NFL play of the day (will add more later)

[mickey]

Carolina at Arizona

If there's anything i have learned from this season, it's that the Panthers stink and the Cardinals actually look like they'll make it back to the playoffs again, as long as Kurt Warner stays healthy.

At 4-2 and already a game up on the 49ers in their division, a win at home might give the Cards a little more breathing room, as the aforementioned 'Niners play at my Colts in the early game tomorrow. The only issue is whether the players see the 49ers getting beat and become complacent, though, even then, they could probably beat the Panthers with 10 men playing defense.

Carolina QB Jake Delhomme has already thrown 13 INTs this season, but the Panthers have no option other than to play him. His backup is Matt Moore from Oregon St., whose career record is a 56.6 completion percentage, 3 TDs and 6 INTs. Good luck with that!

Hopefully, the Cardinals realize that last week’s win over the Giants will be undermined if they can’t hold serve at home against a team that’s 2-4 and falling fast.

Carolina has been turning the ball over offensively; the defense has been good but is getting no help. Arizona has been an offensive force but the defense is starting to come around and can make some plays when needed.

ARIZONA-10 (PLAY OF THE DAY)

[fat-freddie]

Hope the Cards are good Mick, I'am on them to !! Will be checking back to see if you have anymore of that great info of your's Good luck pal !!!

Fats.............................................. ................

[Swamp-Gator]

GL Today Mckey!!

[Gobbler's Knob]

gl

[The Nac]

With ya on this one, Mick! HIT IT!

[Babe The Pig]

GL today Mick...this is a line you don't want to overthink and just go with the superior team at home

[mickey]

Carolina at Arizona

If there's anything i have learned from this season, it's that the Panthers stink and the Cardinals actually look like they'll make it back to the playoffs again, as long as Kurt Warner stays healthy.

At 4-2 and already a game up on the 49ers in their division, a win at home might give the Cards a little more breathing room, as the aforementioned 'Niners play at my Colts in the early game tomorrow. The only issue is whether the players see the 49ers getting beat and become complacent, though, even then, they could probably beat the Panthers with 10 men playing defense.

Carolina QB Jake Delhomme has already thrown 13 INTs this season, but the Panthers have no option other than to play him. His backup is Matt Moore from Oregon St., whose career record is a 56.6 completion percentage, 3 TDs and 6 INTs. Good luck with that!

Hopefully, the Cardinals realize that last week’s win over the Giants will be undermined if they can’t hold serve at home against a team that’s 2-4 and falling fast.

Carolina has been turning the ball over offensively; the defense has been good but is getting no help. Arizona has been an offensive force but the defense is starting to come around and can make some plays when needed.

ARIZONA-10 (PLAY OF THE DAY)

NY Giants at Philadelphia

If McNabb plays as he did the past two weeks, the Eagles are in trouble. They probably won't have running back Brian Westbrook, which means rookie LeSean McCoy carries the rushing attack. McCoy is solid, but he is not Westbrook. They also could be without safety Macho Harris, so Sean Jones may get a crack at starting.

But that's not why I like the Giants here. This is: Eli Manning usually doesn't lose in Philadelphia, and the Giants rarely lose three straight under Tom Coughlin. Manning has won all four regular-season starts in Philly, losing only in the 2006 playoffs there, and the Giants haven't dropped three straight since the middle of the '06 season.

Frustrated Giants fans are beginning to wonder if the sky is falling, and usually when that happens the Giants respond. I say they respond here and now. Both teams have two losses and things always get physical in this match-up. I don't think that the Giants don’t lose three games in a row

NY Giants-1


Texans at Buffalo

Houston takes aim at ending a six-game spread skid on the road against AFC-East opponents. The Texans have floundered in 15 of 19 as highway short-enders after a SU win and they have dropped six of seven ATS in the first of back-to-back road tests. Buffalo upset Carolina last week. The Bills are 10-5 ATS after a SU dog win. The Bills have jumped the number in 14 of 21 off a double-digit victory. They have headed in the opposite direction in 14 of 17 as home favorites of 3 ½-points or less.

Buffalo+3.5

Minnesota at Green Bay

Lost in the media-driven pandemonium surrounding Brett Favre’s return
to Green Bay is that Favre will be going up against the league’s
third-ranked defense. The Packers will team up with the cold weather
to make life difficult for the Vikings, and cover the three points.

The Pack is allowing just 174.0 yards per game through the
air, and Favre hasn’t played a single game in less-than-ideal
conditions all season. In fact, the somewhat secretly stiff old man
has managed to play five of his first seven games in a Vikings’
uniform in domes. Week one against Cleveland was outside, but that’s
the Browns. Nobody ever uses them to make a point about anything other
than “their schedule has been a cakewalk.” Maybe that is the point.
Cleveland, Detroit, St. Louis, and at home against a Frank Gore-less
49ers team qualifies as relatively cakewalk-like. The second outdoor
game was last week in Pittsburgh. The Vikings got sloppy and lost
27-17. Favre played reasonably well, but a pair of turnovers left him
looking like the goat.

