RestEasy's Week 8 NFL picks

[resteasy]

Should probably put this with my early looks thread after this week. No need to make 2 threads a week right? At first I figured we'd use that one for discussion but after that come my picks anyhow.
Anyhow

5-6-1 last week. Not great but still in the positive over the year.
30-24-2 on the year (52%)


I have minor write ups on why I lean which way in my previous thread so here's my picks.

Colts +9
they may even win. But I won't hold my breathe for that I'll just say they at the least cover.

Vikings +3.5
I like this ponder kid. Of course he just played the #32 pass D (yds/g). Yes that is right the packers are #32. Heck most wouldn't even have thought to put them in the 20's. So he looked good. Carolina is only 21st and they are 30th against the run. With AP that will not do. Funny thing these minnesota vikings you have to look at this like it's their 2nd game. THe previous statistics will lie with the bad play at quarterback which of course effects the defense and the overall spirit in which they play. Yes, I'm factoring spirit. ANd with that my next pick

Detroit -2
Tim Tebow is good sure. He's proven little against the worst team in the nfl. 3 out of 57 minutes of good football. Even factoring in time of possession it's still 3 out of 35 minutes. It's not just him. This isn't tim tebow vs. the detroit lions (he's no mike ditka who could do it all by himself) but his supporting cast is just not that good. Yes, the stadium will be rocking but it will not be enough.

Vikings/carolina over 47.5
Carolina scores a lot and the vikings have a revitalized offense. This goes over.

GMEN -9.5
snow in the forecast for saturday but should be clear and fine sunday. Miami just isn't good no matter what Brandon Marshall tweets. Gmen getting healthier with several key players coming back or starting (Prince). Coming off the bye they roll.

New Orleans -13.5
That's a lot of points sure but the rams have been beaten by 14+ in 4 of 6 games. Washington beat them by 7 and gmen by 12. Bradford out and the saints are playing well. Rams yet to score more than 16 pts in a game. Saints average about 30pts/g (34 if you count that last 62pt game). They cover.

Buffalo Bills -5
Stevie Johnson is finally feeling a lot better. Moss, Hightower and Cooley are not playing for redskins. Grossman supposedly had pneumonia this week and Beck is starting again. This is a home game in toronto so a minor away game for the bills too. Doesn't matter fred jackson will be up and down the field and stevie johnson will make at least 1 big play.

49ers -9
Cleveland is looking sorry. Hillis has fallen under the madden curse. The 49'ers embarrassed the bucs and the browns are no bucs.

49ers browns OVER 38.5
this could go under if the browns don't score but they will get something. Enough to contribute to the over. prediction: 28-17

New England Patriots -2.5
They are not afraid to play at Heinz field. They've played 5 times since 2002 @ pittsburgh. They lost once in 2004. Both teams are playing well offensively but with 2 weeks to prepare I have to side with Tom Brady.

Cowboys +3
again, wish both teams could straight out lose but have to side with one. Cowboys have the #1 rushing defense. Should stop philly which lies in the bottom half of the rankings for rush D. See what Murray did last week? Not saying he'll put up those number again but he will do well enough to let Romo make some plays. Now, philly has a slightly better pass d by yds/g but they've let up more TD's 11-9 and have same # of int's. I'll take the pts and say a moneyline would not be a bad play.

alright. that's what I think. Good luck everyone.

[The Nac]

GL with your plays resteasy

[LordCC]

Good luck Rest Easy!

[kermit]

Good write up, i like the plays except Vikes and Cowboys but thats alotta pics we both cash! GL this weekend

[Hoosier Action]

Originally Posted by resteasy

Should probably put this with my early looks thread after this week. No need to make 2 threads a week right? At first I figured we'd use that one for discussion but after that come my picks anyhow.
Anyhow

5-6-1 last week. Not great but still in the positive over the year.
30-24-2 on the year (52%)


I have minor write ups on why I lean which way in my previous thread so here's my picks.

Colts +9
they may even win. But I won't hold my breathe for that I'll just say they at the least cover.

