Go Back   Sports Handicapping Forum > Sports Picks > NFL Football

NFL Football NFL Handicapping - Post your NFL picks, talk NFL betting, anything NFL.

Like Tree3Likes
  • 3 Post By LadyDawn

Reply
 
LinkBack Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 11-29-2011, 12:46 AM
cappersmall member
 
Join Date: Oct 2011
Location: CALIFORNIA
Posts: 912
Rewards: 1,054
OK have to do this but heres the money makers this year in nfl and bankroll busters

Cardinals as bad as they are are ok bets 6-5 ATS

Falcons 5-6

Ravens 6-4-1

Bills 5-5 -1

Panthers 6-5

Bears 6-5 expect to get worse tho

Bengals 7-3-1 amazing with rookies 1st year

browns 4-5 -2

Cowboys 4-5-1

broncos 6-5 thanks to the tebow run 5-1 ats and s/u

Lions 6-5

Packers 8-3 which is amazing for defending champs

Texans were also great 7-3-1 but now no QB's expect to see negatives

colts worst 2-9 ats

jaguars bad 4-7 ats

Chiefs 6-5

Dolphins 5-6

vikings 5-6

Patriots 5-6

Saints 7-4

Giants 5-6

Jets 4-7 ahhhhhhh dontcha LOVE New York now

Raiders 7-3-1

Eagles 4-7 which is reverse from past 11 years they were money makers 10-6 ats 11-5 ats hardly ever a losing year with them

Steelers 5-6 not bad for superbowl losers

Rams 2-9 ATS match colts for worst

and add the Chargers to this list also 2-9 ATS

49ERS 9-1-1 built on soft schedule

Seahawks 6-5

Buccaneers 4-7

Titans 5-5-1 hello elevator squad every other week win no win ats cannot stay plus two weeks in row

and last on list is the redskins 5-6 ATS

so the only purely honest team s/u and ats is the 49ers
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 11-29-2011, 11:11 AM
Registered User
 
Join Date: Sep 2011
Location: Cali
Posts: 1,869
Rewards: 323
nice list thanks.
Guess the SF 9-1-1 vs the rams 2-9 ATS would be the big play then.
Though I'm worried they start figuring this out too and adjust accordingly like they did on the O/U this year around week 5 or 6.
SF only won by 10+ twice this year and this is around 13 or so. Could be a clock killer Frank Gore day. Though would be a good game to give Smith some of his confidence back he likely lost in baltimore.

would be interesting to see O/U based on teams too. like a 5-5, O-U format.
__________________
2011 NFL
99-84-5

2011 NFL Best Damn Capper Record
26-16
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 11-29-2011, 11:31 AM
Registered User
 
Join Date: Jul 2007
Location: Virginia
Posts: 174
Rewards: 208
Good stuff. jets
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 11-29-2011, 11:34 AM
cappersmall member
 
Join Date: Oct 2011
Location: CALIFORNIA
Posts: 912
Rewards: 1,054
rest easy over unders go according to whom is playing whom

when you have strong offensive team vs a team with weak defenses that also posseses high scoring offense you will get over the totals

of course rain muddy fields or high winds will cause low scoring games

like 3-0 6-3 9-6 13- 3 13-0

rain by ityself is just wet fast playing surface and i seen many high scroing games in down pours

snow with no winds also seen high scoring games but with blustery high winds added even in dry conditons no matter how strong the offenses rae i can guarantee you a low scoring game
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 11-29-2011, 12:21 PM
Registered User
 
Join Date: Sep 2011
Location: Cali
Posts: 1,869
Rewards: 323
figure as much but thought it may be interesting. I mean technically the ATS is the similiar with matchup strength of schedule and injuries. Also, a brutal schedule like when the chargers went 3 games in 10 days (though that doesn't appear to be a schedule issue any longer) can affect the outcome.
Figure the lines are adjusted for those anyhow.

cool info.
__________________
2011 NFL
99-84-5

2011 NFL Best Damn Capper Record
26-16
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 11-29-2011, 06:16 PM
The Future Has Arrived
 
Join Date: Aug 2002
Location: Richmond, VA
Posts: 34,596
Rewards: 2,565
IMO the rams cover sunday. st louis is still a lot better than there record, SF was exposed a little Thursday.
__________________
I only play the best bets (3* and up), everything under that is leans/opinions i just like to track!
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 11-30-2011, 01:13 AM
Registered User
 
Join Date: Oct 2011
Posts: 9
Rewards: 61
Quote:
Originally Posted by mrhotpicks2 View Post
IMO the rams cover sunday. st louis is still a lot better than there record, SF was exposed a little Thursday.

Bad situation on the niners scheduling last week ..Short work week and travel was too much to overcome against a high caliper opponent. You could see how the Defense ran out of gas the 2nd half..It would have been a much closer game otherwise.
Now, for this week.. Niners getting extra time to prepare coming off a loss..Niners easy
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 11-30-2011, 05:55 AM
The Future Has Arrived
 
Join Date: Aug 2002
Location: Richmond, VA
Posts: 34,596
Rewards: 2,565
Quote:
Originally Posted by EDOG View Post
Bad situation on the niners scheduling last week ..Short work week and travel was too much to overcome against a high caliper opponent. You could see how the Defense ran out of gas the 2nd half..It would have been a much closer game otherwise.
Now, for this week.. Niners getting extra time to prepare coming off a loss..Niners easy
ok ..... we'll see
__________________
I only play the best bets (3* and up), everything under that is leans/opinions i just like to track!
Reply With Quote
  #9  
Old 11-30-2011, 12:38 PM
cappersmall member
 
Join Date: Oct 2011
Location: CALIFORNIA
Posts: 912
Rewards: 1,054
I'm ging to give YOU the techincal info on this simply using points for and against both teams

and this is div game for San fran they will win it !

in short the 49ers are + 10 PPG the rames are MINUS 12 PPG when you have a negative number vs a plus number you add them together to get differnce bewteen two obects using a 0 line

it loss like this

49ERS +10 - - - - - - - - - -0- - - - - - - - - - - - Rams -12

so there is real differnce of 22 points between the teams and that will be close to margin of victory

This is NOT the gretest show on Turf Rams any more nor even close to what baltimore is as in playmakers I don't know what happend from last year to this with Bradford i guees the top brass has no clue in building a team or the HC and assistants are a bunch of doufuses !
Reply With Quote
Reply

Bookmarks

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Trackbacks are On
Pingbacks are On
Refbacks are On



All times are GMT -5. The time now is 06:04 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.7
Copyright ©2000 - 2012, vBulletin Solutions, Inc.