Talking all NFL playoffs thread - Who misses playoffs? Packers, Jets, Bears or who?

[Dr. Jack]

The NFL season is a wild one. So many teams are in it. Others can go from division leaders to out. Let's discuss

Jets - currently 9-4
12/19/2010 at Pittsburgh
12/26/2010 at Chicago
01/02/2011 vs Buffalo

possible finish 10-6, outside chance at 11-5

Packers - currently 8-5
12/19/2010 at New England
12/26/2010 vs NY Giants
01/02/2011 vs Chicago

With the Saints & NFC East (Eagles/Giants) likely wildcard, Packers best chance will be maybe to win division.

likely finish 10-6, or possible 9-7

Bears - currently 9-4
12/20/2010 at Minnesota
12/26/2010 vs NY Jets
01/02/2011 at Green Bay

If the Bears fall in a slump they could lose out and miss the playoffs as well

likely finish 10-6

Giants (currently 8-4 and could be must win tonight)
12/13/2010 at Minnesota N/A
12/19/2010 vs Philadelphia N/A
12/26/2010 at Green Bay N/A
01/02/2011 at Washington N/A

If they lost tonight, they could be in a little trouble as well. A win tonight and likely finish 11-5. A loss could send them in a tail spin.

Baltimore needs a win tonight too or they could give Colts/Jags loser, Dolphins, Chargers/Chiefs loser a shot

12/13/2010 at Houston
12/19/2010 vs New Orleans
12/26/2010 at Cleveland
01/02/2011 vs Cincinnati

With a loss tonight, 10 wins could be in trouble. A win tonight and they should be more than fine

What about the Chargers? 7-6 currently

12/16/2010 vs San Francisco
12/26/2010 at Cincinnati
01/02/2011 at Denver

They could win out and end up 10-6

but Kansas City has a fairly easy road (only with Matt C)

12/19/2010 (8-5) at St. Louis
12/26/2010 vs Tennessee
01/02/2011 vs Oakland

should finish 10-6, outside shot at 11-5

Will the Colts (7-6) win out?

12/19/2010 vs Jacksonville
12/26/2010 at Oakland
01/02/2011 vs Tennessee

probably and will be 10-6 which would force Jacksonville (8-5) to fight for wildcard

12/19/2010 at Indianapolis
12/26/2010 vs Washington
01/02/2011 at Houston

two tough games - could finish 9-7 and give light to the Dolphins (7-6)

12/19/2010 vs Buffalo
12/26/2010 vs Detroit
01/02/2011 at New England

Miami will be 9-6 with finale in New England for a chance to go 10-6 and sneak in? Oh that Cleveland loss hurts still


Oh and the NFC West is anyone's division even Arizona (lmao)


Let's hear it. What will happen? What you agree with? Who misses the playoffs

Let's discuss NFL playoff possibilities. Things will change week to week!

[Dr. Jack]

Forgot about the Bucs (8-5)

12/19/2010 vs Detroit
12/26/2010 vs Seattle
01/02/2011 at New Orleans

Will 10-6 be enough?

[rjb1816]

Jets will have 10 wins, likely beating buffalo the last week. Now with tiebreakers will it be enough who knows. I think Packers can make it depending on Rodgers health and the Bears miss with 9 wins

Chiefs going to crumble under close out pressure

[THE Sports PROFIT]

So if Kc and Sd finish tied and split series.....same with gb and chic....if gbay wins the next matchup.(and makes up a game on chicago)..their series tied as well...what is next tiebreaker to determined division winner...can't remember....

[rjb1816]

Originally Posted by THE Sports PROFIT

So if Kc and Sd finish tied and split series.....same with gb and chic....if gbay wins the next matchup.(and makes up a game on chicago)..their series tied as well...what is next tiebreaker to determined division winner...can't remember....

if kc and sd both finish 10-6 the chargers win the division

[THE Sports PROFIT]

Originally Posted by rjb1816

Jets will have 10 wins, likely beating buffalo the last week. Now with tiebreakers will it be enough who knows. I think Packers can make it depending on Rodgers health and the Bears miss with 9 wins

Chiefs going to crumble under close out pressure

think kc can lose at stloo for sure..if so vs tenny too ..then they done...but if get one win..prob beat my raiders at home final week...(but who knows)...but it won't be easy for them ...no question....if cassell out any more they done.

[THE Sports PROFIT]

Originally Posted by rjb1816

if kc and sd both finish 10-6 the chargers win the division

what is tiebreak dependent on rjb??

[rjb1816]

Originally Posted by THE Sports PROFIT

what is tiebreak dependent on rjb??

it goes head to head, then division record and then record vs common opponents.

Chargers and Chiefs would tie the first two but the Chargers would own the 3rd tiebreaker

[Dr. Jack]

From NFL.com


NFL Tiebreaking Procedures
The six postseason participants from each conference are seeded as follows:

The division champion with the best record.
The division champion with the second-best record.
The division champion with the third-best record.
The division champion with the fourth-best record.
The Wild Card club with the best record.
The Wild Card club with the second-best record.
The following procedures will be used to break standings ties for postseason playoffs and to determine regular-season schedules.

NOTE: Tie games count as one-half win and one-half loss for both clubs.

TO BREAK A TIE WITHIN A DIVISION
If, at the end of the regular season, two or more clubs in the same division finish with identical won-lost-tied percentages, the following steps will be taken until a champion is determined.

Two Clubs

Head-to-head (best won-lost-tied percentage in games between the clubs).
Best won-lost-tied percentage in games played within the division.
Best won-lost-tied percentage in common games.
Best won-lost-tied percentage in games played within the conference.
Strength of victory.
Strength of schedule.
Best combined ranking among conference teams in points scored and points allowed.
Best combined ranking among all teams in points scored and points allowed.
Best net points in common games.
Best net points in all games.
Best net touchdowns in all games.
Coin toss
Three or More Clubs

(Note: If two clubs remain tied after third or other clubs are eliminated during any step, tie breaker reverts to step 1 of the two-club format).

