SOME Meaningful Trends and angles FOR this weeks games !

[LadyDawn]

I didnt know this BUT The Eagles are 7-0 laying 7 or more points after a s/u favored loss ! And are 5-1 ATS before playing The Giants !

CINCINNATI +3 Home dogs that are better than 500 after week
four are 24-0 ATS during the regular season when they are off
a win as a single-digit away dog in which they rushed for fewer
than 4.4 YPC.
This has not been the best spot for Pittsburgh, as they are
0-8 ATS (-7.1 ppg) in November on the road on artificial turf
after playing at home.

Cincy didnt get any respect last week at titans and still isnt getting any respect this week ! I also never like any Teams after a 3 lead exchange war !

Steelers down by 10 up by 4 thats a 14 point swing then LOSE by 3 thats a 7 point swing ! HMM maybe a lottery win in there LOL 3- 4 - 7 - 10 -14

The Ravens are 0-13 ATS (-6.9 ppg) since October 19, 2003 on the road the week after a straight up win in which they had at least three more minutes of possession time than their season-to-date average.

However THE Seahawks are the most Penalized team in NFL ! SO this may get UGLY but after handicapping the spread i have ravens winning by 4 points !

The Bills are 11-0 ATS (11.8 ppg) since December 04, 2005 on the road when they lost their last two road games, if they rushed for more than 30 yards last game.

The Cowboys are 0-10 ATS (-9.8 ppg) since October 01, 1995 when they won last week while benefiting from a takeaway margin of at least +2 at home as a TD+ favorite.

Redskins at Dolphins - The Dolphins are 0-9-1 ATS (-9.8 ppg) since December 05, 1999 as a favorite after a road game in which they had fewer than 26 minutes of possession time. The Dolphins are 0-8 ATS (-10.8 ppg) since November 16, 2003 as a home favorite when facing a team that has averaged at least 2.25 turnovers per game season-to-date. The Dolphins are 0-8 ATS (-6.6 ppg) since December 28, 2003 at home when they had fewer than ten incompletions last week as a dog

and when PHINS are favored after a s/u dog win they are CHOKE city horrible money burners 6 -15 ATS with 9 s/u favored losses when playing at home after a s/u road DOG win by more than Two td's it gets worse !

look for squeaker here vs Redskins 10 -9

Heavy Rains in Miami forecast a muddy slow track ! THE KILLER of all games !

Saints at Falcons - The Falcons are 0-11 ATS (-16.9 ppg) since November 09, 1992 as a home dog after a straight up win as a favorite. The Falcons are 0-8-1 ATS (-14.9 ppg) since October 16, 1994 as a home dog when facing a divisional opponent for the first time of the season.

Patriots at Jets - The Patriots are 8-0 ATS (14.1 ppg) since November 03, 2002 within 3 of pick when they suffered a 10+ point ATS loss last week. The Patriots are 8-0 ATS (13.3 ppg) since October 22, 2000 on the road off a SU and ATS loss last week vs a team that is off a SU and ATS win last week.

The Patriots are 0-8 ATS (-14.5 ppg) since November 23, 2000 the week after they had at least three times as many passing yards as rushing yards at home as a TD+ favorite.

The Patriots are 8-0-2 ATS (7.5 ppg) since November 19, 1989 as a dog the week after a straight up loss in which they attempted at least ten more passes than their season-to-date average. The Jets are 10-0-1 ATS (12.9 ppg) since November 21, 1999 during November when they have had a negative dpa in each of their last two games. The Jets are 8-0 OU (12.2 ppg) since January 24, 2010 after a straight up win on the road.

Ravens at Seahawks - The NFL is 0-8 ATS (-13.8 ppg) since November 18, 2007 as a favorite when they swept a team last week as a dog. The Seahawks are 8-0 ATS (6.4 ppg) since December 08, 1991 as a home dog when their dps ( defensive passing stats) was negative in their last three games. The Seahawks are 0-8 ATS (-16.1 ppg) since October 23, 2005 when facing a team that has allowed less than 55% completions season-to-date.

Vikings at Packers - The Vikings are 8-0 ATS (9.5 ppg) since December 26, 1994 as a 7+ dog when facing a team that has completed at least 65% of their passes season-to-date. The Packers are 8-0 ATS (17.2 ppg) since October 05, 2003 as a favorite the week after scoring 34+ points on the road. The Vikings are 8-0-1 OU (10.9 ppg) since September 22, 1996 as a 7+ dog vs a divisional opponent.

HOPE these Trends and MY angels help you This week !

[resteasy]

that is a lot of info. Thank you.

It's funny that opening stat with the eagles sine I don't think anyone needs a stat to know they'll win s/u against the cards.

I like the bengals and that stat reinforces it. yay

[LadyDawn]

adding this from LVH super contest

Top NFL Public Bets
#1 239 Baltimore Ravens 87%
#2 225 Houston Texans 81%
#3 217 Pittsburgh Steelers 76%
#4 221 Jacksonville Jaguars 74%
#5 241 New York Giants 71%
#6 223 Buffalo Bills 69%
#7 238 Philadelphia Eagles 67%
#8 228 Carolina Panthers 67%
#9 243 New England Patriots 67%
#10 235 St. Louis Rams 66%

[Chi-town]

Very interesting- a lot of the underdogs are backed by the public this week. I haven't seen this many in a long time. Does anyone have any stats on how publicly backed underdog teams do ATS?

[LadyDawn]

CHI town i dont have the actual records when public is on the dogs but the way it's going latley is insane ! last week 8 underdogs cashed and an amazing 7 of them won the game now this week we have 16 games so we have to figure at laest 7 - 9 dogs cash tickets 1

I do know last MNF game many people took the Bears except in Phila I heard locals juiced the spread to -9 LOL Philly fans are so blind looking from within !

a 3 - 4 team giving points away to a team with better record than they have !

[Jgotskilz]

got any plays for today lady? you did me good last week lol

[dalers2k]

Not sure who develops such stats, but for me the more convoluted the stat the less meaning it has. Stats can be twisted and turned to show just about anything.

The Dolphins are 0-9-1 ATS (-9.8 ppg) since December 05, 1999 as a favorite after a road game in which they had fewer than 26 minutes of possession time. The Dolphins are 0-8 ATS (-10.8 ppg) since November 16, 2003 as a home favorite when facing a team that has averaged at least 2.25 turnovers per game season-to-date. The Dolphins are 0-8 ATS (-6.6 ppg) since December 28, 2003 at home when they had fewer than ten incompletions last week as a dog

Most probably a statistician could look at the games that fit these conditions and find another condition that shows the opposite result.

But hey, if you can make these stats work for you, more power to ya ! Good luck.

[duckster]

"Heavy Rains in Miami forecast a muddy slow track ! THE KILLER of all games"

you need to check that forecast again, i think its a beautiful day in Miami