread versus ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
GREEN BAY is 1-0 straight up against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at GREEN BAY since 1992
ST LOUIS is 4-3 against the spread versus GREEN BAY since 1992
GREEN BAY is 5-2 straight up against ST LOUIS since 1992
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games played at GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons.
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


All games in this series since 1992
JACKSONVILLE is 13-8 against the spread versus PITTSBURGH since 1992
JACKSONVILLE is 12-9 straight up against PITTSBURGH since 1992
12 of 21 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games over the last 3 seasons
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

All games played at PITTSBURGH since 1992
PITTSBURGH is 6-4 against the spread versus JACKSONVILLE since 1992
PITTSBURGH is 5-5 straight up against JACKSONVILLE since 1992
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games played at PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons.
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


All games in this series since 1992
PHILADELPHIA is 19-16 against the spread versus WASHINGTON since 1992
PHILADELPHIA is 25-13 straight up against WASHINGTON since 1992
23 of 37 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 2-2 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 3-1 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at WASHINGTON since 1992
PHILADELPHIA is 12-6 against the spread versus WASHINGTON since 1992
PHILADELPHIA is 13-6 straight up against WASHINGTON since 1992
12 of 18 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games played at WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 2-0 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 2-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


All games in this series since 1992
SAN FRANCISCO is 7-2 against the spread versus DETROIT since 1992
SAN FRANCISCO is 10-1 straight up against DETROIT since 1992
8 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 0-0 against the spread versus SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
SAN FRANCISCO is 1-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at DETROIT since 1992
SAN FRANCISCO is 2-1 against the spread versus DETROIT since 1992
SAN FRANCISCO is 3-1 straight up against DETROIT since 1992
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games played at DETROIT over the last 3 seasons.
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

All games in this series since 1992
ATLANTA is 17-13 against the spread versus CAROLINA since 1992
ATLANTA is 20-12 straight up against CAROLINA since 1992
19 of 30 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 3-1 against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 3-1 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at ATLANTA since 1992
ATLANTA is 10-5 against the spread versus CAROLINA since 1992
ATLANTA is 12-4 straight up against CAROLINA since 1992
8 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games played at ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 2-0 against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 2-0 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


All games in this series since 1992
INDIANAPOLIS is 8-5 against the spread versus CINCINNATI since 1992
INDIANAPOLIS is 10-3 straight up against CINCINNATI since 1992
6 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 1-0 against the spread versus INDIANAPOLIS over the last 3 seasons
INDIANAPOLIS is 1-0 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at CINCINNATI since 1992
INDIANAPOLIS is 4-1 against the spread versus CINCINNATI since 1992
INDIANAPOLIS is 4-1 straight up against CINCINNATI since 1992
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games played at CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons.
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


All games in this series since 1992
NY GIANTS is 4-1 against the spread versus BUFFALO since 1992
BUFFALO is 3-2 straight up against NY GIANTS since 1992
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games over the last 3 seasons
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

All games played at NY GIANTS since 1992
NY GIANTS is 1-1 against the spread versus BUFFALO since 1992
BUFFALO is 2-0 straight up against NY GIANTS since 1992
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games played at NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons.
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


All games in this series since 1992
BALTIMORE is 3-1 against the spread versus HOUSTON since 1992
BALTIMORE is 4-0 straight up against HOUSTON since 1992
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games over the last 3 seasons
BALTIMORE is 1-0 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
BALTIMORE is 1-0 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at BALTIMORE since 1992
HOUSTON is 1-0 against the spread versus BALTIMORE since 1992
BALTIMORE is 1-0 straight up against HOUSTON since 1992
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games played at BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons.
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


All games in this series since 1992
CLEVELAND is 7-1 against the spread versus OAKLAND since 1992
CLEVELAND is 6-2 straight up against OAKLAND since 1992
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 1-0 against the spread versus OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 1-0 straight up against OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at OAKLAND since 1992
CLEVELAND is 5-1 against the spread versus OAKLAND since 1992
CLEVELAND is 4-2 straight up against OAKLAND since 1992
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games played at OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons.
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


