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  #1  
Old 10-31-2009, 06:49 PM
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Tease GOY-which of these 2 are safest?

I think this week is a great opportunity for a HUGE tease play. Here is my thinking.

-Lots of bad teams this year in NFL, more than most years
-the favs have been covering more often than not. Only 2 dogs, (Zona and Buff) covered last week.
-The big favs are at home this week and it seems as though most should at least win.

Here are the ones that I am looking at.

With Tease
-Indy-7vs SF (Indy has been an offensive machine this year, I see getting ahead early and cruising in this one)
-Zona-4 vs carolina (Zona has been rock solid vs the run, only thing Carolina can do well is run. zona should win by double digits)
-San Diego -10 vs OAK (San Diego has owned this divison ATS and owned OAK (especially at home) SD is averaging around 30 pts per game and OAK around 8)
-New Orleans -4 vs ATL (New Orleans is a covering machine. 6-0ATS this year and an offensive machine, division game may be a little scary tho)
-Chicago -7 vs Clev (Chicago should bounce back strong after an embarassing loss to Cincy last week, Clev is a very disgusting team and should get blown out)

What are the safest 2 tease picks and why?

Thanks

Johnny
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  #2  
Old 10-31-2009, 06:59 PM
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I'm actually trying to figure out what to bet on tomorrow games as well...
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  #3  
Old 10-31-2009, 07:32 PM
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NWO -4 for sure
Zona -4 should also be a good one.
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  #4  
Old 10-31-2009, 09:28 PM
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Adding MINN +10 at GB to the list. (getting 10 points with the better team) CMON MAN
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"The beauty of wagering is that you can make up all your losses with only ONE GOOD PICK!"

Through 11/15/08
NFL: 43-36 (-32U)
CFB: 75-65 (+50U)
NBA: 24-31 (-27U)
NHL: 22-20 (+4U)
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  #5  
Old 10-31-2009, 10:16 PM
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How can you have a tease GOY without even knowing what teams are in your GOY

GL
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  #6  
Old 10-31-2009, 10:18 PM
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Miami +10 1/2
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  #7  
Old 10-31-2009, 10:18 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by yankee23 View Post
how can you have a tease goy without even knowing what teams are in your goy

Gl
lol
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  #8  
Old 10-31-2009, 11:00 PM
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FYI: I can have a TREASE GOY because I feel like this is the weekend of the BIG EASY SLEAZY TEASY! And I have decided that I am unloading a box of ziti on this pick. So, unless you have a better expert analysis than- I think SF can pull off an upset this week, please refrain from bashing my post. Thank You

After more analysis, I feel:

-I can not trust Zona. As bad as Delhomme is, I just feel that Warner could make a couple bad turnovers (Carolina D playing OK) and this game could come down to the wire. On paper it screams Zona by double digits but this could be a trap.
-I can nor trust San Diego to win by double digits. Vs any team, even Oakland. SD offensive is bad, and Oakland could get pressure on Rivers and keep it close.

Down to:
Indy-7 (I feel this is very safe the way Indy and Manning have been playing)
Chi-7 (I feel this is pretty safe the way Clev has been playing. Chicago should win by double digits)
NO-4 (This one scares me a bit because its a div game, but it screams NO and they should run wild on MNF)
Minn +10 (This one should be a very close game, but I can just feel a bad forced Favre turnover at the end puts GB to win by 13-14)

Leaning Indy and either Chi/NO
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GOOSE GURU

"The beauty of wagering is that you can make up all your losses with only ONE GOOD PICK!"

Through 11/15/08
NFL: 43-36 (-32U)
CFB: 75-65 (+50U)
NBA: 24-31 (-27U)
NHL: 22-20 (+4U)

Last edited by BIGGjohnny; 10-31-2009 at 11:01 PM.
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  #9  
Old 10-31-2009, 11:45 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Yankee23 View Post
How can you have a tease GOY without even knowing what teams are in your GOY

GL
beer:rof l AGREE 100% too funny
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  #10  
Old 10-31-2009, 11:49 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by BIGGjohnny View Post
FYI: I can have a TREASE GOY because I feel like this is the weekend of the BIG EASY SLEAZY TEASY! And I have decided that I am unloading a box of ziti on this pick. So, unless you have a better expert analysis than- I think SF can pull off an upset this week, please refrain from bashing my post. Thank You
Quote:
Originally Posted by BIGGjohnny View Post
After more analysis, I feel:

-I can not trust Zona. As bad as Delhomme is, I just feel that Warner could make a couple bad turnovers (Carolina D playing OK) and this game could come down to the wire. On paper it screams Zona by double digits but this could be a trap.
-I can nor trust San Diego to win by double digits. Vs any team, even Oakland. SD offensive is bad, and Oakland could get pressure on Rivers and keep it close.

Down to:
Indy-7 (I feel this is very safe the way Indy and Manning have been playing)
Chi-7 (I feel this is pretty safe the way Clev has been playing. Chicago should win by double digits)
NO-4 (This one scares me a bit because its a div game, but it screams NO and they should run wild on MNF)
Minn +10 (This one should be a very close game, but I can just feel a bad forced Favre turnover at the end puts GB to win by 13-14)

Leaning Indy and either Chi/NO

__________________
Stars worth $10 each

1st plays of 2009 start Oct 3rd

NFL-$770

NCAAFB- even
NBA- +$40


2009 NFL PLAYOFF PROPS-Pending

2009 NCAAFB BOWL PLAYS- $-405

2009 System Record ATS- 14-19
2009 System Dogs ATS- 2-2



You will never be king, if you cant handle the swing.

I was introduced to variance once. That's exactly the time I stopped betting over my head.
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  #11  
Old 10-31-2009, 11:51 PM
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not bashing but

I think SF can pull off an upset this week
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  #12  
Old 11-01-2009, 01:13 AM
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public gets buried tomorrow. All dogs cover.
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  #13  
Old 11-01-2009, 01:14 AM
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eagles and niners
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  #14  
Old 11-01-2009, 01:18 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by xTheNutsx View Post
public gets buried tomorrow. All dogs cover.
I agree just saw article on how last sunday was the Worst sunday for vegas in a while!!! Be careful Panthers is a Big revenge game where Delhomme started his slide and probably ends it tomorrow!!!
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  #15  
Old 11-01-2009, 07:43 AM
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The 2 safest plays for TEASE GOY are looking like:

-Chicago-7 clev
=New Orleans -4 atl
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"The beauty of wagering is that you can make up all your losses with only ONE GOOD PICK!"

Through 11/15/08
NFL: 43-36 (-32U)
CFB: 75-65 (+50U)
NBA: 24-31 (-27U)
NHL: 22-20 (+4U)
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