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Old 11-14-2009, 09:33 PM
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New Orleans at St Louis

One of the best teams VS. one of the worst teams.
After a few tough weeks, New Orleans gets to take it a bit easy against the Rams. But I do have to ask… Is there a mercy rule in the NFL?
If the Rams beat the Saints, we will know that the Apocalypse is upon us.
I really hope that Brees gets himself some momentum by throwing 7 or 8 touchdowns. It could very well happen in this game.

Rams defense is porous, especially susceptible secondary. Saints offense can be explosive, particularly strong offensive line - which can both run block and pass block very well - usually a good O-line excels at one or the other, but this one does both equally well. N.O. defense is proud, and won’t just give away a backdoor cover.

The Rams have faced three teams with winning records (at the time each game occurred) this year. They've been outscored by those three teams (Vikings, 49ers and Colts) by a 115-16 margin. How pathetic is that?

"Let's make this short, sweet and sour."

New Orleans-14


Seattle at Arizona


Seattle isn’t all that bad, but playing in the desert against the Cardinals is no easy task.Arizona is playing complete football.It’ll be an interesting game, but the Cardinals (especially at home) are still too strong of a team for Seattle.
The reason why these teams have reverse records is simple. While the Seahawks can't protect Matt Hasselbeck, the Cardinals can effectively shield their quarterback. Kurt Warner has been sacked only five times in the past three contests, and it's not like his line has faced all cupcakes either; in that stretch, Arizona has gone up against the Giants, Panthers and Bears.
It actually might be worse for the Seahawks because it looks like the Cardinals have found some sort of rushing attack since beating them 27-3. Arizona has had its first-, third- and fourth-best rushing performances of the year in the past three weeks.

I don't trust the Seahawks' offensive line, and I don't trust the Seahawks as a whole on the road. In three away tilts, Seattle is 0-3, losing to the 49ers, Colts and Cowboys by a combined margin of 95-44.

Though the Cardinals are two up in the division, they'll come prepared for this game. Ken Whisenhunt does a great job preparing his team for divisional battles. In fact, Arizona is 6-2 against the spread versus the NFC West the past year and a half. I think it'll be 7-2 when this one's over.

Arizona-8.5


Kansas City at Oakland

Way back in AFL days, this used to be a classic rivalry.Every year, the Raiders and Chiefs play two horrible games. The host is always favored by 1-4 points, and the visitor always wins. I can't remember the last time this didn't happen. The bottom line is that the Raiders do not deserve to be laying points to anyone.

Since the Raiders won by a field goal at KC in week 2, turnabout is fair play, especially since Oakland is still starting Jamarcus Russell at QB. He's pretty awful.KC fights for every yard.

I don’t think I’ll ever pick the Raiders to win a game again.
The day that I pick the Raiders to win a game, I want someone to post me and cuss me. Chiefs should take this matchup.

Also, you have to figure that Russell won't be prepared for this game. Do you really think he's going to study film on the Chiefs? He's probably plans on spending the entire week eating Cheetos and Oreos.

What else do you need? Kansas City is the play!!

Kansas City+2.5



**************************************** ********************
{Two of the best games this week in a teaser play:}

Cincinnati at Pittsburgh


This is going to be a tough fought game, but the Bengals have been better.Both teams played well last week, but I think that Cincinnati has a better offense than Denver did last week.

This is more about supporting the retooled Bengals (6-2 SU, 5-3 ATS), who have proved themselves to some extent with a pair of victories over the Ravens and another over the Steelers (6-2 SU, 3-5 ATS). Pittsburgh is better right now than it was earlier in the year, thanks to the very healthy contributions of RB Rashard Mendenhall (5.7 yards per carry). But the full seven points? Rev up that underdog.


New England at Indianapolis


Undefeated Indianapolis has had tough wins over San Francisco and Houston the last couple weeks. They were held to 61 yards rushing and 72 yards rushing in those close home wins. Their yards per pass has fallen off after a sizzling first month. New England seems to be going in the opposite direction. They have rushed for over 100 yards their last 3 games, while passing for over 300 yards all 3 times. New England has lost 2 of 3 on the road this season, but the generous 3 point spot?
This shapes as one of those games that will be won by who has the ball last, and in the NFL that’s a solid ML value when you can get it at +120 (+3 with the points). Forget the fundamental matchups here - that’s a wash - both teams have advantages over the top they can exploit. It comes down to who executes at crunch time.

If you don't know,I am a big time homer Colts fan.So why am I playing against? I put plays (recommends) out there for others since I don't
wager for a while now,& I can't go with my heart but rather with my mind (gut) & if I see something of value out there, then!!

Cincinnati+13/New England+9 (tease)
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Last edited by mickey; 11-14-2009 at 09:38 PM.
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Old 11-14-2009, 09:37 PM
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but the Cardinals (especially at home) are still too strong of a team for Seattle.


Unlike every other year, Cards suck at home this year.
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Old 11-14-2009, 10:04 PM
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Thx for the write-ups mickey
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Old 11-15-2009, 02:06 AM
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Hey I view your posts often. Just wondering why you don't wager anymore, only recommend. just curious.
Take care. Have a great Sunday
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Old 11-15-2009, 08:05 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by SHARPSHOOTER22 View Post
Hey I view your posts often. Just wondering why you don't wager anymore, only recommend. just curious.
Take care. Have a great Sunday
spending too much time wagering,letting it consume a lot of my time & get the best of me.Believe it or not,it's better sitting on the other side of the fence for a change.The pressure is off.It seems i do better when i don't wager.Wagering is like playing against the house,u lose more than win.I do this to fill the void
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Old 11-15-2009, 08:08 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by SHARPSHOOTER22 View Post
Hey I view your posts often. Just wondering why you don't wager anymore, only recommend. just curious.
Take care. Have a great Sunday
He's helping the rest of us make money! Thanks for the w/u, mickey. Really like that teaser. Cash 'em today!
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Old 11-15-2009, 09:38 AM
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Great write-ups as always Mick, appreciate it man


Fats.............................................. ........
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Old 11-15-2009, 09:48 AM
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good luck to the wiz
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Old 11-15-2009, 10:00 AM
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I can't lay that much chalk w/ Az and they're poor performances at home and Sea doesn't deserve much $$$ love either. Since it is my TV game small play to the over and root for warner and hasslebeck to let it fly!!!
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Old 11-15-2009, 10:17 AM
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GL Mick - hope you're right re: Brees 7 or 8 TD's...he's my fantasy QB
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  #11  
Old 11-15-2009, 05:22 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by mickey View Post
spending too much time wagering,letting it consume a lot of my time & get the best of me.Believe it or not,it's better sitting on the other side of the fence for a change.The pressure is off.It seems i do better when i don't wager.Wagering is like playing against the house,u lose more than win.I do this to fill the void
I know what you mean. It can take a negative toll on you physically and emotionally with all the stress of betting. If you're up, youre stressed on how to not lose it. If you're down, you're stressed on how to chase and recover. It's a son of a bitch of a hobby but we love it!
thanks for all your input. Take Care
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