All games in this series since 1992
NEW ENGLAND is 3-1 against the spread versus DALLAS since 1992
NEW ENGLAND is 3-1 straight up against DALLAS since 1992
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games over the last 3 seasons
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

All games played at NEW ENGLAND since 1992
NEW ENGLAND is 2-0 against the spread versus DALLAS since 1992
NEW ENGLAND is 2-0 straight up against DALLAS since 1992
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games played at NEW ENGLAND over the last 3 seasons.
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


All games in this series since 1992
TAMPA BAY is 12-11 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS since 1992
TAMPA BAY is 12-12 straight up against NEW ORLEANS since 1992
13 of 24 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 2-2 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 2-2 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at TAMPA BAY since 1992
NEW ORLEANS is 8-3 against the spread versus TAMPA BAY since 1992
NEW ORLEANS is 7-5 straight up against TAMPA BAY since 1992
7 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games played at TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 2-0 against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 2-0 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


All games in this series since 1992
CHICAGO is 23-16 against the spread versus MINNESOTA since 1992
MINNESOTA is 22-17 straight up against CHICAGO since 1992
21 of 38 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 3-1 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 3-1 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at CHICAGO since 1992
CHICAGO is 11-8 against the spread versus MINNESOTA since 1992
CHICAGO is 10-9 straight up against MINNESOTA since 1992
11 of 19 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games played at CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 2-0 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 2-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


All games in this series since 1992
NY JETS is 24-11 against the spread versus MIAMI since 1992
NY JETS is 22-16 straight up against MIAMI since 1992
20 of 38 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 3-1 against the spread versus NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 3-1 straight up against NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at NY JETS since 1992
NY JETS is 10-6 against the spread versus MIAMI since 1992
NY JETS is 12-7 straight up against MIAMI since 1992
10 of 19 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games played at NY JETS over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 2-0 against the spread versus NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 2-0 straight up against NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 10-11-2011, 12:52 PM
Sports Freak
 
Join Date: Sep 2002
Location: Henderson...NV
Posts: 13,557
Rewards: 6,380
Thanx...
__________________
N/A




Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 10-11-2011, 12:54 PM
Registered User
 
Join Date: Sep 2007
Posts: 61
Rewards: 59
ST LOUIS (0 - 4) at GREEN BAY (5 - 0) - 10/16/2011, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 115-149 ATS (-48.9 Units) in all games since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 115-149 ATS (-48.9 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 56-81 ATS (-33.1 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 59-85 ATS (-34.5 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 83-116 ATS (-44.6 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 40-64 ATS (-30.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

JACKSONVILLE (1 - 4) at PITTSBURGH (3 - 2) - 10/16/2011, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 44-27 ATS (+14.3 Units) in October games since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 51-29 ATS (+19.1 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

PHILADELPHIA (1 - 4) at WASHINGTON (3 - 1) - 10/16/2011, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 143-104 ATS (+28.6 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 47-77 ATS (-37.7 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 16-34 ATS (-21.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

SAN FRANCISCO (4 - 1) at DETROIT (5 - 0) - 10/16/2011, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 16-3 ATS (+12.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 16-3 ATS (+12.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 14-2 ATS (+11.8 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) off a division game over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in dome games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in October games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

CAROLINA (1 - 4) at ATLANTA (2 - 3) - 10/16/2011, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 59-34 ATS (+21.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

INDIANAPOLIS (0 - 5) at CINCINNATI (3 - 2) - 10/16/2011, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 48-70 ATS (-29.0 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.

BUFFALO (4 - 1) at NY GIANTS (3 - 2) - 10/16/2011, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

HOUSTON (3 - 2) at BALTIMORE (3 - 1) - 10/16/2011, 4:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

CLEVELAND (2 - 2) at OAKLAND (3 - 2) - 10/16/2011, 4:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

DALLAS (2 - 2) at NEW ENGLAND (4 - 1) - 10/16/2011, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ENGLAND is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in October games over the last 3 seasons.

NEW ORLEANS (4 - 1) at TAMPA BAY (3 - 2) - 10/16/2011, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

MINNESOTA (1 - 4) at CHICAGO (2 - 3) - 10/16/2011, 8:20 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

MIAMI (0 - 4) at NY JETS (2 - 3) - 10/17/2011, 8:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 10-11-2011, 01:00 PM
Registered User
 
Join Date: Sep 2007
Posts: 61
Rewards: 59
Every Tuesday during the NFL regular season, Dave Tuley of ViewfromVegas.com will provide an update on the Hilton SuperContest.

