Some 2008 NFL " Angles" ...

[Kramer]

Waith the Regular season less than 3 months away ,
Here are some nfl " ANLGELS" you can use in your nfl handicapping
using data going back 10 years to 1998.

When you add up all of the angles below, you’ll come up with an astounding 775-304-27 ATS record.

That’s 71.8%, and +439 units!
You can start tracking these trends as early as the SECOND week of the season.

Arizona -
Go against Arizona on the road following 2 SU losses. They’re not quite out of their current slump. Playing against AZ is 19-4-1, 82.6%, +15 units.
Atlanta - Go against Atlanta at home following an Atlanta SU and ATS win. Here we find a slight overcompensation by Vegas, devaluing the Falcons. Going against Atlanta is 23-7-1, 76.7%, +15 units.


Baltimore -

Go with Baltimore as a home favorite following a SU win. They have momentum from the previous week and do well against the number at home against a weaker opponent. Playing Baltimore is 22-9-1 ATS, 71.0%, +12 units.


Buffalo -

Play against Buffalo as a road dog following a game they won SU and ATS and went over. They performed well last week but face a tough opponent this week, while Vegas makes you pay a premium for jumping on the bandwagon. Playing against the Bills is 10-2, 83.3%, +8 units.
Carolina - Go with the Panthers as a dog following 2 overs. They’ve been putting up big numbers but Vegas doesn’t adjust. This trend finds Carolina at 15-4-2, 78.9%, +11 units.

Chicago -

Play the under when Chicago is a dog following a SU home win. A strong opponent and a fierce defensive battle puts the under for this trend at 22-6-1, 78.6%, +15 units.

Cincinnati -

Play the under following 2 overs. Vegas tends to overreact after a couple of high scoring games. The under is 26-8-2. 76.5%, +17 units.


Cleveland -

Play the over as a dog following a SU and ATS win. They’re been playing well and a good opponent means even more points on the board. Playing the over is 23-11-1 ATS, 67.6%, +11 units.

Dallas -

Go with Dallas when they’re at home following a SU road loss. Dallas is a team that consistently bounces back, especially when arriving back home. Playing Dallas is 21-8-1 ATS, 72.4%, +12 units.


Denver -

Play the over following 3 overs. -shocker
They’ve started producing and the Vegas line can’t move fast enough. The over is 19-7 ATS, 73.1%, +11 units.

Detroit -


Go against when they are a favorite.
This team just doesn’t fare well when elevated to favorite status. Going against is 26-13-1 ATS, 66.7%, +12 units.

Green Bay -

Play the over at home. Vegas can only move the chains so far in the over/under department, yet the Packers still consistently go over. Going over is 51-28-1, 64.6%, +20 units.


Houston -

Go with Houston as a dog following 2 SU losses. The Texans tend to adjust enough to get past the lopsided pointspread. Going with Houston is 22-8-1, 73.3%, +13 units.


Indianapolis -

Play the over when Indy is a road dog. A high-powered offense puts up big numbers, regardless of road dog status. The over is 22-9-2, 71.0%, +12 units.


Jacksonville -

Play the over following two home games. The Jaguars are rested and ready to produce. Playing the over is 20-7-2, 74.1%, +12 units.


Kansas City -


Play the over when KC is favored following a home game. Everything falls into place for a rested team playing a weaker opponent. Going over is 27-11 ATS, 71.1%, +15 units.


Miami -

Play the under following a SU and ATS win. They are controlling the tempo and keeping the ball on the ground. The under is 45-24 ATS, 65.2%, +19 units.


Minnesota -

Go with Minny following game they lost and went over. They were able to put up points in the previous week, but missed the ATS mark. Vegas probably will adjust, giving Minny even more value this week. Playing the Vikings is 28-11-1 ATS, 71.8%, +16 units.


New England -

Play the under when the Patriots are favored following two ATS losses. Playing a weaker team and on an offensive lull, they don’t put up enough points to hit the number. The under is 17-4 ATS, 81.0%, +13 units.
New Orleans - Play the over following a home win. They were able to get their offense clicking last week and the total reflects it this week. Playing the over is 24-9-1 ATS, 72.7%, +14 units.


NY Giants -

Play against the Giants following a game they lost ATS and went under. They showed signs of offensive weakness last week and it continues this week. Going against the Giants is 29-10-1 ATS, 74.4%, +18 units.
NY Jets - Play the under following a game they won and went under. The Jets controlled the tempo, which leans under. Playing the under is 27-10-2 ATS, 73.0%, +16 units.


Oakland

Play the under as a dog after a SU loss. They’ve shown recent signs of offensive incompetence, and the line is slow to react. The under is 32-17-2 ATS, 65.3%, +13 units.


