(((( Rookiees WK 14 NFL CLE VS PITT)))))

[THE_ROOKIEEE]

Thursday Night Football


Cleveland vs Pittsburg

Since i didnt have much going on the last few days, i have looked at this game trying to find a play... IMO this is going to be a game you should just watch, but since we at times are degenerates and need to have some action ~~ this is what i have found to help you in your decision..

Since mike tomlin took over the head coaching job for the steelers , they have had 15 games in which they were DD favorites and most of these have come when they play at home ~ going 7-8 ATS (7-4 ATS at home) ~ the over/under in these games 7o/8u (5-6 at home).... opponents in these games have averaged only 11.5 PPG and only 9.6 PPG in steeler country.... but what is interesting is the the Super Bowl Factor..... Some reason these steelers under Tomlin reign have struggled as big favorites in the year after making it to the super bowl as we see below:

08-09 SB YEAR AS DD FAV

DD HM FAV AGAINST CIN ~~ COVERED/OVER ~~ PITT 27-CIN 10
DD HM FAV AGAINST CLE ~~ COVERED/UNDER ~~ PITT 31-CLE 0

FOLLOWING 09-10 SEASON AS DD FAV

DD HM FAV AGAINST OAK ~~ NO COVER/ OVER ~~ PITT 24-OAK 27 SU LOSS
DD HM FAV AGAINST CLE ~~ NO COVER/ OVER ~~ PITT 27-CLE 14
DD RD FAV AGAINST KC ~~ NO COVER/ OVER ~~ PITT 24-KC 27 SU LOSS
DD RD FAV AGAINST DET ~~ NO COVER/ OVER ~~ PITT 28-DET 20

10-11 SB YEAR AS DD FAV

DD HM FAV AGAINST CAR ~~ COVERED/UNDER ~~ PITT 27-CAR 3
DD HM FAV AGAINST CLE ~~ COVERED/OVER ~~ PITT 28-CLE 10

THIS SEASON

DD HOME FAV AGAINST JAX ~~ NO COVER/UNDER ~~ PITT 17-JAX 13
DD HOME FAV AGAINST SEA ~~ COVERED/ UNDER ~~ PITT 24-SEA 0 (WK2)
DD RD FAV AGAINST KC ~~ NO COVER/ UNDER ~~ PITT 13-KC 9
DD RD FAV AGAINST IND ~~ NO COVER/ OVER ~~ PITT 23-IND 20

So you see, this game is really tougher than you may think whether you take one side or the other as we have seen how CLE offense is this year.... but with past practice of how these steelers perform in the year after making it tho the superbowl can not be ignored..... therefore based on this info i will PLAY AND CHASE CLEVELAND ....

If you are deciding about the over under let me explain a little something about that.... there has been 44 games this season in which a team (cle) is on the road off a home off a road (( road gm then home game and now road game )) ... there has been an under half in 38 of these games and out of the other 6 in which there wasnt an under half ~~ 3 involved games with the packers(2) and patriots(1)..... not to mention that 25 of those 38 went under in the first half.... therefore based on that % alone i will CHASE THE UNDER for something small....

ROOKIEES FINAL THOUGHT

This is by no means going to be a cake walk for the steelers as much as many will think especially with a east coast to west coast trip to san francisco next week on their minds....but the Browns offense has McCoy who doesn't like to throw downfield much, not like the west coast offense does anyway but he checks down almost every play and there are no WRs who can get open downfield.... their offense strength is in tight ends, but they aren't going to be deep threats..... but i think they will create a turnover to keep this game closer to this big number.... either way this game is really about just having action as i find no absolute solid information to lead me to go crazy here...... i do think that this total is just as bad as i believe that there will be some points scored in this game in one half or the other which will make playing the whole game total ~ a gut wrenching roller coaster......

I SMELL SOMETHING BREWING BADLY IN THIS GAME.... VEGAS STANDS TO WIN A BOATLOAD OF MONEY IF CLEVELAND AND THE OVER HIT .... ILL PLAY SAFELY TONIGHT !!!

GOOD LUCK WITH WHATEVER YOU DECIDE AND HOPE THE INFO HELPS IN YOUR DECISIONS !!!