LAS VEGAS -- You've likely heard by now how the sports books here took a beating over the weekend.

The public loves to bet the favorite and the over, and they had a banner weekend as college football favorites went 32-20 against the spread -- including all the popular top-ranked teams covering. Then NFL chalk went 8-5 ATS, with the over going 9-4, including all the major decisions going against the books and made worse when the public parlayed those winning favorites together.
SuperContest At A Glance

What: The most prestigious football handicapping contest in Las Vegas.
Where: Las Vegas Hilton.
Who: 517 entrants who put up $1,500 apiece.
When: Contest lasts the entire 17-week NFL schedule with players putting in five plays against the spread each week.
Why: $310,200 first-place prize, plus the fame and respect that comes with it.

Now, the Hilton SuperContest is a different animal. Players come with more of a tendency to look at underdogs and they're usually following the sharp money, which is often fading the public. So, while the squares were cashing tons of tickets this weekend, the SuperContest field was muddling around .500. In fact, the consensus plays went 6-6-1 overall and were remarkably close to .500 with all selections at 1,185-1,186, with 209 pushing on the Jets-Patriots game. Sharp contest players (and bettors in the real world) took the Jets plus-9 while those that followed the steam and took the Jets plus-8.5 or lower took a loss when the Patriots prevailed 30-21. There was some plus-9.5 available earlier in the week, so those bettors got a win, but for the 158 who took the Jets in the SuperContest, they picked up a half-point when they otherwise would have been stuck with a loss.

The Jets were the third-most selected team by SuperContestants in Week 5, but that only helped the top five consensus plays go 1-3-1 ATS. The Bengals' plus-2.5 came through for 162 players, but big losers included the Eagles minus-2.5 (taken by 174 SuperContestants), Falcons plus-6 (157) and Titans plus-3.5 (148). For the season, the weekly top five consensus plays are just 11-11-3.

But the leaders have been able to avoid those landmines. Sans Souci entered the week at 16-3-1 and holding a 1.5-point lead. After Sunday's day games, he was 1-1-1 with a win on the Vikings minus-2.5 versus the Cardinals (which was actually the highest-percentage play as 145 SuperContestants were on the Vikes and a mere 16 on the Cards), a loss on the Buccaneers plus-3 versus the 49ers and the push with the Jets. It was looking like he might lose the lead, but our leader prevailed in both the Sunday and Monday night games to improve to 19-4-2 (20 contest points) and maintain a 1.5-point lead on Samswins.com2, who has a record of 18-6-1 for 18.5 SuperContest points. Azzurri.99 is also at 18.5 points after going 5-0 with the Raiders, Panthers, Steelers, 49ers and Lions. Four are tied for fourth place with 18 points: Samswins.com (yes, he has two entries on the leaderboard), Pagermager, Iced Tea and Gameanalysts.com.

Where the money is going in Week 6?

Even though the official contest lines don't come out until Wednesday, the Hilton posts its openers around 4:30 p.m. Sunday, so we can usually see what the wiseguys have been betting early and project what the popular trends will be for the coming weekend. SuperContestants might have a harder time finding five plays they like this week, with six teams on byes and only 13 games on the schedule after the 16 we've enjoyed each week so far.

• One of the marquee games this week will be the 4-1 San Francisco 49ers at the 5-0 Detroit Lions, but the thing you won't hear much in the mainstream media is that both teams are 4-0-1 against the spread (tied with the Panthers for the league's best ATS record). The Lions have become one of the most popular bets. Sharps rode them last year to a league-best 12-4 ATS mark and the public jumped on the bandwagon late last year as they covered the final five games (note: they also went 4-0 ATS this preseason, so they're 9-0-1 in their last 10 regular-season games and 13-0-1 overall). As of Tuesday morning, the Lions were minus-5.5 in this matchup. However, it's interesting to note that the 49ers are getting plenty of support, too. In the advance line that the Hilton put up last Tuesday, they had the Lions minus-7, but after the 49ers routed the Buccaneers 48-3 on Sunday, the Hilton adjusted the number to Lions minus-5 that afternoon. Following the Lions' win over the Bears on Monday night, the Hilton has the Lions back up to minus-5.5.

