seanie mac divisional round

[Seanie Mac]

someone figure this out for me real quick, please

do I want Denver +13 1/2 -106 or +14 -116, what is the value of 14 in Pro? It rarely comes up, I have the value of 14 in NCAA.

[resteasy]

well, you're asking for a loss of 2 td's or less (or a win by the broncos). which you obviously know.

at +14 you could push
at 13.5 2 td's = 14pts and you lose by that 1/2 point. Especially if broncos are down 7 and there is a late td or some garbage.

buy the hook at +14. Think of it as insurance.

for + 14 is better, for - 13.5 is better.

[Seanie Mac]

what's the push % on 14 in NFL


Yes resteasy I know all of that, but that's not quite what I was asking

[mrhotpicks2]

+13.5 , cause it is less juice since the play is going to lose.

[Seanie Mac]

lock of the millennium my friend

after asking around this seems to be the best play, saving almost 10c

Denver +14.5 -126

[mrhotpicks2]

gl dude

[bdragon]

may not need the points, Denver should win this one

[Seanie Mac]

Originally Posted by bdragon

may not need the points, Denver should win this one

[LordCC]

Seanie

For what it's worth, here are the NFL Key Margins Of Victory (From most significant by occurrence to Least):

3, 7, 10, 6, 4, 14, 1

[TNell]

Good luck Seanie Mac.

[Seanie Mac]

Originally Posted by LordCC

Seanie

For what it's worth, here are the NFL Key Margins Of Victory (From most significant by occurrence to Least):

3, 7, 10, 6, 4, 14, 1

just copied this, thanks CC!

I always forget 4's value

[Cash Calloway]

Game ends in 14 points 5.5% of the time.

[JunkyardDog47]

And that percentage does NOT take into consideration the number of games that the dog won.

[Seanie Mac]

^^ that doesn't matter when finding the value of points


Thanks Cash Calloway

[thehoch]

Originally Posted by Seanie Mac

^^ that doesn't matter when finding the value of points


Thanks Cash Calloway

I could never put money on Tim Tebow, on the road no less, against HOF QB and Head Coach.

The score will be 7-0 after the Patriots first drive, meaning the spread is really 7 pts.

The Broncos have been blessed with a great story and a lot of luck. Steelers were beaten up. Broncos had to win against the Bills and Chiefs and looked like they couldn't get the ball past the 50 yard line. I don't think so folks. Good Luck though!