THEREFORE MY OFFICIAL PLAYS FOR THIS GAME ARE



3*** CLEVELAND +15.5

2** CHASE CLE TO WIN 1 ~~ LEG A +8 1H
2** UNDER CHASE TO WIN 1 ~~ LEG A UNDER 20 1H


A TEENIE LITTLE TASTE ON THE MONEY LINE @ +800 IS TASTY FOR FUN AS WELL

[Ron Mexico]

Every book has it at 14. WTF are you getting it at 15.5?

[THE_ROOKIEEE]

5dimes (-130)

[Ron Mexico]

LOL... Ok.... guess you just forgot to post all that juice.

Good luck

[THE_ROOKIEEE]

NOTE THAT THE 15.5 IS (-130) AS I FORGOT TO TAG THAT IN .... THANKS FOR NOTICING THAT RM !!

CLEVELAND +15.5 (-130) .... KEY NUMBER I BELIEVE IN THIS GAME ~~~ THINKING GAME FINSIHES 28-13 or 21-6 IF PITT WINS .... BUT I LIKE CLEVELAND TO SURPRISE AND ILL PAY FOR A LITTLE PROTECTION IN THIS GAME!!!

[LordCC]

Good luck Rookie!

[Classic Rock]

good luck ,like the pts here also

[BOBBYW]

gl..

[THE_ROOKIEEE]

Originally Posted by THE_ROOKIEEE

Thursday Night Football


Cleveland vs Pittsburg

Since i didnt have much going on the last few days, i have looked at this game trying to find a play... IMO this is going to be a game you should just watch, but since we at times are degenerates and need to have some action ~~ this is what i have found to help you in your decision..

Since mike tomlin took over the head coaching job for the steelers , they have had 15 games in which they were DD favorites and most of these have come when they play at home ~ going 7-8 ATS (7-4 ATS at home) ~ the over/under in these games 7o/8u (5-6 at home).... opponents in these games have averaged only 11.5 PPG and only 9.6 PPG in steeler country.... but what is interesting is the the Super Bowl Factor..... Some reason these steelers under Tomlin reign have struggled as big favorites in the year after making it to the super bowl as we see below:

08-09 SB YEAR AS DD FAV

DD HM FAV AGAINST CIN ~~ COVERED/OVER ~~ PITT 27-CIN 10
DD HM FAV AGAINST CLE ~~ COVERED/UNDER ~~ PITT 31-CLE 0

FOLLOWING 09-10 SEASON AS DD FAV

DD HM FAV AGAINST OAK ~~ NO COVER/ OVER ~~ PITT 24-OAK 27 SU LOSS
DD HM FAV AGAINST CLE ~~ NO COVER/ OVER ~~ PITT 27-CLE 14
DD RD FAV AGAINST KC ~~ NO COVER/ OVER ~~ PITT 24-KC 27 SU LOSS
DD RD FAV AGAINST DET ~~ NO COVER/ OVER ~~ PITT 28-DET 20

10-11 SB YEAR AS DD FAV

DD HM FAV AGAINST CAR ~~ COVERED/UNDER ~~ PITT 27-CAR 3
DD HM FAV AGAINST CLE ~~ COVERED/OVER ~~ PITT 28-CLE 10

THIS SEASON

DD HOME FAV AGAINST JAX ~~ NO COVER/UNDER ~~ PITT 17-JAX 13
DD HOME FAV AGAINST SEA ~~ COVERED/ UNDER ~~ PITT 24-SEA 0 (WK2)
DD RD FAV AGAINST KC ~~ NO COVER/ UNDER ~~ PITT 13-KC 9
DD RD FAV AGAINST IND ~~ NO COVER/ OVER ~~ PITT 23-IND 20

So you see, this game is really tougher than you may think whether you take one side or the other as we have seen how CLE offense is this year.... but with past practice of how these steelers perform in the year after making it tho the superbowl can not be ignored..... therefore based on this info i will PLAY AND CHASE CLEVELAND ....

If you are deciding about the over under let me explain a little something about that.... there has been 44 games this season in which a team (cle) is on the road off a home off a road (( road gm then home game and now road game )) ... there has been an under half in 38 of these games and out of the other 6 in which there wasnt an under half ~~ 3 involved games with the packers(2) and patriots(1)..... not to mention that 25 of those 38 went under in the first half.... therefore based on that % alone i will CHASE THE UNDER for something small....