Philadelphia -

Go with Philly after 2 overs. Their offense has started to produce and Vegas can’t go high enough. Going with Philly is 20-6-1 ATS, 76.9%, +13 units.
Pittsburgh - Play the under on the road following a loss. The are struggling to put up numbers and are showing signs of fatigue. The under is 21-5 ATS, 80.8%, +15 units.


San Diego -

Go with San Diego following 4 ATS wins.

The Chargers get streaky, and Vegas guesses they can’t achieve 5 ATS wins in a row… but they have many times in 10 years. The Chargers are 11-2-1, 84.6%, +9 units.


San Francisco -

Play the under as a home dog following a loss. The Niners are not producing and this will affect the total. Playing the under is 19-6 ATS, 76.0%, +12 units.


Seattle -



Play the over when Seattle is a dog following a game in which they went over. Their offense has been clicking and Vegas hasn’t figured it out. The over is 21-8 ATS, 72.4%, +12 units.

St. Louis -

Go against on the road following an under. Below-average production combined with traveling makes for a long week. Going against is 24-7-1 ATS, 77.4%, +16 units.


Tampa Bay -

Play the under as a favorite.

No team says “under” better than the Bucs. Being favored only means their chances of controlling the tempo are increased. Playing the under is 65-39, 62.5%, +22 units.


Tennessee -

Play the over at home following 2 ATS losses. The Titans smell blood against a weaker team following two tough games, and will put up some big numbers. The over is 15-3 ATS, 83.3%, +12 units.


Washington -

Go with the Redskins following 2 losses that went under. After a couple rough weeks, they get their production back on track. Playing the ‘Skins is 9-1 ATS, 90.0%, +8 units.

[PHILLYBIRDS20]

good stuff kramer appreciate it bro

[Steel]

The man with all the info. Thanks big time Kramer your all about quality.

[NFLMAN]

Those are statistical anomalies, there are actually current trends that are the erroneous creations of the oddsmakers. See if you can compare the values.

Example: NFL preseason home dogs, using opening lines only, are 14-0-1 ATS last 15 occurences.

[Kramer]

Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not.
Here is your proof :


Here are recent preseason records for every coach in the NFL.



Team Coach Record 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
ARZ Ken Whisenhunt 0-4 X X X X 0-4
ATL Bobby Petrino 3-1 X X X X 3-1
BAL Brian Billick 20-15 1-3 3-1 2-2 2-2 1-3
BUF Dick Jauron 10-18 1-3 X X 1-3 2-2
CAR John Fox 16-8 4-0 4-0 2-2 4-0 1-3
CHI Lovie Smith 10-7 X 2-2 3-2 2-2 3-1
CIN Marvin Lewis 10-10 1-3 2-2 2-2 4-0 1-3
CLE Romeo Crennel 8-4 X X 3-1 2-2 3-1
DAL Wade Phillips 10-6* X X X X 2-2
DEN Mike Shanahan 39-17* 3-1 2-3 4-0 3-1 2-2
DET Rod Marinelli 3-5 X X X 1-3 2-2
GB Mike McCarthy 3-5 X X X 1-3 2-2
HOU Gary Kubiak 5-3 X X X 3-1 2-2
IND Tony Dungy 9-16* 3-1 2-2 0-5 1-3 1-3
JAX Jack Del Rio 14-6 3-1 3-1 2-2 3-1 3-1
KC Herman Edwards 17-11 3-2 3-1 3-1 2-2 0-4
MIA Cam Cameron 2-2 X X X X 2-2
MIN Brad Childress 4-3 X X X 2-1 2-2
NE Bill Belichick 20-13* 4-0 1-3 2-2 2-2 2-2
NO Sean Payton 4-5 X X X 1-3 3-2
NYG Tom Coughlin 9-7* X 1-3 3-1 4-0 1-3
NYJ Eric Mangini 5-3 X X X 2-2 3-1
OAK Lane Kiffin 2-2 X X X X 2-2
PHI Andy Reid 13-23 2-2 1-3 2-2 2-3 1-3
PIT Mike Tomlin 4-1 X X X X 4-1
SD Norv Turner 7-5 X 3-1 1-3 X 3-1
SEA Mike Holmgren 18-18* 2-2 3-1 2-2 2-2 3-1
SF Mike Nolan 5-7 X X 2-2 2-2 1-3
STL Scott Linehan 3-5 X X X 1-3 2-2
TB Jon Gruden 27-15 4-1 3-1 2-2 1-3 3-1
TEN Jeff Fisher 24-20* 4-0 3-1 1-3 1-3 3-1
WAS Joe Gibbs 6-10* X 3-2 1-3 0-4 2-2

