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#1
10-17-2011, 09:48 AM
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Open Parlay Opinions - MNF
a friend of mine has a parlay that just has one left to win it for him, he has the Jets ML left .... $50 to win $460
He plans on doing one of the 3 below, which do you think he should do? I told him option B but I would ask around to see what some others think .... A. leave it alone , enjoy the game B. Bet Miami ML $100 to win $250 C. Bet Miami +6.5 $193 to win $175 A is too much risk IMO when u can do things to ensure you win either way, but i am very conservative for a gambler at least, lol. B he either wins $200 or $360. C he either makes $267, $125, or possibly $635. Opinions?
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I only play the best bets (3* and up), everything under that is leans/opinions i just like to track! 
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#2
10-17-2011, 10:02 AM
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depends on how much he gambles on a game .. to me, winning the $460 would just be a nice night and i would sit back and enjoy the game ... but if he is a $20 bettor, then its totally worth it to try and just make sure he wins some money
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#3
10-17-2011, 10:06 AM
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he is $35-$150 a game, avg being $50-$75 ...... ive tried to explain to him it doesnt matter who he likes really tonight its all about making sure u make something.
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I only play the best bets (3* and up), everything under that is leans/opinions i just like to track!
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#4
10-17-2011, 10:18 AM
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Bet A. He has them ML which has a high chance to cover. No need to hedge IMO.
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MLB 2012 (6-2 +1755)
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#5
10-17-2011, 10:21 AM
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ive got jets -1.5 and miami +14.5 for about 600, hoping it hits
I think Miami covers tonight, why not take C
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The only bridge I've ever burned along this legacy I dance is the one that linked the cities of prosperity and chance Check out Technicapping for quantitative sport analysis
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#6
10-17-2011, 10:25 AM
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let it ride, unless he does this every weekend (ml parlays with possiblity to hedge)
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nba 6-5 +1.25* ..It costs a lot to win and even more to lose....
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#7
10-17-2011, 11:02 AM
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HEDGING NO FUN,LET IT RIDE
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2009 BRACKET BUSTER CHAMPION
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#8
10-17-2011, 12:22 PM
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i know its called gambling, but how can you pass up guaranteed money ? option b and call it a day. when it's gamlbing, winning something is better than nothing imo.
i guess its a great adrenaline rush to watch tonight's game knowing you only need one more, but i rather just sit back and enjoy the game knowing whatever the outcome i'm still going to be up some money.
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#9
10-17-2011, 12:54 PM
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let it ride easy win imo ML
would be more exciting for him anyways and he has a huge advantage on the game
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"ALL I DO IS WIN WIN WIN NO MATTER WHAT" 
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#10
10-17-2011, 01:44 PM
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C...nice middle & win both bets..
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N/A
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#11
10-17-2011, 02:11 PM
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Gambling is business, take the money and run.
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#12
10-17-2011, 04:35 PM
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I think B makes alot sense based on the size of gamble he normally makes. He would net either $210 or $320 on a $40 bet. 5x minimum return on his money is not too shabby.
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#13
10-17-2011, 05:08 PM
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Take ML Fins 200/500.
If Fins win 500-50=450. If Jets win 460-200=260. so either 450 or 260 if you were trying to lock in the most on both sides.
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#14
10-17-2011, 05:09 PM
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My book has it Mia+7.5. He could take Miami for 100 or 200, guarantee a win and still have a 7 points to win both.
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#15
10-17-2011, 05:17 PM
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leave it alone.. you're a gambler... win it all!!!!
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