system4 plays

[ddream11]

this is an old system i came up with for nba. it was time consuming and very very high volume to maintain on a platform like the nba. i tweaked it to the nfl and i'm simply testing it. in a nutshell its 4 main components(Stat/Trend/Situational/Consensus) with 4 minor components with in. the plays are graded using a simple + and - with all the main components. after each main is done it spits a result. when there is a 4* just means each main shows an edge etc. again just testing

cle +3***
car +7**
ne -4.5**
mia -3*
gb -3*
wsh +3.5*
sd -4.5*
det +7 -125
sea +3*
stl +3.5
ind -1*
bal +2*
pit +1.5*
jak -3*

[LordCC]

Thanks for sharing & good luck!

[ddream11]

thx u sir.

a good first week, with some proper line shopping a few of these could've went to a happier side, like that damn cle play which was the top system play that day. for testing purposes i'm just using contest released lines.

week #1 result: 9W-4L-1P 69% +4.5*

[Bobtheicon]

what is the formula? Or is it a secret?

[ddream11]

no secret. like i listed there is 4 main components. within each i have 4 minor criteria that i break down to see who has an edge with in each, for example the "situational" component has the following:
emotional
travel-home
starting roster-injuries
stat progression

within each of these there are 4 detailed things i look to. so if SF shows edge in 3 and SEA shows edge in 1, SF would rate a 2* for that main component.
i purposely use 4 to encourage a no edge or tie so to speak. its all basic stat and trends and article research for the most part that we all can get from easy sources. its just finding the info that i feel is most important and that connects properly within each component. first time in nfl so i may find as we go different details that are better than others. time will tell.

[billy boy]

Thanks dream.. Looks real nice!! Can't wait for this weeks!!

[ddream11]

working on it now as i'm off to mexico sat i may be a little late posting as the "consensus" component some time takes awhile as i need a bit of movement to determine the factors. it will be up no matter