FA Dan Reeves 15-10 0-4 X X X X
FA Gregg Williams 5-7 3-1 X X X X
FA Dave McGinnis 9-7 4-0 X X X X
FA Jim Fassel 8-17 1-3 X X X X
FA Steve Spurrier 5-4 1-3 X X X X
FA Bill Callahan 3-5 1-3 X X X X
FA Dennis Erickson 15-11 3-1 0-4 X X X
FA Butch Davis 8-8 1-3 3-1 X X X
FA Dave Wannstedt 10-11 2-2 2-2 X X X
FA Mike Mularkey 4-4 X 2-2 2-2 X X
FA Steve Mariucci 16-14 2-2 2-2 1-3 X X
FA Mike Sherman 12-13 2-3 1-3 2-2 X X
FA Dom Capers 3-14 0-4 1-3 1-3 X X
FA Dick Vermeil 9-12 3-2 1-3 0-4 X X
FA Mike Tice 12-8 1-3 2-2 3-1 X X
FA Jim Haslett 9-15 1-3 2-2 1-3 X X
FA Mike Martz 10-15 1-3 1-3 3-1 X X
FA Dennis Green 6-6* X 1-3 3-1 2-2 X
FA Jim Mora Jr. 8-5 X 2-2 4-1 2-2 X
FA Bill Parcells 21-6* 2-2 3-1 3-1 3-0 X
FA Nick Saban 3-6 X X 1-4 2-2 X
FA Art Shell 18-11* X X X 4-1 X
FA Marty Schottenheimer 10-14* 2-2 2-2 2-2 2-2 X
FA Bill Cowher 28-31 1-3 2-2 3-1 0-4 X


Team Coaches' Records By Week Week 1 Week 2 Week 3 Week 4
ARZ Ken Whisenhunt 0-1 0-1 0-1 0-1
ATL Bobby Petrino 0-1 1-0 1-0 1-0
BAL Brian Billick 5-3 4-5 5-4 6-3
BUF Dick Jauron 5-2 2-5 1-6 2-5
CAR John Fox 5-1 3-3 4-2 4-2
CHI Lovie Smith 3-2 4-0 2-2 1-3
CIN Marvin Lewis 1-4 4-1 1-4 4-1
CLE Romeo Crennel 2-1 2-1 2-1 2-1
DAL Wade Phillips 4-1 1-3 3-1 3-1
DEN Mike Shanahan (since 1997) 10-4 7-4 7-4 9-2
DET Rod Marinelli 2-0 1-1 0-2 0-2
HOU Gary Kubiak 1-1 2-0 1-1 1-1
IND Tony Dungy 2-5 1-5 5-1 1-5
GB Mike McCarthy 1-1 2-0 0-2 0-2
JAX Jack Del Rio 3-2 4-1 3-2 4-1
KC Herman Edwards 2-5 5-2 5-2 5-2
MIA Cam Cameron 1-0 1-0 0-1 0-1
MIN Brad Childress 0-2 2-0 1-1 1-0
NE Bill Belichick 6-3 4-4 5-3 5-3
NO Sean Payton 1-2 1-1 1-1 1-1
NYG Tom Coughlin 2-2 3-1 2-2 2-2
NYJ Eric Mangini 1-1 1-1 1-1 2-0
OAK Lane Kiffin 1-0 0-1 1-0 0-1
PHI Andy Reid 3-7 4-4 4-5 2-7
PIT Mike Tomlin 1-1 1-0 1-0 1-0
SD Norv Turner (w/OAK, SD) 1-2 1-2 2-1 3-0
SEA Mike Holmgren 7-4 1-9 9-1 5-5
SF Mike Nolan 2-1 1-2 1-2 1-2
STL Scott Linehan 2-0 0-2 0-2 1-1
TB Jon Gruden 7-0 1-5 3-3 5-1
TEN Jeff Fisher 6-5 7-4 4-7 7-4
WAS Joe Gibbs 2-3 1-3 2-2 1-3


* - Wade Phillips was 8-4 as Bills coach 1998-2000.
* - Art Shell was 14-10 as Raiders coach 1990-1994.
* - Dennis Green's record does not include Minnesota.
* - Bill Parcells' record does not include NY Giants or New England.
* - Mike Shanahan's record does not include Oakland.
* - Tony Dungy's record does not include Tampa Bay.
* - Bill Belichick's record does not include Cleveland.
* - Tom Coughlin's record does not include Jacksonville.
* - Marty Schottenheimer's record does not include Kansas City.
* - Mike Holmgren's record does not include Green Bay.
* - Jeff Fisher's record does not include Houston.
* - Joe Gibbs' record only includes second stint with Washington.


For preseason home dogs , it would depend on the lines and coaches .

For example a 3.5 line , or 7.5 line obvioulsy has a greater chance of covering the home dog ,
a line of 2 or 6 on the otherhand may favor the visitor depending on the team , and repsective coaches ...