Head-to-head (best won-lost-tied percentage in games among the clubs).
Best won-lost-tied percentage in games played within the division.
Best won-lost-tied percentage in common games.
Best won-lost-tied percentage in games played within the conference.
Strength of victory.
Strength of schedule.
Best combined ranking among conference teams in points scored and points allowed.
Best combined ranking among all teams in points scored and points allowed.
Best net points in common games.
Best net points in all games.
Best net touchdowns in all games.
Coin toss
TO BREAK A TIE FOR THE WILD-CARD TEAM
If it is necessary to break ties to determine the two Wild-Card clubs from each conference, the following steps will be taken.

If the tied clubs are from the same division, apply division tie breaker.
If the tied clubs are from different divisions, apply the following steps.
Two Clubs

Head-to-head, if applicable.
Best won-lost-tied percentage in games played within the conference.
Best won-lost-tied percentage in common games, minimum of four.
Strength of victory.
Strength of schedule.
Best combined ranking among conference teams in points scored and points allowed.
Best combined ranking among all teams in points scored and points allowed.
Best net points in conference games.
Best net points in all games.
Best net touchdowns in all games.
Coin toss.
Three or More Clubs

(Note: If two clubs remain tied after third or other clubs are eliminated, tie breaker reverts to step 1 of applicable two-club format.)

Apply division tie breaker to eliminate all but the highest ranked club in each division prior to proceeding to step 2. The original seeding within a division upon application of the division tie breaker remains the same for all subsequent applications of the procedure that are necessary to identify the two Wild-Card participants.
Head-to-head sweep. (Applicable only if one club has defeated each of the others or if one club has lost to each of the others.)
Best won-lost-tied percentage in games played within the conference.
Best won-lost-tied percentage in common games, minimum of four.
Strength of victory.
Strength of schedule.
Best combined ranking among conference teams in points scored and points allowed.
Best combined ranking among all teams in points scored and points allowed.
Best net points in conference games.
Best net points in all games.
Best net touchdowns in all games.
Coin toss
When the first Wild-Card team has been identified, the procedure is repeated to name the second Wild-Card, i.e., eliminate all but the highest-ranked club in each division prior to proceeding to step 2. In situations where three or more teams from the same division are involved in the procedure, the original seeding of the teams remains the same for subsequent applications of the tie breaker if the top-ranked team in that division qualifies for a Wild-Card berth.

OTHER TIE-BREAKING PROCEDURES
Only one club advances to the playoffs in any tie-breaking step. Remaining tied clubs revert to the first step of the applicable division or Wild Card tie-breakers. As an example, if two clubs remain tied in any tie-breaker step after all other clubs have been eliminated, the procedure reverts to Step 1 of the two-club format to determine the winner. When one club wins the tiebreaker, all other clubs revert to Step 1 of the applicable two-club or three-club format.
In comparing records against common opponents among tied teams, the best won-lost-tied percentage is the deciding factor, since teams may have played an unequal number of games.
To determine home-field priority among division-titlists, apply Wild Card tie-breakers.
To determine home-field priority for Wild Card qualifiers, apply division tie-breakers (if teams are from the same division) or Wild Card tiebreakers (if teams are from different divisions).
To determine the best combined ranking among conference teams in points scored and points allowed, add a team's position in the two categories, and the lowest score wins. For example, if Team A is first in points scored and second in points allowed, its combined ranking is "3." If Team B is third in points scored and first in points allowed, its combined ranking is "4." Team A then wins the tiebreaker. If two teams are tied for a position, both teams are awarded the ranking as if they held it solely. For example, if Team A and Team B are tied for first in points scored, each team is assigned a ranking of "1" in that category, and if Team C is third, its ranking will still be "3."
TIE-BREAKING PROCEDURE FOR SELECTION MEETING
Clubs not participating in the playoffs shall select in the first through 20th positions in reverse standings order.
The Super Bowl winner is last and Super Bowl loser is next-to-last.
The losers of the Conference Championship games shall select 29th and 30th based on won-lost-tied percentage.
The losers of the Divisional playoff games shall select 25th through 28th based on won-lost-tied percentage.
The losers of the Wild Card games shall select 21st through 24th based on won-lost-tied percentage.
If ties exist in any grouping except (2) above, such ties shall be broken by strength-of-schedule. If any ties cannot be broken by strength-of-schedule, the divisional or conference tie-breakers, if applicable, shall be applied. Any ties that still exist shall be broken by a coin flip.

[Dr. Jack]

Good luck with that. Lol

[THE Sports PROFIT]

Originally Posted by Dr. Jack

Forgot about the Bucs (8-5)

12/19/2010 vs Detroit
12/26/2010 vs Seattle
01/02/2011 at New Orleans

Will 10-6 be enough?

saints may sit last week, don't know motivation at this pt...bucs 11-5???? presuming they win other two.......who'd a thunk it??

[rjb1816]

i have done some calculations and the chargers at 10-6 would win wild card tiebreakers over jets and ravens...so there's that

[Deck]

I hope the packers go winless last 4 and miss out. Minny is done so it's all about rooting on whoever plays the packers and spoils their season.

[rjb1816]

lol i just read this...if the chargers and chiefs win out, kc wins division and the chargers would get the wild card over a 10-6 jets team. Meaning they say f you to the jets who miss the playoffs and would be a first round matchup at KC.

[Bisket]

at least one of ravens and jets will miss playoffs