RestEasy Wildcard Weekend

[resteasy]

Ok, we have made it to the playoffs!
Always a bittersweet time of year. Been working towards this all year but it also means the season is ending.

Here's my thoughts on the games so far and my leans.

Bengals @ Texans -3 o/u 38.5
Texans have Andre Johnson and Wade Phillips back for this game. First ever playoff game for the Texans and it's at home. That stadium will be rocking.
Bengals have played good this year much better than anyone would have guessed BUT they have yet to beat a playoff team. That does not start here.
Houston won @ Cincinnatti week 14. They do it again here in more convincing fashion.

Neither team has a great record ATS. Houston leads though in all categories of offense and defense.

With 3pts as the spread I take Houston. They push or cover. I actually love this pick.

If I had to pick an over under I'd have to lean under. But I think the oddsmakers hit the nail on the head with this number and it will be within 2 pts either direction.


Lions @ Saints -10.5 O/U 59.5
In the last 5 home games for the saints they have won by 11, 25, 14, 29, 28. They are a juggernaut at home. Lions have a 5-3 straight up away record and 3 of those were playoff teams where they went 1-2 having only beat denver.

Against playoff teams home or away the lions are 1-5 straight up AND ATS.

It's a lot of points but the saints are known for scoring. This is the playoffs and they'll put the pedal down. Got to go with the trend and the historical domination of the saints over the season.

I hate this O/U as well. The saints are fully capable of putting up a ton of points but the Lions will have to help as well. I'm actually leaning under but again hate this line.


Sunday

Atlanta @ NY Giants -3 O/U 47
This is a great game and a hard one to cap. Both teams have ups and downs. Giants can fall flat very easily or be dominant. They have weapons at WR and their D-line is scary.

Atlanta also has 2 faces. On the road, outside you don't know who will show up. 5 of their last 8 were at home. They lost 2 of the 3 road games since week 10 or 2 of 4 since their bye (@ colts week 9). They were stifled by houston, demolished by the saints and had to comeback 2nd half against the panthers.

I do believe the giants win this and not just as a fan but looking at the teams and their history.
Atlanta is 1-4 against playoff teams. Giants are 1-3. Can't pick a winner from that. Look at the loses. Atlanta lost convincingly the giants not so much. Destroyed @ saints (both were) 10yds from san fran, last minute rodgers awesome ridiculousness against GB.

Good line, should be high scoring. Like the gmen to win and 3 or more is good for me. Don't love this game, I'm too close to this game and probably won't bet a side.

O/U I like the over as both teams can score and be scored upon through the air. This would be my bet here.


Steelers -8 @ Broncos o/u 34
Pitt hasn't done a lot of scoring lately and big ben is in a boot. Broncos also not scoring much as they lean on the ground and pound with occasional wtf pass play.
If I had to pick an upset this week this would be the game. I like the broncos to cover the spread at the very least. I like this pick a lot.

This game is likely to go under however I wouldn't bet the house on it as both have a big play ability. Antonio Brown can easily catch and run the field and Demaryious Thomas can do the same if Tebow throws the ball.
But with Big Ben gimpy I expect quicker plays short and sweet to eat the clock. The longer he holds it the more likely he'll get slammed.


There you have it, my quick looks at the games.
I had planned on doing a more organized, longer more edited more stat heavy writeup but I'm at work. This is as much as they'll pay for

Good luck and enjoy!

[resteasy]

here's my teasers I played.

each putting down 150
7pt - houston +4, over 31.5, saints -3.5 to win 225
6pt - giants/atl over 41.5, pitt/denn over 27.5, denver +14 to win 270

couple parlays as well each at just $25
houston -3, houst/cincy over 38, saints -10
houston -3, houst/cincy over 38, saints -10, denver/pitt over 34
houston -3, houst/cincy over 38, saints -10, saints/det over 59

will possibly play more tomorrow. and may look at saints/det 1st half.
I didn't post bt had houston -3, over 19.5 1st half which hit. (I don't count that in my picks then which need to be updated)

good luck all

[resteasy]

houston pk 2H
houston pk/over 20 2H

[secondbase]

gl rest

[2b]

detriot vs nwo ova
not going to bet mush tho since its 60p. I will put 20$ on it

[resteasy]

yep, I put some on the over 59
1/2 that on parlay NO -10, over 59

also a play on NO -7 (even odds) 1st Half

[resteasy]

missed on that 1st half

2nd half
saints -7
parlay saints -7, over 28

[resteasy]

what a great day
killed on houston
killed on the teaser
killed on a couple parlays with some still open
missed saints 1st half BUT got it all back plus a good amount more on the 2nd half and
2 props jimmy graham td, meachem over 3 receptions (tailed mrhotpicks on that last one)

tomorrow,
teaser
giants/atlanta over 41, denver +14.5, denver/pitt over 27.5
giants +4, over 41

parlays
continuing the one above and with the over
over atl/gmen, over den/pitt, denver +8.5

may put a small amount on the denver ML too.

[2b]

congrats

[Mendoza Line]

Excellent night last night.

GL today!

[Rabbit's Foot]

Stay hot today!

[resteasy]

looking at the 2nd half
giants pick
over 23

like them both. playing them both and half of the wager on a parlay.

[resteasy]

teaser
denver +14.5, over 27

[resteasy]

hit over 17 1st half denver/pitt
over looking great
teaser looking great
and the end of that 4 team parlay needs 34+ pts so that too is looking great.

2nd half I like
denver +7 big
small on over 20
small on parlay denver over 20

[secondbase]

gl easy