Some interesting Championship stats

[Jerry's Kid]

Since 2002 the home teams are 9-5 SU.
In those 9 wins the winning score differential was less than 9 points only twice, last year when AZ won by 7 as an underdog, and 2007 when Indy beat NE by 4.

Of those 5 losses one was in Roethleisberger's rookie year against NE, and one was GB losing by 3 against the Giants. And if you look at the stats the Giants should have won by 3 touchdowns. GB was 1-10 on third down and basically just gave the game away, and still only lost by 3.

Looking at this years teams, unless you think the Jets can dominate the Colts you have to take the favorite. And once again we have Brett Favre, will he show signs of his old self and throw some key INT's? I think it's very possible. Brees has a ton of weapons and should have some success on third downs.

Recent history says take the home teams and forget about the spread. Good luck everybody.

[Jerry's Kid]

BTW, when the road teams have won the margin of victory was, 3-17-14-11 and 17. So once again, history says unless the Jets can dominate, it's unlikely they can cover, much less win....

[Jerry's Kid]

one down...