Vikings +3.5
I like this ponder kid. Of course he just played the #32 pass D (yds/g). Yes that is right the packers are #32. Heck most wouldn't even have thought to put them in the 20's. So he looked good. Carolina is only 21st and they are 30th against the run. With AP that will not do. Funny thing these minnesota vikings you have to look at this like it's their 2nd game. THe previous statistics will lie with the bad play at quarterback which of course effects the defense and the overall spirit in which they play. Yes, I'm factoring spirit. ANd with that my next pick

Detroit -2
Tim Tebow is good sure. He's proven little against the worst team in the nfl. 3 out of 57 minutes of good football. Even factoring in time of possession it's still 3 out of 35 minutes. It's not just him. This isn't tim tebow vs. the detroit lions (he's no mike ditka who could do it all by himself) but his supporting cast is just not that good. Yes, the stadium will be rocking but it will not be enough.

Vikings/carolina over 47.5
Carolina scores a lot and the vikings have a revitalized offense. This goes over.

GMEN -9.5
snow in the forecast for saturday but should be clear and fine sunday. Miami just isn't good no matter what Brandon Marshall tweets. Gmen getting healthier with several key players coming back or starting (Prince). Coming off the bye they roll.

New Orleans -13.5
That's a lot of points sure but the rams have been beaten by 14+ in 4 of 6 games. Washington beat them by 7 and gmen by 12. Bradford out and the saints are playing well. Rams yet to score more than 16 pts in a game. Saints average about 30pts/g (34 if you count that last 62pt game). They cover.

Buffalo Bills -5
Stevie Johnson is finally feeling a lot better. Moss, Hightower and Cooley are not playing for redskins. Grossman supposedly had pneumonia this week and Beck is starting again. This is a home game in toronto so a minor away game for the bills too. Doesn't matter fred jackson will be up and down the field and stevie johnson will make at least 1 big play.

49ers -9
Cleveland is looking sorry. Hillis has fallen under the madden curse. The 49'ers embarrassed the bucs and the browns are no bucs.

49ers browns OVER 38.5
this could go under if the browns don't score but they will get something. Enough to contribute to the over. prediction: 28-17

New England Patriots -2.5
They are not afraid to play at Heinz field. They've played 5 times since 2002 @ pittsburgh. They lost once in 2004. Both teams are playing well offensively but with 2 weeks to prepare I have to side with Tom Brady.

Cowboys +3
again, wish both teams could straight out lose but have to side with one. Cowboys have the #1 rushing defense. Should stop philly which lies in the bottom half of the rankings for rush D. See what Murray did last week? Not saying he'll put up those number again but he will do well enough to let Romo make some plays. Now, philly has a slightly better pass d by yds/g but they've let up more TD's 11-9 and have same # of int's. I'll take the pts and say a moneyline would not be a bad play.

alright. that's what I think. Good luck everyone.

You know I'm a homey on the Colt's. I've taken them and gone against them. This is the first week that I just can't get a grip on how they will play. They are hurting on the defense. Feeney sat out practice and that's not a good sign. He's tough though and he will be in that line up unless he's about dead! What disappointed me most last week is the QB. Painter took off on a 3rd and 8 and the Colt's were only down 2 scores at the time, and slid 3 yards short of the first down marker and the nearest defender was 5 yards from the marker. Now that's chicken shit and that's their leader out on the field. SO have they quit? I honestly believe some of them have quit. I see defenders standing around and watching someone else make the tackle. But this is a division game and these two teams don't like each other, so I expect the Colt's to play hard. Tenn played really bad last week at home against Houston. You do know this is the Colt's 3rd away game in a row. You know what happened to the Saints in their 3rd away game in a row, TB got them.

Sorry didn't mean to ramble on. I just wanted to give you a homey's thoughts on his team.

good luck RE

[resteasy]

yeah, I was weighing the 3rd road game problem but I think the 0-7 problem and the being blasted by the saints problem are worse.
Same thought, using TB remember they got blasted by the 9'ers then came back and won against the saints. Not exactly the same obviously but it happens. I believe the colts cover. It is a lot of pts.


here's a couple teasers
4team 6pt. 1* for 3*
indy +15
minny +9
miny/car over 41.5
nygmen -3.5

6pt 1.1* for 1*
buffalo pk
san fran -3

6pt 1* for 1.8*
NO -7.5
Det +3
san fran -2.5