((( Rookiees Big-dog Sunday With A 10***** )))

THE_ROOKIEEE · #1 09-21-2008, 03:55 AM

this is by far the hardest weekend of nfl football as every home team is favored except the dal/gb game...but i have found a few games that fit into my handicpping ways....these first 2 games have a week 3 trend that is in perfect 13-0 su & 10-2-1 ats situation since 1992....it concerns teams that average at least 33 points through the first two weeks of the season which are den and green bay.....unfortunately ill be bucking one of them today ..lets continue this excellent week and keep the money train rolling

new orleans vs denver

jay cutler this jay cutler that.... yes he has surprised a lot of people with what he has done so far.... with a talented offensive line and recievers like b.marshall and e.royal this team is going to succeed period...but history is history and a lot is going to show this week for these broncos as in the past....first of all since cutler has been the starter he is 0-3 ats following a win & cover on the 2nd of b2b home games...not only that but this game is off 2 division games with a division game against k.c. next week- a division sandwich as they say and we all know how tough that is...yeah yeah i know the afc west isnt that strong but how bout this one....denvers last 8 sandwich games they are 0-8 ats losing 6 of them straight up going back to the elway days...keep in mind that despite denvers success at home ( 4-1 in their last 5 )they are 3-11 in their last 14 following a straight up win.... im going to take my chances here with the saints being that both teams are horrible against the run meaning a slower paced game....i also think that the saints have the advantage in the passing game as denvers corners of bailey and ble are giving up a whopping 9.3 ypc and have 5 tds thrown on that pass defense while the saints have given up only 2 td ( one bomb for 67 yards last week ) while giving only 7.0 ypc...the saints are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ats loss & are 9-4 ats in their last 13 road games vs. a team with a winning home record...the public 60.5% has pushed this line to 5.5 from denvers last 2 performances, so to get extra points with this live dog is just beautiful..... we will be taking new orleans for our 10*** superplay

10***** New Orleans +5.5
4***M/L

dallas vs green bay

ok well you know by now from the early write up that i bucked the big trend by going with new orleans.... which means ill be playing with the trend here with the packers.....this is the only game on the board today that the home team isnt favored...so why hasnt this line moved like the denver game when money is pouring in on dallas ....all i know is with that perfect 13-0 su & 10-2-1 ats situation since 1992 to go long with another perfect trend of the home team not losing ats in 10 straight meetings i hve to run with this dog....both teams secondary are much better than what theyve been facing but i think green bay will have the advantge due to matchups...sure one can say dallas just tooled philly but ive been telling my peeps that philly is soft in the middle as evident of jason witten big day last week.... green bay is solid in the middle as aj hawk is finally grown into his own with a year behind him and with nick barnett right next to him mr. good ole boy whitten is going to be limited this week... sure dallas is going to score but you take a weapon away it makes the rest of the crew easier to maintain...dallas is division sandwiched like denver and though they have better results,they didnt cover last years non division sandwich on the road....this game is the consecutive prime time game for the cowboys yet i like the packers here being at home and more importantly remembering what dallas did to them last year on prime time thursday...in case you dont remember...they won knocking former packer brett farve out the game while taking g.b. out of home field advantge for the playoffs with romo throwing 4 tds and t.owens catching 7 for 156 yards..... but that also was the first time we all got to see what aaron rodgers was all about when having to throw down the clipboard`for the first time...his stats for that game 18/26 200 yards 1 td and no picks.... you think he dont remember that game...... green bay gets its revenge this year ...take the points

8**** Green Bay +3
2**M/L

tampa bay vs chicago

short write up here as imo matt forte cant carry this team on his legs alone... kyle orton hasnt thrown a td pass all yer..... tampa bay will blit and stack the line begging for orton to beat them.... after last weeks battle with carolina the bears will once again be in another battle in which the same result will happen...t.b. wins late

7**** Tampa Bay +3
2** M/L

final card

10***** N.O. +5.5 ((( superplay )))

8**** G.B. +3
7**** T.B. +3

5*** PHI -3
4** M/L N.O. (+200)
4** NYG -13
2* CLE +3
2* M/L T.B. (+145)
2* M/L G.B. (+140)

thats all for today ..bol to those that follow

Victor · #2 09-21-2008, 04:23 AM

Good luck THE ROOKIEEE!

erichfootball · #3 09-21-2008, 05:26 AM

Love the Saints, Your right its a tough week for games. Only game that stands out to me and getting 5.5 is a bonus. Great info also great call on Tulsa last night. Lets bring it home