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I have posted my story as to why I am here along with answers to any other questions you have at the bottom.
MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL Minimum Play: $250 Maximum Play: $2000 Our line opened Monday at Dallas -3 -110. The Cowboys have been hammered ever since. If you go online to consensus websites, you see that it is a nearly 50/50 split. You must remember though, these numbers you see are the numbers of the way people have "picked" the game, not bet. This takes into account the picks from free contests and pickem games located on the website. In no way shape or form do these percentages represent the amount of money on either side of the game. Although it is true that there are just as many bets on Dallas as there are on New York tonight, the amount of money on each side paints a different picture. Going back to open Monday at 6:00pm EST. The money has gone in favor of Dallas 66%. Before the line movement this morning to -3.5, the money was even more lopsided at 77%/33% in favor of the Cowboys. Of the 77% bet at -3, 61% bought the game down to -2.5 and paid an extra 15 cents of juice. On the moneyline it is a 81%/19% split in favor of the Cowboys. I have processed a number of Dallas moneyline tickets including one for $3800. The betting volume on each side (amount of bets per each team) is relativley dead even with the Cowboys having 52% of the total bets while New York as the road dog has 48%. So while there are almost just as many Cowboy backers as there are Giants backers, the ones backing the Boys have the deep pockets. So while you may see the public backing the Giants at many online consensus websites, it is the exact opposite. What makes me like the Giants even more tonight is the fact that the book here lost big yesterday afternoon with New England winning and then even worse at night with Green Bay Minnesota Over cashing in. There were also a number of bets that went against the book on Seattle. Coming into this one the book has lost 4 of the last 5 NFL games. Anytime I see this happen I know its suicide for people backing the team the books are rooting against. America's team is spotlighted and hyped up as a "must win" tonight. People have seen 3 all week and hammered it. Your telling me that the Cowboys and Giants are evenly matched teams? This 1-4 Cowboys team has the #3 offense and #3 defense, belive me its showcased everywhere especially on these betting websites and its a must win at home against a rival only laying a field goal! As always in this industry you must look deeper. Remember the Cowboys against the Skins in Week #1? How about the games they threw away against Tennessee and Chicago. As a favorite this year, books have cleaned up on the public image of Dallas as the Cowboys have gone 0-3 against the number. The books are going to clean up on the people who bought this game down from -3 to -2.5. They were satisfied with the amount of action they took there and are now making even more off the people still buying it down to -2.5 from -3.5 and equal amounts of people buying it from -3.5 to -3. Big money on the Cowboys means my money is on the Giants. New York Giants +3.5 (-110) $1500 New York Giants +168 ML $500 INFORMATION ON MYSELF Hello Everyone. Let me start off by saying I have been posting at another forum this football season. The place was filled with people that liked my picks and good information, but it also had more people spending their entire day trying to prove me wrong by calling people at sportsbooks, police departments, and security centers and about anywhere you could possibly dream of. It was also filled with people who would bet more than they could afford on each play of mine wheater it was a minimum or maximum rated bet on my part, then spend the next week of their life telling everyone I am a fraud and my information is fake. I finally had enough and left there and ended up here as I was referred by multiple members who I came in contact with through private messages. I believe this is a good website and I hope to provide you with all I can to help you as much as some of you help me win more then I lose. I will continue by giving you some background info. I grew up in Northern Alberta Canada, oil country. I spent the first couple years of my life on the rigs putting in 300 12 hour shifts a year in the cold weather. I started as a roughneck and moved my way up to Derrickhand. I was earning a pretty decent salary and continued on for one more year. With the lifestyle of being on the rig and the money that surrounds it, you get caught up in drinking and gambling almost automatically. I along with many others got into betting on sports, paycheck went in our hands then onto a game, revolving door of constant action. Since expenses were paid for, including living allowance, I banked nearly everything I earned and left the rigs and moved down to Punta Cana in June of this year. If you have more than $100 in your pocket you can do anything you have ever dreamed about doing. After a couple months of partying and sitting on the beach, I once again got caught up in the world of gambling. With full legalization across the entire country, sports gambling is a wide open industry here. I ended up going to the Moon Palace Resort casino which has a Sportsbook in it. I saw a posting for jobs looking for tellers as the Sportsbook was going under new management (hard rock/BetCRIS/Banca five star). Being white and being able to speak English going me a job paying $6 an hour but much more importantly gave me access to the valuable information of knowing which way the money is going and where to put my money every day. After getting to know the system and how things worked I began posting on a forum across the internet. I was hitting parlays and money lines for the first 2 weeks, then hit a few losers in the next week. I followed it up with a big play on SF last Sunday over Oakland, lost on the Over in the MNF game where both