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Old 10-01-2011, 09:44 PM
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TRENCH REPORT- Week Four O & D Line Power Rankings

TRENCH INDEX - O & D LINE POWER RANKINGS

In an NFL Game there is 60 minutes. Of the 60 minutes on average there is 13 minutes of action. Of those 13 minutes Offensive playmakers are likely on the field for 6:30 and the defensive playmakers are on for 6:30. Now of that 6:30, how many minutes to wide receivers, running backs or tight ends contribute to? Maybe 2:30 each. Of course the quarterback touches the ball for each of the 6:30 making him the most important player on the team. How come all of us almost always assume that the second most important players are the offensive playmakers who contribute just 1/3 of what the linemen do? How come we focus on defensive playmakers because they make three or four big plays a game? How about focusing on the guys controlling the opposing offense? The truth is that football games are won in the trenches. Sure you can say this team has a good offensive line or that team has a good pass rush, but do you really know what your betting on? I have decided to rank the O-Lines and D-Lines based on major statistical categories and come up with a rating and ranking for each team then put it to the test against the point spread.

For the offensive line I have chosen the following categories:

QB Sacked Per Game

QB Hit Per Game

Yards Per Rush Attempt

Power Runs (Rushes of 2 yards or less on 3rd and 4th down resulting in 1st down or TD)

Stuffed Runs (Rushes resulting in zero or negative yardage)

For the defensive line I have chose the following categories:

QB Sacks Per Game

Opponent Yards Per Rush Attempt

Pass Deflections

Forced Fumbles

Opponent Rush Yards Per Game

For each stat each team will get a ranking from 1-32. Obviously the team with the lowest number will be the most efficient offensive line and the team with the highest will be the worst.

OFFENSIVE LINE TRENCH INDEX WEEK FOUR:

1- Oakland Raiders 21

Buffalo Bills 32

New England Patriots 35

Green Bay Packers 43

Houston Texans 47

Minnesota Vikings 48

7- Jacksonville Jaguars 54

New Orleans Saints 59

Kansas City Chiefs 60

Baltimore Ravens 67

San Diego Chargers 69

12- Philadelphia Eagles 72

Indianapolis Colts 77

Miami Dolphins 79

New York Giants 79

Arizona Cardinals 84

17- Tampa Bay Buccaneers 84

Cleveland Browns 86

Washington Redskins 91

Cincinnati Bengals 94

St. Louis Rams 100

22- Pittsburgh Steelers 105

Carolina Panthers 107

New York Jets 107

Detroit Lions 108

Tennessee Titans 109

27- Dallas Cowboys 111

Denver Broncos 111

Seattle Seahawks 121

San Francisco 49ers 123

Atlanta Falcons 133

Chicago Bears 152

Looking over the offensive ratings for this weekend.

The top five teams are (SU/ATS) Oakland (2-1/3-0), Buffalo (3-0/ 2-1), New England (2-1 / 2-1), Green Bay (3-0 / 2-1), Houston (2-1 / 2-1).

Combined SU Record: 12-3

Combined ATS Record: 11-4

The bottom five teams are (SU/ATS) Denver (1-2/1-2), Seattle (1-2/ 1-2), San Francisco (2-1/ 2-1), Atlanta (1-2/ 1-2), Chicago (1-2/ 1-2)

Combined SU Record: 6-9

Combined ATS Record: 6-9

 

DEFENSIVE TRENCH INDEX WEEK FOUR:

1- Green Bay Packers 24

San Francisco 49ers 32

Baltimore Ravens 34

Cincinnati Bengals 35

Dallas Cowboys 37

New York Giants 53

7- Minnesota Vikings 56

Arizona Cardinals 59

New Orleans Saints 60

Tennessee Titans 63

Cleveland Browns 64

12- Washington Redskins 64

Oakland Raiders 71

Detroit Lions 77

Houston Texans 79

Indianapolis Colts 83

17- Tampa Bay Buccaneers 84

Jacksonville Jaguars 86

Seattle Seahawks 86

Chicago Bears 87

New England Patriots 87

22- Kansas City Chiefs 89

Denver Broncos 95

Buffalo Bills 101

Carolina Panthers 106

Pittsburgh Steelers 110

27- Atlanta Falcons 111

Philadelphia Eagles 115

Miami Dolphins 116

San Diego Chargers 118

St. Louis Rams 120

New York Jets 123


Looking over the defensive ratings for this weekend.

