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Old 10-12-2017, 04:49 PM
New York Knight New York Knight is offline
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Thursday Betting Info

CG Technology ...


"The wagering on tonight's NFL game has completely flip flopped last 2 hours. Suddenly we need Carolina. All Eagles action last 2 hours"
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  #2  
Old 10-12-2017, 04:52 PM
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Sports Insights ...


Eagles +3 currently receiving 48% of spread bets.

78% taking Over 43.5


32,117 total bets so far
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  #3  
Old 10-12-2017, 04:55 PM
New York Knight New York Knight is offline
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Sports Insights ...

Despite 78% of tickets on the 'over', it's been a steady diet of sharp 'under' money
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  #4  
Old 10-12-2017, 04:58 PM
New York Knight New York Knight is offline
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Teams off easy win (21+ pts): 46.7% ATS

If underdogs next week: 43.2% ATS since 2005

Eagles +3
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  #5  
Old 10-12-2017, 04:59 PM
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Underdogs on Thursday: 62-90 (40.8%) ATS
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Old 10-12-2017, 05:01 PM
New York Knight New York Knight is offline
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Eagles (4-1) at Panthers (4-1)


Philly won its last three games, scoring 20+ points in all five games this year; Iggles are 2-1 on road, with only loss 27-20 at unbeaten Chiefs- they’re 34-73 on 3rd down this year (46.6%). Philly allowed only 138 rushing yards on 44 tries (3.1/carry) in its last three games- they’re 2-5 in its last seven games as a road underdog. Carolina scored 33-27 points in winning as a road underdog their last two games; Panthers are 34-68 on 3rd down this year, also very good. Eagles won four of last six series games; they split four visits to Charlotte. NFC East teams are 6-7 vs spread outside the division, 3-2 as road underdogs; NFC South teams are 6-8 vs spread, 2-3 as home favorites. Road team covered all five Carolina games this season.
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  #7  
Old 10-12-2017, 05:09 PM
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Jeff Stoneback, director of trading for MGM Resorts sportsbooks in Vegas ...


“We did take some sharp money on the moneyline on the Eagles, at +155. That took them down to +145, and we just took another sharp bet on Eagles moneyline, so we’re down to +140, Carolina has gone from -175 to -160"

“Honestly, it’s a nice matchup, but there’s not much action on this game,”

“There are five more tickets on the Panthers, about $1,000 more money on the Eagles. I’ve got more money written right now on the Michigan-Indiana game Saturday morning than on Eagles-Panthers tonight.”
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  #8  
Old 10-12-2017, 05:11 PM
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GTBets.eu ...


“Despite fairly even betting, Carolina went up to -3.5 for a short stint on Wednesday morning, until the line went back down to 3 this morning,”

“Side action is 50/50 for both bets and money. The sides are as evenly bet as any game I’ve ever seen. However, 60 percent of the parlays include Philadelphia +3.”
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  #9  
Old 10-12-2017, 05:15 PM
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The Greek Sportsbook‏ ...

NFL Sharp Action

Under
Eagles (small)
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  #10  
Old 10-12-2017, 05:21 PM
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The SportsLine Projection Model simulated every NFL game 10,000 times and came up with final scores and projected player statistics.


Below is the projected final scores and statistics of Thursday night's game. Projections are updated every 10 minutes.


SportsLine Projection Model’s score:

Panthers 23

Eagles 21


Projected Statistics: Cam Newton throws for 247 yards, 1.54 TDs and 1.35 INTs for the Panthers

Carson Wentz passes for 222 yards and 1.21 TDs

Alshon Jeffery catches 6.1 passes for 59 yards
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  #11  
Old 10-12-2017, 05:37 PM
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Tracy Wolfson‏ ...

"Hearing that DT Fletcher Cox will be active after missing last two games with calf injury"
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  #12  
Old 10-12-2017, 05:48 PM
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Small sample but Cam is just 5-9 ATS in primetime games, including 2-5 ATS in home primetime games.
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  #13  
Old 10-12-2017, 06:04 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by New York Knight View Post
Tracy Wolfson‏ ...

"Hearing that DT Fletcher Cox will be active after missing last two games with calf injury"
fletcher cox playing as per comcast sports in philly.
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  #14  
Old 10-12-2017, 06:04 PM
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Old 10-12-2017, 06:15 PM
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John Parolin of ESPN Stats & Information


Prop bets



62.5 receiving yards by Kelvin Benjamin (O/U -110)

Benjamin has caught 80 percent of his targets since Week 2, but his usage has been difficult to pin down. Since a two-target performance in Week 3, Benjamin's targets have risen over the past two weeks and the Panthers offense has clicked, with 60 points and a pair of wins. Carolina isn't a heavy pass-yardage offense, ranking 17th at 228.6 yards per game. The fluctuation in Benjamin's usage is a strike against him here, even though his opponent really struggles against perimeter receivers. The Eagles defense has allowed a staggering 178.2 yards per game to perimeter receivers, the most in the league by over 27 yards. Benjamin has lined up wide on 95 of 111 routes this season. That should put him in line for a big day, right? If current patterns hold, Benjamin won't see enough of the ball. Devin Funchess is finally living up to his billing as a former first-round pick, seeing 27 targets over the past three weeks compared to Benjamin's 12. Both Funchess and Christian McCaffrey have at least twice as many targets as Benjamin, and it could simply be difficult for Benjamin to amass enough looks to hit 63 yards.

Pick: Under



Five combined sacks by both teams (O/U -110)

Wentz and Newton have taken a combined 28 sacks in their first five games, putting them right around the total. Both quarterbacks hold the ball at or longer than the league average, ranking 11th (Wentz) and 14th (Newton) out of 32 qualified quarterbacks in most seconds before pass. Wentz, in particular, should try to get the ball out quicker this week because the Panthers' pass rush has been effective. Carolina has recorded a sack on 9 percent of pass plays this season, fifth best in the league. Only the Jacksonville Jaguars and Cincinnati Bengals have more sacks than the Panthers defense (17), while the Eagles are tied for 12th with 12 sacks. While Wentz and Newton hold the ball at or longer than the league average, the two pass rushes are at or faster than the league average sack time. Two quarterbacks who invite pressure by holding the ball against two defenses who can produce sacks and get to quarterbacks quicker than average? There won't be four or fewer sacks on Thursday night.

Pick: Over
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  #16  
Old 10-12-2017, 06:45 PM
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Offshore market spread


Carolina 55% tix, 64% money
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  #17  
Old 10-12-2017, 06:50 PM
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  #18  
Old 10-12-2017, 07:02 PM
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Vegas Gambling Steam‏ ...


NFL Public %

Panthers -3 (57%)

NFL: 5-2 Last 7 Days
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  #19  
Old 10-12-2017, 07:04 PM
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Sports Insights ...


Spread: 56% on CAR -3

ML: 51% on CAR -151

O/U: 78% on Over 44



69,623 total bets
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