PrimeTime - San Francisco @ Arizona

[The Nac]

After cashing a big day yesterday (including hitting the pick 5 in my local football pool which could pay up to around $2000) and watching Oakland and San Diego both live up to my expectations of them, I'm feeling pretty effing good right now. So let's tackle tonight's contest between San Francisco (2-6) and Arizona (5-3).

Zona's favoured by 9½, and normally I don't like playing spreads that high when it's a divisional matchup. But, the Cards are actually playing well and the 49ers just suck that bad. SF also goes with a QB who has about as good a chance to lead this team as any of the others guys on their roster, which is none. Warner looks like the same guy that led the Rams to a Superbowl victory 10 years ago, and what you have here is a blowout in the making.

Over is 8-3 in ARI last 11 vs. NFC West.
ARI are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 vs. NFC West.
Head to Head: Over is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings.
49ers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Monday games.
49ers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games.
Cardinals are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
Over is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 games on grass.
Over is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 home games.
Over is 4-1 in 49ers last 5 games following a S.U. loss.

This leads me to believe that Warner will be throwing all over the SF secondary, and when they do finally shut him down, Hightower will run a couple in himself. Credit at least 1 TD to the Arizona defense as well.

Arizona 43 San Francisco 17