QB's went down. Then hit Tex NYY over, SF Phi over on Tuesday and Wednesday, and Oregon big on Thursday, missed a decent size play on Iowa Saturday but then had the biggest play I posted on Missouri Saturday Night. With things going well on the forum I had a rough Sunday losing on the Chargers. I read through a number of bad posts which I am fine with but then it got ridiculous. Some of the things being posted made me wonder if I was on a sports betting forum or a chat room of teenagers on MySpace or whatever they call it these days. I was assured that this is the place to be. If you don't believe my story or don't like what I have to say that is fine, I am not forcing you to read it or put money on my games. All I ask is simply don't post. What good will it do? Some questions I have got a lot were. Why would you post information if you’re working for a book? I do it because I don't care if the book wins or lose, I don't get paid more or less by protecting this information. I bet my games using this information at online books. I don't care if this book loses every single game because I give out this information; I just want to win money for myself. How can you post if you’re working at a book? I don't, I post when I am not working. It seems pretty clear to me but believe it or not people ask. How long till you go tout? It’s not going to happen. I have my own money and don't need to take any of yours in return for advice. If I make around $2000 a week I am making a little less then what I made on the rigs but living down here I can do whatever I want. Don't you have to sign agreements of confidentiality? I was in a cab last night and the driver offered me a beer. This is a lawless country, you don't sign anything here. People get away with paying people $5 a day for 12 hours of work. As long as you work for next to nothing you can do whatever you want. In the States I am sure you would have to. Here in the Dominican, no you don't. I am sure there are a few members on here that will read this and know who I am from covers. Thank you for bringing me here, I can already see this place is much, much better then what I am used to. |
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#2
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Who's gonna read this?
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Leader of the Squad and Team Captain. Team Get$ |
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#3
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Good Luck on your plays
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Chicago RED |
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#4
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Welcome Keith.line.
Saw your post at other site and can say I followed some of your plays there. Found information very interesting. Most of the people here at the Mall are not kids like at that other site. People here might disagree but for most part are respectful except for people that are full of themselves. Good Luck, Hope you have a long stay here!!! |
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#5
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I just read it. Sounds pretty cool. I guess I understand it as wealthier Dominicans back Dallas while the less wealthy back the Giants is what I could gather.
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2012
NBA 67-94 -56.45* NCAAB 96-71 +41.53* NHL 16-29 -8.42* MLB 0-1 -1.00* |
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#6
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Welcome and good luck! Nice info!
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Why is bra singular and panties plural? |
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#7
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did I just get suckered by readuing your post? lol
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Where'd who go!?! (Hollywood - Top Gun) F Tom Hicks |
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#8
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GL with your picks, and welcome to the Mall.
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#9
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Jack |
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#10
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welcome aboard keith most people are very nice here just ignore the few haiters
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#11
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when looking at percentages. obviously heavier money will go on the cowboys and the spread. where some of the giants big money will be played on the ML and not shown in the spread numbers. so i believe you will naturally have more money being bet on the favourite or at least a heavier amount with the giants money being split from the spread number and the ML.
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#12
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Quote:
Thanks for the welcomes and good luck to everyone else here tonight. |
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#13
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GL man, hope your Book doesnt lose tonight, you might be out of a job!
As far as tonights game goes, if Cowboys lose there will be some heads roll this week. This would be totally embarrassing for Jerry. Jerry's World, hosting Super Bowl, highest paid team in NFL... and to have only 1 win and pretty much be out of it at this point. Question is, do the players want a few heads to roll. GL. |
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#14
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Quote:
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Jack |
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#15
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Best of luck to you, enjoy the forum.
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It is what it is. |
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