The top five teams are (SU/ATS) Green Bay (3-0/ 2-1), San Francisco (2-1/ 2-1), Baltimore (2-1/ 2-1), Cincinnati (1-2/ 2-1), Dallas (2-1/ 2-1)

Combined SU Record: 10-5

Combined ATS Record: 10-5

The bottom five teams are (SU/ATS) Philadelphia (1-2/1-2), Miami (0-3/0-3), San Diego (3-0/0-3), St. Louis (0-3/0-3), New York Jets (2-1/1-2)

Combined SU Record: 6-9

Combined ATS Record: 2-13



Looking at the games this Sunday:

Detroit Lions (26th O Line, 14th D Line)

Dallas Cowboys (27th O Line, 5th D Line)



Carolina Panthers (25th O Line, 25th D Line)

Chicago Bears (32nd O Line, 20th D Line)



New Orleans Saints (8th O Line, 9th D Line)

Jacksonville Jaguars (7th O Line, 17th D Line)



Tennessee Titans (26th O Line, 10th D Line)

Cleveland Browns (18th O Line, 11th D Line)



Buffalo Bills (2nd O Line, 24th D Line)

Cincinnati Bengals (20th O Line, 4th D Line)



Minnesota Vikings (6th O Line, 7th D Line)

Kansas City Chiefs (9th O Line, 22nd D Line)




San Francisco 49ers (30th O Line, 2nd D Line)

Philadelphia Eagles (12th O Line, 28th D Line)



Washington Redskins (19th O Line, 19th D Line)

St. Louis Rams (21st O Line, 31st D Line)



Pittsburgh Steelers (22nd O Line, 26th D Line)

Houston Texans (5th O Line, 16th D Line)



------------

Atlanta Falcons (31st O Line, 27th D Line)

Seattle Seahawks (29th O Line, 19th D Line)



New York Giants (15th O Line, 6th D Line)

Arizona Cardinals (16th O Line, 8th D Line)



Denver Broncos (28th O Line, 23rd D Line)

Green Bay (4th O Line, 1st D Line)



New England (3rd O Line, 21st D Line)

Oakland Raiders (1st O Line, 13th D Line)



Miami Dolphins (14th O Line, 29th D Line)

San Diego Chargers (11th O Line, 30th D Line)



New York Jets (24th O Line, 32nd D Line)

Baltimore Ravens (10th O Line, 3rd D Line)

 

Week Four Analysis:

If you are somewhat sceptical over what I created, I believe this tells the story of the line quite well. Games where there is the biggest double advantage, Green Bay. Green Bay is the biggest favorite on the board this Sunday. Games that make you question the line, such as Houston favored over Pittsburgh, Houston holds an advantage in both quite handily. The Patriots are at a disadvantage in both, yet they are favored by four. Makes you believe in the power of public perception. Games with the two worst D Lines, Miami San Diego, tied for third highest total on the board with 45.5. Game with the two worst O Lines, Atlanta Seattle, lowest total on the board at 38. The one mismatch that stands out to me, San Francisco with the 2nd D Line going against Philadelphia and the 28th D Line. Major injury/hit concerns with Michael Vick. Should be interesting to see how that match-up plays out.

Good Luck in Week Four.
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Old 10-01-2011, 09:49 PM
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What's your record to date?
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Old 10-01-2011, 09:55 PM
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I don't keep a play by play record. I bet for money not a winning percentage. My bankroll is up about 14% this season between both NFL and NCAA.
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Old 10-01-2011, 10:14 PM
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thank you for posting,if im reading this correctly green bay,49ers,and houston would be plays,right?if you could clarify please
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Old 10-01-2011, 10:31 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by johnny88 View Post
thank you for posting,if im reading this correctly green bay,49ers,and houston would be plays,right?if you could clarify please
There is no play or no play determined by this. Simply just information I find very interesting. The biggest advantage is Green Bay. In my Yards Per Pass article I posted on here, there was also a strong stat backing Green Bay. I like the way Green Bay sets up tomorrow for a load of other reasons, putting them with these, it may turn out to be a play for me tomorrow.
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Old 10-01-2011, 10:46 PM
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thanks for the info, jack
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