• Another adjustment from the advance lines concerns the Cincinnati Bengals, who were minus-3 (with added juice of minus-120 instead of the standard minus-110) versus the Colts last Tuesday, but now we're seeing them as a solid 7-point favorite. The Bengals were the biggest bet-against team in over/under season win totals over the summer (bet down from a high of 7.5 wins at the MGM books to 5.5), but they've already won three games while the Colts are winless. Bettors are all over the Bengals now. Last week, they were plus-2.5 versus the Jaguars in the Hilton contest line and were bet all the way to a 2.5-point favorite by kickoff.

• The Baltimore Ravens are coming off their bye week and getting support at the windows. The advance line for the game this Sunday was minus-5.5 versus the Texans. After Houston lost to the Oakland Raiders on Sunday, the line was adjusted to Ravens minus-6.5, but it has been bet up to a full touchdown at minus-7 with indications from offshore books that it's likely to cross the key number to 7.5.

• The Panthers-Falcons game has seen adjustments from the advance line and from wagering early this week. The Falcons were minus-6.5 a week ago at the Hilton and saw a minor adjustment to minus-6 after the Panthers' cover against the Saints on Sunday afternoon. After the Falcons lost to the Packers on Sunday night, it was nudged down to minus-5.5. However, as of Tuesday morning it has been bet down to Falcons minus-4 at the Hilton, as bettors continue to back the Cam Newton-led Panthers and fade the Falcons.

• The only other lines that have moved more than a half-point are the Saints from minus-5 down to minus-4 versus the Buccaneers (mostly a play against the Saints as they won but failed to cover on the road and now hit the road again for another divisional battle), and the Jets from minus-7 to minus-8 versus the Dolphins on Monday night, mostly a play against a Miami franchise in disarray.
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 10-11-2011, 01:01 PM
Registered User
 
Join Date: Sep 2007
Posts: 61
Rewards: 59
from this site


All against the spread numbers are against closing line

Fav - 8-5
over - 9-4
homedog - 2-3

Totals

Fav 35-39-2
over 46-28-3

SNF

Fav - 2-3
Over - 5-0
HD - 2-0

MNF

Fav - 3-3
Overs - 3-2-1
Home Dogs - 0-1


Buffalo 3-0 ATS as a dog. 5-0 over
New England 4-1 over.
Ny Jets 0-3 ATS away. 4-1 over
Miami 0-4 ATS. 1-3 under

Baltimore 3-0-1 over.
Cincinnati 3-0 ATS away. 3-0 ATS as a dog. 4-1 over.
Pittsburgh 0-3 ATS away.
Cleveland 3-1 over.

Tennessee 0-2 ATS as favorite.
Houston 4-1 under.
Jacksonville 1-4 ATS as underdog. 4-1 under.
Indianapolis 4-1 over.

San Diego 0-1 ATS as dog.
Oakland 3-0 ATS away.
Kansas City 3-1 ATS as dog.
Denver 0-3 ATS home. 4-1 over.

Washington 2-0 ATS away. 3-1 under.
Ny Giants 4-1 over.
Dallas 0-2-1 ATS favorite. 3-1 over
Philadelphia 1-4 ATS favorite.

Green Bay 4-1 ATS favorite.
Detroit 4-0-1 ATS overall
Chicago 1-4 ATS overall
Minnesota 3-2 under.

New Orleans 3-1 ATS favorite.
Tampa 4-1 over.
Atlanta 0-3 ATS away.
Carolina 3-0 ATS home.

San Francisco 4-0-1 ATS. 4-1 over
Seattle 2-0 ATS home.
Arizona 3-2 under.
St. Louis 0-4 ATS.
Reply With Quote
Reply

Bookmarks

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Trackbacks are On
Pingbacks are On
Refbacks are On



All times are GMT -5. The time now is 09:46 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.7
Copyright ©2000 - 2012, vBulletin Solutions, Inc.