(((( Rookieees NFL for week 11 ))))

[THE_ROOKIEEE]

JETS JETS JETS .....

that is all i have been hearing for 2 days.... but i keep hearing in the back of my mind the chants of TEEE -BOW TEEEE - BOW..... something seems unlogical here in this game ..... therefore i will play against the biggest movement in chase fashion


3*** chase on the over


LEG A OVER 20 POINTS 1ST HALF

[THE_ROOKIEEE]

Thank you.... Knew this was a funny game....ill take the chase win

+3 Units

[THE_ROOKIEEE]

SUNDAYS GAMES

7***** CHASE TO 1 HALF ~~ OVER CINCY/BALTY~~ LEG A OVER 20 1H

i really wanted to make this a exclusive 10* play but i still have respect for the h2h matchup when these 2 play as they have gone under in 6 of the last 7 games and have gone under the last 4 in baltimore.... but we are just trying to win a half and when u have stats this year for halfs in this particular situation ~ i am going to roll along with it..... you see the bengals have played 5 road games this year and have gone 7-3 to the overs in their halfs , while the raven at home have played 4 games and have gone 5-3 to the over in their halfs..... whats more interesting is that in the first half of these games cincy has gone over 4 out of 5 times and balty has gone over 3 out of 4.... baltimore has been perfect at home this season (4-0) scoring an average of 32 points in those games.... keep in mind that 3 of those teams jets, hou, pitt are all top 7 teams in yards per game, while houston and pittsburg are # 2 and 3 in points allowed....Cincy on the other hand had averaged 25.6 ppg in their 5 game win streak before last weeks 17 point game against pitt....IMO i really think we have a shot to win 1 half here due to what i have mentioned and the fact that baltys offense has turned the ball over 17 times this season, while cincys turnover problem has been in the air where 9 out of their 10 this season has come by air.... everything coincides if balty gets ahead and forces cincy to throw or if cincy gets ahead then forces balty to score....either way we should cash this chase play.... oh yeah almost forgot ... baltys last 10 games have gone over 8 times, while cincy has gone over 6 straight... lets get this half !!!

OTHER PERSONAL PLAYS

5***** TENNESSEE +7
5***** CHASE TO WIN 1 HALF ~ CHARGERS LEG A +3 1H
4**** DET/CAR UNDER 47.5
4*** TB/GB OVER 48.5

SMALL LEAN PLAYS

3*** ARIZONA +6.5 1H
3*** JAX/CLE UNDER 17 1H
3*** JAX +0.5 1H

[50cent]

gl rookiee....

[dalers2k]

gl today

[sportsreport]

Bang it

[chickensalad]

Gl rook

[BOBBYW]

gl..

[THE_ROOKIEEE]

Thanks fellas .... Got to make some breakfast and relax today

[THE_ROOKIEEE]

Originally Posted by THE_ROOKIEEE

SUNDAYS GAMES

7***** CHASE TO 1 HALF ~~ OVER CINCY/BALTY~~ LEG A OVER 20 1H

i really wanted to make this a exclusive 10* play but i still have respect for the h2h matchup when these 2 play as they have gone under in 6 of the last 7 games and have gone under the last 4 in baltimore.... but we are just trying to win a half and when u have stats this year for halfs in this particular situation ~ i am going to roll along with it..... you see the bengals have played 5 road games this year and have gone 7-3 to the overs in their halfs , while the raven at home have played 4 games and have gone 5-3 to the over in their halfs..... whats more interesting is that in the first half of these games cincy has gone over 4 out of 5 times and balty has gone over 3 out of 4.... baltimore has been perfect at home this season (4-0) scoring an average of 32 points in those games.... keep in mind that 3 of those teams jets, hou, pitt are all top 7 teams in yards per game, while houston and pittsburg are # 2 and 3 in points allowed....Cincy on the other hand had averaged 25.6 ppg in their 5 game win streak before last weeks 17 point game against pitt....IMO i really think we have a shot to win 1 half here due to what i have mentioned and the fact that baltys offense has turned the ball over 17 times this season, while cincys turnover problem has been in the air where 9 out of their 10 this season has come by air.... everything coincides if balty gets ahead and forces cincy to throw or if cincy gets ahead then forces balty to score....either way we should cash this chase play.... oh yeah almost forgot ... baltys last 10 games have gone over 8 times, while cincy has gone over 6 straight... lets get this half !!!




OTHER PERSONAL PLAYS

5***** TENNESSEE +7
5***** CHASE TO WIN 1 HALF ~ CHARGERS LEG A +3 1H
4**** DET/CAR UNDER 47.5
4*** TB/GB OVER 48.5

SMALL LEAN PLAYS

3*** ARIZONA +6.5 1H
3*** JAX/CLE UNDER 17 1H
3*** JAX +0.5 1H

[bigtom]

always best to win the first leg of chase. nice hit

[THE_ROOKIEEE]

MONDAY NIGHT PLAY

I really dont like tonights game as i believe this will be either a big blowout or a close game around the number, therefore i will be playing a prop i like tonight ....


UNDER 19.5 COMPLETIONS ~ TYLER PALKO

You are going to have to have the guts to play this play as NE'S defense has allowed 24.6 completions for the year per a game and will be without their cornerback Devin Mccourtey for this game.... logically people will look at this game and say that Palko will be conservative and dish out small screens to both the RBS and WRS, which very well should happen.... but after looking at some of the odds on the props i see something different.... these are the main threats and the odds they currently have:

D.MCLUSTER ~~ 3.5 CATCHES -115 either way
D. BOWE ~~ 5 CATCHES -125 under ~ so lets say 4.5
S.BREASTON ~~ 3.5 CATCHES -140 over ~~ so lets say 5 max
J.BALDWIN ~~ 2 CATCHES -125 under

I read 15 catches .... I also see that their 3 running backs are odds to run about a 100 yards for tonights game, which tells me they will still try to run the ball to keep the ball out of Bradys hands.... yet i see also between green-ellis and woodhead they too are projected to run a 100 yards.... this along with welker and branch short slants should keep the chains moving for first downs all game which i believe will limit the opposition from actually having many opportunites.....

another tidbit for this play is that in KC last 4 road games they have averaged 17 passes per a game with the familiar Cassel behind the helms... it takes time to develop a rapport with your receivers and the linesmakers are saying the same thing .... since the first 2 games, the chiefs have thrown under this posted number 6 out of 8 times and the 2 times they did go over it was for 20 and 21 completions just mere tad over the 19.5 today.... but whats even more interesting is that of all the games this season for the patriots their defense has allowed under 19.5 only twice this season .... both games were against running 1st offenses in the jets and the giants in which only 16 receptions were allowed... and last but not least the last 2 games the patriots played were against the same jets and giants in which in both games only 20 receptions were allowed, but just keep in mind that both the jets and giants have more attempts in the air per a game than kansas city does.....


5***** UNDER 19.5 RECEPTIONS TYLER PALKO

[larrylooser]

Bol rookiee.