ROOKIEES FINAL THOUGHT

This is by no means going to be a cake walk for the steelers as much as many will think especially with a east coast to west coast trip to san francisco next week on their minds....but the Browns offense has McCoy who doesn't like to throw downfield much, not like the west coast offense does anyway but he checks down almost every play and there are no WRs who can get open downfield.... their offense strength is in tight ends, but they aren't going to be deep threats..... but i think they will create a turnover to keep this game closer to this big number.... either way this game is really about just having action as i find no absolute solid information to lead me to go crazy here...... i do think that this total is just as bad as i believe that there will be some points scored in this game in one half or the other which will make playing the whole game total ~ a gut wrenching roller coaster......

I SMELL SOMETHING BREWING BADLY IN THIS GAME.... VEGAS STANDS TO WIN A BOATLOAD OF MONEY IF CLEVELAND AND THE OVER HIT .... ILL PLAY SAFELY TONIGHT !!!

GOOD LUCK WITH WHATEVER YOU DECIDE AND HOPE THE INFO HELPS IN YOUR DECISIONS !!!



THEREFORE MY OFFICIAL PLAYS FOR THIS GAME ARE



3*** CLEVELAND +15.5

2** CHASE CLE TO WIN 1 ~~ LEG A +8 1H
2** UNDER CHASE TO WIN 1 ~~ LEG A UNDER 20 1H


A TEENIE LITTLE TASTE ON THE MONEY LINE @ +800 IS TASTY FOR FUN AS WELL

small play

2h pittsburg -3 -120

[THE_ROOKIEEE]

early plays


michael vick returns and i cannot think that we wont see a winning half in this game by philly with him behind the helms.... miamis defense resembles a lot of how buffalo has played this season while miamis offense is cut close to the mold of the falcons by statistics... michael vick and the eagles had 2 of their best games on the road against these teams that resemble how these dolphins have statistically played.

now it needs to be mentioned that miami is currently on a 12-1-1 streak for halves in their last 7 games but i think they have had a pretty easy way with things due to scheduling... ever since that loss on oct 30 against the giants these dolphins have had
to face kc on the road(31-3 cupcake win)~ then wash @ hm (20-9 decent win but cmon)~ buf @ hm (35-8 on buff loss slide) ~ a 1pt loss to the Cowgirls on the road ( dal came in off Ot win against wash ) and last weeks win over the raiders... being from the bay area i can tell u those raiders were flat tired after 3 consecutive division games, a road win in minny, a gutsy win at home against chi-town, but then they had to fly to miami across country... yeah they were a little flat and it showed.

now last week i dumed a little trying to think that vincent scary young would bring me a cover in one half and i was highly mistaken but with michael i am very confident that we will get at least 1 half in this game due to that these eagles have covered a half in all of michaels starts this year on the road.... coupled with the fact the miami has been doing so well over these last 7 weeks, i think the eagles will catch the linemakers in this game
for at least one half....

oh yeah almost forgot to mention that the dolphins won 2 games this year as a favorite at home.... it brings their record in that stat to 9-29 ATS in their last 38 and they have lost 2 both the cowgirls and the giants who are in the nfc east... sure they won against the redskins and comparing the eagles to either 3 is far and in between , but i can say these eagles with michael behind them are right in the middle of that bunch, therefore they can win one half of this game !!!!


BIG CHASE PLAY



10**** EAGLE CHASE TO WIN 1 HALF ~~ LEG A EAGLES 1H +2



My other play in these morning games is to chase the over in the bucs/jags game



4**** OVER CHASE TO WIN 1 HALF ~~ LEG A TB/JAX 1H OVER 20.5


3*** HOUSTON TEXANS +3 for Game ~~~ T.YATES IS THE BETTER QB IN THIS GAME !!!

[THE_ROOKIEEE]

adding

4**** first half only !!!! Denver -3

[PanamaJack]

...I saw your post before making my plays
I know they're not IN yet, but still glad I tailed you for 1st half
Thank you for posting
Keep it going

[THE_ROOKIEEE]

will be playing 2h's today


first up

3*** 2h indy colts +7


next play

5**** 2h over 17 chiefs /jets


last 2h play for early games

3*** 2h over 22.5 atl/car

[THE_ROOKIEEE]

7*** over chase to win 1 leg a ~~ over 24.5 nyg/dal

[THE_ROOKIEEE]

monday night


4**** over chase to win 1half ~~ leg a over 19.5 1h


2* 1h only ~~ rams +6.5