Road Playoff Double Digit Favorite??

[ACE730]

If Seattle wins next week they would host the saints most likely. Would the saints be favored by 10+ and has that ever happened b4 in NFL history?

[skins-win-supbwl]

if the saints play the seahawks, I dont think the they will be a dd favor in Seattle, I think it will be -7 like when Atlanta was in seattle in week 15.

[ACE730]

I'm thinking this could be 9 or 10. Atlanta had very little motivation to bury Seattle and did it with ease. They have been smoked at least 4 times this year. The books won't want to get buried on saints money and this one should get ugly

My question is what was the biggest road fav ever in a playoff game. Could it be more than 5? I mean it would really have to be a team that gets hot late in the season and sneaks in on a roll but doubt there's been one that high.

[StatQuo17]

wasnt NE something like -10 against giants in the superbowl a few years ago? I think saints will be favored 9.5 maybe 10. Dont know if it will reach double digits

[ACE730]

Superbowl doesn't count. There have been plenty of those. I'm talking bout a road favorite.

[revnecro1273]

Originally Posted by skins-win-supbwl

if the saints play the seahawks, I dont think the they will be a dd favor in Seattle, I think it will be -7 like when Atlanta was in seattle in week 15.

think it could be close to dd...st louis is an under .500 team and were 3 pt road chalk in this game...if they are 3 pt favourites on the road it would be feasible to believe that it would be like 10 pts against the saints

[revnecro1273]

Originally Posted by StatQuo17

wasnt NE something like -10 against giants in the superbowl a few years ago? I think saints will be favored 9.5 maybe 10. Dont know if it will reach double digits

yes they were...but we are talking about a playoff game on the road and the visitors being dd chalk...don't believe that has ever happened before

[NightCap424]

Honestly I feel like the Saints could lose to St. Louis or Seattle next week.....the Saints haven't given me a reason to think they're as legit as last season. Atlanta played a poor game at home two weeks ago and couldn't shut the door while the Saints came back this week and looked flat against Tampa. Drew Brees has to cut down the mistakes in order to have a shot....

[revnecro1273]

10.5 pt road chalk

[actionsportscentral]

Taking the Seahawks with possible hedge chance. I just don't think the Saints are that good this year to be laying those kinds of points on the road in a hostile environment. Seattle has decent pass D and can run the ball....isn't that a good formula to cover this spread?

[GFootsXtreme]

If my memory is correct there are a lot of blowouts in the first round or two of playoffs. My take is simple -- do NOT take any performances by teams in the last 3 weeks too seriously. I would not infer what Atlanta or New Orleans or anybody else will do based upon the last few weeks.

Motivation reaches the highest level next weekend and a team like the Saints has something to prove, and they will, imo.

Seattle demonstrated their one and only way of covering a game, which is to play good enough D that the other team cannot score.

Don't look at the last few weeks -- but look at the season - can New Orleans put up points on Seattle? If so, don't be too quick to jump on Seattle.

10.5, it seems to me, is the exact line necessary to prevent bettors from teasing NO to a FG or less, right? Personally I would not feel safe teasing Seattle to 17.5.

[chibob]

Found this...posted they were good plays in another thread

It is widely recognized that home field advantage in the NFL is important. Regular season spreads are routinely adjusted by about 2.5 to 3.5 points in favor of the home team. But in the playoffs, home field advantage cannot be overstated. Home squads don’t have to travel after a long brutal season. The home field energy from the crowd is especially intense in January. Weather plays a big role (just ask a warm weather team like Tampa Bay having to travel to Green Bay or Buffalo in January). And, the better team usually “earned” home field advantage by playing awesome football for 16 weeks. The lines-makers typically cannot adjust the spread enough to account for these factors. Over the past eight seasons, home teams have covered the spread nearly 64% of the time! Home underdogs do even better. Home dogs are very rare (we have seen only 21 from 1982 through 2009) but if you find one, consider it as a possible strong play as they are 13-7-1 against the spread in those games.

[Patriots Game]

Nice find

[Slammer]

Seahawks definitely worth considering if the line moves onto or past 11.

[Bobtheicon]

Interesting:

Home Underdogs in the Wildcard Round are 4-2 SU & 5-1 ATS since ’95. Only ’06 Cincinnati, a 3-point dog to Pittsburgh in the famous Carson Palmer injury game, lost outright & ATS.