Furthermore, Vikings’ running back Adrian Peterson may not be
much of a factor in the game either. He averaged just 2.2 yards per
carry in his first meeting with this new Packers’ 3-4 defense (25
carries for 55 yards), and just 3.8 per carry against Pittsburgh’s 3-4
last week (18 carries, 69 yards). Those performances account for his
two lowest per-carry outputs of the season, as well as two of his
three lowest yardage totals. The third game was against cakewalk
participant St. Louis, when Peterson got just 14 carries.

Obviously the best way to stop Peterson is to keep the ball out
of his hands. He’s virtually unstoppable when given the opportunity,
so the Packers will need to jump out to a lead early. That’s certainly
a possibility, as Aaron Rodgers’ trials only Peyton Manning with a
110.8 quarterback rating on the season, and is tied for eighth in the
league with 11 touchdown passes. (Keep in mind that he’s already had a
bye week, while touchdown leader in Matt Schaub has not). In four
career games against the Vikings, Rodgers has a 101.7 rating with
three touchdowns and just one interception. He threw for 384 yards and
two touchdowns in the first meeting with the Vikes this season.

Also noteworthy, Vikings’ cornerback Antoine Winfield will miss
his second straight game with a foot injury. Winfield is one of the
better cornerbacks in the league, and among the best tackling
cover-men.

In recent showdowns, the Packers are 8-2 against the spread when
facing an NFC North foe. They’re also 4-1 in their last five games as
a favorite, while the Vikings have failed to cover the spread all but
one of the last seven times that they’ve faced a team with a winning
record.

Don’t get mixed up in ridiculous clichés. Favre won’t win this
game by himself because “he wants it really badly.” The Packers are at
home, and are an underrated team with talent on both sides of the
ball. The Vikings, however, are facing adversity for the first time
this season.

Green Bay-3


********************************************
(tease play)

#1 Denver at Baltimore

The key for Baltimore is getting the early lead and keeping it. One thing we know about Denver is that nobody scores on the Broncos in the second half. They've allowed 10 second-half points the whole season and no second-half touchdowns in the past five games. The good news for Baltimore is that left tackle Jared Gaither is back, which means Michael Oher can return to the right side. The bad news is Elvis Dumervil is coming to town, and nobody has figured out how to slow him down.

Basically, the Ravens must play a near-perfect game to win. They can't afford any gaffes, and they must force an opponent that doesn't turn the ball over to turn it over. Good night and good luck.

Something to consider: Denver has a 15-5 record after a bye week, best in the AFC and third best in the NFL behind Philadelphia and Minnesota.

#2 Seattle at Dallas


The Cowboys left an indelible impression on the rest of the league after they ran over Atlanta last week, 37-21. They have the ability to score 30 or more points any time they take the field, against any defense, and that's exactly what Seattle has, any defense. It's neither good nor bad, outstanding nor feeble. They're allowing 18.2 points per game, but one must take a closer look at the teams they've played thus far. The two teams they've beaten - Rams and Jaguars - they've shut out. In their other four games, all losses, they've allowed an average of 27 points. Those teams were the Colts, 49ers, Bears and Cardinals.

Guess what? Dallas scores 26.7 points per game, better than all of those teams except the Colts, which leads to the conclusion that Dallas is going to bury the Seahawks somewhere in the vast expanse of Cowboy Stadium. (There's got to be a cemetary in there somewhere. They have everything else.)
(trends)
Dallas, coming off its most impressive performance of the season against Atlanta, hosts a rested Seattle squad. The week off hasn’t done much for the Seahawks in the past. They have lost nine of 11 (1-10 ATS) with rest. The Seahawks have slipped at a 16-6-1 rate as non-division road dogs as well. The Cowboys have ‘covered’ six of seven at home against NFC-West enemies and 28 of 42 at home in November. Dallas is 17-3 ATS in Texas versus poor rushing teams that average less than 3.5 yards per carry. Seattle has slipped ‘over’ in its last eight post-bye contests, allowing an average of 30.5 points per game. The Cowboys have ended on the high side at a 17-8-1 pace off a double-digit win.

Denver+9.5/Dallas-3 (TEASE)

[mickey]

Minnesota QB Brett Favre vs. Cheeseheads everywhere:

This is Joe Montana playing the 49ers all over again, but with one difference: Montana didn't have to return to Candlestick Park; Favre is back at Lambeau, and look for this to be ugly. As one Green Bay guy told me, a year ago fans were split 50-50 on Favre; now, they're 95-5 against. I imagine it will be more like 100-0 inside the stadium. Sorry Brett, but this is what you bargained for when you made your choice.

[mickey]

denver is +10.5 (teased)

[mickey]

even though i don't wager anylonger,i still take my plays seriously (recommends). I got
my ass handed to me today & apoligize if any followed me personally..